Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1060

#251 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 2:36:38 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/954437-league-of-legends/66704540

Draven rally.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#252 | MegaWentEvil | Posted 7/11/2013 2:39:03 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]
#253 | Greyfeld | Posted 7/11/2013 2:40:42 PM | message detail
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Hero's getting 26% on what is basically Aerith on steroids IMO. Better than expected, for sure, but I'd wait to see how Aerith does next round before judging him as non-fodder.

And is it getting hot in here or what?


Actually, Hero's getting 26% on what is basically an LFF Aerith. If you think Rinoa's votes would get split evenly between Hero and Aerith in a 1v1, I have a bridge I'd like to sell you.
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#254 | pyresword | Posted 7/11/2013 2:45:49 PM | message detail | (edited)
Dilated Chemist posted...
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/954437-league-of-legends/66704540

Draven rally.


This is the most effective rally I have ever seen rofl.

EDIT: Actually the results imply it may be slightly more effective then the posts within the topic led me to believe
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#255 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 2:45:32 PM | message detail
The word will spread!
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#256 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/11/2013 2:47:13 PM | message detail
Forgive me but I couldn't find that.How many people fell off the leaderboard?
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#257 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 2:50:29 PM | message detail
I'm going to say about 10 of the votes for "Hell no." are from b8.

So 45-12.

Not bad.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#258 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 2:52:09 PM | message detail
Rinoa comeback?
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#259 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 2:55:10 PM | message detail
47-25.

Welp, good game Draven.

Jak is the favorite.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#260 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 7/11/2013 2:57:25 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
4--------8388------46.19
3--------4905------38.53
2--------1589------37.19
1--------294--------38.44
0--------78----------17.95

Prediction percentage is below half even for the perfects but the perfects still do much better than the lower tiers. -1s, -2s and -3s all did about the same. 0s do well if you assume they were trying to get the match wrong.

28 people fell off the Top 49. -Salik-, -StoneCold-, -Vagrant-, 000max, 00ragerage, 00Sasori, 0m3g4, 0___________o, 123-ddt, 1234567890Chris, 13GunHoGun, 150thToHyrule, 17thColossi, 1KOLDSUMMER, 1_Der, 23phantom, 30aught6, 3drinks, 3p1c1337pWnZ0rZ, 3PiesAndAFork, 3R9Sasuke, 47rox, 4sakuraHa0, 5enses, 5hadows, 5olid_5nake, 6311dantez and 64starchild did not have Tharja winning the match.
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#261 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 2:58:42 PM | message detail
Names are still in the numbers. Mine won't show up until T's.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#262 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 7/11/2013 2:58:49 PM | message detail
might be a while before we get match pics

Bacon isn't on AIM and he usually is when he posts them
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#263 | Korayashi | Posted 7/11/2013 2:59:58 PM | message detail
Hero is getting cut pretty consistently the past 30 odd minutes.
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#264 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 3:01:29 PM | message detail
6 hours left.

Lead is below 600.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#265 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/11/2013 3:03:58 PM | message detail
28 people?More than half.Nice.
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#266 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 3:06:13 PM | message detail
Back over 600.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#267 | Nintendoboy375 | Posted 7/11/2013 3:12:24 PM | message detail
I don't have any faith in Rinoa gaining the lead over Hero (I really hope I'm wrong).

2nd consecutive +0 match for me. Draven/Chie/Jak makes me really nervous. I have Jak > Chie > Draven, but I don't have any degree of confidence for 2nd/3rd place.
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#268 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 3:13:59 PM | message detail
As of right now I have Draven > Chie > Jak
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#269 | swordz9 | Posted 7/11/2013 3:14:33 PM | message detail
I have Chie > Draven > Jak, but I have no faith in any of them. It's Tharja/Juliet/Tina all over again for me.
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#270 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 7/11/2013 3:19:12 PM | message detail
I have Jak > Draven > Chie and I don't even care cuz I've screwed up almost every other match so far
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#271 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/11/2013 3:22:43 PM | message detail
Greyfeld posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Hero's getting 26% on what is basically Aerith on steroids IMO. Better than expected, for sure, but I'd wait to see how Aerith does next round before judging him as non-fodder.

And is it getting hot in here or what?


Actually, Hero's getting 26% on what is basically an LFF Aerith. If you think Rinoa's votes would get split evenly between Hero and Aerith in a 1v1, I have a bridge I'd like to sell you.

What I mean is Hero is getting 26% on Aerith + Rinoa, and 34% on Aerith (ignoring Rinoa). Rinoa is stealing a lot of votes from Aerith but is probably stealing a few votes from Hero as well. Since he's scoring 34% against a LFF'd Aerith and 26% against her and Rinoa combined (sort of like a strengthened Aerith), he'd land somewhere in between that range 1v1. Not too impressive if you ask me.
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#272 | Greyfeld | Posted 7/11/2013 3:24:10 PM | message detail
I'm taking Jak-Chie-Draven. Looking at Jak's older entries, I just don't see Chie taking 45% from Ness, and I don't think that League of Legends is popular enough on this site to give Draven the boost he needs to do more than claw his way up to last place.

Of course, Between Persona 4 Golden, Persona 4 Arena, and the fact that Jak's newest release is just a port of his last PS2 game, I could be totally screwed.

And that doesn't even taken into account the chance of LoL getting serious rallies from 4chan.
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#273 | superange128 | Posted 7/11/2013 3:24:14 PM | message detail
Chie > Jak > Draven out of bias
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#274 | Greyfeld | Posted 7/11/2013 3:25:58 PM | message detail
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Greyfeld posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Hero's getting 26% on what is basically Aerith on steroids IMO. Better than expected, for sure, but I'd wait to see how Aerith does next round before judging him as non-fodder.

And is it getting hot in here or what?


Actually, Hero's getting 26% on what is basically an LFF Aerith. If you think Rinoa's votes would get split evenly between Hero and Aerith in a 1v1, I have a bridge I'd like to sell you.

What I mean is Hero is getting 26% on Aerith + Rinoa, and 34% on Aerith (ignoring Rinoa). Rinoa is stealing a lot of votes from Aerith but is probably stealing a few votes from Hero as well. Since he's scoring 34% against a LFF'd Aerith and 26% against her and Rinoa combined (sort of like a strengthened Aerith), he'd land somewhere in between that range 1v1. Not too impressive if you ask me.


A 30/70 for not-Cloud sounds reasonable to me, and I think would at least put her in low-midcarder range.
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#275 | Xuxon | Posted 7/11/2013 3:29:16 PM | message detail
From: DoctorJimmy133 | Posted: 7/11/2013 6:22:43 PM | #271
Greyfeld posted...
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Hero's getting 26% on what is basically Aerith on steroids IMO. Better than expected, for sure, but I'd wait to see how Aerith does next round before judging him as non-fodder.

And is it getting hot in here or what?


Actually, Hero's getting 26% on what is basically an LFF Aerith. If you think Rinoa's votes would get split evenly between Hero and Aerith in a 1v1, I have a bridge I'd like to sell you.

What I mean is Hero is getting 26% on Aerith + Rinoa, and 34% on Aerith (ignoring Rinoa). Rinoa is stealing a lot of votes from Aerith but is probably stealing a few votes from Hero as well. Since he's scoring 34% against a LFF'd Aerith and 26% against her and Rinoa combined (sort of like a strengthened Aerith), he'd land somewhere in between that range 1v1. Not too impressive if you ask me.

he might not even. how many people are voting Hero just to beat Rinoa, knowing Aeris would get first easily? you don't know.
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#276 | Achromatic | Posted 7/11/2013 3:37:42 PM | message detail
So Slime versus Lara Croft who you guys got.
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#277 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/11/2013 3:41:58 PM | message detail
Lara

She has new games since 2007, I don't expect Slime to attract too many joke votes.
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#278 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 7/11/2013 3:43:04 PM | message detail
Next match is full of fodder and giving me a headache. And it isn't even fun like Tharja/Juliet/Tina.
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#279 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 3:47:51 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/954437-league-of-legends/66704540

Well, atleast the LoL board is active.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#280 | Sorozone | Posted 7/11/2013 3:51:59 PM | message detail
Well, this looks like another 0 for my Expert. Stuck on 18.

Guess the good news is I have yet to have a negative result.
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#281 | ZFS | Posted 7/11/2013 4:10:36 PM | message detail
Achromatic posted...
So Slime versus Lara Croft who you guys got.


I thought about this match for a while when the bracket came out, but the new Tomb Raider probably pushes Lara out of reach.
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#282 | Qwaar | Posted 7/11/2013 4:15:43 PM | message detail
I have Draven -> Jak -> Chie and have no idea if this is going to happen.
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#283 | SonicRaptor | Posted 7/11/2013 4:27:36 PM | message detail | (edited)
Qwaar posted...
I have Draven -> Jak -> Chie and have no idea if this is going to happen.


I have Draven > Chie > Jak

Jak has been TERRIBLE every contest he's been in, just pure fodder all around (PlayStation platformer characters have always trended that way). Chie has the Persona cult fandom while League of Legends is actually pretty f'ing big online. Those three things made me go with that order.
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#284 | SonicRaptor | Posted 7/11/2013 4:30:14 PM | message detail
BK_Sheikah00 posted...
Next match is full of fodder and giving me a headache. And it isn't even fun like Tharja/Juliet/Tina.


Just wait until we get to Clementine/Spyro/Reyn. That's the fodder vs. fodder vs. fodder match that's going to break many a bracket.
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#285 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:58:22 PM | message detail | (edited)
http://img.gamefaqs.net/images/cbnine/battle/5149.jpg

Gonna go with Jak>Chie>Draven for now.

Edit: Picture changed. Now I don't know anymore.
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#286 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 4:36:48 PM | message detail
After further review (match pic), Chie > Jak > Draven.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#287 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:48:00 PM | message detail
Wow, I had no idea Draven was blue.
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#288 | swirIdude | Posted 7/11/2013 4:51:12 PM | message detail
Even with as ugly as Draven is, I think he'll win if anyone rallies for Draven on twitch.tv
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#289 | pjbasis | Posted 7/11/2013 4:57:22 PM | message detail
Feelin pretty bad about my draven pick, but who knows
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#290 | Nintendoboy375 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:59:25 PM | message detail
Does anyone have the pic of Draven before Allen changed it? I want to know what people were freaking out about.
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#291 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 7/11/2013 5:00:23 PM | message detail
Nintendoboy375 posted...
Does anyone have the pic of Draven before Allen changed it? I want to know what people were freaking out about.


Render of this:

http://riot-web-static.s3.amazonaws.com/images/news/June_2012/2012_06_05_draven_bundles/Draven_SoulReaver_Splash.jpg
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#292 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 7/11/2013 5:01:49 PM | message detail
Changed my expert challenge to no pick, because I don't know what the hell.

Am rooting for Chie, have her in my bracket as a hopeful upset pick. Draven could be good or could bomb spectacularly, we can't know until it happens. The question is though, are League of Legends players going to bother to vote for him? Does anyone care about Draven? Chie should be alright, we've seen cult favourites do well already, and Persona 4's pretty loved on this site. Game strength has also proved itself important here. Jak looked alright kind of in 2004, but has been irrelevant since. I wouldn't take him to repeat that.

So yeah, could go any of 6 ways.
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#293 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 5:07:15 PM | message detail
The poll I posted on the LoL message board has reached 200 votes.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#294 | Nintendoboy375 | Posted 7/11/2013 5:16:28 PM | message detail
nintendogirl1 posted...
Nintendoboy375 posted...
Does anyone have the pic of Draven before Allen changed it? I want to know what people were freaking out about.


Render of this:

http://riot-web-static.s3.amazonaws.com/images/news/June_2012/2012_06_05_draven_bundles/Draven_SoulReaver_Splash.jpg

I don't think that picture is too terrible. He reminds me of some random character you'd see in Warcraft.
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#295 | NewCastlEmperor | Posted 7/11/2013 5:18:16 PM | message detail
Nintendoboy375 posted...
nintendogirl1 posted...
Nintendoboy375 posted...
Does anyone have the pic of Draven before Allen changed it? I want to know what people were freaking out about.


Render of this:

http://riot-web-static.s3.amazonaws.com/images/news/June_2012/2012_06_05_draven_bundles/Draven_SoulReaver_Splash.jpg

I don't think that picture is too terrible. He reminds me of some random character you'd see in Warcraft.

But it's like putting an image of Donte for Dante.
#296 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 5:25:54 PM | message detail
It's funny that the Admins of GameFAQs both play LoL.

I think they both have Draven in their bracket.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#297 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 6:43:32 PM | message detail
195 will vote for Draven.
87 will not vote for Draven.

282 votes. LoL is very active.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#298 | Sorozone | Posted 7/11/2013 7:05:11 PM | message detail
Yeah.

I feel like two of them are going to completely bomb, and one will just runaway with a smooth victory, but I have no idea the order.
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#299 | Nintendoboy375 | Posted 7/11/2013 7:12:20 PM | message detail
I am not any easier about Jak > Chie > Draven. I may change, but I honestly have no idea what to think. I need to start getting points again.
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#300 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/11/2013 7:13:35 PM | message detail
Match VII: (3) Draven vs. (16) Chie Satonaka vs. (25) Jak

Previous Contest

Draven – N/A
N/A

Chie Satonaka – N/A
N/A

Jak – 2010
23.38% against Yoshi

Analysis

It is the return of the Jak pack of suck. I have been regretting my decision ever since the brackets locked. I still believe Draven has a chance to win this match, but I feel Jak will be going in as the favourite. Also in this match we have our first Persona 4 character which could make some noise should Draven and Jak flop completely.

Despite being high fodder before going into the match Jak looked terrible going up against Yoshi. There have been some calls that he underperformed against Yoshi for various reasons some of which sound plausible, but I think the main reason is that he has simply gotten weaker due to the lack of games and if that is true he could be even weaker today.

League of Legends is currently one of the most played games, but like World of Warcraft the average GameFAQs user does not seem as interested in the game. Overall Draven has the characteristics of being weak, low play rate (not that the others are much better) and part of an ensemble cast. Draven is a bit of a fan favourite of the game and he has the potential for quite a large rally should one occur.

Watching Demi-Fiend fail to break 20% on Yoshi does not give me much faith in Chie. Yes Persona 4 would easily win over Nocturne, but Demi-Fiend is the main character while Chie is a playable character. Either way Chie would need to either show that she is significantly stronger than Demi-Fiend or hope that Jak is even weaker this year and Draven is a huge flop.

Jak over Chie seems to be a safe bet, but Draven is a true wild card and could finish in any of the positions. If Jak was underrated in his match against Yoshi and is actually near his high fodder self then I feel confident that he will take the match. However, I do not believe that will be the case, but even then that does not mean Draven will win.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Draven > Jak and Chie Satonaka

charmander6000’s Prediction: Draven – 37.69%, Jak – 34.37%, Chie Satonaka – 27.94%
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Points: 4/4 Today's Picks: Juliet and Aerith