Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1057

#201 | Xuxon | Posted 7/8/2013 10:08:18 PM | message detail
From: TheOneAboveAll | Posted: 7/9/2013 1:06:13 AM | #197
No. Isaac's lead went up by 1 at 12:51. It stayed at 76 at 12:56. I think. We'll have to check Luster's data later. But I'm pretty sure it was a stall.

no, Isaac's lead was 76 at 12:46, 75 at 12:51, and 76 again at 12:56
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#202 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/8/2013 10:09:03 PM | message detail
The best part of this match is that Tingle is holding up to Link better than Ganondorf did.
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#203 | foxhead84 | Posted 7/8/2013 10:10:23 PM | message detail
lol arguing about a 1 vote swing in a Tingle/Isaac match...
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#204 | superange128 | Posted 7/8/2013 10:12:27 PM | message detail
foxhead84 posted...
lol arguing about a 1 vote swing in a Tingle/Isaac match...


our expert challenge picks ride on fodder 2nd place matches
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#205 | xp1337 | Posted 7/8/2013 10:12:54 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
The best part of this match is that Tingle is holding up to Link better than Ganondorf did.

CATS > Ganondorf still one of the best "results" ever.
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#206 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 7/8/2013 10:13:41 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
From: TheOneAboveAll | Posted: 7/9/2013 1:06:13 AM | #197
No. Isaac's lead went up by 1 at 12:51. It stayed at 76 at 12:56. I think. We'll have to check Luster's data later. But I'm pretty sure it was a stall.

no, Isaac's lead was 76 at 12:46, 75 at 12:51, and 76 again at 12:56


Ah. Thanks. Oh well. We'll get a stall eventually... :)
#207 | machinegungeek | Posted 7/8/2013 10:17:13 PM | message detail
A two vote increase and then a 3 vote increase. I guess Isaac's got this.
#208 | Master Moltar | Posted 7/8/2013 10:17:31 PM | message detail
xp1337 posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
The best part of this match is that Tingle is holding up to Link better than Ganondorf did.

CATS > Ganondorf still one of the best "results" ever.


these are the worst things
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#209 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/8/2013 10:18:17 PM | message detail
LOL Ganondorf
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#210 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/8/2013 10:19:02 PM | message detail
foxhead84 posted...
Luster, you're traking this right? can we have access to it while you're traking it?


Fine, I can give you access to the updates.

https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdDRUSTZackRwVk9sN204bjhlT1lSa2c

I do not have any updates from 12:11 AM to 12:26 AM due to problems with my update tracker.
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#211 | xp1337 | Posted 7/8/2013 10:19:11 PM | message detail
hey if we're going to get stuck with sff matches then we might as well have them set-up in a way that we can come up with hilarious indirect results.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#212 | Seginustemple | Posted 7/8/2013 10:19:59 PM | message detail
#213 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/8/2013 10:20:36 PM | message detail
Tingle finishes second in a Link/Ganondorf/Zelda/Tingle match

>_>
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Points: 0/0 Today's Picks: Link and Raiden
#214 | charmander6000 | Posted 7/8/2013 10:21:50 PM | message detail
Looks like the Nintendo Power Hour is fading, Isaac is looking good.
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#215 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 7/8/2013 10:23:15 PM | message detail
Tingle's done. This match is over.
#216 | Xuxon | Posted 7/8/2013 10:23:18 PM | message detail
i still think Tingle would get beat worse than Ganon 1v1, people are just voting him over Isaac because they know Link has the match locked up
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#217 | foxhead84 | Posted 7/8/2013 10:27:51 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
foxhead84 posted...
Luster, you're traking this right? can we have access to it while you're traking it?


Fine, I can give you access to the updates.

https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdDRUSTZackRwVk9sN204bjhlT1lSa2c

I do not have any updates from 12:11 AM to 12:26 AM due to problems with my update tracker.


Thanks... I guess we'll use yours until creative gets his up and running....
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#218 | SnoicFactor | Posted 7/8/2013 10:32:13 PM | message detail
Link going down in % lol..
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nt
#219 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/8/2013 10:32:25 PM | message detail
Also, there are 5570 expert challenge entries as of right now.
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Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#220 | foxhead84 | Posted 7/8/2013 10:33:58 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
Xuxon posted...
From: TheOneAboveAll | Posted: 7/9/2013 1:06:13 AM | #197
No. Isaac's lead went up by 1 at 12:51. It stayed at 76 at 12:56. I think. We'll have to check Luster's data later. But I'm pretty sure it was a stall.

no, Isaac's lead was 76 at 12:46, 75 at 12:51, and 76 again at 12:56


Ah. Thanks. Oh well. We'll get a stall eventually... :)


Here's your first stall
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#221 | foxhead84 | Posted 7/8/2013 10:38:37 PM | message detail
good night everbody and congrats to Lopen for his 70ish% pick
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Congratulation to SuperNiceDog. Guru Champ and Rivalry Rumble Master
#222 | SonicRaptor | Posted 7/8/2013 10:41:28 PM | message detail
I see the one guy in Laos who visits this site thinks of himself as a joker and voted Tingle.
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#223 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 7/8/2013 10:42:15 PM | message detail
Just the first round so don't wanna say anything conclusive but Link's gonna be in a world of trouble when he faces someone who could take advantage of the massive anti-Link voting.
#224 | xp1337 | Posted 7/8/2013 10:48:58 PM | message detail
Iamthekuzalol posted...
Just the first round so don't wanna say anything conclusive but Link's gonna be in a world of trouble when he faces someone who could take advantage of the massive anti-Link voting.

Don't worry, after a few rounds everyone will calm down and remember that Cloud and FF7 always win on this site and that we should rally behind that scrappy underdog Link.
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#225 | superange128 | Posted 7/8/2013 10:50:58 PM | message detail
oh man Tingle coming back very slowly
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#226 | HaRRicH | Posted 7/8/2013 10:53:35 PM | message detail
I just came home to see Tingle competing with Isaac -- despite Link? Tingle got under 8% in 2007 against Luigi/Mudkip/Pit, and now he's holding up better than Ganondorf. Tingle must be enjoying a lot of not-Link votes.....


Curious how SFF goes in other matches now, just in case not-Link votes are also not-first-place votes.
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#227 | GloriousSweater | Posted 7/8/2013 10:57:11 PM | message detail | (edited)
Thoughts

- If Link is getting hit this hard, I can't wait to see FFVII.

- Link is in no more danger of losing this contest than he was yesterday (though I always thought Cloud had a shot)

- After looking at the pics, I have this horrible feeling that Wa-f***in-luigi is gonna step up and make a respectable match

- I feel good about banking on Tingle/Isaac's placings today. I figured it would be too close to risk it.
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#228 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/8/2013 10:57:31 PM | message detail
"Ok, so I made 2 last minute changes to my bracket. I originally had Master Chief and Cecil Harvey winning, and I switched to Yuna and Pit. I did this at about 7:15 PDT and it definately updated under Enter the Contest > Bracket Challenge, but did NOT under Tournament > My Bracket. I click on the Share This Bracket: link and it still says Master Chief and Cecil Harvey.

I guess it doesn't make a big difference to me since the matches could go either way, but I guess I'll hold off on entering the Guru until the last minute in case it somehow updates before tomorrow night."

I posted this in the last topic. In case anyone cares, my bracket finally updated.
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#229 | tennisboy213 | Posted 7/8/2013 11:02:16 PM | message detail
In other news, cut, cut.
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POKEFEAR
#230 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/8/2013 11:02:33 PM | message detail
At 2:00 AM in this year's age poll - 9118 votes
At 2:01 AM in today's match - 9402 votes

For reference, this year's age poll had 31456 votes at 12:00 PM, so today's match is probably going to finish around 33000 votes.
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#231 | Haste_2 | Posted 7/8/2013 11:05:09 PM | message detail | (edited)
Harrich: I say either anti-blowout FAQs has returned, or the Link/Tingle setup is such a mismatch that it's drawing more joke votes. Also keep in mind that Tingle may have underperformed against Luigi because of Mudkip's presence.

I think Ganondorf would be doing better than Tingle in this poll.

Oh, and... I just noticed that FF7 is #8 in the Top 10 FAQs! I know it has been slowly climbing for the past while, but.... any reasoning for this?

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#232 | xp1337 | Posted 7/8/2013 11:05:59 PM | message detail
Haste_2 posted...
Oh, and... I just noticed that FF7 is #8 in the Top 10 FAQs! I know it has been slowly climbing for the past while, but.... any reasoning for this?

Steam release, probably.
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#233 | Haste_2 | Posted 7/8/2013 11:06:06 PM | message detail
Tingle has 1337 votes. The comeback is guaranteed now.
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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
#234 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 7/8/2013 11:06:55 PM | message detail
For the record, Link currently has ~82% on Isaac, so he's doing better than last year.
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#235 | pjbasis | Posted 7/8/2013 11:10:23 PM | message detail
If you think Isaac is equal to Thrall I guess.

Also if you think Isaac+Tingle is equal to Agent J + Bidoof + Miles Edgeworth then this isn't bad at all either!
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#236 | Lopen | Posted 7/8/2013 11:14:03 PM | message detail
Thrall would probably double Isaac. Dude has gotta be really weak.
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#237 | Glenn_and_Toad | Posted 7/8/2013 11:14:07 PM | message detail
Calling it now

Tingle wins this with the morning vote
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Expert Challenge Misses: Probably Isaac/Tingle... Oracle: Team Frog and Magus
#238 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 7/8/2013 11:16:00 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
If you think Isaac is equal to Thrall I guess.

Also if you think Isaac+Tingle is equal to Agent J + Bidoof + Miles Edgeworth then this isn't bad at all either!


Well just from the perspective of percentage.
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#239 | wg64Z | Posted 7/8/2013 11:16:08 PM | message detail
Guys, this is the late, late night vote. The day vote will bring Link up to 80%
#240 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/8/2013 11:17:14 PM | message detail
Link won't have much of a day vote, I'm afraid.
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#241 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/8/2013 11:18:08 PM | message detail
Link hasn't even managed a single update above 73% so far in this match, so 80% is going to be impossible.
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#242 | SonicRaptor | Posted 7/8/2013 11:20:53 PM | message detail | (edited)
I was expected Link to get 80%+ in this match and him being like this early on makes me wonder if he's dropping or if people are just anti-voting him because they are sick of him winning every year when there isn't an anomaly. I don't think there is SFF with Tingle because who votes for Tingle aside from joke-voters? Even if he was facing a non-Zelda character people wouldn't vote for him aside from those joke-voters.

We'll see next round I guess but already with this match I'm getting the feeling we are going to see some interesting developments in this contest and it's about time.
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#243 | Polycosm | Posted 7/8/2013 11:25:52 PM | message detail
I'm not sure how much I would read into Link's % here... he's not really in danger in this match, so I imagine that the battle for second place is drawing away some voter attention.
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#244 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 7/8/2013 11:26:54 PM | message detail
#245 | KamikazePotato | Posted 7/8/2013 11:27:11 PM | message detail
Link is threatening to dip below 70%.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#246 | xp1337 | Posted 7/8/2013 11:28:08 PM | message detail
I'm not reading much into this until we see how Cloud/Snake do and possibly Link R2. I'm thinking what's happening here is Link anti-voting plus anti-blowout but until we see more I'm not going to jump to conclusions off this match.
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#247 | SonicRaptor | Posted 7/8/2013 11:28:42 PM | message detail
Polycosm posted...
I'm not sure how much I would read into Link's % here... he's not really in danger in this match, so I imagine that the battle for second place is drawing away some voter attention.


I edited my post because "in danger" wasn't the right wording. What I meant was Link was supposed to be this ultra-elite character well above the N9 and here he cannot keep both fodder characters below 10% each. It makes you wonder if he's dropping for whatever reason or if this is just a one-off where everyone is anti-voting the guy that wins all the time (which could be short-lived as R2 is a while away and emotions could die down by then).
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#248 | Lopen | Posted 7/8/2013 11:32:02 PM | message detail
I doubt the battle for second matters much. Poll numbers said very few people are going for EXPERT mode. I really think it's just a simple matter of all the pre-contest polls and contest hype drawing attention to the fact that it is in fact Link who always wins, not FF7.

I seriously think that the average site visitor legit thinks that FF7 is the one that wins everything!
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#249 | xp1337 | Posted 7/8/2013 11:35:38 PM | message detail
Yeah, one of the few things I'm pretty comfortable in thinking is that the second place match isn't having much effect on Link. It might have some pull before the freeze, but I don't buy that it would weigh Link (or any other first place) down significantly.
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GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX
#250 | SnoicFactor | Posted 7/8/2013 11:37:20 PM | message detail
Do you guys think that the Wii and Wii U hate on this site is finally affecting Nintendo's performance in the contests?
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