GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1069
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Prepare for an epic Big Boss Beatdown!! http://www.desura.com/games/chester http://bbg-games.com/ And now, the usual contest stuff. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- Point Total: 21/21. Guru Status: Alive My Bracket Says: Night: Big Boss Day: Ness |
Oh yea! On the leaderboard! --- Point Total: 21/21. Guru Status: Alive My Bracket Says: Night: Big Boss Day: Ness |
*salutes* --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Trying to be active again in the discussion topic. Lets see how long it lasts. I think given the fodder in these contests, the first round results are going to end up, in hindsight, looking really screwy. I am expecting much tighter matches once matches get multiple characters that mainstream gamers truly like. I expect Sonic/Vincent/Bowser to be as epic as we are hoping it will be. And I expect Link to really struggle with Cloud/Snake in the finals, given the likely Mario leech. Most of all, I expect an awesome remaining July into August into September. Contest!!! --- 128 character battle royale? My head hurts. RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05 |
Oh, you have Phoenix winning round 2? Heh, that's going to be awkward. --- Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone. http://i.imgur.com/hDIb02X.jpg |
I
can still see someone saying Mewtwo may win over Vincent (Which of
course is not going to happen). But Phoenix? He isn't breaking 25 in
that match, according to ME. --- Pokemon Showdown Peak Ranking OU: 2004 And then lost 7 matches in a row >_> |
Kinda
late, but now that I've seen PS1 nostalgia is decent, and TWD isn't, do
you guys think there's any chance of Wheatley > Crash, or even
worse, Lee > G&W? I feel kind of stupid now for those picks. --- A word to the wise ain't necessary - it's the stupid ones that need the advice - Bill Cosby |
Silly statslaves not yet convinced of the utter obviousness of Mewtwo's win over Vincent you'd think he'd beaten a Noble Niner in the past or something --- sig |
I'm still concerned about Sly. I just don' think Lugia is gonna be all that strong. --- http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif |
spooky96 posted... I can still see someone saying Mewtwo may win over Vincent (Which of course is not going to happen). But Phoenix? He isn't breaking 25 in that match, according to ME. Phoenix is not breaking 20 in R2 --- https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BMcwhStCYAAr-mC.jpg Dallas Cowboys and Mavs |
lightsout06 posted... spooky96 posted...I can still see someone saying Mewtwo may win over Vincent (Which of course is not going to happen). But Phoenix? He isn't breaking 25 in that match, according to ME. He really is. --- Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone. http://i.imgur.com/hDIb02X.jpg |
Lugia
doesn't have to be strong to beat Sly. He just has to be well known
enough to voters not to go, "Well, Sly's the only guy here I really
know, so I guess I'll vote for him." And he is. --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonhjpguz.jpg |
Vincent isn't going to win by more than 10% if he does. --- Wii Fit Trainer MASTER RACE |
So Big Boss > Viridian > Peacock, right? --- If you believe in Jesus Christ and are 100% proud, put this in your sig. Steam ID: hookd_on_foniks | I play lots of TF2 when I have nothing to do... |
Match XXIII: (5) Big Boss vs. (14) Peacock vs. (23) Captain Viridian Previous Contest Big Boss – 2010 76.22% against Miles Edgeworth 36.84% against Mario Peacock – N/A N/A Captain Viridian – N/A N/A Analysis There has been some hype that Big Boss could get the biggest blowout of the contest. Even though he is stronger than Mewtwo and his opponents are likely to be quite weak they are not Chester weak. Mewtwo’s match was essentially a 1v1 with Chester taking less than a 1000 votes and Zero will be one of the weakest characters in the entire bracket as well. For Big Boss to break Mewtwo’s record he would have to average about 90% on the two characters, something that is difficult to do. Speaking of difficult I honestly have no idea who takes second. Skullgirls is a fighting game and we all know how well those perform, but in a match like this she does not need much to win. She is a fan favourite in her game and she has a pretty cool design which is better than pixelated stuff, unless you are into that. VVVVVV seems to have a cult following, but like most of those types of games it rarely translate into strength. Viridian does bring back the joys of retro gaming which I see being an important factor on this site, but I just do not see him being well known enough to win. Big Boss may not be able to break 80% against these two characters, but breaking 75% is definitely possible. I have decided to go with Peacock because of her design and that the game is relatively newer, but this is essentially a shot in the dark and I would not be surprised should Viridian take second. charmander6000’s Bracket: Big Boss > Peacock and Captain Viridian charmander6000’s Prediction: Big Boss – 74.27%, Peacock – 13.56%, Captain Viridian – 12.17% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 18/20 Today's Picks: Clementine and Luigi |
Man, I'm so torn between Captain Viridian and Peacock. --- If you believe in Jesus Christ and are 100% proud, put this in your sig. Steam ID: hookd_on_foniks | I play lots of TF2 when I have nothing to do... |
Viridian > Peacock --- Character Battle IX: 19/21 points, Next matches: Luigi, Big Boss http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif |
I feel that Skullgirls is more known than VVVVVV, the only thing Viridian benefits from is his pic. --- "In fact, I should just play good games from now on... Man, F*** THAT, let's play some s***ty ones!" - Angry Video Game Nerd |
I don't know if being "more known" matters when they're fighting over 20-30% of the vote. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png |
Wrighto
is going to crush round 2 with %60+, I made sure of it. So for anyone
that are oh so eager to see me in a state of sadness just because you
hate that I am enjoying what I like to enjoy you are going to be greatly
disappointed |
Oh hey, Balthier finally hit 23% after being stuck in the 22.9% range for the last 3 and a half hours. Good job, leading man! --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
DSknightWrighto posted... Wrighto is going to crush round 2 with %60+, I made sure of it. So for anyone that are oh so eager to see me in a state of sadness just because you hate that I am enjoying what I like to enjoy you are going to be greatly disappointed I'm pretty sure B8 would die in celebration if Phoenix managed to get 2nd, let alone dominate. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
DSknightWrighto posted... Wrighto is going to crush round 2 with %60+, I made sure of it. So for anyone that are oh so eager to see me in a state of sadness just because you hate that I am enjoying what I like to enjoy you are going to be greatly disappointed I have fixed it so that doesn't happen because I want to see you in a state of sadness and hate seeing you enjoy what you enjoy. Your move son. |
Okay, making a last minute change to Peacock > Viridian. Please pay off *crosses fingers* --- If you believe in Jesus Christ and are 100% proud, put this in your sig. Steam ID: hookd_on_foniks | I play lots of TF2 when I have nothing to do... |
But I do really want to change back. My gut is telling me Viridian > Peacock, and I'm perfect when I listen to my gut. --- If you believe in Jesus Christ and are 100% proud, put this in your sig. Steam ID: hookd_on_foniks | I play lots of TF2 when I have nothing to do... |
The battle cry of the next 12 hours: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MdfTC5BgxIQ WHOAAAA HOOOOOOOOOO WORDS THAT KILL --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg |
WOULD YOU SPEAK THEM TO ME --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Big Boss 66.67% 4 Votes Peacock 0% 0 Votes Captain Viridian 33.33% 2 Votes Total Votes: 6 WHOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAAAA HOOOOOOOOOOOOOO --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg |
15/7/7 --- XIII_rocks, the cream of XIII fanboyism. |
Big Boss 57.48% 73 Votes Peacock 21.26% 27 Votes Your Pick Captain Viridian 21.26% 27 Votes |
Fodder fight! Fodder fight! --- Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave. |
Why did I just vote for Big Boss? Crap. I was supposed to vote for Peacock for my Expert challenge. --- Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords. With what? ROT-13? -CJayC |
And here is Big Boss, failing to double Peacock. LOL CBIX |
Peacock looking good with the board vote. |
Well, Peacock's got 2nd. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
what the hell Big Boss --- Character Battle IX: 20/22 points, Next matches: Big Boss, Ness http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif |
woo boss woo skullgirls --- Moltar Status: Crew Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
I wonder how much of this is expert battle bracket voting. --- FC: 1676-5130-7708 |
Going as expected. --- Pts: 21/22 Today's Picks: Big Boss & Ness IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard |
Big Boss trying to take off now Looks like Peacock's got 2nd wrapped up, too --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
Maybe we can get the Skullgirls voice actors to record personalized messages for people in exchange for Peacock votes. --- Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords. With what? ROT-13? -CJayC |
Looking like another 0 day for me in my adventures in Expert Challenge. =( --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
Huh... Expert Bracket voting? Guess I can't really criticize it. I've done worse. Punished --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/NQTthNf.jpg |
And people were debating between Viridian and Peacock. Lel. --- "A game with amazing story and mediocre gameplay usually beats a game with amazing gameplay and mediocre story." - Vlado, Gaming Expert |
this is sad for Captain V but at least i switched my expert at the last minute for +6 rather than +3 --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
TheArkOfTurus posted... I wonder how much of this is expert battle bracket voting. ALL MY ACCOUNTS --- If you believe in Jesus Christ and are 100% proud, put this in your sig. Steam ID: hookd_on_foniks | I play lots of TF2 when I have nothing to do... |
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