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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1060
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I think this next match might have the lowest votals so far unless it's really close and rallies occur. --- Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave. |
In before Draven gets last place --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/954437-league-of-legends/66704540 300+ votes --- Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF) ===DChemist=== |
Is he seriously getting less than 70% of the voters on the LoL board to vote for him? Wow, he's screwed --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
That is an active board. --- Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF) ===DChemist=== |
I
think comparing Demifiend and Chie is going about it the wrong way.
Technically, Persona isn't even part of the Shin Megami Tensei series
(it was only labeled that way for American release back when Atlus was
new in publishing games in America to give it more exposure), and
Persona is a far bigger deal than Shin Megami Tensei has ever been.
Having a popular fighting game last year with Chie as the most played
character is also going to help her too (something I noticed you didn't
point out). She's not really aimed at the same gamers that play normal
Megaten games. |
Then00bAvenger posted... Is he seriously getting less than 70% of the voters on the LoL board to vote for him? Wow, he's screwed http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/643003-fire-emblem-awakening/66688743 --- http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif |
Sorozone posted... Then00bAvenger posted...Is he seriously getting less than 70% of the voters on the LoL board to vote for him? Wow, he's screwed Haha. |
Pfft, Tharja doesn't need FE fan votes, she squeaked by on her looks --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
Then00bAvenger posted... Pfft, Tharja doesn't need FE fan votes, she squeaked by on her looks Her pic was terrible. |
Hey man, she got that yandere meme both hands on her face look. Everyone loves yandere --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
Oh well. Maybe I should say I found it terrible. |
I was sort of joking. But yeah, Getting nearly 2/3rds of the FE fanbase and getting 2/3rds of the LoL fanbase are pretty different. IIRC LoL has like a 15% play rate on this site so he's going to need all the LoL fan support he can get --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
Then00bAvenger posted... Hey man, she got that yandere meme both hands on her face look. http://myanimelist.net/forum/?topicid=571491 |
Tharja had even less % of the FE:A board voting her and you know how that turned out! This match is really quite difficult. I feel like Chie is very much second-place material since she will have a fixed amount of backers no matter what, especially in a night match. I just don't feel that amount will be enough to snag first, though, unless votals are really ****. And even if she gets second place, who the heck gets last? http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/2878 I'd take Lloyd over Chie in a heartbeat, and Jak did come remarkably close to him, and I believe he had a decent match against Ness once. The question is just how much weaker Jak has become since 2007. While not as relevant as then, he's still been releasing games (I believe there was an HD remake collection?). So, uh... how do I even gauge the care levels? And then there's Draven. A huge wildcard. People either calling him a turd or taking him to first place. People are taking last July's playrate to say Draven will suck it up, but that playrate might have increased since then. Even then, LoL does have one of the most active communities in the site at the moment, and we can't just overlook that entirely. Then again, huge 100+ character cast makes Draven possibly forgettable to the average LoL player. I feel like anybody who played Jak & Daxter or Persona would vote for one of those before Draven. I JUST HAVE NO IDEA SCREW THIS --- .-#Elements of Water#-. |
It should be mentioned that 4chan loves Persona 4 if it comes down to a close match between Chie and Jak. |
I am completely prepared for one of these characters to just come out and stomp this poll. No idea which, though. --- We are living our lives Abound with so much information |
Sorozone posted... Then00bAvenger posted...Is he seriously getting less than 70% of the voters on the LoL board to vote for him? Wow, he's screwed It's too bad that Chie is stronger than Tharja, making this whole discussion moot. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
Another bank for me --- Leonhart posting from his phone |
I'm so conflicted on this match. 45 minutes to go and I feel confused. Blagh. --- http://i.imgur.com/6OHUIst.jpg |
Nice level of support, but the votals are less than inspiring: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/641695-persona-4-golden/66705910 |
I feel like Chie > Jak > Draven at the moment. - Chie would benefit the most out of the night match. She'll likely get all the JRPG and animu support, and she's susceptible to possible rallying. - Jak couldn't have fallen off that much since 2007, but the loss of strength will hopefully be enough to give Chie the edge. - Draven will disappoint and be one of those "this guy would win anywhere but on GameFAQs" cases, and we'll feel silly for overhyping him. Maybe he'd do some damage during a day match, but on a night match it's definitely Chie zone for the first few hours. A quick look at the maps tells us Europe has played LoL even less than the US. --- .-#Elements of Water#-. |
BeTheMan posted... Nice level of support, but the votals are less than inspiring: Anybody basing their choices on game board polls are in for a rude awakening. This isn't to say that Draven couldn't win, but just because the LoL board is more active doesn't mean that the LoL community is going to turn out en masse to vote for a character from their game. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
LeonhartFone posted... Another bank for me one less bracket, etc --- You know who's sexy? Black Turtle, the 2010 Games Contest Guru Winner, that's who! |
Better than -6 --- Leonhart posting from his phone |
and far worse than +6! /neverbanking --- You know who's sexy? Black Turtle, the 2010 Games Contest Guru Winner, that's who! |
I
wouldn't say that banking takes you out of the running. This match is
going to wreck a lot of people, and I highly doubt anyone is going to
have a perfect bracket for the entire contest. If you're confident in
your 1st place character, it might be worth it to make an attempt for
2nd/3rd place, since you won't be able to lose any points. --- http://i.imgur.com/6OHUIst.jpg |
Banking is pretty much the surefire way to lose in the Expert Challenge. You can't win without taking risks. |
Nintendoboy375 posted... If you're confident in your 1st place character, it might be worth it to make an attempt for 2nd/3rd place, since you won't be able to lose any points. This is they way I see it. I'm just ending up with 0's though because I keep missing on the 2nd and 3rd spot. :\ Not that I was confident in Tharja, nor am I with Draven, but I'm not banking, ever. --- http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif |
I told myself I'd follow the statistics on this and just bank if I had no idea what would happen, but that didn't hold up. time to go ALL IN on Chie > Jak > Draven -6 here i come. =( --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
CrushDavis posted... Banking is pretty much the surefire way to lose in the Expert Challenge. You can't win without taking risks. I will have to bank on this next match, but only because it's a total crapshoot where all 3 characters have an equal chance of finishing in any order. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
-LusterSoldier- posted... CrushDavis posted...Banking is pretty much the surefire way to lose in the Expert Challenge. You can't win without taking risks. But if you pick the right order, you get an advantage over everyone who didn't. If you just play it conservative, you'll never get ahead of the pack. |
Draven > Chie > Jak --- Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF) ===DChemist=== |
Im still humored that everyone is still saying banked, when your really just skipping a day, or holding steady --- Dr voltchball - best in the world. |
Looks
like Aerith stomped Rinoa into the ground juuuust enough to let Hero
win...I should have really seen this coming, I mean there's not one FF
forum you can frequent where Aerith wouldn't stomp Rinoa into dust.
Literally. Probably not even the FF8 forums. Put Rinoa against virtually anyone but Squall/Aeris/Tifa, and she'd likely do substantially better. Also I overlooked the fact that "Hero" basically represents the whole DQ series. Whoops. ...Anyway, I have a felling an unusual number of people are going to get -6's on the Draven/Chie/Jak match. That match screams "completely random winner". It's almost impossible to put the three in any sort of order. Is anyone here not banking that match? I mean I could see someone picking 1st place, but how the hell do you pick 2nd and 3rd? Picking 1st but banking 2nd and 3rd seems the way to go if you really want to risk something, I think. |
BeTheMan posted... Nice level of support, but the votals are less than inspiring: Haha. --- Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF) ===DChemist=== |
CrushDavis posted... -LusterSoldier- posted...CrushDavis posted...Banking is pretty much the surefire way to lose in the Expert Challenge. You can't win without taking risks. If you truly have no idea where anyone will place and you're reduced to just guessing, it's best to bank, you're expected to lose points if you go for it. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
xp1337 posted... CrushDavis posted...-LusterSoldier- posted...CrushDavis posted...Banking is pretty much the surefire way to lose in the Expert Challenge. You can't win without taking risks. If you're only guessing, you have just as good of a chance of getting +6 as you are -6. I guess if you want to play it safe and stay alive longer it might be in your best interest to bank, but if you really want to go for it and try to win, its best to take those chances since theres how you win these kinds of contests. |
If I was perfect already, then I would bank on this match. Since I've had two consecutive +0s, I can't really afford to do that. I need to make up for lost ground, or else I'll just always be behind. I wish I had gotten the +6 for this match, since it wasn't all that debatable. We wrote off Hero too easily. --- http://i.imgur.com/6OHUIst.jpg |
creativename posted... Looks like Aerith stomped Rinoa into the ground juuuust enough to let Hero win...I should have really seen this coming, I mean there's not one FF forum you can frequent where Aerith wouldn't stomp Rinoa into dust. Literally. Probably not even the FF8 forums. After pulling 0 points on two matches in a row, I feel like I have to take a shot on this match or risk losing all chance of ever catching back up. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
No Pick > Chie > Chie I will either gain a point, lose a point, of keep a perfect bracket. Sounds good to me! --- "In fact, I should just play good games from now on... Man, F*** THAT, let's play some s***ty ones!" - Angry Video Game Nerd |
Go home or go big. Banking's for the weak! Guys, get ready to get that legendary -6. |
CrushDavis posted... xp1337 posted...CrushDavis posted...-LusterSoldier- posted...CrushDavis posted...Banking is pretty much the surefire way to lose in the Expert Challenge. You can't win without taking risks. No you don't. Let's arbitrarily say it ends up Chie > Jak > Draven There are 6 possible outcomes: C/J/D = +6 C/D/J = 0 J/C/D = -4 J/D/C = -6 D/C/J = -6 D/J/C = -2 Only one of those outcomes results in a positive score (+6). Another results in a 0. The rest you lose points on, two of which are -6. Obviously you don't want to bank all the time, but there shouldn't be all that many matches where you're reduced to pure guessing. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
BTW, the hell is up with the terrible fonts? "Aerith" Looks like Re...lowercase 'r'?...ith. If you asked me to figure out what name that was without a picture, I would be completely lost. I would say "Jumble of Tetris blocks" and be forced to leave it at that. |
Nintendoboy375 posted... If I was perfect already, then I would bank on this match. Yeah, I'm kicking myself over that one. The thing is, I totally considered taking Hero in second, but then I was like, "Nah, he's too weak to take second place, even on an SFFed Rinoa." I completely underestimated his strength, and it bit me in the butt. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
xp1337 posted... No you don't. Ah yeah, thats right. Well, I guess there is more risk with banking... but I don't mind, I'm still going with Chie/Jak/Draven tonight. If I lose the bet, oh well, but if I win I'll likely be on the leaderboard so its worth the gamble! |
You can only pick 1st and get either +3 or -3. You can only pick 2nd and get either +2 or -2. You can only pick 3rd and get either +1 or -1. --- Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF) ===DChemist=== |
From: creativename | Posted: 7/11/2013 11:44:56 PM | #344 BTW, the hell is up with the terrible fonts? "Aerith" Looks like Re...lowercase 'r'?...ith. draven's is even worse. looks like E-Payer or something --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
My
bracket has Jak, but on my expert I'm taking Chie/Jak/Draven. After
thinking about it a bit, I decided that Jak has fallen out of relevance
and between Persona 4 and League of Legends, he's probably not going to
get a whole lot of "don't care" votes. Also, I don't feel like his
mascot power is very strong. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
Hopefully this match is more initially exciting. Morning comebacks are fun to wake up to, but it's not a good time to be watching --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
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