Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1060

#201 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 1:12:58 PM | message detail
Sonic vs. Dracula vs. Barret

Barret can get 25%
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#202 | ZFS | Posted 7/11/2013 1:13:15 PM | message detail
Pretty great seeing Hero still ahead. GameFAQs doing good!
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tune in tokyo 142.94
#203 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/11/2013 1:18:03 PM | message detail
Oh right, trend chart for the night match:

Time | Tharja | Juliet | Tina | Votes
0:05 | 41.53% | 31.80% | 26.67% | 956
1:00 | 38.59% | 29.70% | 31.71% | 5613
2:00 | 36.15% | 28.72% | 35.13% 3339
3:00 | 33.51% | 31.00% | 35.49% | 2432
4:00 | 35.15% | 30.26% | 34.59% | 1983
5:00 | 30.80% | 32.68% | 36.51% | 1542
6:00 | 35.08% | 30.44% | 34.48% | 1485
7:00 | 34.63% | 29.71% | 35.65% | 1565
8:00 | 31.35% | 29.82% | 38.83% | 1965
9:00 | 33.59% | 27.89% | 38.53% | 2227
10:00 | 38.60% | 25.98% | 35.42% | 2640
11:00 | 39.85% | 23.80% | 36.36% | 2866
12:00 | 38.65% | 24.43% | 36.92% | 2763

Tharja definitely showing some Nintendo trends here, and she also earns the distinction of becoming the first person this contest to have a last place hour and still win the match! Also, Juliet is either very night oriented or she might have suffered some toward the end of the match because of Tharja/Tina being so close. Hard to say. Tina got off to a rough start, but she was pretty consistent beyond the first couple hours.

X-Stats:

Tharja – 50.00%
Tiny Tina – 49.40%
Juliet Starling – 43.99%

Pretty good showing for a debated match!
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#204 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/11/2013 1:20:06 PM | message detail
Tharja's prediction percentage was 42.49%, by the way.

She was probably the overall favorite, but it shows this match wasn't debatable just for us.
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#205 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 1:20:37 PM | message detail
Wish Tiny Tina had won now.

How many perfects would we still have?
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#206 | Greyfeld | Posted 7/11/2013 1:21:41 PM | message detail
Welp, Rinoa's comeback chances are pretty much shot. Hero is just tearing it up now.

I knew I should have gone with my very first analysis and picked Hero to pull second after the SFF kicked in. This makes for my second 0-point expert pick in a row.
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#207 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/11/2013 1:30:40 PM | message detail
Does anyone have the Board Odds Project results saved somewhere.

In my sig.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 4/4 Today's Picks: Juliet and Aerith
#208 | swordz9 | Posted 7/11/2013 1:43:58 PM | message detail
Dammit Rinoa. Bad time to be the only time this site ever gives a dam about DQ anything.
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#209 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/11/2013 1:44:49 PM | message detail
junk_funk posted...
After the Tharja/Tiny Tina match I'm starting to believe that game origin is much more important than pictures.

I'm keeping Jak at first I've decided. But, I almost want to take Chie over Draven now. Person 4 is much more well received (on this site) and I believe Chie devastatingly bad photogenic quality is becoming less and less of an issue.

But LoL is huge too. This is going to be a barn burner.


Give Chie a bikini pic and she'll be fine

http://media.animevice.com/uploads/0/69/609975-chie_swimsuit_contest.jpg
#210 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/11/2013 1:45:44 PM | message detail
*checks out pic*

oh man if this is what I have to look forward to in P4 maybe I should go back to P3

Give me more Mitsuru please
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#211 | SuorGenoveffa | Posted 7/11/2013 1:46:22 PM | message detail
So glad I picked Hero for 2nd.

I even changed the oracle to make him much closer to Rinoa, shouldn't have trusted the majority =/.
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SuperNiceDog won the Guru contest super nicely!
#212 | swordz9 | Posted 7/11/2013 1:47:09 PM | message detail
Chie > Mitsuru though P4's girls are better than 3's overall anyways.
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#213 | HaRRicH | Posted 7/11/2013 1:48:29 PM | message detail
I've got to commit more in my Expect Picks; I'd be at +36 today if I'd just follow through instead of curbing my bets by just betting on one or two places on the more contested matches...bah.

It's not really fair to judge FF8 off of this match, but it does support the idea of why other FF8-characters haven't made a contest before. Seifer probably does better since Celes is no Aeris and she's from FF's 2D-era...still, Knuckles is looking good right now.
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#214 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/11/2013 1:48:49 PM | message detail
Chie is the worst P4 girl anyway

http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m6aotrOXp41qf9cujo1_1280.jpg

Rise (the one on the bottom) is the best and shoulda made the contest
#215 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/11/2013 1:49:07 PM | message detail
Knuckles was already in good shape before this match.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#216 | swordz9 | Posted 7/11/2013 1:49:56 PM | message detail
CrushDavis posted...
Chie is the worst P4 girl anyway

Nope.
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#217 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/11/2013 1:50:35 PM | message detail
Chie looks like the Fuuka in that group

time to bail

All my votes go to Jak
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#218 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 1:50:42 PM | message detail
Knuckles never loses in the 1st Round.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#219 | Achromatic | Posted 7/11/2013 1:50:50 PM | message detail
Chie is the worst P4 girl, I agree.

And she is still awesome.
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#220 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/11/2013 1:51:25 PM | message detail
Dilated Chemist posted...
Knuckles never loses in the 1st Round.


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3250

'whoops'
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#221 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 1:52:32 PM | message detail
Yeah, the one match he was stuck behind Mario.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#222 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 7/11/2013 1:53:02 PM | message detail
Lies. Yukiko is the best girl.

Ah, who am I kidding. They are all the best girl.

Anyway, I'm sweating tomorrow's first match more than today's. hopefully my Chie upset pick will pay off!
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#223 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 1:53:08 PM | message detail
Has he lost any other time in the 1st Round?
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#224 | pyresword | Posted 7/11/2013 1:53:21 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Chie looks like the Fuuka in that group

time to bail

All my votes go to Jak


No. Fuuka, while incredibly annoying, is still somewhat of an interesting character. Chie doesn't even have that luxury. She's easily the worst of the main party.
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#225 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/11/2013 1:53:27 PM | message detail
Well, you can't say "never" if it's not never!

Just like you can't say Knuckles never loses to Square!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/2109

In fact, Knuckles has never won against FFVIII....!
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#226 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 1:54:21 PM | message detail
Knuckles is nearly unbeatable in the 1st Round.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#227 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/11/2013 1:54:55 PM | message detail
That is true.

But he still has never beaten an FFVIII character in a contest match!
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#228 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 1:55:26 PM | message detail
Soon. Very soon.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#229 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/11/2013 1:56:49 PM | message detail
Last place hour and still won.Okay nice.Still a 430 vote difference became 50 vote gain and ended with 360 vote difference.Who could say that they expected that?
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#230 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/11/2013 1:57:06 PM | message detail
Also, Jak has the chance to strike his name from the annals of the "Never Won" Club. It's still a pretty extensive list, too!

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Winless_Characters

ya go my Jak
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#231 | swordz9 | Posted 7/11/2013 1:59:09 PM | message detail
Fuuka's the 2nd best female PC in P3! Anyways Yukiko is the worst P4 girl. Boring social link, lame personality and her voice is bad too. Rise's a close 2nd since she's just an annoying fangirl type character.
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#232 | Achromatic | Posted 7/11/2013 2:00:39 PM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
Fuuka's the 2nd best female PC in P3! Anyways Yukiko is the worst P4 girl. Boring social link, lame personality and her voice is bad too. Rise's a close 2nd since she's just an annoying fangirl type character.


Man swordz opinions are so amazing sometimes. "annoying fangirl type" lmao.
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Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone.
#233 | swordz9 | Posted 7/11/2013 2:02:02 PM | message detail
She is totally a Yu fangirl. She also suffers from boring social link syndrome. Maybe P4G fixes stuff, but I don't see me ever changing my mind about Yukiko and Rise being the worst worst PCs of the game.
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#234 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/11/2013 2:03:58 PM | message detail
Nah Rise is easily the best girl

-Persona 4 Golden spoilers-

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6R0vUAkEeZQ

Yukiko is a solid 2nd though.
#235 | Silverflash-x | Posted 7/11/2013 2:07:50 PM | message detail
I only entered the Expert bracket because I didn't notice the normal Bracket in time. >_>

However, I've currently only missed Isaac > Tingle, and I'm going to get this match correct too.
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#236 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/11/2013 2:08:22 PM | message detail
You had Hero 2nd?Nice.
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#237 | Achromatic | Posted 7/11/2013 2:09:55 PM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
She is totally a Yu fangirl. She also suffers from boring social link syndrome. Maybe P4G fixes stuff, but I don't see me ever changing my mind about Yukiko and Rise being the worst worst PCs of the game.


Nah, that's totally an act she puts up for giggles. This is pretty fresh on my mind because I have been humping my copy of Golden lately. She has sincere appreciation for the type of young man Yu is, and plays it up to tease the other girls along with Yu himself. She is actually remarkably grounded in one on one convos.

Oh, sempai~
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Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone.
#238 | swordz9 | Posted 7/11/2013 2:12:09 PM | message detail
Achromatic posted...
swordz9 posted...
She is totally a Yu fangirl. She also suffers from boring social link syndrome. Maybe P4G fixes stuff, but I don't see me ever changing my mind about Yukiko and Rise being the worst worst PCs of the game.


Nah, that's totally an act she puts up for giggles. This is pretty fresh on my mind because I have been humping my copy of Golden lately. She has sincere appreciation for the type of young man Yu is, and plays it up to tease the other girls along with Yu himself. She is actually remarkably grounded in one on one convos.

Oh, sempai~

And you're talking to literally the biggest P3/4 fan on the board.
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#239 | swordz9 | Posted 7/11/2013 2:19:06 PM | message detail
Forget the board I'm going for the WORLD. That's how much I love both games.
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#240 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 2:19:07 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/954437-league-of-legends

I was bored, so...
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#241 | Haste_2 | Posted 7/11/2013 2:19:44 PM | message detail
Seeing Rinoa fail makes me feel MUCH better about Knuckles vs. Seifer now.

The character that's surprising me is not Hero, but Rinoa. I really didn't expect her to crumble so badly against Aeris. I guess she's just getting SFFed. At least Aeris is looking okay going into the next round.

Also, Juliet getting last means there's hope for society! Though 28% from an unknown game still is too good, so I guess TJF is still a factor.
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#242 | Achromatic | Posted 7/11/2013 2:20:42 PM | message detail
Haste, did Rinoa fail or did the Hero prove he is an AMAZING HUMAN BEING WHO DESERVES TO BE BACK AGAIN?
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Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone.
#243 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/11/2013 2:21:43 PM | message detail
Thought Hero would get SFF as well, like how Mega Man and Sonic get hurt by Nintendo.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 4/4 Today's Picks: Juliet and Aerith
#244 | Sorozone | Posted 7/11/2013 2:22:38 PM | message detail
Toriyama art factor tbh.
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#245 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 2:22:40 PM | message detail
Hero has the stand out factor + DBZ design + his name is Hero.
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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#246 | Achromatic | Posted 7/11/2013 2:22:41 PM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
Achromatic posted...
swordz9 posted...
She is totally a Yu fangirl. She also suffers from boring social link syndrome. Maybe P4G fixes stuff, but I don't see me ever changing my mind about Yukiko and Rise being the worst worst PCs of the game.


Nah, that's totally an act she puts up for giggles. This is pretty fresh on my mind because I have been humping my copy of Golden lately. She has sincere appreciation for the type of young man Yu is, and plays it up to tease the other girls along with Yu himself. She is actually remarkably grounded in one on one convos.

Oh, sempai~

And you're talking to literally the biggest P3/4 fan on the board.


swordz, Persona 4 is literally my favorite game of all time. Persona 3 a bit less so but yeah. Persona 4 took the crown from Dragon Quest V which is no mean feat. I don't always have occasion to bring it up but I love Persona 4! And I know that your characterization of Rise is incorrect.
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Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone.
#247 | swirIdude | Posted 7/11/2013 2:24:43 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Chie looks like the Fuuka in that group

time to bail

All my votes go to Jak


Actually, Yukiko is the most like Fuuka of the group.
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SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#248 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/11/2013 2:30:09 PM | message detail | (edited)
Hero's getting 26% on what is basically Aerith on steroids IMO. Better than expected, for sure, but I'd wait to see how Aerith does next round before judging him as non-fodder.

And is it getting hot in here or what?
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#249 | swordz9 | Posted 7/11/2013 2:31:54 PM | message detail
P3&4 are my favorite games of all time. Literally every game series on Earth could be canceled aside from Persona and I wouldn't even care. You're not going to beat me in terms of who the bigger fan is! They dethroned FFX by the way. Rise definitely has fangirl moments, but I just don't really care about her in general. Her social link is pretty much the same boring thing Yukiko's is, her voice is grating in both languages and she's just overall not as good as anybody else in the game though she's not as bad as Yukiko.
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#250 | Dilated Chemist (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/11/2013 2:36:10 PM | message detail
I still haven't beat P3
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Points: 6/6 Today's Picks: Draven & Ryu (SF)
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