Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1053

#251 | spooky96 | Posted 6/7/2013 9:20:12 PM | message detail
Ah crap it got 2 votes <_<
#252 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 6/7/2013 9:59:56 PM | message detail
Wow, this contest is shaping up to be awesome. Charizard vs MM/Zero(assuming Zero beats ?block), Magus vs Otacon, Pikachu vs Crono, Big Boss vs Luigi, Red Bird vs Haggar, etc

Bacon still not putting any strong characters in Snake's division.
#253 | LOLContests | Posted 6/7/2013 10:22:25 PM | message detail
Didn't realize the 8 seed theme. Cool!
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This is Yesmar.
#254 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 6/7/2013 10:26:40 PM | message detail
Iamthekuzalol posted...
Wow, this contest is shaping up to be awesome. Charizard vs MM/Zero(assuming Zero beats ?block), Magus vs Otacon, Pikachu vs Crono, Big Boss vs Luigi, Red Bird vs Haggar, etc

Bacon still not putting any strong characters in Snake's division.


You think Crono vs Pikachu (+Leech assist) is a good example of awesomeness? This ain't 1v1 man, and it should not be treated as such.
#255 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 6/7/2013 10:30:47 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
Iamthekuzalol posted...
Wow, this contest is shaping up to be awesome. Charizard vs MM/Zero(assuming Zero beats ?block), Magus vs Otacon, Pikachu vs Crono, Big Boss vs Luigi, Red Bird vs Haggar, etc

Bacon still not putting any strong characters in Snake's division.


You think Crono vs Pikachu (+Leech assist) is a good example of awesomeness? This ain't 1v1 man, and it should not be treated as such.


Never said it has to be fair to be awesome, otherwise i wouldn't have listed Charizard vs MM/Zero.
#256 | swirIdude | Posted 6/7/2013 10:57:11 PM | message detail
Could Ness LFF Luigi enough to let Big Boss win? It doesn't have to be a lot of LFF to make it happen.
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#257 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 6/7/2013 11:01:20 PM | message detail
Big Boss did beat Kirby convincingly in the four ways, I think even without Ness, he could give Luigi a run for his money.
#258 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 11:13:16 PM | message detail | (edited)
pyresword posted...
Wait did I miss something, has it been confirmed which matches are 12 hour matches, or is this just your best guess?


It's my best guess as to what matches will be 12-hour matches.


UltimaterializerX posted...
Wait, we're getting day/night matches?

81 days really isn't a long time at all.


It hasn't been confirmed yet, but with 121 matches, there's no way this contest will run for 121 days. Having 2 rounds of 12-hour matches would create a 67 day contest.

If the first round is 12-hour matches, the contest would run for 80.5 days. However, there's a problem having just one round of 12-hour matches. The last match in round 1 would be a night match, so round 2 would start at 12:00 PM EST unless you have a 12-hour gap with no match going on (or you have a bonus 12-hour day match instead).
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#259 | Masato_Tanaka | Posted 6/7/2013 11:49:00 PM | message detail
#260 | swirIdude | Posted 6/7/2013 11:50:56 PM | message detail
Shepard is worth 56% on Midna in 2010. Mordin will be weaker than Shepard and if Epona is stronger than Midna...oh god.
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#261 | HaRRicH | Posted 6/7/2013 11:51:47 PM | message detail
I hope/wonder if SB's watching the board after he places the new seeds each day. Releasing bits and pieces at a time with this kind of format easily allows him to make changes on the fly. A match we figure isn't too debatable suddenly gets a second chance to make it worth watching closely again. He's clearly made his B8-presence known so far, so maybe.....

We may have a lot of surprises ahead.
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Nominate SuperNiceDog's Guru-choice, then Epona.
#262 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 6/8/2013 12:00:40 AM | message detail
I just realized that Samus and Tifa are in the same division again. I have a feeling that that's no accident.
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#263 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 6/8/2013 12:01:48 AM | message detail
How many seeds was there supposed to be again?
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Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#264 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 6/8/2013 12:05:37 AM | message detail
swirIdude posted...
Shepard is worth 56% on Midna in 2010. Mordin will be weaker than Shepard and if Epona is stronger than Midna...oh god.


By this point I'm tempted to just throw old stats out completely. I'm also looking to underestimate Nintendo.

My bracket has Charizard taking advantage of Mario/Samus LFF to make the finals, where he leeches Link enough for Snake to win.
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#265 | swirIdude | Posted 6/8/2013 12:12:04 AM | message detail
My bracket has Charizard taking advantage of Mario/Samus LFF

Wait, you're saying Mario and Samus will LFF and Charizard will be completely unscathed? I doubt this immensely.
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#266 | pjbasis | Posted 6/8/2013 12:18:49 AM | message detail
Epona > Mordin is pretty obvious guys
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#267 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 6/8/2013 12:23:32 AM | message detail
I am so happy with this contest. I LOVE the wacky seeding. We've often said we could never recreate 2002, but I think Bacon did with this contest and all the fodder as high seeds.

All we needed was 2002 with a slight tweak

AND he has tributes to the Noble Nine AND a tribute to us!

LFF or not this is gonna be great. I've been nerding out all day
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~Zen
#268 | Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 6/8/2013 12:43:53 AM | message detail
*still waits his main noms of WAIFUS, GODSLAYER, and HYPER WEAPON to come out*

they're commin, I know they are....
well maybe not my amazon :(
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Oh SuperNiceDog's doing it again dude.
SuperNiceDog, you ain't no pimp dude
#269 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 6/8/2013 12:49:48 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
Missing Top Characters. It'll be interesting to see where they end up...

Aerith Gainsborough
Altair
Big Daddy
Captain Falcon
Cecil Harvey
Chris Redfield
Diablo
Donkey Kong
Frog
Jill Valentine
Liquid Snake
Meta Knight
Mudkip
Rikku
Ryu
Ryu Hayabusa
Scorpion
Shadow the Hedgehog
Sub-Zero
Vault Boy
Vincent Valentine
Weighted Companion Cube
Yuna
Zelda


Duke Nukem
Princess Peach
Terra Branford
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#270 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 6/8/2013 1:01:59 AM | message detail
Ocelot too.
#271 | spooky96 | Posted 6/8/2013 1:17:46 AM | message detail
I'm surprised that neither Tommy, Carl or Niko have showed up yet <_<
#272 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/8/2013 1:26:54 AM | message detail
From: -LusterSoldier- | #258
pyresword posted...
Wait did I miss something, has it been confirmed which matches are 12 hour matches, or is this just your best guess?


It's my best guess as to what matches will be 12-hour matches.


UltimaterializerX posted...
Wait, we're getting day/night matches?

81 days really isn't a long time at all.


It hasn't been confirmed yet, but with 121 matches, there's no way this contest will run for 121 days. Having 2 rounds of 12-hour matches would create a 67 day contest.

If the first round is 12-hour matches, the contest would run for 80.5 days. However, there's a problem having just one round of 12-hour matches. The last match in round 1 would be a night match, so round 2 would start at 12:00 PM EST unless you have a 12-hour gap with no match going on (or you have a bonus 12-hour day match instead).


Either I'm braindead, or:

243 characters / 3 = 81

aka, an 81 day contest with 24 hour matches (as it freaking should be, tired of 12 hours)

If Bacon does that, this contest probably rocks the house down.
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#273 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 6/8/2013 1:34:06 AM | message detail
UltimaterializerX posted...
From: -LusterSoldier- | #258
pyresword posted...
Wait did I miss something, has it been confirmed which matches are 12 hour matches, or is this just your best guess?


It's my best guess as to what matches will be 12-hour matches.


UltimaterializerX posted...
Wait, we're getting day/night matches?

81 days really isn't a long time at all.


It hasn't been confirmed yet, but with 121 matches, there's no way this contest will run for 121 days. Having 2 rounds of 12-hour matches would create a 67 day contest.

If the first round is 12-hour matches, the contest would run for 80.5 days. However, there's a problem having just one round of 12-hour matches. The last match in round 1 would be a night match, so round 2 would start at 12:00 PM EST unless you have a 12-hour gap with no match going on (or you have a bonus 12-hour day match instead).


Either I'm braindead, or:

243 characters / 3 = 81

aka, an 81 day contest with 24 hour matches (as it freaking should be, tired of 12 hours)

If Bacon does that, this contest probably rocks the house down.


That's only the first round.
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RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
#274 | -Tofa7- | Posted 6/8/2013 1:44:59 AM | message detail
I have a feeling this contest is going to end up being very unpredictable. Fun stuff.
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#275 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 6/8/2013 1:54:38 AM | message detail
swirIdude posted...
My bracket has Charizard taking advantage of Mario/Samus LFF

Wait, you're saying Mario and Samus will LFF and Charizard will be completely unscathed? I doubt this immensely.


I thought we all acknowledged that Pokemon doesn't get SFFd by Mario and lol Metroid in an all-Nintendo match.

I guess Samus ending in last in her final match this year will be all too appropriate. The Greatest Character Ever deserves better than that. She should have been allowed another shot at Cloud or Sephiroth, or Snake.
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Currently Playing - Super Metroid, MGS4, Brawl, FFVII, Wind Waker, RE4, SOTC
#276 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 6/8/2013 1:57:14 AM | message detail
Maybe we don't get day/night matches, but 8-hour matches instead. It's not something I would like, but I think it's a possibility.
#277 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 6/8/2013 2:06:29 AM | message detail
I'm surprised that neither Tommy, Carl or Niko have showed up yet

The only time we saw CJ was when he lost to Ness, Vercetti hasn't been in a contest since 2007 (where he got doubled by Yuna) and didn't even make the 2010 vote-ins, and Niko was only an 8 seed 3 years ago and already looked notably weaker than he had in 2008.

It's pretty clear GTA characters have no staying power whatsoever and all of the ones we've seen have turned to fodder if they didn't start out that way.

Niko probably does make the bracket eventually, though.
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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#278 | Djungelurban | Posted 6/8/2013 4:22:18 AM | message detail
And Chun-Li
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Text and stuff and bla
#279 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 6/8/2013 5:55:55 AM | message detail | (edited)
Time to have some fun!

* Hahaha, Rinoa may win more non-Rivalry matches than Seifer. Of course, it's also possible Seifer could beat Knuckles. That's kind of a tough, and using Cecil as a base is kind of a wash due to Dissidia boost nullifying his previous performances. I'm leaning toward Knux, but this could very well depend on that third slot.

* Link's division sucks. Yoshi and X are wasted, and the secondary characters for those matches (Raiden and Shepard most likely) aren't strong enough to even make those matches slightly debatable. Yawn.

* Barret won't be impressing against Sonic. I think Sonic/Bowser could be an interesting match, or would be if Mewtwo didn't look like the lock for the third. Probably wouldn't be anyway, though. Garrus is wasted against Bowser.

* Luigi vs Big Boss is the most interesting match in Sephy's division, especially with Ness potentially being in the mix. Big Boss is probably getting some nice boosts too from the voice actor and MGS hype, but Luigi's been looking beefier as contests go on. Looking forward to this one.

* Other than that, just a couple of debatable fodder matches. Sephiroth/Big Boss/Kirby has a small chance of being interesting, since it wouldn't be the first time Kirby exploited LFF/SFF to beat Sephy. Of course, if Luigi beats BB, it's going to be a massacre.

* Epona vs Mordin, huh? Leaning towards the Zelda character. Epona may even win two matches! Also undecided on Bayonetta vs N, even though Pokemon. Other than that, I'm pissed about Zack's placement here, as Kefka's wasted and we might have had an interesting three-way between Shulk, reboot-Lara, and Dissidia-Kefka. If Bacon does change the bracket, one of my big picks is moving Zack somewhere where he can have some debatable matches instead of his predictable path.

* Sly/Francis could be interesting, since Sly has had recent remakes. Dante/Squirtle/Zidane might be interesting if Dante gets a pic from his most recent game, though probably still won't be. Gordon/Hades could be hilarious if Hades gets The Greek Factor. Otherwise, dullish division.

* Here we go. This division could go any way depending pretty much on Magus vs Otacon. Of course, there's Crono/Pikachu/Magus or Otacon, which could be decided on that third spot. Then there's Sora/Fox/Crono or Pikachu, something Sora could take advantage of if Pikachu wins. And then there's Fox/Blue/Whoever, and if that third slot is someone with decent strength, that person may advance. This division is going to break brackets.

* A shame Dragonborn/Master Chief is wasted with Tifa in the mix. Would much rather have Tifa in Sephy's division to f*** with him, especially since the division final will likely be Samus/Auron/Tifa. Other than that, there's Knux/Seifer.

* Red's not an unfeasible obstacle for Creeper, though I'm sure Red may have a nice rivalry boost. The real match here is Squall/Missingno and whether Missingno will still have the strength he had when he beat Crono R1. I think he will, though that third spot may change things if there's someone even stronger than Ama in her division. Otherwise, meh.

* It comes down to ? Block vs Zero, and honestly I don't think ? Block will thrive as well as it could have during 07/08. I think Pokemon has a more dedicated fanbase than Mario, with Missingno being more nostalgic to the GameFAQs population, so I'm leaning Zero, though a ? Block win wouldn't surprise me. Other than that, I think Charizard wins against Mega Man/Zero, but probably not with ? Block in the mix. Decent division overall, at least comparatively.

In the end, it'll be Link/Mario/Cloud or Snake anyway, and I still think Link has it unless Snake's got yet another boost.
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Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#280 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/8/2013 5:52:11 AM | message detail
Otacon, not Ocelot.

I think Ocelot probably beats Magus there and saves Crono's skin. Otacon, probably not.
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#281 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 6/8/2013 5:56:14 AM | message detail
Meant Otacon. Fixed it, though, thanks.
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Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#282 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 6/8/2013 6:26:19 AM | message detail
Also, totally calling Donkey Kong being in Vivi's pack.
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Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#283 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/8/2013 9:29:14 AM | message detail
UltimaterializerX posted...
Either I'm braindead, or:

243 characters / 3 = 81

aka, an 81 day contest with 24 hour matches (as it freaking should be, tired of 12 hours)

If Bacon does that, this contest probably rocks the house down.


Here is how this contest ends up with 121 matches:

Round 1 - 81 matches
Round 2 - 27 matches
Round 3 - 9 matches
Round 4 - 3 matches
Round 5 - 1 match

That adds up to 121 matches. Also, I don't remember you being so hostile towards 12-hour matches.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#284 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 6/8/2013 9:41:34 AM | message detail
swirIdude posted...
My bracket has Charizard taking advantage of Mario/Samus LFF

Wait, you're saying Mario and Samus will LFF and Charizard will be completely unscathed? I doubt this immensely.


Not completely, but I've long been of the belief that the primarily console-based Nintendo stars don't SFF as badly with Pokémon because nobody has ever really managed to challenge Nintendo's handheld dominance. Even a Playstation loyalist had pretty much no choice but to go Nintendo for a handheld during the GBC/GBA era, and the PSP/Vita have always been a distant second to the DS/3DS. There's obviously still going to be some SFF, especially since most of the older LoZ and Mario games have been ported to handhelds, but I think Pokémon is a little less dependent on Nintendo loyalty than their other franchises.

Also, another solution would be to start the first match at 12 PM so that R1 will end at 12 AM.
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#285 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/8/2013 9:44:22 AM | message detail
Yeah I'm dumb, so it would be a 4 month contest with 24 hour matches.

I'm not hostile toward 12 hour matches, but 12 hour multi-way polls seems like gimmick overkill. We'll see!
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#286 | LOLContests | Posted 6/8/2013 9:48:49 AM | message detail | (edited)
Random question, but I was looking at the Rivalry Rumble and: Why did Vyse/Galcian get in again? I know we all nominated it as a favor to someone but I don't remember why. Thanks.
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This is Yesmar.
#287 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 6/8/2013 9:47:23 AM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
Epona > Mordin is pretty obvious guys


...it's a horse. Unless we're still in the JokeFAQs era, I'm going with the actual character.

...oh god that's right votals are going to be low enough that 4chan might actually have a shot at affecting this contest.
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#288 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/8/2013 9:59:13 AM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Also, another solution would be to start the first match at 12 PM so that R1 will end at 12 AM.


If you start the first match of the contest at 12 PM, you would need to do one of the following:

1. Extend the length of the last poll before the contest starts so the poll runs for 36 hours. Chances are, this means a 36 hour poll for "Have you entered your bracket for the Character Battle yet (due at 7PM Pacific)?".

2. Have a random 12-hour poll in the 12 AM to 12 PM slot before the first match starts.

3. No poll on the front page during the 12-hour period before the first match starts.


UltimaterializerX posted...
I'm not hostile toward 12 hour matches, but 12 hour multi-way polls seems like gimmick overkill. We'll see!


Our last Character Battle had just 3 days of 24-hour matches, while this contest is getting 13 days of 24-hour matches if Bacon plans on doing 12-hours for round 1 and 2.
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#289 | special_sauce | Posted 6/8/2013 10:11:00 AM | message detail
What if they were 8 hour matches? Fits the triple theme *shrug*
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Me_Pie_Three
Bulls and Bears all day erreday (Timberwolves are p cool too)
#290 | special_sauce | Posted 6/8/2013 10:15:55 AM | message detail
Why does round 1 have to end at 12 AM, anyway? Why not just have it run straight through, with 12 hour matches for round 1 and 2, and then have round 2 end at 12 AM?
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Me_Pie_Three
Bulls and Bears all day erreday (Timberwolves are p cool too)
#291 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 6/8/2013 10:21:08 AM | message detail
special_sauce posted...
What if they were 8 hour matches? Fits the triple theme *shrug*


If they do that, the midnight - 8am matches are gonna be really really weird
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However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#292 | Djungelurban | Posted 6/8/2013 10:27:16 AM | message detail
It's not gonna be 8 hours, people will run the risk of not being able to vote in every match at all (8 hours of sleep after all) and that's just gonna annoy people.
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Text and stuff and bla
#293 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 6/8/2013 10:33:27 AM | message detail
Oh man.

It would be awesome if Allen gives us the best possible bracket! I'm hoping he makes some tweaks to the bracket after all seeds are announced.
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~The Dilated One~
#294 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/8/2013 10:35:09 AM | message detail
special_sauce posted...
Why does round 1 have to end at 12 AM, anyway? Why not just have it run straight through, with 12 hour matches for round 1 and 2, and then have round 2 end at 12 AM?


If you have just one round of 12-hour matches before switching to 24-hour matches in round 2, you will run into a problem where the last match of round 1 will end at 12 PM. It doesn't make sense to start the first 24-hour match at 12 PM. With 12-hour matches in round 1, here's what you could do to start the first 24-hour match at 12 AM:

1. A bonus 12-hour day match at the end of round 1.

2. A random non-contest poll during this 12-hour period without a match.

3. No poll on the front page during this 12-hour period.

I think most people would rather have a bonus 12-hour day match over a random non-contest poll or no poll at all during the 12 hours waiting for round 2 to start. Because of the problem associated with having 12-hour matches for just one round, it makes more sense to have 12-hour matches for the first 2 rounds instead.
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#295 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 6/8/2013 10:39:42 AM | message detail
And with the long wait, having a 121 day contest is fine by me.
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~The Dilated One~
#296 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 6/8/2013 10:47:13 AM | message detail | (edited)
It'll feel like a contest "season".
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~The Dilated One~
#297 | special_sauce | Posted 6/8/2013 10:54:23 AM | message detail
Djungelurban posted...
It's not gonna be 8 hours, people will run the risk of not being able to vote in every match at all (8 hours of sleep after all) and that's just gonna annoy people.


Technically you could sleep from 4:01 PM until 7:59 AM, vote in both, and have a monstrous 15 hours and 58 minutes of sleep, but I agree that the format would be awful. Just put it out there as a "what if?"

-LusterSoldier- posted...
special_sauce posted...
Why does round 1 have to end at 12 AM, anyway? Why not just have it run straight through, with 12 hour matches for round 1 and 2, and then have round 2 end at 12 AM?


If you have just one round of 12-hour matches before switching to 24-hour matches in round 2, you will run into a problem where the last match of round 1 will end at 12 PM. It doesn't make sense to start the first 24-hour match at 12 PM. With 12-hour matches in round 1, here's what you could do to start the first 24-hour match at 12 AM:

1. A bonus 12-hour day match at the end of round 1.

2. A random non-contest poll during this 12-hour period without a match.

3. No poll on the front page during this 12-hour period.

I think most people would rather have a bonus 12-hour day match over a random non-contest poll or no poll at all during the 12 hours waiting for round 2 to start. Because of the problem associated with having 12-hour matches for just one round, it makes more sense to have 12-hour matches for the first 2 rounds instead.


Which is exactly what I said...
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Me_Pie_Three
Bulls and Bears all day erreday (Timberwolves are p cool too)
#298 | special_sauce | Posted 6/8/2013 10:56:58 AM | message detail
Dilated Chemist posted...
It'll feel like a contest "season".


I think everyone outside of this board would quickly lose interest though, in the same way that I would lose interest in watching EVERY game of an entire baseball season if there were only one game per day O_O. I think having shorter matches for the first two rounds is better for the health and popularity of contests.
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Me_Pie_Three
Bulls and Bears all day erreday (Timberwolves are p cool too)
#299 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 6/8/2013 11:03:09 AM | message detail
I love contest season, but 4 months of contest would be too much for me.
#300 | LOLContests | Posted 6/8/2013 11:04:55 AM | message detail
We also might be able to figure some upcoming placements by analyzing the Day/Night placements. In the past 12 hour matches the more interesting matches have been placed during the day, with fodder/fodder or low end midcarder matches tending to be the only debateable ones that take place at night (in the first rounds at least.)

So, from that I can try to figure out:

N1-Link gets a free pass (Duh)
D1-There's plenty of guys remaining that can challenge Raiden, and one's probably showing up.
N2-Yoshi's getting a free pass.
D2-Shepard's probably getting tested R1, even if it's just a darkhorse.
N3-Either someone's hiding in the Tharja match to challenge Shepard next round, or it's an all fodder affair.
D3-Hero/Rinoa might be the draw for their day match, although it's not unreasonable that the 20 seed here could challenge them.
N4-Possibly an all fodder affair here, or someone like Vincent is hiding here to challenge MMX next round.
D4-15/24 is probably gonna be the showdown in Yuri's match.
N5-MMX gets a pass
D5- Nothing that interesting gonna happen here involving Sonic losing, so maybe the battle for second will be the interest here instead.
N6- Probably an all fodder affair here, or maybe a lot of newcomers.
D6- Barrett probably getting challenged from that 19 Seed
N7- Phoenix Wright was in one of the few high profile Night matches in Winter 2010, will it happen again? Maybe.
D7- KOS-MOS getting challenged. Not that that would be very hard. Who knows? 14/23 might be the real battle of this match.
N8- Mewtwo getting a pass.
D8- Probably some low tier close match involving Chrom.
N9- Garrus probably getting a pass, or getting a low end midcard opponent to prove his worth.
D9- Probably gonna be one of the weaker day matches. Not many people left can challenge Bowser, and there's plenty of people left that will be able to beat Archer with ease. Garrus Vs. Bowser might be the main showdown that's being set up here.

More later possibly.
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"What's the matter with bootblacking? We both like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.