Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1068

#51 | vcharon | Posted 7/18/2013 9:03:45 PM | message detail
What exactly was it that gave people some sort of faith in TWD?
---
Still smilin'
:>
#52 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/18/2013 9:03:49 PM | message detail
Clementine pulling away now. Unless Reyn makes a killing overnight (which I guess he could) I'd be surprised to see this change.
#53 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/18/2013 9:04:20 PM | message detail
Kotetsu534 posted...
Spyro's results pic is as if he's angrily staring at people who ever doubted him. Sorry Spyro.


So true. Man the hindsight on this one is... f*** 20/20, it's laser vision.
---
http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif
#54 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/18/2013 9:04:21 PM | message detail
vcharon posted...
What exactly was it that gave people some sort of faith in TWD?


I thought Spyro was just so weak that someone from a popular game could beat him.
---
http://i.imgur.com/lnKB0m9.jpg http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/1184880/davis-again.gif http://farm9.staticflickr.com/8118/8656607511_94178dbf2e_o.gif
#55 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:04:47 PM | message detail
f***
---
For your SuperNiceDog.
At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza
#56 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/18/2013 9:04:59 PM | message detail
I know it really has nothing to do with this match, but at least this is making me feel good about Crash over Wheatley.
---
Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#57 | Xuxon | Posted 7/18/2013 9:05:53 PM | message detail
at least my Spyro > No pick > No Pick worked out, and no oracle penalty... but i'm gonna be way off on percentages

how many Chesters does this make Reyn worth? like 5? man...
---
http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif
#58 | Nintendoboy375 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:06:01 PM | message detail
#ForSpyro

Crash is going to kill it in his match.
---
http://i.imgur.com/6OHUIst.jpg
#59 | xp1337 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:06:37 PM | message detail
After totally blowing the last few semi-debatable matches somehow, it feels so good to be right again.

I'm sure I'll be back to making comically stupid mistakes soon though!
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#60 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/18/2013 9:06:51 PM | message detail
True, this looks good for Crash and horrible for Lee Everett, both of which help my bracket.
---
Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg
#61 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 7/18/2013 9:06:57 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
19------215--------77.21
18------611--------64.81
17------1182------53.81
16------1820------46.37
15------2404------45.55
14------2517------44.50
13------2214------42.46
12------1585------41.26
11------1076------44.42
10------660--------37.42
9--------405--------29.88
8--------241--------35.27
7--------133--------37.59
6--------77----------28.57
5--------43----------34.88
4--------17----------35.29
3--------15----------66.67
2--------22----------0.00
1--------3------------0.00
0--------14----------14.29

Pretty easy match for those at the very top but prediction percentage falls sharply from there. While the perfects are in the mid-70s, the -3s are in the mid-40s. We lose some 0 brackets as well.

5 people fell off the Top 49. Aprosenf, Ayvuir2, backinblack167, ChubToad_ and dark0950 did not have Morrigan winning the match.
---
Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place
Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place
#62 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/18/2013 9:07:34 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#63 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/18/2013 9:07:36 PM | message detail
I actually picked Crash in my bracket, but I did not believe in Spyro because he's so much weaker than Crash.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#64 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/18/2013 9:07:36 PM | message detail
Being a well known character helps even if nobody actually likes you. Jak would have easily won his match before the massive rallies too.
---
http://i.imgur.com/lnKB0m9.jpg http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/1184880/davis-again.gif http://farm9.staticflickr.com/8118/8656607511_94178dbf2e_o.gif
#65 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/18/2013 9:07:38 PM | message detail
Heh, glad I banked right. You guys need confidence, yo. Go big or go home.
---
"i am pretty sure 3-year old children would generate more thoughtful discussion than board 8 on any topic of sexism" - Naye745
#66 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/18/2013 9:08:12 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#67 | Xuxon | Posted 7/18/2013 9:09:18 PM | message detail
From: ChenKenichiFan | Posted: 7/19/2013 12:06:51 AM | #060
True, this looks good for Crash and horrible for Lee Everett, both of which help my bracket.

the only way this could be good for my bracket is if it allows Drake to somehow make round 3, since i have Pikachu winning the division. but i highly doubt that, unfortunately.
---
http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif
#68 | Lopen | Posted 7/18/2013 9:09:41 PM | message detail
CrushDavis posted...
vcharon posted...
What exactly was it that gave people some sort of faith in TWD?


I thought Spyro was just so weak that someone from a popular game could beat him.


Where was the popular game in the poll I must have missed it??????
---
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#69 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/18/2013 9:11:02 PM | message detail | (edited)
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Kotetsu534 posted...
Spyro's results pic is as if he's angrily staring at people who ever doubted him. Sorry Spyro.


So true. Man the hindsight on this one is... f*** 20/20, it's laser vision.


That's pretty much what I think too. In hindsight it seems so logical given the opposition. But pre-match Spyro just looked so damn terrible from previous performances that it didn't look like it would take all that much to beat him so it was conceivable for practically any newcomer to be that strong.

I mean he was what? 15% ish in the xstats? Hard to take anyone that weak with any sort of confidence regardless of opposition!
---
Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#70 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/18/2013 9:10:45 PM | message detail
Xenoblade characters are trying to make Tales characters look good.

This is horrendous by Reyn.
---
Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#71 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/18/2013 9:11:25 PM | message detail
I think we have similar brackets then (at least in that division), as I also have Pikachu > Sora because of Drake being the third entrant. I think he can make it if his two second round opponents are Mr. GW (huge favorite now) and Pokemon Trainer Blue. Those guys will split the Nintendo vote heavily.

In other, far worse news... Reyn has ended.

It never even began. =(

Oh well, at least Altair > Ratchet > Shulk is locked in now.
---
http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif
#72 | ZFS | Posted 7/18/2013 9:11:46 PM | message detail
Ha, man, Xenoblade characters are bad.
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#73 | swordz9 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:11:52 PM | message detail
lol Reyn. Shulk is totally getting last place against Altair and Ratchet.
---
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
#74 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/18/2013 9:12:23 PM | message detail
I never thought that Reyn would be weaker than Dunban.

Dunban got 16.54% against Vincent while Reyn has 22.66% against Spyro. You can tell which performance is weaker.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#75 | Xuxon | Posted 7/18/2013 9:13:20 PM | message detail
i don't have Drake in the match, i just have Pikachu winning. i'd gladly sac the points for Fox to get a Pikachu division win and Cloud to the finals, though. of course i have Magikarp winning the contest so i probably have a pretty big margin for error in the early rounds.
---
http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif
#76 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/18/2013 9:13:40 PM | message detail
Holy crap, I just noticed the Guru was split between Spyro and Clementine! Looks like my policy of "If I've never heard of this character they're probably not gonna win" pays off yet again.
---
Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#77 | WhiteLens | Posted 7/18/2013 9:13:41 PM | message detail
Dammit this is just like with Draven, had him and Spyro on there for awhile and then stupidly changed it.

Still think Weatly can take it, Portal 2 seems to be well played. Though I never saw how G&W doesn't take it. Always bank on Smash when up against unknowns.
---
"In fact, I should just play good games from now on...
Man, F*** THAT, let's play some s***ty ones!" - Angry Video Game Nerd
#78 | vcharon | Posted 7/18/2013 9:13:48 PM | message detail
Yeah no... Jak's performance should have been a clue. You would assume League of Legends should be the more popular game on this website, even prior to the rallies, and Draven was going to get doubled.
---
Still smilin'
:>
#79 | Sorozone | Posted 7/18/2013 9:13:57 PM | message detail
Yeah, I was wrong on REYN TIME.

Xenoblade characters are just garbage it seems. Live and learn!
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#80 | LOLContests | Posted 7/18/2013 9:15:08 PM | message detail | (edited)
This contest truly is the Revenge of 2002.

Would be kind of cool if Spyro completes the circle and upsets Morrigan for 2nd place next round.
---
"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.
#81 | jacko_vdz | Posted 7/18/2013 9:14:59 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
I never thought that Reyn would be weaker than Dunban.

Dunban got 16.54% against Vincent while Reyn has 22.66% against Spyro. You can tell which performance is weaker.


Having played Xenoblade I can completely see why Dunban would be more popular.

Reyn just seemed to be more liked on B8.
#82 | ffmasterjose | Posted 7/18/2013 9:15:18 PM | message detail
Go Spyro! Finally, I went for an upset pick that turned out to be right.

Its actually glad to see him winning a match. With good artwork to boot.
---
The Great GameFAQs Character Battle IX contest - 17/19 pts | Expert Challenge: 55/114
NP: Agent 47 > Morrigan Aensland > Miles E
#83 | Lopen | Posted 7/18/2013 9:15:52 PM | message detail
Spyro's Pac-Maning this match. I bet he gets crushed by as much or more than you'd expect next round.
---
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#84 | JJH777 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:16:18 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
I never thought that Reyn would be weaker than Dunban.

Dunban got 16.54% against Vincent while Reyn has 22.66% against Spyro. You can tell which performance is weaker.


Have you played Xenoblade? If Dunban isn't the strongest character I would be shocked. I guess there is a small possibility that Shulk might be stronger simply because he is the main character but I personally doubt it.
---
If you believe that Abed is the true Messiah and you are 100% proud of it make this your signature.
#85 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/18/2013 9:16:35 PM | message detail
God damn Reyn, doubled by the kid. This doesn't even feel like a victory anymore. =(
---
http://i.imgur.com/a4GuDV3.gif
#86 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/18/2013 9:16:35 PM | message detail
I never played Xenoblade.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#87 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 7/18/2013 9:16:45 PM | message detail
**** I put Celementine on my bracket

Goddamnit
---
Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#88 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:17:29 PM | message detail
Well, damn, I took Altair > Shulk > Ratchet without a second thought, but… I might have to change that.

Damn.

Damn.
---
Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave.
#89 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/18/2013 9:17:40 PM | message detail
Reyn at least has the meme.

He's likely the only one people who haven't played Xenoblade might have heard of.
---
Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#90 | ahirsch101 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:17:51 PM | message detail
JJH777 posted...
-LusterSoldier- posted...
I never thought that Reyn would be weaker than Dunban.

Dunban got 16.54% against Vincent while Reyn has 22.66% against Spyro. You can tell which performance is weaker.


Have you played Xenoblade? If Dunban isn't the strongest character I would be shocked. I guess there is a small possibility that Shulk might be stronger simply because he is the main character but I personally doubt it.


I've played Xenoblade all the way through, and I vastly preferred Reyn to Dunban personally.
#91 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/18/2013 9:17:52 PM | message detail
So this is good news for Draven, right? Because it shows that the Jak he beat wasn't entirely fodderific. Meaning he would need less of a rally than expected to beat Mega Man X. Granted, it will still need to be a massive one. But now he needs a massive rally as normal fodder and not crazy uber-fodder.
#92 | vcharon | Posted 7/18/2013 9:18:43 PM | message detail | (edited)
Xenoblade is ass unfortunately. Looks like people would be better off nominating Citan Uzuki
---
Still smilin'
:>
#93 | xp1337 | Posted 7/18/2013 9:19:07 PM | message detail
Yeah, I never had any doubt in my mind that Dunban would be stronger than Reyn. Shulk is probably still the strongest based entirely on being the main character but Dunban would be the easy #2 pick for me.
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#94 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/18/2013 9:19:51 PM | message detail
Shoenin_Kakashi posted...
**** I put Celementine on my bracket

Goddamnit


DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Well, damn, I took Altair > Shulk > Ratchet without a second thought, but… I might have to change that.

Damn.

Damn.


Stop complaining. I have Eggman and Pac-Man getting to round 3.
#95 | Lopen | Posted 7/18/2013 9:19:57 PM | message detail
Nah Spyro's still fodder

He'll get < 15% next round count on it
---
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#96 | KommunistKoala | Posted 7/18/2013 9:20:03 PM | message detail
Man I can't believe I picked Clementine in my bracket (not my expert though)

One of the few matches I looked to the board for help and got swayed to darkness!
---
http://img.imgcake.com/KommunistKoala/koalajpgehsa.jpg
http://img.imgcake.com/KKpngat.png
#97 | Kibago | Posted 7/18/2013 9:20:57 PM | message detail
good chance for casuals > gurus on this one? take the X-stats away from this match and it seems so duh
---
Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham
We'll get 'em next year.
#98 | jacko_vdz | Posted 7/18/2013 9:21:00 PM | message detail
This is one of those instances where I think going off gut rather than stats paid off for a lot of people. My first instinct was that Spyro takes this on recognition alone, but then looking at past contests he just looked so damn weak, it was hard to conceive that he'd actually win a match.
#99 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/18/2013 9:21:10 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
So this is good news for Draven, right? Because it shows that the Jak he beat wasn't entirely fodderific. Meaning he would need less of a rally than expected to beat Mega Man X. Granted, it will still need to be a massive one. But now he needs a massive rally as normal fodder and not crazy uber-fodder.


No, it just means no one cares about TWD and Xenoblade.
#100 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/18/2013 9:21:45 PM | message detail
Morrigan's competition craps all over what Spyro's up against here. Edgeworth would probably be blowing out this poll.

Spyro is still getting annihilated next round.
---
Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom