Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1066

#1 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 7/16/2013 6:45:04 AM | message detail
Who is this guy who just broke Tanner's record for poorest performance in contest history? He's the star of a game of the same name created by a Board 8 member. You should play it. You can pick it up on Desura, and I think it's still on Xbox Live's horrible Indie service. It's pretty damn good, so play it and tell your friends to try it out. It deserves more exposure than a horrible contest performance.

http://www.desura.com/games/chester

http://bbg-games.com/

And now, the usual contest stuff.

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#2 | quicksilvver | Posted 7/16/2013 7:00:04 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]
#3 | HaRRicH | Posted 7/16/2013 8:59:59 AM | message detail
Good match coming up...!
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T H E S T A B L E - bring on Epona!
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
#4 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:00:18 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted


Chrom
55.56%
5 Votes
Your Pick

The Boss
33.33%
3 Votes

Heavy
11.11%
1 Votes
Total Votes: 9
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POKEFEAR
#5 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/16/2013 9:00:36 AM | message detail
Chrom
57.89%
11 Votes

The Boss
31.58%
6 Votes

Heavy
10.53%
2 Votes
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Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/gdl8lcn.jpg
#6 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:00:45 AM | message detail
4th vote for The Boss.
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We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
#7 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/16/2013 9:00:49 AM | message detail
#8 | pjbasis | Posted 7/16/2013 9:00:54 AM | message detail
FE vs. MGS3 board vote is intense
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#9 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:01:18 AM | message detail
34th vote for Chrom.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#10 | abdou | Posted 7/16/2013 9:01:49 AM | message detail
The Boss could lose this..
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...
#11 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/16/2013 9:02:35 AM | message detail
#12 | Nanis23 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:02:39 AM | message detail
Heavy sucks
#13 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/16/2013 9:02:46 AM | message detail
Boss has established wrist control
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#14 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/16/2013 9:02:49 AM | message detail
And the freeze happened at 2 1/2 minutes.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#15 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:02:59 AM | message detail
Chrom got off ahead, then The Boss came back and got out to a small lead, before Chrom evened things out and pulled ahead himself, then they went even before The Boss quickly took a 20 vote lead 100-80.
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We are living our lives
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#16 | pjbasis | Posted 7/16/2013 9:03:03 AM | message detail
I knew Heavy would be bad but holy s***
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#17 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:03:45 AM | message detail
oh well


jeeze Heavy what is going on with you
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For your SuperNiceDog.
At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza
#18 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/16/2013 9:04:20 AM | message detail
Heavy adding more fuel to the 3rd Place Factor theory !
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#19 | HaRRicH | Posted 7/16/2013 9:04:30 AM | message detail
Heavy, what happened? Yeesh, I though going Free To Play would help him...guess hats really did shun a lot of people away.
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T H E S T A B L E - bring on Epona!
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
#20 | --Smurf-- | Posted 7/16/2013 9:04:47 AM | message detail
TF2 was never doing much on this site even at the height of its powers, was wishful to think it'd suddenly start making waves years later.
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Smurf, the cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
#21 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/16/2013 9:04:57 AM | message detail
Is TF2 even a big thing anymore? I just assumed Heavy would finish 3rd place here easily since I haven't heard much talk about TF2 these days compared to the past.
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#22 | IloveYoda | Posted 7/16/2013 9:05:44 AM | message detail
TF2 is a PC game, and characters from those have never done well, even as established as the TF2 characters are.
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I'm not a dog person, but you just can't help but like SuperNiceDog, the Guru Champion.
#23 | Jakyl25 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:05:53 AM | message detail
I think we lost one of the Perfect Expert Brackets on the last match. <_<
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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#24 | xp1337 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:06:58 AM | message detail
Chester Stats

Chester finished at 3.51%

4.12% against Mewtwo
19.21% against Zero

89.06% prediction percentage for the match.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#25 | Nanis23 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:07:15 AM | message detail
Long freeze is long
#26 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:07:21 AM | message detail
Only Chie (and even then, she was 2nd but for a massive outside rally), Rinoa (weird SFF match), and Juliet (complete fodderfest) have managed to come 3rd but retain 20% of the vote so far.
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#27 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:07:30 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66744541

Chester succeeded.
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Hey, its that SuperNiceDog! Congrats to the Guru 2011 winner
#28 | vcharon | Posted 7/16/2013 9:07:52 AM | message detail
Okay it's over.
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Still smilin'
:>
#29 | Xuxon | Posted 7/16/2013 9:09:35 AM | message detail
#30 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:09:40 AM | message detail
TJF does a lot.I mean boobs!
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#31 | Nanis23 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:10:33 AM | message detail
Oh yeah
A member ever since 2003 (and i'm pretty sure I participated in the 2003 character battle,maybe in different user)
And this is my first time ever in some kind of leaderboard!!
Now i'm going to print it,frame it and put it on the wall as the biggest achievement of my life
#32 | --Smurf-- | Posted 7/16/2013 9:11:21 AM | message detail
Kotetsu534 posted...
Only Chie (and even then, she was 2nd but for a massive outside rally), Rinoa (weird SFF match), and Juliet (complete fodderfest) have managed to come 3rd but retain 20% of the vote so far.


Reimu almost did in a match she was expected to get nowhere near that mark in fairness. There were a couple of matches with 2nd place below 20% as well.
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Smurf, the cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
#33 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:11:25 AM | message detail
10 years and you finally did it!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#34 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:14:52 AM | message detail
Okay we lost 1 out of 2 perfect experts from this match?Did that guy expected Chester to come second?Man!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#35 | ZinsanityCraze | Posted 7/16/2013 9:18:12 AM | message detail
Really impressed by The Boss here, scoring 45% against 2 relatively known characters. Well done!
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Zinsanity of the Helix Board
#36 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 7/16/2013 9:18:58 AM | message detail
CrushDavis posted...
Is TF2 even a big thing anymore? I just assumed Heavy would finish 3rd place here easily since I haven't heard much talk about TF2 these days compared to the past.


I guess I was blinded by Team Fortress 2's rapid increase on unikgamer's overall rankings (currently at #31, just overtook Assassin's Creed II and Final Fantasy VI). Then again, Brawl is rising there as well even though there has been some evidence that it has been on a gradual decline.

Otherwise there's no way I can imagine Heavy being fodder.
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#37 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/16/2013 9:19:24 AM | message detail
Is The Boss the weakest character with 3 wins? I don't think she's above high fodder/low midcarder level but she's had good matches.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#38 | tgs2 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:19:39 AM | message detail
Chrom isn't doing too shabby here although I expected Heavy to be much closer...
#39 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/16/2013 9:20:44 AM | message detail
89.06% prediction percentage for Mewtwo. Only Sonic and Link have a higher percentage so far.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#40 | ZFS | Posted 7/16/2013 9:21:00 AM | message detail
Glad I switched to The Boss here after having Chrom at the start! thanks tran

(actual bracket, not the Expert challenge)
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#41 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/16/2013 9:22:16 AM | message detail
Boss is doing a great job, especially if Chrom is a level above Lucina/Tharja. Whoever said she doesn't really need new game releases is right; truly a timeless character.
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Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer)
http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif
#42 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 7/16/2013 9:23:01 AM | message detail
I guess I was blinded by Team Fortress 2's rapid increase on unikgamer's overall rankings (currently at #31, just overtook Assassin's Creed II and Final Fantasy VI).

As a fellow user on unikgamer, I've got to ask:

Why do you think that site matters in the slightest?
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#43 | xp1337 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:24:12 AM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Boss is doing a great job, especially if Chrom is a level above Lucina/Tharja. Whoever said she doesn't really need new game releases is right; truly a timeless character.

Peace Walker boost.

>_>

ahahaha
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#44 | spooky96 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:25:04 AM | message detail
Boss is performing like a boss in this. 45% is pretty good.
#45 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/16/2013 9:25:05 AM | message detail
I'm surprised Heavy got in over Spy, actually. Heavy doesn't seem to be nearly as well-liked as Spy, and I think their 2010 results reflect that.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#46 | ZFS | Posted 7/16/2013 9:25:45 AM | message detail
Kinda doubt Chrom is a step above Lucina and Tharja.
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#47 | superange128 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:28:02 AM | message detail
ChenKenichiFan posted...
Boss is doing a great job, especially if Chrom is a level above Lucina/Tharja. Whoever said she doesn't really need new game releases is right; truly a timeless character.


I said it

I just feel that unlike other characters that only have a 1 REAL big appearance The Boss is one of those characters where her role was just so memorable, you can't really "forget" why you like her which I guess is the case for characters who decline
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#48 | superange128 | Posted 7/16/2013 9:28:26 AM | message detail
and I'd say Chrom and Lucina would be pretty close but Tharja should be slightly below them
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#49 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 7/16/2013 9:30:41 AM | message detail
AxemRedRanger posted...
I guess I was blinded by Team Fortress 2's rapid increase on unikgamer's overall rankings (currently at #31, just overtook Assassin's Creed II and Final Fantasy VI).

As a fellow user on unikgamer, I've got to ask:

Why do you think that site matters in the slightest?


For whatever reason I felt that that site was the best for showing what games are most popular on the Internet. In hindsight, an extremely bad idea.
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#50 | Denzokuken | Posted 7/16/2013 9:35:32 AM | message detail
I think I'm the only person who didn't like The Boss when playing through MGS3. Then again I barely liked anyone in that game as everything was so melodramatic and Kojima-infected.
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Fine! I'll go to the store and get your Goddamn drain cleaner!
Character Battle IX Tingle Victory Parade - the journey is over....