Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1069

#351 | Nanis23 | Posted 7/20/2013 6:35:57 AM | message detail
This match is so boring I don't even care i'm losing 3 epxert points
#352 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/20/2013 6:43:02 AM | message detail
Peacock's inability to compete in a close match is amazing. Large stretches of updates where she can't get over 10 votes or 6-7% of the vote.
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#353 | spooky96 | Posted 7/20/2013 6:59:35 AM | message detail
Meh I don't see Peacock making a comeback now. This is over.

So anyways, for the next match, it is Ness > CATS > Locke seems right. Right?
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#354 | SubDeity | Posted 7/20/2013 7:00:25 AM | message detail
Shouldn't Locke be vaguely strong?
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#355 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/20/2013 7:01:56 AM | message detail
Locke will be weak, but not CATS weak.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 19/22 Today's Picks: Big Boss and Ness
#356 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/20/2013 7:05:09 AM | message detail
Did the Skullgirls fanbase never rally here? I thought it was a lock Peacock would win if it was close when I woke up. Meh.
#357 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 7/20/2013 7:06:20 AM | message detail
Anything other than Ness > Locke > CATS would really surprise me.
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Bracket score: 20 / Expert score: 102
#358 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/20/2013 7:08:19 AM | message detail
Match XXIV: (8) CATS vs. (11) Ness vs. (20) Lock Cole

Previous Contest

CATS – 2008
15.25% against Squall Leonhart, Yoshi and Nathan Drake

Ness – 2010
64.81% against Geno
45.64% against Big Daddy

Locke Cole – N/A
N/A

Analysis

This match had some discussion when the bracket was released, but after going into a bit of detail the board is confident that Ness will win and I agree with that assessment. While Ness has not really shown to have a lot of strength he does have enough of it not to be considered fodder and for a match like this that is all you need to win.

Locke has been a character that I have wanted to see for a while now, but not because I think he will be strong. Due to the nature of the ensemble cast of Final Fantasy VI no character has looked that good. Both Celes and pre-Dissidia Terra have shown to be weak and even pre-Dissidia Kefka may not be strong enough to defeat Ness. While Dissidia did boost Terra and Kefka I do not see it translating to strength for Locke as he has no part in that game.

After missing the 2010 contest the board made sure to rally CATS to make sure he would make this contest. As the original joke character he was a popular meme back in the late 90s, but now I wonder how many people, especially the younger group know about him. He never had much strength and in the vote-ins in 2010 despite it being in a format he would perform well in he finished in dead last.

Three characters with three different strengths so do not expect this match to be very interesting other than to watch CATS drop as the board vote finishes. Ness has a pretty good chance at breaking 50% should CATS really flop this match and Locke is closer to Celes than pre-Dissidia Terra.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Ness > Locke Cole and CATS

charmander6000’s Prediction: Ness – 52.23%, Locke Cole – 33.36%, CATS – 14.41%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 19/22 Today's Picks: Big Boss and Ness
#359 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 7/20/2013 7:13:33 AM | message detail
For the record:

Celes (2006c) has a strength of 16.25 against Base Link.
CATS (2006c) has a strength of 14.90 against Base Link.

Celes 54.15% 59,052
CATS 45.85% 49,993
TOTAL VOTES 109,045
Celes wins with 54.15% of the vote!
A 9,059 vote margin of victory.

I'm banking.
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#360 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/20/2013 7:14:28 AM | message detail
If Locke loses against CATS, then old Square is truly dead.
#361 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/20/2013 7:22:06 AM | message detail
If you seriously use that website at face value, I feel sorry for you.
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#362 | redrocket | Posted 7/20/2013 7:29:45 AM | message detail
Are all the Skullgirls characters this freaky looking? I'm just wondering how it is that out of an all female cast we got...this... as the Skullgirls rep.
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#363 | Luis_Sera89 | Posted 7/20/2013 7:33:12 AM | message detail
It's a case where the community collectively got behind the most popular character, when perhaps backing a more photogenic character would've ultimately gotten more votes.
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#364 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/20/2013 7:35:04 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#365 | StarStormScream | Posted 7/20/2013 8:30:23 AM | message detail
redrocket posted...
Are all the Skullgirls characters this freaky looking? I'm just wondering how it is that out of an all female cast we got...this... as the Skullgirls rep.


http://skullgirls.com/characters/filia/ (Just click the emblems)
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Now Awaiting:
Tales of Xillia, Squigly patch for Skullgirls
#366 | JustForFun1988 | Posted 7/20/2013 8:31:52 AM | message detail
MarioSuperstar posted...
Big Boss ain't getting 70% plus if Link barely could. He wouldn't have even got 70% in Link's favorable pack, and that's kinda why I went max in the spreads there.


Real smart
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#367 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 7/20/2013 8:33:10 AM | message detail
I don't know anything about Skullgirls but I might vote for painwheel over Viridian

It's just so ridiculous
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#368 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/20/2013 8:34:55 AM | message detail
Luigi vs. Big Boss

Get hype!
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Pts: 22/23 Today's Picks: Big Boss & Ness
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#369 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/20/2013 8:59:43 AM | message detail
Play Earthbound
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POKEFEAR
#370 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/20/2013 9:00:17 AM | message detail
CATS
66.67%
6 Votes
Your Pick

Ness
33.33%
3 Votes

Locke Cole
0%
0 Votes
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#371 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:00:17 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted


CATS
66.67%
4 Votes

Ness
33.33%
2 Votes
Your Pick

Locke Cole
0%
0 Votes
Total Votes: 6
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POKEFEAR
#372 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/20/2013 9:00:32 AM | message detail
rip old square
#373 | Crimson Dragoon | Posted 7/20/2013 9:00:36 AM | message detail
72.73% for CATS when I voted.

Good job guys
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#374 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/20/2013 9:00:44 AM | message detail
if Locke drops this to effing CATS
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#375 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:00:57 AM | message detail
lol Locke
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#376 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:01:04 AM | message detail
Locke why do you suck so much. FFVI is a legit strong game too.
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#377 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/20/2013 9:01:09 AM | message detail
Chill guys, it's just the greaet CATS board vote.
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#378 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/20/2013 9:01:21 AM | message detail
And Locke got ahead.
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#379 | Kibago | Posted 7/20/2013 9:02:16 AM | message detail
Luis_Sera89 posted...
It's a case where the community collectively got behind the most popular character, when perhaps backing a more photogenic character would've ultimately gotten more votes.


yeah I think Parasoul would be good next time. consistently popular among the community while carrying mainstream attractiveness.
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#380 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:02:24 AM | message detail
55th vote for CATS!I hoped he would win to tell the truth.
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#381 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/20/2013 9:02:56 AM | message detail
CATS was able to lead Locke for about 1 minute.
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#382 | kirbyparufo | Posted 7/20/2013 9:03:01 AM | message detail
This is over already. D:
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#383 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:03:20 AM | message detail
Huh Locke's making a go at stalling Ness out. Guess he has an awful board vote against Ness and CATS.
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#384 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/20/2013 9:04:36 AM | message detail
#385 | Denzokuken | Posted 7/20/2013 9:05:08 AM | message detail | (edited)
It's good of CATS to let these guys win. All he needed this year was a few seconds of glory at the start of the poll, and that's enough for him. So magnanimous.
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#386 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:05:48 AM | message detail
Ness doubled Locke in the first minute but is going even now. This should be close.
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#387 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/20/2013 9:06:05 AM | message detail
For great justice
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#388 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/20/2013 9:06:07 AM | message detail
Ness gained a total of 7 votes in the final 3 minutes... Knowing how terrible FF boards vote is and how great Smashs is... oh man this might be good
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#389 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:06:07 AM | message detail
That last bit was scary. Maybe Ness isn't safe yet?
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#390 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 7/20/2013 9:06:09 AM | message detail
Locke winning would destroy my bracket since I have Big Boss beating Luigi, but it would be totally worth it
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
#391 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:06:14 AM | message detail
Big Boss match had the 3rd highest prediction so far!Amazing!
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#392 | redrocket | Posted 7/20/2013 9:07:54 AM | message detail
Did people literally forget about the CATS board vote?
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It's like paying for bubble wrap. -transience on Final Fantasy: All the Bravest
#393 | abdou | Posted 7/20/2013 9:07:57 AM | message detail
Locke is trying, but I think Ness will win , old square in a day match just not strong
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...
#394 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/20/2013 9:10:15 AM | message detail
#395 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/20/2013 9:10:24 AM | message detail
HEADSHOT! This is probably over unless Locke can start making some movement soon.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#396 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:10:30 AM | message detail
Oh Ness was just trolling us. Nothing to see here.
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We are living our lives
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#397 | Articuno2001 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:10:50 AM | message detail
match is over
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Character Battle IX: 21/23 points, Next matches: Ness, Elizabeth
http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif
#398 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 7/20/2013 9:10:50 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
22------75----------100.00
21------341--------99.71
20------719--------99.17
19------1235------98.62
18------1795------97.88
17------2268------97.57
16------2256------96.14
15------2081------93.75
14------1574------90.72
13------1056------87.78
12------660--------84.55
11------448--------72.77
10------280--------67.86
9--------188--------61.17
8--------99----------62.63
7--------59----------52.54
6--------45----------53.33
5--------25----------60.00
4--------9------------55.56
3--------7------------28.57
2--------17----------5.88
1--------5------------0.00
0--------12----------0.00

Another easy match (for first place at least) and once again we don't losing any perfects. Exactly one -1 bracket got the match wrong so they were close to perfect as well.

No one fell off the Top 49.
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Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place
Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place
#399 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 7/20/2013 9:12:34 AM | message detail
I just looked at my bracket and saw that I took Lee > Game and Watch

feels bad
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#400 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 7/20/2013 9:13:26 AM | message detail
CrushDavis posted...
Ness gained a total of 7 votes in the final 3 minutes... Knowing how terrible FF boards vote is and how great Smashs is... oh man this might be good


Old Square's board vote? I may be rusty on this but I don't remember old Square having a bad board vote.
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Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place
Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place