Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1058

#201 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 9:33:10 AM | message detail
But it's still recognizable as Shepard. Shepard isn't a character that lives or dies like on design like Samus or Snake - Shepard is basically just a slightly fancier space marine. The point of the character is that you can imagine Shepard to be whatever you want, so I don't varying match pics is going to hurt him/her/it much in general.
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#202 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/10/2013 9:33:50 AM | message detail
It's a little presumptuous to use the term "better than expected" for middle options considering they are either new or we have relatively no data on them...
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#203 | Xuxon | Posted 7/10/2013 9:37:30 AM | message detail
i don't get this "middle standout" thing at all. if Waluigi, Isaac, and Olimar were on the right, you'd be talking about the "right standout" factor.
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#204 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 9:37:30 AM | message detail
Middle characters that I see taking last place in their polls include:

Chie Satonaka
Dunban
Archer
Welkin Gunther
Miles Edgeworth ?
Poison
Ratchet haha
Francis York Morgan
Hades
Lloyd Irving
Lu Bu
Meat Boy
Steve
Isaac Clarke
Cirno
Guybrush Threepwood
Urdnot Wrex
Geno
Travis Touchdown
Kratos Aurion
Claptrap
Lyndis
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#205 | pyresword | Posted 7/10/2013 9:38:21 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
But it's still recognizable as Shepard. Shepard isn't a character that lives or dies like on design like Samus or Snake - Shepard is basically just a slightly fancier space marine. The point of the character is that you can imagine Shepard to be whatever you want, so I don't varying match pics is going to hurt him/her/it much in general.


This might be accurate if everyone who voted for Shepard played Mass Effect in the first place. However, I can assure you based on personal experience that isn't the case. There are quite a large number of matches (although not this one) where I would vote for Shepard without having ever played his games, and I only know him as the one face which exits on the cover of the games. When I see that I think "Yeah! Commander Shepard! Mass Effect! Those games were popular!" When I see the current picture though all I think is "Who is this chick again? Don't care voting for the guy from Smash."
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#206 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 9:40:44 AM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
i don't get this "middle standout" thing at all. if Waluigi, Isaac, and Olimar were on the right, you'd be talking about the "right standout" factor.


The middle character in the match pic physically stands out due to being positioned differently. Olimar wouldn't stand out without that.
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#207 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 9:42:08 AM | message detail | (edited)
Olimar still comes in 2nd if he were the Right Character though. I wouldn't read too far into the positioning of characters.

Some Middle Characters will destroy, some with come in 3rd.
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#208 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/10/2013 9:42:08 AM | message detail
Middle standout factor confirmed.
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#209 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 9:43:34 AM | message detail
And with the characters we've had so far (Demi-Fiend, Tingle, Alan Wake), it's easy to see why the 3rd option has not broke 15%.
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#210 | GloriousSweater | Posted 7/10/2013 9:44:24 AM | message detail
Middle stand out factor? I'm much more interested in this "third place" factor where it seems that the last place character gets abandoned and does far worse than he would in a 1v1. I might have to adjust future predictions in light of this, especially if one of the three ladies (all of which are gauged to be at about the same level according to the board) gets totally left behind tonight.
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#211 | Xuxon | Posted 7/10/2013 9:44:29 AM | message detail
i disagree. Olimar just has a standout design compared to the other two.
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#212 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 9:45:47 AM | message detail
I don't think anyone has gauged Tiny Tina to be on the same level as the others.
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#213 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 9:47:02 AM | message detail
Jigglypuff is going to stand out at the Right Spot.

Puts up 35%+ on X
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#214 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 7/10/2013 9:48:23 AM | message detail
I'd be amazed if Tiny Tina keeps close to Tharja. Juliet is a complete wildcard in my eyes, but should beat Tina.
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#215 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 9:48:29 AM | message detail
And you mine aswell put a VS. over Welkin, he's going to get destroyed (below 10%).
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#216 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 9:49:35 AM | message detail
Well, he might get over 10%, but he isn't breaking 11%.
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#217 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/10/2013 9:57:22 AM | message detail
So, how does this make other Brawlers like Marth and Pit look with Olimar doing relatively well?
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#218 | superange128 | Posted 7/10/2013 10:01:51 AM | message detail
Mr. Game and Watch has a much bigger chance of beating Lee now
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#219 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 7/10/2013 10:02:41 AM | message detail
I just hope the next match lives up to the hype. I'm going all in on the Expert Challenge, but I don't really care who wins as long as it's fun. Although, it will probably have the lowest vote totals ever.
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#220 | GloriousSweater | Posted 7/10/2013 10:03:13 AM | message detail
I always considered Mr. Game & Watch a huge favorite over Lee. That's the one board pick that's baffled me more than any other.
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#221 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 10:08:35 AM | message detail
I have G&W winning, but Pit losing to Cecil.
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#222 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 10:15:02 AM | message detail
And Kain breaks 15%. First 3rd option to do so.
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#223 | GloriousSweater | Posted 7/10/2013 10:15:32 AM | message detail
Cecil > Pit is a much more reasonable pick than Lee > GW
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#224 | spooky96 | Posted 7/10/2013 10:23:24 AM | message detail
One less bracket here LOL

Up till a few minutes ago I was thinking I had Tharja winning the next match. But as I checked I had Juliet winning *_*

Does she doesn't have any chance at all?
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#225 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 10:24:41 AM | message detail
I did follow the board pick with Phoenix Wright over Marth/Nightmare (Marth has to come in 2nd though right?)

I'm an old school 2002 contest follower and prefer 24 hours no matter what, but this being a 12-hour Night match (haha Nightmare)...
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#226 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 10:26:14 AM | message detail
spooky96 posted...
One less bracket here LOL

Up till a few minutes ago I was thinking I had Tharja winning the next match. But as I checked I had Juliet winning *_*

Does she doesn't have any chance at all?


I'd say she has a chance. I have no faith in Tiny Tina so she's an easy last place in my Expert pick but yeah, first real debatable match.
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#227 | SonicRaptor | Posted 7/10/2013 10:27:17 AM | message detail
I cannot really say I am surprised by Kain's performance, even though Olimar > Kain hurts my Expert bracket. He hasn't had a game in a good decade now and awareness of the guy has to be way down (and a quick Google indicates there was a new game, Dead Sun, that was cancelled last year). It's a shame because I remember when that series was really ambitious and engrossing in its story and setting and it's kind of just...gone.
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#228 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 10:30:21 AM | message detail
I'm surprised Kain made the bracket and not Raziel.
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#229 | SonicRaptor | Posted 7/10/2013 10:32:14 AM | message detail
Dilated Chemist posted...
I'm surprised Kain made the bracket and not Raziel.


Raziel was the face of the franchise for a while until Crystal Dynamics began to get Kain back in there. Afterwards Kain started becoming more and more a fan favorite with LoK fans.

I so want a new game in that series, it's been 10 years, it's not fair.
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#230 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 10:33:41 AM | message detail
I want a remake of Xenogears!

Let's go Fei Fong Wong > Dan!
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#231 | SonicRaptor | Posted 7/10/2013 10:42:31 AM | message detail
I'm wondering now if Pikmin 3 is responsible for Olimar's little boost here because I'm really having a hard time believing that ME3 or the Femshep picture (I hate having to say the latter but given it's Gamerz we're talking about it's likely) hit Shepard that much.
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#232 | DoctorJimmy133 | Posted 7/10/2013 10:57:59 AM | message detail
Looks like Juliet gets a double standout factor: One from being in the middle, and one from having a dissimilar art style to the other two. She'll get a third standout if Tharja doesn't get TJF.

Crap, I have Tharja, but I'm getting worried.
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#233 | Greyfeld | Posted 7/10/2013 11:03:40 AM | message detail
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Looks like Juliet gets a double standout factor: One from being in the middle, and one from having a dissimilar art style to the other two. She'll get a third standout if Tharja doesn't get TJF.

Crap, I have Tharja, but I'm getting worried.


I wouldn't worry too much about it. We're talking about a fan favorite character from a well-liked JRPG on a Nintendo handheld. Juliet has flair, but her game is about as flash-in-the-pan as Dead Rising, and I can't imagine it having a huge following here.

I'm more worried about who's getting the second and third spots. I've heard that Tina isn't liked very much, but we don't have any info on the Borderlands characters, aside from Claptrap.
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#234 | Kibago | Posted 7/10/2013 11:04:55 AM | message detail
I picked Juliet because I figured she'd win huge among those who aren't familiar with any of the three games because of her design (which is going to be a decent chunk of the voters.) any help she can get from her placement/art will definitely go along with that
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#235 | superange128 | Posted 7/10/2013 11:05:10 AM | message detail
While Tharja has a bunch of fans she also has some haters

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/643003-fire-emblem-awakening/66688743
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#236 | __Smurf__ | Posted 7/10/2013 11:05:57 AM | message detail
A lot of people are going to feel like fools taking Juliet for any position other than last, she represents the weakest series against Fire Emblem and Borderlands, doesn't have the individual exposure like Tiny from her own DLC and the entire logic for selecting her seems to be that her design will act as a magnet for the undecided which is shaky logic at best in a poll with 3 females.
It's a serious upset call to take her for anything, Tharja > Tina > Juliet is the result if it were voted on by their game.
It's not like Travis ever did well either and this is a poor mans Travis from a game that even suda fans were mixed on.
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#237 | StarStormScream | Posted 7/10/2013 11:12:04 AM | message detail | (edited)
superange128 posted...
While Tharja has a bunch of fans she also has some haters

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/643003-fire-emblem-awakening/66688743


I'm going thru Awakening right now, up to Chapter 13(?). Tharja's a nice, entertaining character, but I'm failing to see why she, of all of the non-plot important playable units, was amongst the most nominated for this game other than her attire...*shrug*
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#238 | Greyfeld | Posted 7/10/2013 11:10:50 AM | message detail
__Smurf__ posted...
A lot of people are going to feel like fools taking Juliet for any position other than last, she represents the weakest series against Fire Emblem and Borderlands, doesn't have the individual exposure like Tiny from her own DLC and the entire logic for selecting her seems to be that her design will act as a magnet for the undecided which is shaky logic at best in a poll with 3 females.
It's a serious upset call to take her for anything, Tharja > Tina > Juliet is the result if it were voted on by their game.
It's not like Travis ever did well either and this is a poor mans Travis from a game that even suda fans were mixed on.


My second and third picks are still up in the air. I might just nix them for that round, I'm not entirely sure yet. What you say makes a lot of sense, but I also don't have a gauge of the site's opinion on Tina, or how likely they are to anti-vote her.
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#239 | Greyfeld | Posted 7/10/2013 11:11:35 AM | message detail
StarStormScream posted...
superange128 posted...
While Tharja has a bunch of fans she also has some haters

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/643003-fire-emblem-awakening/66688743


I'm going thru Awakening right now, up to Chapter 13(?). Tharja's a nice, entertaining character, but I'm failing to see she, of all of the playable units, was amongst the most nominated for this game other than her attire...*shrug*


Because Tsunderes and Yanderes get the anime/JRPG crowd into a frenzy.
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#240 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/10/2013 11:11:55 AM | message detail
I don't have much faith in Tharja, a playable character in a 40+ cast with little to do with the story just screams ensemble syndrome.

I almost feel Tina may take it, probably the most recognizable of the three, from the strongest game of the three and has a new DLC.
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#241 | Xuxon | Posted 7/10/2013 11:21:38 AM | message detail
i don't see how anyone who knows who Tina is could vote for her
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#242 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 7/10/2013 11:22:07 AM | message detail
Fire Emblem > generic brown FPS
Also, doesn't Borderlands also have an ensemble cast? And according to my friends who have played the game (one of them being a huge Hey Ash fan) hated Tiny Tina.
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#243 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/10/2013 11:22:22 AM | message detail
Was Lollipop Chainsaw not heavily advertised in the US? I went with Juliet without a second thought but that was admittedly swayed by the fact that it was advertised to hell in my area at release plus on TV. I assumed it would have been the same in the US >_>
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#244 | CrushDavis | Posted 7/10/2013 11:23:29 AM | message detail
I went with Tharja because shes a Nintendo character against two turbo fodder. In a situation like that, is there any Ninty character that wouldn't win?
#245 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 7/10/2013 11:27:18 AM | message detail
CrushDavis posted...
I went with Tharja because shes a Nintendo character against two turbo fodder. In a situation like that, is there any Ninty character that wouldn't win?


True but I personally didn't even know what game Tharja was from, nevermind that she's a Nintendo character.
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#246 | pjbasis | Posted 7/10/2013 11:27:50 AM | message detail
Olimar would eat Tharja for breakfast.

I don't think any non-FE Nintendo fan would recognize any of the Awakening characters.
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#247 | superange128 | Posted 7/10/2013 11:28:37 AM | message detail
ShatteredElysium posted...
Was Lollipop Chainsaw not heavily advertised in the US? I went with Juliet without a second thought but that was admittedly swayed by the fact that it was advertised to hell in my area at release plus on TV. I assumed it would have been the same in the US >_>


I saw it advertised a bunch whenever I want to Gamestop
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#248 | pjbasis | Posted 7/10/2013 11:29:13 AM | message detail
I remember IGN had that whole thing about picking the actress to play as Juliet for promotions.
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#249 | pjbasis | Posted 7/10/2013 11:29:27 AM | message detail
#250 | superange128 | Posted 7/10/2013 11:29:38 AM | message detail
StarStormScream posted...
superange128 posted...
While Tharja has a bunch of fans she also has some haters

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/643003-fire-emblem-awakening/66688743


I'm going thru Awakening right now, up to Chapter 13(?). Tharja's a nice, entertaining character, but I'm failing to see why she, of all of the non-plot important playable units, was amongst the most nominated for this game other than her attire...*shrug*


Get her supports with the Avatar (whether male of female)
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