GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1055
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If
you want to see some crazy percentages with the new poll maps, this
poll has some really strong differences between countries: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3856 Highest percentages for Cloud: Latvia - 96.00% Syria - 90.00% Morocco - 88.24% Lithuania - 86.36% Malaysia - 85.64% Philippines - 84.04% Indonesia - 83.96% South Africa - 83.33% Ukraine - 81.08% Russia - 79.46% Slovakia - 77.42% Thailand - 77.27% Croatia - 76.92% Czech Republic - 74.55% Poland - 72.26% Bulgaria - 72.22% Portugal - 72.18% Hungary - 71.54% Serbia - 71.43% Luxembourg - 71.43% Belarus - 70.00% Highest percentages for Link: Honduras - 72.73% Austria - 62.50% Netherlands - 61.70% Panama - 61.64% Ecuador - 60.92% Venezuela - 60.78% Mexico - 60.33% Chile - 58.15% Bolivia - 57.89% El Salvador - 57.14% United States - 57.12% Sweden - 56.36% Switzerland - 56.31% Canada - 55.61% Norway - 55.27% --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Yeah,
GLaDOS and WCC looked alright until they faced real competition in
Kirby/Luigi. It's hard to judge what Portal 2 and free Portal did for
GLaDOS/Chell from the Rivalry Rumble, too, since it's (thankfully) our
only Rivalry Rumble. They did keep competitive with Frog/Magus, but 59%
on Ness/Giygas isn't too hot either. Chell's bound to be an anchor for
GLaDOS, but I don't think there's anything else to really take from
their matches. Portal 2 got Wheatley in the contest and it's definitely a quality game all-around, so it's bound to have some effect on GLaDOS since it's just her second game...but it was also easily over-shadowed in 2011 by Skyrim, LoZ:SS, and B:AC. I feel okay taking GLaDOS over Ike with her potential, but Portal 2's still something of an unknown quantity for its characters. --- T H E S T A B L E - bring on Epona! http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg |
I expect Wheatley to be really weak. Debating on whether I should take Crash or Vercetti to win that match. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
HaRRicH posted... Portal 2 got Wheatley in the contest and it's definitely a quality game all-around, so it's bound to have some effect on GLaDOS since it's just her second game...but it was also easily over-shadowed in 2011 by Skyrim, LoZ:SS, and B:AC. I don't think Portal 2 was over-shadowed in 2011 because Portal 2 came out in April while the other games came in October and November. People had plenty of time to play Portal 2 because all the big games came out near the end of the year. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
You're
correct in that sense, Luster; I was meaning more in hindsight.
Still, that six months could prove kind to its characters... ...but I don't expect much from Wheatley either, which is a crime. I figure Crash takes it out of name-power alone. --- T H E S T A B L E - bring on Epona! http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg |
Crash winning a match would be pretty amazing considering he hasn't won a match since the very first contest. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Okay
so using Portal's round 2 performance against Metal Gear Solid 4 (round
1 was about the same) and Resident Evil 4's performance against MGS4
RE4 was expected to get 58.97% against Portal, pre-free release. Now using the match the two games had during the GotD post-free Portal would get 53.94% against pre-free Portal. If we assume the same boost for GlaDOS a post-free Portal GlaDOS would be expected to get 34.30% against Kirby. Of course with all these assumptions lots of things could go wrong plus there's no way to consider how much Portal 2 would boost GlaDOS. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66439939 |
Remember
how much Commander Shepard and Big Daddy boosted just due to their
games receiving sequels? Heck, then Mass Effect and BioShock boosted
for the same reason, at least if GOTD is any indication. Heck, Super Mario Galaxy probably benefited the same way. --- Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC |
To be fair both Mass Effect 2 and Bioshock 2 were released during the 2010 contest. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66439939 |
I've
updated the BOP (19 brackets) here are the results of some matches
we've talked about the past few days and some other interesting matches. Round 1 Tharja 11 Juliet Starling 6 Tiny Tina 2 Phoenix Wright 13 Marth 6 Sub-Zero 16 Garrus Vakarian 3 Clementine 13 Spyro the Dragon 5 Reyn 1 Ness 15 Locke Cole 3 CATS 1 Wheatley 14 Crash Bandicoot 4 Tommy Vercetti 1 Alucard 14 Captain Falcon 4 Rydia 1 Bayonetta 13 N 6 Altair 15 Shulk 4 Zack Fair 15 Ryu Hayabusa 3 Kefka 1 Magus 16 Hal Otacon Emmerich 3 Booker DeWitt 13 Gilgamesh 6 Groose 12 Yoshimitsu 5 Lu Bu 2 Lee Everett 14 Mr. Game & Watch 3 Meat Boy 2 Nathan Drake 11 Pac-Man 7 Steve 1 Fox McCloud 10 Pokemon Trainer Blue 9 Neku Sakuraba 8 Catherine 8 Vaas Montenegro 3 Yuna 10 Master Chief 9 Missingno 16 Tidus 3 Creeper 10 Wario 9 Pit 11 Cecil Harvey 5 Urdnot Wrex 3 ? Block 11 Rikku 8 Round 2 Commander Shepard 12 Aerith Gainsborough 7 Mega Man X 15 Ryu 4 Big Boss 10 Luigi 9 GlaDOS 10 Ike 6 Epona 3 Zack Fair 13 Ryu Hayabusa 3 Lara Croft 2 Slime 1 Dante 12 Squirtle 7 Pikachu 16 Crono 3 Fox McCloud 8 Pokemon Trainer Blue 8 Nathan Drake 3 Tifa Lockheart 12 Dragonborn 5 Master Chief 2 Pokemon Trainer Red 13 Cecil Harvey 3 Creeper 3 Charizard 13 Zelda 4 Lightning 2 Round 3 Vincent Valentine 10 Sonic the Hedgehog 9 Sora 15 Crono 2 Pikachu 2 Charizard 13 Mega Man 5 Lightning 1 Round 4 Solid Snake 15 Cloud Strife 4 Mario 17 Charizard 1 Samus Aran 1 Round 5 Link 14 Solid Snake 5 --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66439939 |
Dilated Chemist posted... At the moment I have a Noble Nine Final 9, doesn't feel right. Well that's how the contest was designed, from what I can tell. The only NN's that I don't have in the Final 9 are Crono (losing to Pikachu b/c of SFF from Magus) and MegaMan (with SFF from Zero). I am nervous about a couple others, though... Sonic > Vincent > Bowser.....this one is very scary to me. Vincent has always been right at NN territory, and Sonic is probably the third-weakest of the group right now after Crono/MM. Bowser is going to have a strong effect on this match because he's the only Mario/Nintendo stalwart in the battle, and I think Bowser's vote drag will be stronger on Sonic than Vincent. It all depends on how much better Sonic is than Vincent in a straight-up vote. I'm not going to change this pick but I'm definitely going to sweat it out. Snake > GlaDOS.....less scary but as others have pointed out, we just have no idea how much of a boost Portal 2 is giving to GlaDOS. I think we'll know after her second-round match whether or not she has a shot to take down Snake. Megaman's Bracket....everything makes me nervous. Even though Megaman and Zero's routes SEEM straightforward, they've each got a potential "joke" character (Red Bird for MM and ? Block for Zero) that could make runs in a multi-battle and destroy this entire bracket. If Zero gets upset by ? block, is that enough of a difference for MM to beat Charizard? Or would the "joke" character (? block OR red bird) actually win the bracket and make the Final 9? And even if all the favorites make it, just how strong is Zero's SFF against MM? I feel like it's strong enough to lose to Charizard. 46% against Mario is no joke (it's better than Zelda did against Mario 8 years ago lol). Not sure if any of that is "common knowledge" (or common stupidity :P) as I don't frequent this board in the offseason. --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
charmander6000 posted... I've updated the BOP (19 brackets) here are the results of some matches we've talked about the past few days and some other interesting matches. Zack and Kefka should be closer than this? I mean their 2010 x-stats look quite similar Zack (2010c) VS Kefka (2010c) Zack has a strength of 30.32. Kefka has a strength of 29.11. Zack wins with 52.00% of the vote! A win of 2,565 with 64,278 total votes cast. --- Congratulation to SuperNiceDog. Guru Champ and Rivalry Rumble Master |
Sora over Crono? Really? --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
Most
of the people with Sora over Crono probably have Crono losing to
Pikachu. I don't think anyone would have both Crono and Sora getting to
round 3 and then picking Sora over Crono. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
Zack and Kefka should be closer than this? I mean their 2010 x-stats look quite similar There are several matches that may be close, but the board is completely overlooking. Given Kefka's history I'm not surprised people are not taking him. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66439939 |
Also yeah most people taking Sora to win the division are taking it because they have Pikachu > Crono with Magus I'm also quite nervous about that match. Just because there will be LFF doesn't mean it'll be auto-lose for Crono. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66439939 |
foxhead84 posted... charmander6000 posted...I've updated the BOP (19 brackets) here are the results of some matches we've talked about the past few days and some other interesting matches. charmander6000 posted... Zack and Kefka should be closer than this? I mean their 2010 x-stats look quite similar You're forgetting that Kefka is behind Charizard. You should trust his xstats value as far as you can spit. |
I'm
feeling good about Pikachu's Crono chances. Pikachu got 45% against
Snake but CB8 showed that Snake > Seph > Crono. Crono has likely
gotten weaker since then, while Pikachu may be even stronger. Throw in
Magus leeching off some votes, and the electric mouse is lookin' good. --- Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave. |
Phoenix
is the heavy favorite in round 1, huh? Oh, wait, it's Board 8. I hope
he wins, but I don't see it happening. I suppose Marth could be
overrated and Nightmare may have dropped....who knows? EDIT: I forgot this was a night match. I guess it's up in the air, then. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
Pikachu's
45% against Snake happened as a result of the "Solid S***" picture
(that refers to Snake's sprite picture). Snake has been known to
underperform with a sprite picture. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
I would also like to add that Sprite Pikachu seems to be super-powered, as well, so it was a double-whammy against Snake. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
Julian_Caesar posted... Snake > GlaDOS. Epona > GlaDOS --- POKEFEAR |
DoctorJimmy133 posted... I'm feeling good about Pikachu's Crono chances. Pikachu got 45% against Snake but CB8 showed that Snake > Seph > Crono. Crono has likely gotten weaker since then, while Pikachu may be even stronger. Throw in Magus leeching off some votes, and the electric mouse is lookin' good. Do you think Pikachu beats Squall 57-43? If not, that value is bollocks. |
Haste_2 posted... Phoenix is the heavy favorite in round 1, huh? Oh, wait, it's Board 8. I hope he wins, but I don't see it happening. I suppose Marth could be overrated and Nightmare may have dropped....who knows? Nightmare is not even remotely close to Phoenix. He has an xstats value of, like 18.xx or so. Also, Marth probably IS a little overrated. He was up against Sephiroth and gaining from antivotes. That plus Dual Destinies plus UMvC3 makes Phoenix a legit pick. |
-LusterSoldier- posted... Pikachu's 45% against Snake happened as a result of the "Solid S***" picture (that refers to Snake's sprite picture). Snake has been known to underperform with a sprite picture. Crud, I forgot about that. Snake is more recognizable there than he was when he almost lost to Bowser and Frog, though. Haste_2 posted... I would also like to add that Sprite Pikachu seems to be super-powered, as well, so it was a double-whammy against Snake. I don't think there's any precedent for this other than beating Dante and Leon with a GB sprite, but even then, Pikachu had a GBA sprite against Snake. --- Harmony is peace. Peace is unity. Unity is harmony. I tell this to the King Nook. He ask me to leave. |
DoctorJimmy133 posted... -LusterSoldier- posted...Pikachu's 45% against Snake happened as a result of the "Solid S***" picture (that refers to Snake's sprite picture). Snake has been known to underperform with a sprite picture. It's not about recognizability, it's about character design. Take all those Donte pic arguments and apply them to Solid **** and you probably get a similar result. |
Checking
a few matches as well adjusted x-stats makes it obvious that Nightmare
wasn't as weak as you say. Nightmare even outperformed Phoenix against a
common opponent. I forgot about UMvC3, though. Duh, me. I'll give you credit on that one. I'm way out of the loop. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
-LusterSoldier- posted... If you want to see some crazy percentages with the new poll maps, this poll has some really strong differences between countries: And that's the contest in a nutshell right there and the reason why Link is invincible. --- Ours is not to reason why, ours is but to do and die. |
You know what would make an interesting contest? Counting only one random nation's votes for that day. Just that nation. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
Nightmare
wasn't a weak character Marth and Phoenix Wright would struggle to
break 55% on him. SoulCalibur V was released last year, but I have a
feeling he'll be close, but doesn't threaten to win the match. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66439939 |
KanzarisKelshen posted... It's not about recognizability, it's about character design. Take all those Donte pic arguments and apply them to Solid **** and you probably get a similar result. Donte pics compound it further because it makes you think of the particular incarnation of the character, which many people dislike. It's not like anyone would think "Aw man MGS Game Boy Snake?" I hated that guy! --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0 |
As
for Pikachu we have Solid **** and Pokemon sprite to think about (not
exactly sure how much a Pokemon sprite helps, if any). Looking back the
only other character that has gotten Solid **** and possibility
benefited from their own sprite was Frog in 2004. Using Frog's change of strength from 2004 to 2005 based on 2010 Squall (Crono's number is useless and I'd assume he was at around Squall's strength) Pikachu would be expected to get 43%. 43% may be a hill too big for Pikachu to climb. LFF can only do so much, looking through the 2007 and 2008 contests shows that it is possible, but there are many matches where the damage was not significant enough to cover the spread. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66439939 |
-LusterSoldier- posted... Most of the people with Sora over Crono probably have Crono losing to Pikachu. I don't think anyone would have both Crono and Sora getting to round 3 and then picking Sora over Crono. Pikachu over Crono? --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog |
BlAcK TuRtLe posted... -LusterSoldier- posted...Most of the people with Sora over Crono probably have Crono losing to Pikachu. I don't think anyone would have both Crono and Sora getting to round 3 and then picking Sora over Crono. Pikachu over Crono minus 15% of his votes because of Magus. Not a crazy pick. |
KanzarisKelshen posted... BlAcK TuRtLe posted...-LusterSoldier- posted...Most of the people with Sora over Crono probably have Crono losing to Pikachu. I don't think anyone would have both Crono and Sora getting to round 3 and then picking Sora over Crono. I'm a huge Crono fanboy and I would be tempted to pick Pikachu even without Magus, assuming it wasn't a crazy SFF for Pikachu (a la Pokemon or SSB character). With Magus in the poll I'm definitely picking Pikachu, as much as it pains me to do so ;( --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
Starting to second guess Charizard > Zelda. --- This is a fantasy based on reality. ~DChemist~ |
I'd have to make some adjustments --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Zelda vs. Bowser, who wins? --- This is a fantasy based on reality. ~DChemist~ |
Bowser --- Submit your bracket for The Great GameFAQs Character Battle IX contest today!: http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/cb9_entry |
Bowser, but I'd take Bowser over Charizard too. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB9%20BOP.xls BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66439939 |
I think I'd take the semi-upset and go with Zelda there. Feels like a Mario/Samus type of match. --- This is a fantasy based on reality. ~DChemist~ |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/map?id=5119 "A poll must receive at least 500 votes before mapping is active." Interesting restriction there. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ! |
I have charmader6000's evolution's evolution smashing through Mario and Samus. Why? Because I'm dumb. That's why. No but seriously, Mario and Samus might just kill each other in order for Charizard to sneak in. --- Charizard will go to the finals. But will lose to Link anyways. |
charmander6000 posted... Bowser, but I'd take Bowser over Charizard too. hmmm interesting --- POKEFEAR |
Unless
you think Bowser = Kratos (and thus Tails gets 40% on Bowser), then
Charizard had a nice boost from bandwagoning and the match being on
HG/SS release day. Bowser probably would win a rematch on, say, Round 1. Of course, things could have changed a lot in three years, and Charizard could probably beat Bowser legit now. It's just that people are overrating Charizard a bit because OMG 55% ON BOWSER. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy V - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3529748 Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64 |
Was
there an explanation why we have so many characters in this contest?I
mean next time they will do a 4-way while the first guy advances only? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
I
really like the new and improved geolocation maps. Seeing exact
percentages for every country in the world could be fun for those who
have too much free time. Well, not quite every country, since some
mini-countries are missing, like Liechtenstein, Andorra, Monaco, but
still, it's a much more info than we previously had, when we could only
make out the winner. |
I
think people are overestimating Pokemon in general this year, which is
weird because usually I'm the one that has to do that. Stuff like
Pikachu>Crono without Magus even being there seems a little too out
there for me. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Yep, I get the feeling we're in for another MM > GSC type result that blows a large portion of B8 brackets to smithereens. --- We are living our lives Abound with so much information |
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