Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1059

#151 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/11/2013 3:19:25 AM | message detail
3 out of 4 people that come here are American anyway.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#152 | scaryice | Posted 7/11/2013 3:21:52 AM | message detail
Tina's actually winning the US vote.
#153 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/11/2013 3:22:16 AM | message detail
That statement would be correct if you said "North America" instead of "American". Only about 62% of the votes are from the US. About another 10% is from Canada, about 1% from Mexico, and 2% from other North American countries.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#154 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 7/11/2013 3:28:52 AM | message detail
If Tharja is going to pull through it will likely be because she's still winning pretty easily in Canada.

Go Canucks.
---
Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
#155 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/11/2013 3:30:59 AM | message detail
Tharja's current strengths right now:

Canada, Mexico, Europe (excluding the UK), South America, Asia, and Australia.

Of course, if Tharja manages to get the morning vote in the US, she will definitely hold on. She's probably screwed if Tiny Tina gains a lot of percentage in the US during the morning vote.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#156 | __Smurf__ | Posted 7/11/2013 3:32:06 AM | message detail
Ultimaphazon posted...
I would love Tina managing the comeback, even though I have Tharja winning. Everyone instantly dismissed Tina as an obvious last in this match, so her actually winning would completely screw over all brackets and Expert challengers.


Tina for last was always as illogical as Chie for last, some people just seem to make their selections on popular opinion instead of considering any sort of logic or past poll results in what they're doing. There was no actual reason to think Juliet would do anything and it was just people flipping their **** over TJF and this supposed "middle factor"
---
Smurf, the cream of Sonic fanboyism
#157 | Achromatic | Posted 7/11/2013 3:36:15 AM | message detail
I can't speak for anyone else about this, but I haven't played BL2 yet and all the info I got was that Tina wasn't amazingly liked (I regretted this a bit when I actually researched her last night before the match and found she was hilarious) and knew there was a lot of pop for Juliet and her game, even if it didn't sell that well.

To be fair we are talking about the difference of expectations of maybe 2000 votes. Hard to get a read on that sometimes.
---
Death is not to be feared, but avoidance never hurt anyone.
#158 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/11/2013 3:38:14 AM | message detail
Tharja's dropped 45 votes in 20 minutes. She needs to stabilise if she wants to win.
---
We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
#159 | jacko_vdz | Posted 7/11/2013 3:40:29 AM | message detail
Wouldn't mind Tina making a match of this, even though I have Tharja.
#160 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 7/11/2013 3:44:31 AM | message detail
Tina's pretty popular. She does have haters though. Just like Tharja!

Also, there seems to be a trend of big cuts followed by long periods of stalling or regaining. I imagine one way or the other, that will change soon.
---
Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
#161 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 7/11/2013 3:52:01 AM | message detail
Just caught up on the thread, and... Ahahahahahaha.

If Tina comes back, I'm going to laugh so f***ing hard at everyone who didn't bank on this.
---
Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#162 | KommunistKoala | Posted 7/11/2013 3:57:49 AM | message detail
Well at any rate time to switch Yuri and Face in my Expert

not sure why I had a Tales character not getting last to begin with though!

Also Tina isn't coming back </called>
---
http://img.imgcake.com/KommunistKoala/koalajpgehsa.jpg
http://img.imgcake.com/KKpngat.png
#163 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 7/11/2013 3:59:00 AM | message detail
KommunistKoala posted...
Well at any rate time to switch Yuri and Face in my Expert

not sure why I had a Tales character not getting last to begin with though!

Also Tina isn't coming back </called>


Face is a joke character present for one quest. I don't think you need to worry about him beating Yuri.
---
For your SuperNiceDog.
At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza
#164 | KommunistKoala | Posted 7/11/2013 4:00:41 AM | message detail
Doesn't he kinda look like the guys on the cover of the games though?

It's less about him and more about BL2 strength and Tales weakness.
---
http://img.imgcake.com/KommunistKoala/koalajpgehsa.jpg
http://img.imgcake.com/KKpngat.png
#165 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:01:54 AM | message detail
KommunistKoala posted...
Doesn't he kinda look like the guys on the cover of the games though?

It's less about him and more about BL2 strength and Tales weakness.


Yeah, he looks like a generic psycho from the game. Maybe that'll help him, I dunno.
---
For your SuperNiceDog.
At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza
#166 | Sorozone | Posted 7/11/2013 4:03:13 AM | message detail
Past hour Tina has managed a 16 vote cut. Previous hour Tharja had a 9 vote gain. Tharja has been gaining for the past 15 minutes however.
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#167 | Gooper Blooper | Posted 7/11/2013 4:07:50 AM | message detail
Wow, I knew this match was gonna be weird. I banked.

Good to see something interesting! I always prefer interesting over predictable in these things.
---
And then the car wash cost five dollars.
#168 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/11/2013 4:18:28 AM | message detail
It's much more fun to root for the character doing the comeback (remember Red vs Ocelot early last CB) but while I haven't played any of the games here (though I have played other Fire Emblem games) I have Tharja winning so go stalling.
---
*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#169 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:24:27 AM | message detail
Tina needs to average 4.7 votes cut per update to win from here on. Unless she gets a great morning vote, Tharja should be fine.
---
We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
#170 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:25:47 AM | message detail
Kotetsu534 posted...
Tina needs to average 4.7 votes cut per update to win from here on. Unless she gets a great morning vote, Tharja should be fine.


Cue 20 votes.
---
http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
#171 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 7/11/2013 4:32:06 AM | message detail
Well this isn't good.
---
Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
#172 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 7/11/2013 4:32:27 AM | message detail
It's good for my entertainment.
---
Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#173 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:32:44 AM | message detail
In the last hour, Tina has cut 46 votes. At this rate Tharja will win by 28 votes.
In the last half hour, Tina has cut 53 votes. At this rate Tina will win by 0.5 votes.

Yep. 0.5 votes.

...this could be close.
---
NGirl@work or on phone.
#174 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 7/11/2013 4:34:58 AM | message detail
Go Tina, rather get -2 than -6.
#175 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 7/11/2013 4:36:21 AM | message detail
And a 30 vote cut.

:smug:
---
Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#176 | pyresword | Posted 7/11/2013 4:39:32 AM | message detail
Oh my god I wake up and Tina is going to win this. I am so sad
---
This is my signature.
#177 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:40:11 AM | message detail
Amazing match.And the strange thing is that everyone had Tina last and she can win!
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#178 | pyresword | Posted 7/11/2013 4:44:49 AM | message detail
I'm pretty sure with this level of fodder nobody would have been surprised with any result though.

That being said YES CLOSE MATCH. Finally one where it looks like every character is between 30 and 40 percent
---
This is my signature.
#179 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 7/11/2013 4:44:49 AM | message detail
Bit too soon to say going to win.

Still, THE TENSION.

If Tharja can get a few good updates, she's got this. Also Juliet is sinking now.
---
Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
#180 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:45:48 AM | message detail
Yeah morning vote has arrived, Tina wins.
---
NGirl@work or on phone.
#181 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:47:21 AM | message detail | (edited)
Whatever double post.
---
NGirl@work or on phone.
#182 | jacko_vdz | Posted 7/11/2013 4:47:37 AM | message detail
WE GOT A MATCH! Hype!
#183 | pyresword | Posted 7/11/2013 4:47:46 AM | message detail
Yeah, when Tina has more then halved the difference since I've went to bed plus America is waking up I don't think Tharja has a very good shot
---
This is my signature.
#184 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:48:28 AM | message detail
Woo go Tina!
---
We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
#185 | pyresword | Posted 7/11/2013 4:50:58 AM | message detail
God these cuts won't stop.

COME ON THARJA YOU CAN DO IT.
---
This is my signature.
#186 | jacko_vdz | Posted 7/11/2013 4:51:07 AM | message detail
Dem cuts.
#187 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:52:06 AM | message detail
So Tina wins eh?Okay that is nice.I wonder how many brackets will have this wrong,it must be a record.If only we could see the stats.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#188 | Sorozone | Posted 7/11/2013 4:52:13 AM | message detail
Match is really interesting, but I need to go to bed. Tharja is looking like she is gonna lose it.
---
http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif
#189 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:54:18 AM | message detail | (edited)
In the last hour, Tina has cut 105 votes. At this rate Tina will win by 279.5 votes.
In the last half hour, Tina has cut 110 votes. At this rate Tina will win by 717 votes.
---
NGirl@work or on phone.
#190 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/11/2013 4:55:30 AM | message detail
Safer_777 posted...
So Tina wins eh?Okay that is nice.I wonder how many brackets will have this wrong,it must be a record.If only we could see the stats.


If the Oracle is any indication, Tina had roughly 2.5% support.
---
Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#191 | Swaghax | Posted 7/11/2013 4:56:57 AM | message detail
I have Tharja in my regular bracket but I have Tiny Tara > Tharja > Juliet in my expert bracket. Speaking of which, how do you view the leaderboard?
---
Check out my swag
#192 | jacko_vdz | Posted 7/11/2013 4:56:59 AM | message detail
LOL Fire Emblem.

Only 4 gurus picked Tiny Tina.
#193 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/11/2013 4:58:29 AM | message detail
Go to poll results and then character battle home.Select view leaderboards.Scroll down to see how many people had each match correct predict.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#194 | pjbasis | Posted 7/11/2013 5:01:35 AM | message detail
Oh man this is awesome, go Tina!

If I'm wrong everyone should be wrong!
---
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#195 | -Tofa7- | Posted 7/11/2013 5:01:57 AM | message detail
Too many cuts.

Should have seen this coming. I knew it would be a close match, and when it comes down to it, where on earth do you go to rally a Fire Emblem game? Borderlands is a lot easier to find support for, it has that mainstream appeal, and that's what's going to give the small edge it needed when all is said and done.

Wonder what the prediction percentage will be like. I have a feeling casuals will be pretty accurate here in supporting Tina.
---
"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."
#196 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 7/11/2013 5:02:01 AM | message detail
Dat Tharja gain.
---
Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
#197 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/11/2013 5:02:31 AM | message detail
4 vote gain for Tharja! Though Juliet got the percentage
---
*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#198 | DpObliVion | Posted 7/11/2013 5:02:44 AM | message detail
No, f*** you, Tharja. Come on, Tina!
---
It's Lu Bu! Lu Bu has come to destroy us!
#199 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 7/11/2013 5:03:51 AM | message detail
In the last hour, Tina has cut 147 votes. At this rate Tina will win by 447 votes, taking the lead at 9.00
In the last half hour, Tina has cut 94 votes. At this rate Tina will win by 611 votes, taking the lead at 8.50.
---
NGirl@work or on phone.
#200 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 7/11/2013 5:04:46 AM | message detail
Spoilers: that last post means it's over.
---
NGirl@work or on phone.