Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1056

#101 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/29/2013 2:47:04 PM | message detail
Samus never really looked to benefit from the Nintendo Boost, but it was a Mario Party Boost more than it was anything else.
---
"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#102 | Haste_2 | Posted 6/29/2013 3:53:17 PM | message detail
Snake could have been more susceptible to leeching in 2006 because his Brawl announcement was new at the time. Or, maybe his performance was simply erratic for the same reason.

In any case, though, we should be quite sure Snake isn't leeched by Nintendo anymore, as 2008 proved that not even Link could do it.
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
#103 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/29/2013 9:14:39 PM | message detail
Total domination by GTA V in this poll. GTA V is a potential GotY candidate this year, along with "The Last of Us".
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#104 | superange128 | Posted 6/30/2013 12:29:56 AM | message detail
aw yeah Tales of Xilia in 2nd.. by a lot but still

Also I randomly did a poll on the FF8 boards and while it's a comparitivley small sample size compared to the front page it might be worth noting for the next NRT if we have one:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/197343-final-fantasy-viii/66562641
---
Want any VNs pre-patched? PM me. List of VNs can be found by clicking on my username.
#105 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 6/30/2013 12:43:53 AM | message detail
Voted for Laguna, not sure why people rallied for Rinoa and not Laguna/Zell. Put Laguna in Rinoa's place and he would slaughter Aeris,,,,,maybe not, but he should easily be stronger than Rinoa.
#106 | pjbasis | Posted 6/30/2013 1:12:40 AM | message detail
It was really one person rallying for Rinoa and doing a bunch of trades.

Also ya go my KH. Even a rerelease gets third place.
---
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png
SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#107 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 6/30/2013 1:36:23 AM | message detail
Iamthekuzalol posted...
LinkMarioSamus posted...
I decided to take the Persona 4 characters and John Marston to get to Round 2.


John Marston is cool but don't think he will beat Zelda, better not go for something so risky.


I feel like mentioning that RDR is now ahead of LTTP in unikgamer's overall rankings.

Then again San Andreas is ahead of Mario 3 there so whatever I guess.
---
Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#108 | pjbasis | Posted 6/30/2013 4:40:19 AM | message detail
#109 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 6/30/2013 4:47:25 AM | message detail
Kinda weird to think how huge a discrepancy there is between the popularity of that series there and here. It's as if Gamefaqs hates GTA...

*looks at poll and faints*
---
Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#110 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 6/30/2013 6:11:28 AM | message detail
I'm now taking Yoshimitsu over Groose.
---
Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#111 | GloriousSweater | Posted 6/30/2013 11:32:41 AM | message detail
Sephiroth/Kirby/Big Boss

Kirby strikes me as a particularly good risk.
---
http://i.imgur.com/IjkDZMA.jpg
#112 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/30/2013 11:34:34 AM | message detail
I think you're overestimating "Standout Factor" if you think Kirby wins that! He might be the weakest character in that group!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/3288

Even with STANDOUT FACTOR out the wazoo, Kirby only beats Big Boss because Raiden's there. And that was with Big Boss having an old man pic, to boot!
---
"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#113 | GloriousSweater | Posted 6/30/2013 11:44:38 AM | message detail
It might win you the bracket outright, and it'll keep you in the Guru through 90% of the entire contest. Sephiroth really fell off the map in 2010; none of his matches looked encouraging even if most were plagued with SFF or Pokemon. That 1v1, no-excuses loss to Snake just left me with a sorry opinion of the guy. Kirby should be able to break 40% on Snake and would thus break 40% on Sephiroth with ease. You combine that with the standout factor, Seph's possible overlap with Big Boss, another potential three years of FFVII/Square decline, and Nintendo fans recognizing an awesome upset opportunity, and I think it's an "un-crazy" upset waiting for some gunslingers to pull the trigger.
---
http://i.imgur.com/IjkDZMA.jpg
#114 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/30/2013 11:49:19 AM | message detail
If you nail that pick, sure. He has no excuses for that loss to Snake, but then Snake went on to put up 48% on Cloud, so it's not like Sephiroth just turned out to be so much weaker than Cloud that year. He was about on par with where he's always been relative to him.

You're banking on a lot of weird, intangible factors for that upset to work though. I don't think Sephiroth/Big Boss overlap would be anything significant either. We saw that there was practically none in Cloud/Link/Snake 2006 in terms of where the percentage went in the final after Snake was eliminated. Sure, it favored Cloud overall, but not to any significant degree.
---
"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#115 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 6/30/2013 12:08:49 PM | message detail
Speaking of guru, anyone know when we're getting that?
---
*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#116 | superange128 | Posted 6/30/2013 12:12:58 PM | message detail
ctesjbuvf posted...
Speaking of guru, anyone know when we're getting that?


NGamer said itll be open a few days before brackets close so there will be less changes posted
---
Want any VNs pre-patched? PM me. List of VNs can be found by clicking on my username.
#117 | ctesjbuvf | Posted 6/30/2013 12:17:56 PM | message detail
Alright, I suppose that makes sense.

Also, I like the idea of finding big upsets and trying to win on those, but Kirby > Sephiroth is pretty much impossible. It's basically throwing points out the window. You have to try somewhere else. I think you're most likely to succed in matches with LFF involved.
---
*2, *8,070,446 Kuroko no Basket
*3, *6,495,240 Naruto
#118 | GloriousSweater | Posted 6/30/2013 12:31:20 PM | message detail
A risky proposition, but certainly not impossible. Remember, in a span of three and a half years, Sephiroth went from barely losing to Snake in a match where he was hampered by Cloud (2006 Battle Royal) to losing against Snake in a fair 1v1 match (2010 Character Battle). Weirdness can and does happen, but Sephiroth is not the character he used to be. The aura that shielded him from upsets by lower guys is gone. And it's been almost three and a half years since that loss to Snake. It's not at unreasonable to think he's fallen a little further.
---
http://i.imgur.com/IjkDZMA.jpg
#119 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/30/2013 1:00:42 PM | message detail
I'd say it's more likely Kirby finishes last than he finishes first.

And I agree Sephiroth is prone to a weird upset. I just doubt Kirby's the guy to do it. Everyone propped him up as the guy to beat Sonic because of that weird 2008 match, and he went down without a fight.
---
"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#120 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/30/2013 1:01:23 PM | message detail
Well, not "everyone." Sonic was still the clear favorite.

But I don't think Kirby has it in him all the same.
---
"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#121 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 6/30/2013 1:08:39 PM | message detail
Kirby beat Sephiroth once and he'll do it again BELIEVE
---
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#122 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/30/2013 1:13:24 PM | message detail
That was the mantra behind Kirby > Sonic 2010, too...!
---
"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#123 | LOLContests | Posted 6/30/2013 1:25:40 PM | message detail
AxemRedRanger posted...
Sonic got 42.49% on Samus in 2004 and 45.01% on Snake in 2006. Assume the 53.11% Samus posted on Snake is legit and Sonic is projected to get 42.21% on Samus in 2006.

In retrospect Samus's matches with Zelda and Tifa look a lot like the voters punishing an obvious winner in a very lame bracket but then behaved normally once real competition showed up.


I think Zelda might have legitimately been that popular. Other than her match with Yuna (who also appeared to be overperforming at times), Zelda looked like she was on steriods that contest.
---
"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.
#124 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 6/30/2013 1:28:54 PM | message detail
Kirby can be f***ing loopy in multi-way matches, but I don't think he's erratic enough to beat Sephiroth again without Cloud SFFing the s*** outta him again. Big Boss certainly won't be dragging Sephy that far down.
---
Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy II - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3557012
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#125 | GloriousSweater | Posted 6/30/2013 1:29:35 PM | message detail
Zelda hasn't looked that strong before or since. The format of the 2006 contest likely gave her a boost because some voters could have seen her not as just "Princess Zelda," but as the series rep for that entire side of the bracket. The "male vs. female" gimmick kind of fed into that sort of mentality, so it makes sense.
---
http://i.imgur.com/IjkDZMA.jpg
#126 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/30/2013 1:31:35 PM | message detail
Female Bracket was weird. 1 seeds overperforming all over the place, except for Samus. Yuna on the level with Aerith? Zelda quadrupling Terra?
---
"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#127 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 6/30/2013 1:35:45 PM | message detail
GloriousSweater posted...
Zelda hasn't looked that strong before or since. The format of the 2006 contest likely gave her a boost because some voters could have seen her not as just "Princess Zelda," but as the series rep for that entire side of the bracket. The "male vs. female" gimmick kind of fed into that sort of mentality, so it makes sense.


Also Twilight Princess hype.

Lol female bracket.
---
Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#128 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 6/30/2013 5:06:07 PM | message detail
I'm growing more and more scared of Otacon the past few days.

In the beginning, I was extremely confident in Magus winning, but then I thought about Raiden.. and Liquid.. and Magus possibly getting weaker again.

Otacon gets a lot of screentime in 3 major MGS games, while Liquid is only really known in one and Raiden is only really known in two of them.

So it's not really that crazy for Otacon to possibly be.. stronger than The Boss is it? Could he be a mid-carder just for being Snake's righthand man?
---
"i am pretty sure 3-year old children would generate more thoughtful discussion than board 8 on any topic of sexism" - Naye745
#129 | abdou | Posted 6/30/2013 5:23:54 PM | message detail
I just don't trust Magus at all, and having replayed MGS just recently, I am really tempted to go with Otacon
---
...
#130 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/30/2013 7:54:44 PM | message detail
GloriousSweater posted...
A risky proposition, but certainly not impossible. Remember, in a span of three and a half years, Sephiroth went from barely losing to Snake in a match where he was hampered by Cloud (2006 Battle Royal) to losing against Snake in a fair 1v1 match (2010 Character Battle).


Sephiroth probably underperformed against Snake because he suffered from increased anti-voting after he eliminated Missingno. The round before facing Snake, Sephiroth underperformed by about 7% against Tifa.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#131 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/30/2013 8:34:39 PM | message detail
I think The Boss is probably Otacon's ceiling, but if CT has had any sort of notable decrease since 2010 (which is possible), that could be enough.
---
"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#132 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 7/1/2013 1:11:32 AM | message detail
Taking Otacon only because of one basis, this is the perfect setup for Magus to embarrass himself again.
#133 | ffmasterjose | Posted 7/1/2013 3:08:03 AM | message detail
So, there's new Borderlands 2 DLC out featuring Tiny Tina. Is this enough to give her the edge in her match?

Who knows >_>
---
Submit your bracket for The Great GameFAQs Character Battle IX contest today!:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/cb9_entry
#134 | swirIdude | Posted 7/1/2013 12:12:54 PM | message detail
Yes, and I wish I was joking.
---
"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#135 | pyresword | Posted 7/1/2013 12:25:39 PM | message detail
Not sure who posted this or where (apologies if it was earlier in this thread), but Otacon did pretty well in this for what its worth http://www.gamespot.com/greatest-video-game-sidekick/standings/index.html

Obviously results will be different on GameFAQS, but Otacon's scores on Vivi and Frog are enough to convince me take Otacon>Magus even if CT is stronger on here. Plus, its a day match which can't help Magus, and I'd imagine the inclusion of Jade Curtiss hurts Magus more then Otacon.
---
This is my signature.
#136 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 7/1/2013 12:27:52 PM | message detail
I just got to Tiny Tina in Borderlands 2 and she's the worst character to ever exist ever who thought she was funny oh my god

I can't imagine anyone voting for her. Who NOMINATED her?
---
~Zen
#137 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 7/1/2013 12:30:41 PM | message detail
pyresword posted...
Not sure who posted this or where (apologies if it was earlier in this thread), but Otacon did pretty well in this for what its worth http://www.gamespot.com/greatest-video-game-sidekick/standings/index.html

Obviously results will be different on GameFAQS, but Otacon's scores on Vivi and Frog are enough to convince me take Otacon>Magus even if CT is stronger on here. Plus, its a day match which can't help Magus, and I'd imagine the inclusion of Jade Curtiss hurts Magus more then Otacon.


I'm pretty sure 4chan pushed pretty hard to help Otacon because they thought he'd be an easier opponent for Einstein than the others.
---
http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
#138 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 7/1/2013 12:34:55 PM | message detail
Doesn't Tales have, like, a good day vote?

Can't see anything with a good day vote overlapping with Chrono Trigger!
---
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#139 | swirIdude | Posted 7/1/2013 12:36:35 PM | message detail
Taking the Gamespot contests seriously is a terrible mistake.
---
"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#140 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 7/1/2013 12:39:19 PM | message detail
swirIdude posted...
Taking the Gamespot contests seriously is a terrible mistake.


Basically this. It was more of a '4chan dicks around with everything' contest than a popularity contest, and 4chan doesn't care about our contests because we don't flip out in comedic ways about weird results.
---
http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
#141 | swirIdude | Posted 7/1/2013 1:05:44 PM | message detail
WarThaNemesis2 posted...
swirIdude posted...
Taking the Gamespot contests seriously is a terrible mistake.


Basically this. It was more of a '4chan dicks around with everything' contest than a popularity contest, and 4chan doesn't care about our contests because we don't flip out in comedic ways about weird results.


We used to. Squall/Luigi, Kuja/Master Hand, Magus/Knuckles...good times.
---
"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#142 | LeonhartFour | Posted 7/1/2013 1:48:56 PM | message detail
Even then, we still never got as bad as the people at GameSpot did.
---
"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#143 | creativename | Posted 7/1/2013 5:23:35 PM | message detail
Hello all! Long time no see :) Any contest vets that haven't shown up for this one?

And what's the lowdown on 12 hour matches/24 hour matches?
#144 | creativename | Posted 7/1/2013 5:58:26 PM | message detail
Iamthekuzalol posted...
Taking Otacon only because of one basis, this is the perfect setup for Magus to embarrass himself again.

Yup, surprised to see debate on this one.

People must be forgetting Newton's 4th law of motion, "Magus always loses".
#145 | GloriousSweater | Posted 7/1/2013 6:05:29 PM | message detail
I've been pretty good about calling Magus chokes (had Alucard in 2010 and Sandbag in 2008), but I don't think he'll have trouble with Otacon. Otacon is a terrible choice to bank on, even against a choker. Does he do ANYTHING cool in MGS4, because as a guy who's played the first and second MGS games long ago, I remember him only as a nerd who cries and wets his pants. Saying that The Boss is his ceiling isn't something I'd argue as impossible, but I could argue that Otacon the Dwarf only reaches like halfway up that ceiling.
---
http://i.imgur.com/IjkDZMA.jpg
#146 | Haste_2 | Posted 7/1/2013 6:30:40 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
Hello all! Long time no see :) Any contest vets that haven't shown up for this one?

And what's the lowdown on 12 hour matches/24 hour matches?


Hello creative! You can find the match times on "Battle Calendar".

Otacon beating Magus? Maybe... but I can't get myself to believe anything other than that CT has rebounded since it's 2010 performance. That's my fanboyism, though. (well, that is... not some much that I like Chrono Trigger as that I love seeing old-school Square win matches)
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
#147 | Master Moltar | Posted 7/1/2013 6:52:00 PM | message detail
First batch of Analysis Crew sign-ups are up

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66620876
---
Moltar Status: Alive
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
#148 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 7/1/2013 7:35:56 PM | message detail | (edited)
creativename posted...
And what's the lowdown on 12 hour matches/24 hour matches?


Here's the calendar for the contest:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/cb9_calendar?time=3

Several important notes:

On August 18th, "Battle #81" will be a 12-hour match, not a 24-hour match. "Battle #81" is the last match of round 1, so there will be a bonus 12-hour day match starting at 12 PM on August 18th. Then the first match of round 2 starts at 12 AM on August 19th.

On September 1st, "Battle #108" will also be a 12-hour match, with another bonus 12-hour day match starting at 12 PM. The first 24-hour matches will start on September 2nd with the start of round 3.

Finally, there is no match listed for September 14th, so there will be a bonus 24-hour match on that day.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#149 | superange128 | Posted 7/2/2013 2:24:24 PM | message detail
Devin Morgan just stated they added percentages to the trend charts for the poll

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66617692/749926822
---
Want any VNs pre-patched? PM me. List of VNs can be found by clicking on my username.
#150 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 7/3/2013 2:41:59 PM | message detail
5 more days.