Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1064

#401 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 7/15/2013 9:10:14 AM | message detail
Reminder that KOS-MOS right now is only 1% below what she got on Aeris 1v1.
#402 | Denzokuken | Posted 7/15/2013 9:12:03 AM | message detail | (edited)
Cloud got only 70% on Ridley in 2010. I don't know what the fuss is about. Just look at Cloud in 2010 or FFVII in 2009. Look awful early on, do fine in the later rounds.
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#403 | StarStormScream | Posted 7/15/2013 9:12:00 AM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
Well

Anyone who took the Vincent over Sonic upset, I'll lend you my shoulder to cry on


;_; Sorry for not having faith in you Sonic...
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#404 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/15/2013 9:12:12 AM | message detail
FranzyvonKarma posted...
Reminder that KOS-MOS right now is only 1% below what she got on Aeris 1v1.


She got 38.35% against Aerith... right now she has 43.30% on Vincent (though it probably will go lower)
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#405 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/15/2013 9:12:14 AM | message detail
So, Chrom is a lock for 2nd against The Boss & Heavy right?
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Pts: 13/13 Today's Picks: Phoenix & Vincent
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#406 | JJH777 | Posted 7/15/2013 9:12:24 AM | message detail
Well this is disappointing I went with Dunban for second in this match.. Thought Xenoblade would be stronger than this and that he would be the strongest char from the game
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#407 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/15/2013 9:12:42 AM | message detail
Cloud almost got beat by Samus and Snake in 2010.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#408 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/15/2013 9:12:47 AM | message detail
Then00bAvenger posted...
Well

Anyone who took the Vincent over Sonic upset, I'll lend you my shoulder to cry on


Vincent is still a big favorite if he gets there. Sonic does not have the strength or SFF ability to reduce Bowser to a non-factor. Luckily for Sonic backers, Pokemon #150 (oh yeaaa) is in Vincent's way.
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#409 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/15/2013 9:12:52 AM | message detail
More people got Phoenix > Marth right than Barren > Layton? Really?

LOL
#410 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 7/15/2013 9:12:56 AM | message detail
CrushDavis posted...
FranzyvonKarma posted...
Reminder that KOS-MOS right now is only 1% below what she got on Aeris 1v1.


She got 38.35% against Aerith... right now she has 43.30% on Vincent (though it probably will go lower)


I mean in actual %.
#411 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/15/2013 9:13:06 AM | message detail
I wouldn't say a lock considering Heavy did pretty good x-stat wise.
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#412 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 7/15/2013 9:13:17 AM | message detail
the return of tjf

or maybe project x zone helped by being so recent
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#413 | Xuxon | Posted 7/15/2013 9:13:56 AM | message detail
not feeling too good about Reyn now... man what is this
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#414 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/15/2013 9:14:08 AM | message detail
Phoenix Wright vs. Vincent Valentine vs. Mewtwo

The sneaky good match-up.
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Pts: 13/13 Today's Picks: Phoenix & Vincent
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#415 | ZinsanityCraze | Posted 7/15/2013 9:14:19 AM | message detail
Wait, Vincent couldn't even double KOS-MOS, Ganondorf actually scored 70% on her back then.

Don't worry, leave it to FF7 defense squad to spin this one.
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#416 | Then00bAvenger | Posted 7/15/2013 9:14:26 AM | message detail
Dunban is pathetic.

Regretting my Reyn pick
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#417 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/15/2013 9:14:40 AM | message detail
How we check the prediction percentages for matches?
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#418 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/15/2013 9:14:52 AM | message detail
I figured the Xenoblade characters would bomb.

The game simply hasn't been played by enough people and they have no real appeal otherwise. None of them look particularly cool, to me at least.
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#419 | Kibago | Posted 7/15/2013 9:14:54 AM | message detail
...done-ban dropping 2.7% in 10 minutes
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We'll get 'em next year.
#420 | anondum | Posted 7/15/2013 9:15:02 AM | message detail
FF7 has a terrible board vote. absolutely awful
#421 | xp1337 | Posted 7/15/2013 9:16:43 AM | message detail | (edited)
KamikazePotato posted...
How we check the prediction percentages for matches?

Go to the Leaderboard and toggle the graph at the bottom to the "Number Correct" one and it'll give you the number of people who got each match correct. You have to do the actual math to get a percentage though.
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#422 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/15/2013 9:17:05 AM | message detail
Aerith dropped almost 4% from freeze to end of match. It really matters on the individual character and who they're facing, though yeah, I think Vincent's is usually pretty bad.
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#423 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/15/2013 9:17:06 AM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
not feeling too good about Reyn now... man what is this


It's KOS-MOS SFFing Dunban.
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Pts: 13/13 Today's Picks: Phoenix & Vincent
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#424 | jacko_vdz | Posted 7/15/2013 9:17:23 AM | message detail
Born in a world of strife!
#425 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/15/2013 9:17:34 AM | message detail
Kamikaze go to Character Battle Home,go to leaderboards,pick Bracket Battle and you will see how many brackets had it correct.There were around 15.500 bracket entries.9875 picked Phoenix to win.So do the maths to see the percentage.
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#426 | Ayvuir | Posted 7/15/2013 9:17:37 AM | message detail
Woo, I'm striding up that leaderboard!
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#427 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 7/15/2013 9:18:13 AM | message detail
also heavy probably got a lot stronger once tf2 became free to play. valve somehow keeps that franchise growing and strong with cross-game promos. I know a surprising amount of people who play it. even if you don't pay it, the "meet the" vids and source filmmaker give it a fanbase outside of the game

also fire emblem has been a stinky turd lately so I would guess an upset is more plausible than we think.
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#428 | --Smurf-- | Posted 7/15/2013 9:18:48 AM | message detail
I'm not entirely comfortable facing this reality that touhou is a bigger deal on Gamefaqs than Xenoblade or Valkyria Chronicles.
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#429 | Nanis23 | Posted 7/15/2013 9:19:52 AM | message detail
no no no no no
capped at 65!!
And I have 63 points
My only chance ever in getting into some kind of leaderboard ruined!!
#430 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/15/2013 9:20:22 AM | message detail
There were 15254 brackets, if you want to figure out an exact prediction percentage.
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#431 | ZeldaTPLink | Posted 7/15/2013 9:20:45 AM | message detail
ZenOfThunder posted...
also heavy probably got a lot stronger once tf2 became free to play. valve somehow keeps that franchise growing and strong with cross-game promos. I know a surprising amount of people who play it. even if you don't pay it, the "meet the" vids and source filmmaker give it a fanbase outside of the game

also fire emblem has been a stinky turd lately so I would guess an upset is more plausible than we think.


I hope so, I actually bet on Heavy winning on my bracket contest. I don't know what I was thinking.
#432 | Kibago | Posted 7/15/2013 9:22:01 AM | message detail
watching Vincent AND KOS-MOS gaining percentage here makes me happy.
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#433 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 7/15/2013 9:22:12 AM | message detail
I don't think heavy can beat the boss though. people love her. She's consistently pretty good in these contests and mgs legacy just came out
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#434 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/15/2013 9:22:40 AM | message detail
I'm going to wait to see the match pic for Chrom/The Boss/Heavy.

Right now I got The Boss > Chrom > Heavy
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Pts: 13/13 Today's Picks: Phoenix & Vincent
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#435 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/15/2013 9:24:02 AM | message detail
This is the worse match-up for Dunban.

KOS-MOS is pretty much the Xenosaga series and she has Project X Zone.
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Pts: 13/13 Today's Picks: Phoenix & Vincent
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#436 | FranzyvonKarma | Posted 7/15/2013 9:24:03 AM | message detail
All I want is one KOS-MOS cut.
#437 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/15/2013 9:24:56 AM | message detail
And Vincent Valentine looks way stronger than Barret Wallace.
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Pts: 13/13 Today's Picks: Phoenix & Vincent
IX: Link-VV-BB-SS-Cloud-Sora-Samus-Mario-Zard
#438 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 7/15/2013 9:25:26 AM | message detail
An man, Dunban getting killed. It's not too bad thanks to a nightmare SFF match and whoa, this KOS-MOS performance.
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#439 | swordz9 | Posted 7/15/2013 9:26:38 AM | message detail
I think Reyn and Shulk are going to look pretty terrible too. I honestly wouldn't be surprised to see all 3 get last place even though Reyn has the easiest match of the 3.
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#440 | Achromatic | Posted 7/15/2013 9:26:39 AM | message detail
I will literally die and come back to life three days later if KOS-MOS beats Vincent.
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#441 | anondum | Posted 7/15/2013 9:28:17 AM | message detail
okay? she won't. the board vote is all she has going for her and she still lost it to vincent.
#442 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 7/15/2013 9:28:26 AM | message detail
There is no way Shulk loses to Ratchet.
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#443 | --Smurf-- | Posted 7/15/2013 9:28:28 AM | message detail
ZinsanityCraze posted...
Wait, Vincent couldn't even double KOS-MOS, Ganondorf actually scored 70% on her back then.

Don't worry, leave it to FF7 defense squad to spin this one.


all the tjf/rally/racist/sff stuff to account for these poor performances are getting a little bit draining. It doesn't seem to be just FF though with Nintendo also looking poor so far. Seems to be the beginning of a real shift against the long established order.
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#444 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/15/2013 9:28:42 AM | message detail
Unless Bowser goes crazy in a couple of days time, I'm pretty much ready to call this division as Sonic's to lose.
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#445 | Nanis23 | Posted 7/15/2013 9:28:56 AM | message detail
So this Dunban ultra fodder or just getting SFF'd to death?
#446 | ChenKenichiFan | Posted 7/15/2013 9:29:23 AM | message detail
I stupidly misgauged Dunban here, partly due to fanboyism and wishing for the Reyn win. Characters like him would almost certainly do better in a poll where it's clear they are the only RPG option - where they give fans of the genre some kind of choice. Unfortunately for Dunban, this is about the worst such match for him. Both his opponents are about as traditional-RPG as you can get.
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#447 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 7/15/2013 9:29:59 AM | message detail
--Smurf-- posted...
ZinsanityCraze posted...
Wait, Vincent couldn't even double KOS-MOS, Ganondorf actually scored 70% on her back then.

Don't worry, leave it to FF7 defense squad to spin this one.


all the tjf/rally/racist/sff stuff to account for these poor performances are getting a little bit draining. It doesn't seem to be just FF though with Nintendo also looking poor so far. Seems to be the beginning of a real shift against the long established order.


When has Nintendo looked poor? It's won almost every match it's had, with Waluigi doing far better than he had any right to.
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#448 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/15/2013 9:30:25 AM | message detail
Lightning Strikes posted...
There is no way Shulk loses to Ratchet.


Ratchet's probably stronger than Jak so don't be so sure.
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#449 | xp1337 | Posted 7/15/2013 9:30:37 AM | message detail
Nanis23 posted...
So this Dunban ultra fodder or just getting SFF'd to death?

I think Dunban is weak but this is really just a terrible matchup for him, so I'd be willing to cut him a little slack here.
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#450 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 7/15/2013 9:31:20 AM | message detail
Not liking my Reyn upset right now. Jesus, Dunban is doing terribly.