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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1058
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Match V: (5) Tharja vs. (14) Juliet Starling vs. (23) Tiny Tina Previous Contest Tharja – N/A N/A Juliet Starling – N/A N/A Tiny Tina – N/A N/A Analysis First match of the contest where any of the three characters has a decent chance at winning the match. While the board seems to be favouring Tharja and largely ignoring Tina few people seem to be confident in the match and most are electing to bank the expert challenge. Between the three characters Tharja seems to be second in the most factors while the other two flip between first and third; she’s from the second biggest game, she’s the second most relevant character in the game and depending who you ask she will benefit second most by the picture. While not excelling in any of the various factors she does benefit in most of them which is likely why she is the board favourite. However, while Tharja is a playable character in Fire Emblem: Awakening the game has over 40 playable characters and she has almost no role in the story. It is true that she is a fan favourite and she is likely to perform better than the average character from the game, but I believe that she will suffer from ensemble cast syndrome like we have seen for Final Fantasy VI and Tales of Symphonia characters. Lollipop Chainsaw would by far be the weakest game between the three games, but at least Juliet is the face of that game. She also had the benefit of a large media campaign when the game was released, of course that was about a year ago so the benefit now would probably be small. Juliet will also likely have the picture advantage going into the match; she is cheerleader with a chainsaw after all. Tharja is no slouch in the picture department though. I am a bit surprised on the lack of support for Tiny Tina being from Borderlands 2 should have at least made people pause and think about the upset. She is a NPC, but when you have opponents likely to be as weak as this recognition is a key factor and given she is not hated by the fanbase (nor is she well liked for that matter) recognition can go a long way. Also to her benefit is that she was recently given a DLC which will only add to her being recognized. I shudder to think about the vote total in this match, a night match to boot. I am going to hope for the picture factor dominating this match and go with Juliet, but Tiny Tina could very easily pull off the upset. I am not expecting much out of Tharja, she may be Nintendo, but she is an ensemble character on a 3DS game. She could win if her two opponents are legendarily weak, which is a possibility I guess. charmander6000’s Bracket: Juliet Starling > Tiny Tina and Tharja charmander6000’s Prediction: Juliet Starling – 38.84%, Tiny Tina – 33.36%, Tharja – 27.80% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 2/2 Today's Picks: Yoshi and Shepard |
Shouldn't
Tharja be benefiting the most from being a night match? I was under
the impression that BL2 and Lollipop Chainsaw were biggest in the US,
while FEA was biggest in Europe and Japan. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
Yes the night vote should belong to Tharja. It's one of the reasons I picked her. --- http://i.imgur.com/32RNLnc.gif |
I'm going with Tharja > Tina > Juliet --- "This is a fantasy based on reality." DChemist |
i don't think Japan gets a relevant number of votes. Asia as a whole barely does. --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
I
keep flip-flopping between Juliet and Tina for second place. There's a
good argument to be made for either of them, but without any poll info
to go on, I just don't know. I just keep looking at the the 2010 match between Zelda and Travis Touchdown and wondering to myself, "Would Tiny Tina get 30% on Zelda?" --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
none of these 3 would get 30% on Zelda so i'm not sure how that's a relevant question --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
Xuxon posted... none of these 3 would get 30% on Zelda so i'm not sure how that's a relevant question Because I have to assume that Juliet Starling is weaker than Travis Touchdown. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
If pick Juliet > Travis, easy. --- "This is a fantasy based on reality." DChemist |
Oh
damn, looks like I never checked my expert bracket and had Kain >
Olimar from a few weeks ago. Oh well, I guess I'm out of that now
>.<. |
Dilated Chemist posted... If pick Juliet > Travis, easy. No More Heroes was better received than Lollipop Chainsaw, despite the latter getting more marketing. In addition, Travis has two games under his belt to Juliet's one. Since casuals aren't a huge presence on this site, I think the intangibles fall in his favor, rather than hers. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
i
dunno, if you're even considering any of these to be near Travis in
strength then pick that one for first, easily. i think Edgeworth would
win this poll. --- http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lxkdr0uNc91qlu5jao1_r1_400.gif |
Juliet has TJF. --- "This is a fantasy based on reality." DChemist |
Xuxon posted... i dunno, if you're even considering any of these to be near Travis in strength then pick that one for first, easily. i think Edgeworth would win this poll. I'm not worried about first, I'm worried about second and third. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
So far, the Link match is the one with the fewest votes.... --- Congratulation to SuperNiceDog. Guru Champ and Rivalry Rumble Master |
Though
we've only had 2 night matches, so we can't jump to conclusions just
yet. Tonight's match probably ends up with less votes than the Link
match. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Here's my question about Chester/Mewtwo/Zero(999): Does Mewtwo lose percentage with his new Croissant forme, and if so, by how much? --- Wii Fit Trainer MASTER RACE |
Ytterbium_70 posted... Here's my question about Chester/Mewtwo/Zero(999): He would. Not enough to be anywhere close to losing that match, though. --- Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place |
Ytterbium_70 posted... Does Mewtwo lose percentage with his new Croissant forme, and if so, by how much? I would compare the vote loss to Dante getting a DmC pic. There are a lot of people who quit the franchise after RBY or GSC, so a brand-new design would shed lots of nostalgia votes. --- Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave. |
Ugh... I am sooo freaking out over the next match. I'm gonna get an ulcer, and none of you a-holes are helping. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
DoctorJimmy133 posted... Ytterbium_70 posted...Does Mewtwo lose percentage with his new Croissant forme, and if so, by how much? It's also from an unreleased game. A lot people who aren't up to date on Gen 6 won't have any idea what it is. --- Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place Pokemon VGC2013 US National - 39th place |
Oh man 10 minutes till the first good match --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
Ah, don't know if I should go with Tharja > Juliet > Tina for my Expert or bank! --- "This is a fantasy based on reality." DChemist |
Bank it! |
Well, there are tons of competitors, and you sure don't win by banking. I've decided to go all-in. --- Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave. |
DoctorJimmy133 posted... Well, there are tons of competitors, and you sure don't win by banking. I've decided to go all-in. Yeah, that's my thought. Since all the matches are worth the same number of points, you can really only win by taking risks on the first round, where some matches are actually up in the air. Which is REALLY going to suck if I lose this! --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
Points go up each Round. --- "This is a fantasy based on reality." DChemist |
I'm going for it: Tharja > Juliet > Tina That was my initial gut pick. I'm not confident, of course, but I still feel more sure than with the Draven, Chie and Jak match. Gotta go for at least one of them, I think. Don't disappoint me, FE fanbase. --- Life isn't fair, it's just fairer than death, that's all |
Dilated Chemist posted... Points go up each Round. So it does. I didn't notice that. Doesn't detract from what I said, though. The later rounds are going to be easier to predict. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
I
have Tiny Tina going 3rd, and banking on 1st and 2nd. I don't feel
confident in Tharja going into this match, especially after the match
pic got revealed. --- The Gamer In Me "Ike and Ash & Co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it." - Mer telling us his dream. |
Whoa, board vote power. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
aww yeah dat top option board vote Tharja 80% 16 Votes Your Pick Juliet Starling 15% 3 Votes Tiny Tina 5% 1 Votes --- Dr voltchball - best in the world. |
Tharja 88.89% 8 Votes Juliet Starling 11.11% 1 Votes Tiny Tina 0% 0 Votes Total Votes: 9 --- Chen Kenichi's #1 Fan (also Yoblazer) http://i.imgur.com/xiKRQ2F.gif |
Hell yeah~ banked it all in baby --- "i am pretty sure 3-year old children would generate more thoughtful discussion than board 8 on any topic of sexism" - Naye745 |
C'mon Tharja, stay strong! |
Oh man, that first minute makes me hurt. Come on Juliet! --- Nominate Spring Breeze Dancin' from Mystical Ninja Starring Goemon for Character Battle IX! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NJrnlFW4IMc |
Dat board vote --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls Points: 2/2 Today's Picks: Yoshi and Shepard |
Juliet isn't letting this go yet --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Well, Tharja won this one pretty quick. --- "The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad |
Tharja 85.71% 6 Votes Your Pick Juliet Starling 14.29% 1 Votes Tiny Tina 0% 0 Votes Total Votes: 7 |
All up from here, lollipop. --- Leafs / Raptors / Blue Jays / TFC / Argos / Tottenham We'll get 'em next year. |
Lets go Tharja. I have no idea who you are, but my bracket depends on it! --- nt |
Tharja starting to pull away. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :( |
C'mon, Juliet! Just hang in there! --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
yes..I am getting all 3 right for this match would be amazing, if it stays like this. --- ... |
Omg so wrong --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
Yeah I'm feeling good about Tharja here, barring a collapse after the board vote I think she has this. |
It's not a complete runaway, so Juliet has a decent chance at catching up. --- BFC: 2492-6375-2047 |
yes..I am getting all 3 right for this match would be amazing, if it stays like this. I decided to go for it at the last second :o --- Life isn't fair, it's just fairer than death, that's all |
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