Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1063

#101 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 7/13/2013 9:07:42 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
9--------1146------99.56
8--------2996------98.46
7--------4629------97.04
6--------3268------93.82
5--------1882------89.27
4--------813--------82.66
3--------322--------71.12
2--------132--------55.30
1--------46----------21.74
0--------20----------10.00

Overall a very high prediction percentage as expected. It was close to the perfects going perfect but not quite there. We still lost some 0 brackets as well.

No one fell off the Top 49 this time.
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#102 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/13/2013 9:07:57 PM | message detail
93.84% prediction percentage for Sonic.
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#103 | lightsout06 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:08:01 PM | message detail
Division 6 is the bracket buster division
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#104 | Sorozone | Posted 7/13/2013 9:08:35 PM | message detail
#105 | creativename | Posted 7/13/2013 9:08:50 PM | message detail
CrushDavis posted...
Tonight will be a good test to see if fictional characters are actually worth anything. I'd love to see Lucina win this though.

Batman or Vader would triple Dracula with ease. Dracula is not the litmus test for this. He wouldn't be anywhere near the top 30, let alone top 10.
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#106 | Dr_Football | Posted 7/13/2013 9:09:16 PM | message detail
How ever many votes he gets has to about 2x the nominations he got

Or there's one really sad stuffer
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#107 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:09:27 PM | message detail
Assuming Lucina drops from here, Dracula really could double her. That would be a really impressive result to me

Well she is likely fodder
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 9/10 Today's Picks: Dracula and Barret
#108 | Sorozone | Posted 7/13/2013 9:10:23 PM | message detail
Haha he fell even more.
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#109 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:10:28 PM | message detail
lol Caim went down
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 9/10 Today's Picks: Dracula and Barret
#110 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/13/2013 9:10:35 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Assuming Lucina drops from here, Dracula really could double her. That would be a really impressive result to me

Well she is likely fodder


Well yeah, but I never really expected fictional characters to be worth much here. If a fictional character who isn't even very strong could double her then thats saying a lot to me.
#111 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/13/2013 9:10:51 PM | message detail
LOL Caim dropped

Dracula still going up.
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#112 | foxhead84 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:11:02 PM | message detail
Team Rocket Elite posted...
Score-Brackets-% Right
9--------1146------99.56
8--------2996------98.46
7--------4629------97.04
6--------3268------93.82
5--------1882------89.27
4--------813--------82.66
3--------322--------71.12
2--------132--------55.30
1--------46----------21.74
0--------20----------10.00

Overall a very high prediction percentage as expected. It was close to the perfects going perfect but not quite there. We still lost some 0 brackets as well.

No one fell off the Top 49 this time.


Man how do you calculate that so quickly....
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#113 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/13/2013 9:11:02 PM | message detail
If Dracula is equal with Alucard where does this put Caim?

lol
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#114 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/13/2013 9:11:02 PM | message detail
lol Caim got the board vote
#115 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/13/2013 9:12:09 PM | message detail
oh god caim
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#116 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/13/2013 9:12:12 PM | message detail
ROFL. Caim lost almost an entire percent. Wow. This is an obscenely weak performance. Just wow.
#117 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/13/2013 9:12:26 PM | message detail
Dracula is currently projected to get 91.95% on Caim.

Lucina is currently projected to get 87.83% on Caim.
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#118 | Articuno2001 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:12:42 PM | message detail
My zero bracket still going strong.

Dracula probably dominates night and Lucina will get a boost in the morning to finish respectably. Caim is Caim.
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#119 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:12:51 PM | message detail
If Dracula is equal with Alucard where does this put Caim?

Caim would get 58.51% against Tanner
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 9/10 Today's Picks: Dracula and Barret
#120 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 7/13/2013 9:12:59 PM | message detail
LOL Caim, we're setting records tonight.
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#121 | SonicRaptor | Posted 7/13/2013 9:13:00 PM | message detail
Holy freaking crap; Caim is officially the Tanner of this contest.

The emo picture did NOT help, Jesus Christ.
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#122 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/13/2013 9:13:21 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
If Dracula is equal with Alucard where does this put Caim?

Caim would get 58.51% against Tanner


My respect for Tanner has increased.
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#123 | FFDragon | Posted 7/13/2013 9:15:20 PM | message detail
literally sub-5%
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#124 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/13/2013 9:15:23 PM | message detail
UNDER 5%
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#125 | creativename | Posted 7/13/2013 9:15:29 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
charmander6000 posted...
If Dracula is equal with Alucard where does this put Caim?

Caim would get 58.51% against Tanner


My respect for Tanner has increased.

Actually I'm almost impressed at how weak Caim is.

You have to try really, really hard to be this bad.

I give a good golf clap to Caim.
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#126 | Sorozone | Posted 7/13/2013 9:15:29 PM | message detail
Caim with the 21 vote increase.
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#127 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:15:34 PM | message detail
Under 5%

We may have a new weakest character ever
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 9/10 Today's Picks: Dracula and Barret
#128 | WhiteLens | Posted 7/13/2013 9:15:35 PM | message detail
Chester, Spring Breeze Dancin', the bar has been set.
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#129 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/13/2013 9:15:39 PM | message detail
How does he keep dropping lower?!
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#130 | paulg235 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:15:47 PM | message detail
The man, the myth, the legend.

Caim
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#131 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/13/2013 9:16:44 PM | message detail
Actually, Caim's intake on those updates was exactly the same: 21 votes.

The total votes for the update just went up.

15 minutes in and still not 100 total votes.
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#132 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/13/2013 9:17:16 PM | message detail
Has a character ever ended up below 5% in any contest match?
#133 | xp1337 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:17:19 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
charmander6000 posted...
If Dracula is equal with Alucard where does this put Caim?

Caim would get 58.51% against Tanner


My respect for Tanner has increased.

Everyone always forgets just how legendary Tanner's performance is. I never doubted Tanner here. 5% is just too high for this to be a challenge for him. >_>
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#134 | SonicRaptor | Posted 7/13/2013 9:17:25 PM | message detail
Once again, I am blaming the emo picture because holy crap how is Caim only getting by with 86 votes a good 15 minutes in?
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#135 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/13/2013 9:18:00 PM | message detail
At this rate Caim could possibly see single digit updates in the dead of the night. That's kinda impressive
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#136 | xp1337 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:18:02 PM | message detail
but if he keeps dropping here maybe i'll be forced to retract that
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#137 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/13/2013 9:18:03 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
If Dracula is equal with Alucard where does this put Caim?

Caim would get 58.51% against Tanner


Something's wrong with that. How is getting 8% on Alucard mean you 58/42 someone who got 5.7% on Snake? I'm not doing the math, but that just feels wrong, doesn't it?
#138 | FFDragon | Posted 7/13/2013 9:18:06 PM | message detail
CrushDavis posted...
Has a character ever ended up below 5% in any contest match?


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/1733
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#139 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/13/2013 9:18:08 PM | message detail
CrushDavis posted...
Has a character ever ended up below 5% in any contest match?


Character? No. It happened a couple times in the 4-way Games Contest though. Crystalis and Prince of Persia accomplished it, I know for sure.
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#140 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/13/2013 9:18:39 PM | message detail
ShatteredElysium posted...
At this rate Caim could possibly see single digit updates in the dead of the night. That's kinda impressive


I am rooting so hard for a 0 vote update.

So hard.
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#141 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:18:48 PM | message detail
The funny thing is that with how much people talk about Caim is Drakengard when being asked "Who is Caim?", his pic is actually from Drakengard 2.
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#142 | paulg235 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:18:48 PM | message detail
He said below, FFD.
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#143 | SonicRaptor | Posted 7/13/2013 9:20:37 PM | message detail | (edited)
CrushDavis posted...
Has a character ever ended up below 5% in any contest match?


Looking back: even Tanner broke 5% on Snake. But that was 1v1 so take that with a grain of salt when comparing it to 3 or 4-ways.
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#144 | FFDragon | Posted 7/13/2013 9:19:23 PM | message detail
so he did
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#145 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:19:24 PM | message detail
Something's wrong with that. How is getting 8% on Alucard mean you 58/42 someone who got 5.7% on Snake? I'm not doing the math, but that just feels wrong, doesn't it?

I did Alucard 2010 vs Tanner 2004
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 9/10 Today's Picks: Dracula and Barret
#146 | creativename | Posted 7/13/2013 9:19:41 PM | message detail
LOL at blaming this on pic factor.

So what would Caim get with a great pic? 6%? 7%?? Come on now. Don't underestimate the chap - this ain't the pic.

No one knows who the dude is, it's that simple.
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#147 | pjbasis | Posted 7/13/2013 9:19:51 PM | message detail
#148 | foxhead84 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:19:52 PM | message detail
FFDragon posted...
CrushDavis posted...
Has a character ever ended up below 5% in any contest match?


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/1733


So the answer is no...
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#149 | PrivateBiscuit1 | Posted 7/13/2013 9:20:08 PM | message detail
Who the hell even nominated Caim anyway?

Like, how are there enough people who are fans of him to nominate him? I mean, MIKE DAWSON would be doing better and he had to have had more noms than him!
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#150 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/13/2013 9:20:22 PM | message detail
Darn, he broke 100 votes.

Still dropped in percentage though.
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