Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1058

#151 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/10/2013 6:42:36 AM | message detail
How can 13 people not have Raiden winning?

Favourite/random brackets
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls
Points: 2/2 Today's Picks: Yoshi and Shepard
#152 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/10/2013 7:20:52 AM | message detail
So, it looks like this match is breaking 30000 votes. Unusual for this match to be outdoing a Link match, though SFF/LFF matches usually suffer from reduced vote totals.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#153 | eaglesarebeasts | Posted 7/10/2013 8:58:07 AM | message detail
I have a feeling that Mass Effect characters are going to be really strong this contest.
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Currently Playing: Bioshock Infinite
#154 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/10/2013 9:00:26 AM | message detail
Early lead Olimar.
#155 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/10/2013 9:00:38 AM | message detail
6th vote for Olimar!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#156 | abdou | Posted 7/10/2013 9:00:46 AM | message detail
expert voting lol
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#157 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 9:01:06 AM | message detail
Aerith > Shep
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"This is a fantasy based on reality."
DChemist
#158 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/10/2013 9:01:18 AM | message detail
#159 | eaglesarebeasts | Posted 7/10/2013 9:01:22 AM | message detail
Good, get the FemShep picture out of the way in round 1.
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Currently Playing: Bioshock Infinite
#160 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 9:01:26 AM | message detail
jesus shepard
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#161 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/10/2013 9:01:57 AM | message detail
Shepard pulling away now. That was an interesting first minute. And LOL at the freeze at 1 minute this time.
#162 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 7/10/2013 9:02:06 AM | message detail
Olimar.

Olimar wut r u doin?
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NGirl@work or on phone.
#163 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 9:02:35 AM | message detail
I always overestimate the 3rd character. The 3rd character has never broke 15%.
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"This is a fantasy based on reality."
DChemist
#164 | Greyfeld | Posted 7/10/2013 9:02:50 AM | message detail
Holy crap, I'm glad I switched Kain/Olimar around at the last minute.
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#165 | eaglesarebeasts | Posted 7/10/2013 9:02:56 AM | message detail
So much for my Kain > Olimar prediction
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Currently Playing: Bioshock Infinite
#166 | SubDeity | Posted 7/10/2013 9:03:39 AM | message detail
Well crap.
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"Hamas isn't really a terror organization." -Terran [Evil Republican]
Play Der Langrisser.
#167 | pjbasis | Posted 7/10/2013 9:03:42 AM | message detail
Olimar on GAME FUEL PIKMIN 3 HYPE
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#168 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/10/2013 9:04:29 AM | message detail
There was no way a character who dates back into the 90s and still not getting a release 10 years later would beat a Smash character no matter how lame Olimar looked in the past.
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"i am pretty sure 3-year old children would generate more thoughtful discussion than board 8 on any topic of sexism" - Naye745
#169 | HaRRicH | Posted 7/10/2013 9:04:31 AM | message detail
FemFactor

This doesn't tell us much about how he'll do against Aeris, but it says plenty about how his female-self (weird wording) is received by voters.
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T H E S T A B L E - bring on Epona!
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
#170 | Safer_777 | Posted 7/10/2013 9:04:55 AM | message detail
Yeah what is wrong with 3rd characters?They really suck.All 3 had under 15%.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#171 | Greyfeld | Posted 7/10/2013 9:04:59 AM | message detail
eaglesarebeasts posted...
So much for my Kain > Olimar prediction


That's what I had originally too, but after reading some of the predictions, I realized that Olimar had some face time in an SSB game. The only one I've played is the Gamecube version, so I didn't know. But I figured the SSB boost would put him over.
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#172 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/10/2013 9:05:08 AM | message detail
Glad I abstained from Expert for the second/third placers this match. I would've picked Kain > Olimar.
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#173 | Articuno2001 | Posted 7/10/2013 9:05:43 AM | message detail
so much Nintendo underestimation

Kain has never done well, and Olimar's been repeatedly killed in Nintendo matches
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Character Battle IX: 3/3 points, Next matches: Shepard, Tharja
http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif
#174 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/10/2013 9:06:31 AM | message detail
Huge Olimar drop there.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#175 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/10/2013 9:07:12 AM | message detail
Knowing WRPG board votes, we may see Cloud esque trends here.
#176 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 7/10/2013 9:07:38 AM | message detail
That update looks a lot more normal.
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NGirl@work or on phone.
#177 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 9:07:51 AM | message detail
Still perfect in Expert Challenge. I have Shep > Olimar > Kain.

Tonight though, might be banking. But I feel pretty good about Tharja > Juliet > Tina enough to say **** IT ALL IN!
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"This is a fantasy based on reality."
DChemist
#178 | abdou | Posted 7/10/2013 9:07:55 AM | message detail
Shep is not beating Aeirith regardless of which picture he/she gets
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#179 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 9:08:33 AM | message detail
OH SNAP 3RD CHARACTER WITH OVER 15%

Finally.
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"This is a fantasy based on reality."
DChemist
#180 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/10/2013 9:10:41 AM | message detail
Olimar has only been killed by Nintendo one time. In his other appearence he faced Mega Man, Nero and Banjo.
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#181 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/10/2013 9:11:49 AM | message detail
Heh, Shep already up to 54%. Seems my projection of 60% may still happen at this rate.
#182 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 7/10/2013 9:12:53 AM | message detail
Dilated Chemist posted...
OH SNAP 3RD CHARACTER WITH OVER 15%

Finally.


So much for that.

Also Shepard struggling to double Olimar right now. She should do it with ease later, though.
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#183 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 9:13:09 AM | message detail
brb, switching to the middle option in every debatable match
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#184 | Yuri_LowelI | Posted 7/10/2013 9:13:18 AM | message detail
Shepard would do so much better if Male Shep was a good character.
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http://s21.postimg.org/hd87zwm6f/Yurilow.png
#185 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/10/2013 9:14:40 AM | message detail
Not_Wylvane posted...
Also Shepard struggling to double Olimar right now. She should do it with ease later, though.


I think this is pretty much just all because of the bad picture. Thats not really Shepard, its just an alternate version of him.
#186 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/10/2013 9:14:54 AM | message detail
ctesjbuvf posted...
Olimar has only been killed by Nintendo one time. In his other appearence he faced Mega Man, Nero and Banjo.


Still pretty much Nintendo to me.
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"i am pretty sure 3-year old children would generate more thoughtful discussion than board 8 on any topic of sexism" - Naye745
#187 | Greyfeld | Posted 7/10/2013 9:16:18 AM | message detail
2Dover3D posted...
Not_Wylvane posted...
Also Shepard struggling to double Olimar right now. She should do it with ease later, though.


I think this is pretty much just all because of the bad picture. Thats not really Shepard, its just an alternate version of him.


I'm not really sure how much difference that's going to make. How many people do you think are going to say, "Wow, Mass Effect! Badass!! Wait... it's the GIRL Shepard... nevermind, I'm going to vote for Pikmin."
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#188 | Samurai7 | Posted 7/10/2013 9:17:19 AM | message detail
Greyfeld posted...
2Dover3D posted...
Not_Wylvane posted...
Also Shepard struggling to double Olimar right now. She should do it with ease later, though.


I think this is pretty much just all because of the bad picture. Thats not really Shepard, its just an alternate version of him.


I'm not really sure how much difference that's going to make. How many people do you think are going to say, "Wow, Mass Effect! Badass!! Wait... it's the GIRL Shepard... nevermind, I'm going to vote for Pikmin."


Sprite Snake shouldn't affect Solid Snake at all either.
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Conformity and rebellion...both ways are simple-minded--they are only for people who cannot cope with contradiction and ambiguity.
#189 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/10/2013 9:17:34 AM | message detail
Greyfeld posted...
2Dover3D posted...
Not_Wylvane posted...
Also Shepard struggling to double Olimar right now. She should do it with ease later, though.


I think this is pretty much just all because of the bad picture. Thats not really Shepard, its just an alternate version of him.


I'm not really sure how much difference that's going to make. How many people do you think are going to say, "Wow, Mass Effect! Badass!! Wait... it's the GIRL Shepard... nevermind, I'm going to vote for Pikmin."


It could be the difference between 4-6% in a match like this. It would expect male Shepard to easily pass 60% in this same match.
#190 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 9:18:22 AM | message detail
I don't think the pic is affecting Shepard much, if at all. This isn't anywhere close to something like ZSS or Solid Sprite.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#191 | 2Dover3D | Posted 7/10/2013 9:19:37 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
I don't think the pic is affecting Shepard much, if at all. This isn't anywhere close to something like ZSS or Solid Sprite.


Its a completely different looking character than what Shepard is known as. I'd say its on that kind of level for sure... FemShepard doesn't draw peoples eyes to a well known character like his original design does.
#192 | pyresword | Posted 7/10/2013 9:19:57 AM | message detail
Greyfeld posted...
2Dover3D posted...
Not_Wylvane posted...
Also Shepard struggling to double Olimar right now. She should do it with ease later, though.


I think this is pretty much just all because of the bad picture. Thats not really Shepard, its just an alternate version of him.


I'm not really sure how much difference that's going to make. How many people do you think are going to say, "Wow, Mass Effect! Badass!! Wait... it's the GIRL Shepard... nevermind, I'm going to vote for Pikmin."


I can assure you I thought a lot less about voting for Pikmin then I would have if it had been Male Shepard, and it wouldn't suprise be if other people who are neutral to all 3 characters feel the same way. Aggregate voting decisions in these things never make any logical sense.
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#193 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 7/10/2013 9:20:02 AM | message detail
Very little amount of SFF then.

Olimar had a 12 vote gain there.

KamikazePotato posted...
brb, switching to the middle option in every debatable match


Dammit, Tharja will lose then!
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*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#194 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 9:20:16 AM | message detail
2Dover3D posted...
Its a completely different looking character than what Shepard is known as. I'd say its on that kind of level for sure... FemShepard doesn't draw peoples eyes to a well known character like his original design does.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdaCY95pq4s
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#195 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 9:23:21 AM | message detail
Additionally, Shepard has a customizable appearance. Bioware actually released stats on this - only 13% of people keep the default. By his nature, he should be resistant to pic 'sabotage' due to this.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#196 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/10/2013 9:23:45 AM | message detail
ctesjbuvf posted...
Very little amount of SFF then.

Olimar had a 12 vote gain there.

KamikazePotato posted...
brb, switching to the middle option in every debatable match


Dammit, Tharja will lose then!


All top seeds got 1st place, middle option is good for 2nd. Tharja > Juliet > Tina
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"This is a fantasy based on reality."
DChemist
#197 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 7/10/2013 9:27:18 AM | message detail | (edited)
The thing about Smash characters (especially ones whose popularity depends almost entirely on Smash) is that if there isn't any classic or Nintendo character to suck away their strength, it's almost as if they show a completely different version of themselves versus being up against icons and classics.

Sorta reminds me of Pac-man and how we can see two different versions of him sometimes, and he doesn't share company alliance with Luigi or Yoshi. It's just that he draws you if he's incredibly different from the pack.
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"i am pretty sure 3-year old children would generate more thoughtful discussion than board 8 on any topic of sexism" - Naye745
#198 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/10/2013 9:29:07 AM | message detail
Although in all seriousness, I'm really starting to wonder about that middle option. It probably doesn't make a gigantic difference, but who knows? I wonder if Isaac beats Tingle if he doesn't stand out like he did.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#199 | TVontheRadio | Posted 7/10/2013 9:30:49 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Additionally, Shepard has a customizable appearance. Bioware actually released stats on this - only 13% of people keep the default. By his nature, he should be resistant to pic 'sabotage' due to this.


http://media.pcgamer.com/files/2013/03/Mass-Effect-3-infographic.jpg

for the lazy, only a whopping 18% played as FemShep!

so i think that accounts for something!
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all you need
#200 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 7/10/2013 9:31:49 AM | message detail
Dilated Chemist posted...
ctesjbuvf posted...
Very little amount of SFF then.

Olimar had a 12 vote gain there.

KamikazePotato posted...
brb, switching to the middle option in every debatable match


Dammit, Tharja will lose then!


All top seeds got 1st place, middle option is good for 2nd. Tharja > Juliet > Tina


The point is middle option will get "DAT STAND OUT" boost. All of the top seeds only won so far because they are too statistically favored not to do so, we are talking about a potential close match here in Tharja/Juliet/Tina.

Do i believe in such factor? I don't know but all of the middle options are doing better than expected thus far.