Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1067

#151 | Xuxon | Posted 7/17/2013 9:21:40 PM | message detail
From: Dilated Chemist | Posted: 7/18/2013 12:18:14 AM | #145
I think for tomorrow's night match I'm going for Reyn > Clementine > Reyn for my Expert Challenge pick.

I have Reyn winning in my bracket, but if he loses it'll be to Spyro. I'll take a 0 than a -6. Well, I could still get -4. That would suck. So, let's go Clementine get 2nd place!

if Spyro beats Clem, you can't gain any points with that pick, but you can lose 6
---
http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif
#152 | abdou | Posted 7/17/2013 9:23:39 PM | message detail
damn this is terrible from sephiroth and I was not even expecting him to impress but this is just pathetic
---
...
#153 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/17/2013 9:24:33 PM | message detail
Relax Sephiroth has all night, he'll be in the high 50s when this is over.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 16/18 Today's Picks: Sephiroth and Morrigan
#154 | dethfdddddh | Posted 7/17/2013 9:24:46 PM | message detail
big boss>seph yes please
---
Fast Falcon ate my bracket for dinner in the guru contest.
#155 | paulg235 | Posted 7/17/2013 9:25:06 PM | message detail
Was I the only one expecting Sephuroff to only have half the vote after 20 minutes?
---
The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#156 | Lopen | Posted 7/17/2013 9:26:44 PM | message detail
Given it's a night match I still think 60% is on the table for Seph. If he finishes the hour with 53% I could see it.
---
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#157 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/17/2013 9:26:56 PM | message detail
Sephiroth will finish with 55% at bare minimum. I'd wager probably 58%~ or so.
---
http://img.imgcake.com/tumblrmb8ky9zpsk1qd3518o8250gifyd.gif
http://img.imgcake.com/tumblrmb8ky9zpsk1qd3518o6250gifuv.gif
#158 | Sorozone | Posted 7/17/2013 9:27:02 PM | message detail
I expected him to perform badly.

Anti-vote king, FFVII decline.

That being said, he'll recover and be fine, small chance getting 60. I would be surprised if he fails to get over 57. That might concern me.
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#159 | Xuxon | Posted 7/17/2013 9:27:15 PM | message detail
based on Marth trends, he'll finish around 55. that's pretty bad.
---
http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif
#160 | Lopen | Posted 7/17/2013 9:28:24 PM | message detail
Wow he actually went down with that last update. He may not reach 53% before the hour is over.
---
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#161 | creativename | Posted 7/17/2013 9:29:05 PM | message detail
He'll probably finish around expected on Midna...most of Seph's %age seems to be taken away by Lil Mac not being turbofodder like we all expected.
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
#162 | abdou | Posted 7/17/2013 9:29:09 PM | message detail
High 50s would be "not impressing" , he should be breaking 60 easily

and are we sure he will rise 7-8 percentages?
---
...
#163 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/17/2013 9:29:38 PM | message detail
I predicted Sephiroth with 57.77%.

I predicted Bowser with 60.16% (he got 60.55%). I know villains I guess.
---
Pts: 18/18 Today's Picks: Sephiroth & Morrigan
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#164 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/17/2013 9:30:46 PM | message detail
High 50s was about what I expected with FFVII anti-voting and all.
---
http://media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lo22vfguji1qzxr43.gif
#165 | paulg235 | Posted 7/17/2013 9:32:25 PM | message detail
When I was looking at Mac's contest history yesterday, it never seemed like he was total fodder. Hell, he did better on Link than Ganondorf managed, and his % against Ammy was respectable.
---
The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#166 | DSRKVRTheDealer | Posted 7/17/2013 9:34:17 PM | message detail
So everyone's given up on Edgeworth, eh?
#167 | Sorozone | Posted 7/17/2013 9:35:58 PM | message detail
For what? First?

He was never going to get first. Second place is plausible, but I dunno, I doubt it.
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#168 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/17/2013 9:36:18 PM | message detail
So everyone's given up on Edgeworth, eh?

Winning or coming in second?
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 16/18 Today's Picks: Sephiroth and Morrigan
#169 | paulg235 | Posted 7/17/2013 9:37:06 PM | message detail
Not entirely. It mainly depends on Morrigan declining in popularity here since 2002 and Edgy tapping into some of that Phoenix strength.
---
The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#170 | DSRKVRTheDealer | Posted 7/17/2013 9:37:37 PM | message detail
I guess this answers my question. Hah.
#171 | Xuxon | Posted 7/17/2013 9:37:45 PM | message detail
Phoenix impressed me enough to pick Edgey for second. had a no pick for second and third before.
---
http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif
#172 | ZFS | Posted 7/17/2013 9:38:00 PM | message detail
Awesome to see Little Mac above 20% here.
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#173 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/17/2013 9:38:36 PM | message detail
Ummm... that was a cut, right?
#174 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/17/2013 9:38:51 PM | message detail
Little Mac got a cut there
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 16/18 Today's Picks: Sephiroth and Morrigan
#175 | paulg235 | Posted 7/17/2013 9:38:52 PM | message detail
Mac just got a 4 vote cut on Midna.

Comeback activated!
---
The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#176 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/17/2013 9:38:54 PM | message detail
Yeah, Little Mac had a cut.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#177 | KommunistKoala | Posted 7/17/2013 9:40:10 PM | message detail
#178 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/17/2013 9:40:37 PM | message detail
Big Boss > Sephiroth.

He's just way better. The true legendary SOLDIER. Don't ever forget.
---
Pts: 18/18 Today's Picks: Sephiroth & Morrigan
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#179 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/17/2013 9:40:43 PM | message detail
The era of FFVII is getting to the end, gentlemen.
#180 | ZFS | Posted 7/17/2013 9:41:40 PM | message detail
Little Mac too good.

I don't know that I'd read too much into these round 1 matches, but you can kinda notice a trend here with FFVII. It'll probably be more evident later on, though.
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#181 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/17/2013 9:41:45 PM | message detail
So here's the question: Sephiroth vs Mario, 1v1. Who do you take now?
#182 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/17/2013 9:42:15 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
So here's the question: Sephiroth vs Mario, 1v1. Who do you take now?


Mario
---
Pts: 18/18 Today's Picks: Sephiroth & Morrigan
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#183 | paulg235 | Posted 7/17/2013 9:42:16 PM | message detail
Mario easily, 55-45.
---
The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream.
#184 | Sorozone | Posted 7/17/2013 9:42:34 PM | message detail
Mario.

He might possibly be the 2nd strongest character now.
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#185 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 7/17/2013 9:43:32 PM | message detail
paulg235 posted...
When I was looking at Mac's contest history yesterday, it never seemed like he was total fodder. Hell, he did better on Link than Ganondorf managed, and his % against Ammy was respectable.


It seemed bad at the time, but we didn't know that Ammy was actually good.
---
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
The artist formerly known as greatone10.
#186 | ZFS | Posted 7/17/2013 9:43:38 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
So here's the question: Sephiroth vs Mario, 1v1. Who do you take now?


Would have said Mario before this match, and the contest. Still say Mario.
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#187 | Rad_Dudesman | Posted 7/17/2013 9:43:43 PM | message detail
lol Sephiroth

TheOneAboveAll posted...
So here's the question: Sephiroth vs Mario, 1v1. Who do you take now?


Mario, obviously.
---
The official rad dude of the Pokemon X board.
#188 | ZinsanityCraze | Posted 7/17/2013 9:45:39 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
So here's the question: Sephiroth vs Mario, 1v1. Who do you take now?


Mario in a 55-45 match easily.
---
Zinsanity of the Helix Board
#189 | ZFS | Posted 7/17/2013 9:46:01 PM | message detail
Sorozone posted...
Mario.

He might possibly be the 2nd strongest character now.


I think there's a possibility of that being true, but Nintendo being so down in popularity makes me a little hesitant. Whatever drop FFVII might suffer, I don't know that Nintendo is necessarily immune.
---
tune in tokyo 142.94
#190 | foxhead84 | Posted 7/17/2013 9:46:55 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
So here's the question: Sephiroth vs Mario, 1v1. Who do you take now?


I'll take Mario > Cloud.... so yeah Mario definitely
---
Congratulation to SuperNiceDog. Guru Champ and Rivalry Rumble Master
#191 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/17/2013 9:48:00 PM | message detail
FF7 drops, Nintendo drops.

Snake rises.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#192 | creativename | Posted 7/17/2013 9:49:04 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
So here's the question: Sephiroth vs Mario, 1v1. Who do you take now?

Everyone takes Mario there.

Mario vs. Cloud is debatable. I think Mario takes that via his "clutch" (i.e. stuffing) abilities, though Cloud is probably slightly stronger indirectly.
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
#193 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/17/2013 9:49:23 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
FF7 drops, Nintendo drops.

Snake rises.


In a perfect world.
---
Pts: 18/18 Today's Picks: Sephiroth & Morrigan
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#194 | hellfire104 | Posted 7/17/2013 9:49:55 PM | message detail
So the question is, is this an underperformance for Sephiroth? I figure he finishes 55-56%.

Midna and Mac are probably the toughest competition against a #1 seed.
---
Point Total: 18/18. Guru Status: Alive
My Bracket Says: Night: Sephy Day: Morrigan
#195 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/17/2013 9:51:21 PM | message detail
Saw alot of people going low 60% for their Oracle pick.
---
Pts: 18/18 Today's Picks: Sephiroth & Morrigan
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#196 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/17/2013 9:52:24 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
TheOneAboveAll posted...
So here's the question: Sephiroth vs Mario, 1v1. Who do you take now?

Everyone takes Mario there.

Mario vs. Cloud is debatable. I think Mario takes that via his "clutch" (i.e. stuffing) abilities, though Cloud is probably slightly stronger indirectly.


Meh. We've seen Mario be better than Sephiroth indirectly since 2002. Mario still gets his tail kicked whenever they've met head-to-head. So why do we all think that's different now?

Mario is probably the second-strongest character indirectly here. But he still gets SFFed into the ground by Link. We haven't seen him against Cloud or Sephiroth in far, far too long. Why is everyone so sure that Mario wins that match now?
#197 | vcharon | Posted 7/17/2013 9:53:22 PM | message detail
Because Sephiroth never used to perform like this.
---
Still smilin'
:>
#198 | Xuxon | Posted 7/17/2013 9:55:23 PM | message detail
From: TheOneAboveAll | Posted: 7/18/2013 12:52:24 AM | #196
Mario is probably the second-strongest character indirectly here. But he still gets SFFed into the ground by Link. We haven't seen him against Cloud or Sephiroth in far, far too long. Why is everyone so sure that Mario wins that match now?

because it's the second straight match of FF7 significantly underperforming, even compared to 2010, and Mario/Seph was barely even debatable then.
---
http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif
#199 | Rad_Dudesman | Posted 7/17/2013 9:55:42 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...


Mario is probably the second-strongest character indirectly here. But he still gets SFFed into the ground by Link. We haven't seen him against Cloud or Sephiroth in far, far too long. Why is everyone so sure that Mario wins that match now?


Cloud and Seph have been weakening for a while now
---
The official rad dude of the Pokemon X board.
#200 | ZFS | Posted 7/17/2013 9:58:40 PM | message detail
Mario's had good blowouts before, and he usually can go higher than others can sometimes because of the overlap he shares with some classic characters, but I don't know that Mario has looked like the more popular character for years. In the past couple of contests, maybe, but most of the time Sephiroth has always looked clearly better.
---
tune in tokyo 142.94