Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1053

#201 | voltch | Posted 6/7/2013 5:10:09 PM | message detail
man screw this contest CATS can't win a round 1 match if he's facing Ness the CJ killer.
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Dr voltchball - best in the world.
#202 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 6/7/2013 5:11:50 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
Monday, June 7th????


Yes. Monday, June 7th, 2021.
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Pokemon VGC2013 OR Regional - 12th place
Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place
#203 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 5:12:23 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
Monday, June 7th????


Oh man, I just noticed that. It should have been Monday, June 10th.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#204 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 6/7/2013 5:12:39 PM | message detail
Dilated Chemist posted...
Missingno > Squall & Tidus


Tidus will not be tagging along to drag Squall down. It's gonna be a direct Square/Ninty match unless someone else from those companies gets into those spots.
#205 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 6/7/2013 5:13:51 PM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
Dilated Chemist posted...
Missingno > Squall & Tidus


Tidus will not be tagging along to drag Squall down. It's gonna be a direct Square/Ninty match unless someone else from those companies gets into those spots.


I mean Missingno will be a Square-killer. First Tidus, then Squall.
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#206 | pjbasis | Posted 6/7/2013 5:13:53 PM | message detail
Squall drew Missingno huh

Thats kinda rough. Hopefully its weaker than last time.
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#207 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 6/7/2013 5:14:38 PM | message detail
So...that's actually an interesting match, in fact. Let's assume nothing dumb happens like Vincent getting into Amaterasu's group, so the Round 2 lineup ends up being Squall/Amaterasu/Missingno. Who ya got there?
#208 | jacko_vdz | Posted 6/7/2013 5:16:41 PM | message detail
Wait so if Charizard beats Mega Man/Zero we get Samus/Mario/Charizard. Given how good Pokemon has looked in 4 ways, and I think Samus/Mario share more of a fanbase... Mario probably still takes it.

But if Mega Man was able to advance... surely he'd have a good shot. But again, it's Mario.

I'm loving this bracket the more I look at it!
#209 | pjbasis | Posted 6/7/2013 5:18:12 PM | message detail
I wonder if he'd do a Games contest like this sometime.

It could have benefited from 200+ entrants because the field doesn't drop off into mediocrity quite as fast.

Though I'd much rather that contest just not be gimmicky.
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#210 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 5:19:08 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
Squall drew Missingno huh

Thats kinda rough. Hopefully its weaker than last time.


Squall has to deal with Missingno in a day match, but Tidus gets Missingno in a night match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#211 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 6/7/2013 5:19:31 PM | message detail
Pokemon isn't really a 4 way phenomenon. Pikachu and Charizard did really well in 1v1 as well.
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Pokemon VGC2013 OR Regional - 12th place
Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place
#212 | pjbasis | Posted 6/7/2013 5:20:43 PM | message detail
Oh cool we got an itinerary this time. That's a relief.



No way Tidus beats Missingno matter what
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#213 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 6/7/2013 5:21:49 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
pjbasis posted...
Squall drew Missingno huh

Thats kinda rough. Hopefully its weaker than last time.


Squall has to deal with Missingno in a day match, but Tidus gets Missingno in a night match.


I think the gap between Tidus and Squall is big enough where Day/Night won't come into it. If it can beat Squall in the day, Tidus has no chance.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#214 | shane15 | Posted 6/7/2013 5:22:51 PM | message detail
Rinoa got in FTMFW!!!! That ****ing missingno best not mess up Squalls glorious assent to defeating Mario ¬_¬
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#215 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 6/7/2013 5:22:54 PM | message detail
As much as I like Missingno. a lot of his support seemed to be from joke votes. It may drop off in strength like L-Block did.
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Pokemon VGC2013 OR Regional - 12th place
Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place
#216 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 6/7/2013 5:23:01 PM | message detail
Phone if about to die, but I'd like to say, this has phenomenal potential.
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NGirl@work or on phone.
#217 | transience | Posted 6/7/2013 5:24:15 PM | message detail
there is like a 90% chance that this thing goes sideways due to either ridiculous overlap or joke characters screwing with things. I'd be surprised if we got to the top 27 or whatever and didn't have something bonkers going on.

then we get a missingno/l-block/sora matchup and oh god
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xyzzy
#218 | shane15 | Posted 6/7/2013 5:30:46 PM | message detail
I reckon the dodgy seeding might ruin the contest.
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#219 | GANON1025 | Posted 6/7/2013 5:33:28 PM | message detail
I can barely keep up with these, I am just very happy that York made it in.
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You think this is over because I am dead. It's not over. The games have just begun.
#220 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 6/7/2013 5:33:48 PM | message detail
This is the best contest for Joke characters to be successful in. If L-Block does well, Missingno could be a factor again.
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GT: TriggerTRE / PSN: SolidTRE
Life is short. Smile while you still have teeth!
#221 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 5:36:50 PM | message detail
Updated bracket that shows what matches will be night matches or day matches:

http://i.imgur.com/jTECoqg.png

I edited the HTML of the bracket page to use blue and red highlighting.

Blue = Night matches
Red = Day matches
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#222 | abdou | Posted 6/7/2013 5:36:57 PM | message detail
5pm saturday and sunday ...
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#223 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 6/7/2013 5:38:07 PM | message detail
Seriously Luster, can you change them to not be as bright please?

That bright a colour and them being contrasting is a really bad mix for eyes. It's hard to focus.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#224 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 5:39:46 PM | message detail
ShatteredElysium posted...
Seriously Luster, can you change them to not be as bright please?

That bright a colour and them being contrasting is a really bad mix for eyes. It's hard to focus.


What colors would you have used instead? I used white text since black text doesn't stand out very good on a blue background.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#225 | shane15 | Posted 6/7/2013 5:42:55 PM | message detail
If this is the mess we've got so far what the hell are the horrors waiting for us at seed 27

http://www.myfacewhen.net/uploads/5418-crying-guy.jpg
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#226 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 6/7/2013 5:45:19 PM | message detail
Calling it now, Link isn't winning.
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GT: TriggerTRE / PSN: SolidTRE
Life is short. Smile while you still have teeth!
#227 | transience | Posted 6/7/2013 5:55:47 PM | message detail
Link/Mario/Charizard

what happens
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xyzzy
#228 | Emporer_Kazbar | Posted 6/7/2013 5:57:45 PM | message detail
Link/___/___

Link wins.
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Will not remove this line of my signature until the Seahawks, Jazz or Rockies win a title (Started 5-16-09)
SuperNiceDog: Guru winner
#229 | swirIdude | Posted 6/7/2013 5:59:20 PM | message detail
Link/Dark Link/Cloud
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#230 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 5:59:57 PM | message detail
I mean, Link wins that match, but the real match is between Mario and Charizard. It's possible Link will SFF Charizard somewhat, so he might not be able to beat an heavily SFFed Mario.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#231 | transience | Posted 6/7/2013 6:02:15 PM | message detail
Mario couldn't SFF Charizard, why would Link
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xyzzy
#232 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 6/7/2013 6:06:12 PM | message detail
transience posted...
Mario couldn't SFF Charizard, why would Link


Better question: Why are you taking into account the Charizard match that came after he had bandwagon strength? Unless you think being close to Kratos, barely beating Bowser and going 46-54 on Mario is all the same, of course.
#233 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 6:07:12 PM | message detail
transience posted...
Mario couldn't SFF Charizard, why would Link


Mario has less SFFing power than Link.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#234 | IloveYoda | Posted 6/7/2013 6:11:27 PM | message detail
Mario/Charizard also happened on HG/SS release day, iirc. There's no way Charizard stands up to that standard normally.
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#235 | pjbasis | Posted 6/7/2013 6:12:58 PM | message detail
swirIdude posted...
Link/Dark Link/Cloud


Dark Link wins
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#236 | jacko_vdz | Posted 6/7/2013 6:15:24 PM | message detail
IloveYoda posted...
Mario/Charizard also happened on HG/SS release day, iirc. There's no way Charizard stands up to that standard normally.


That was Charizard vs Bowser.
#237 | Emporer_Kazbar | Posted 6/7/2013 6:19:39 PM | message detail
And that was the only reason he even got by Bowser, TBQH
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Will not remove this line of my signature until the Seahawks, Jazz or Rockies win a title (Started 5-16-09)
SuperNiceDog: Guru winner
#238 | pyresword | Posted 6/7/2013 6:32:12 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Updated bracket that shows what matches will be night matches or day matches:

http://i.imgur.com/jTECoqg.png

I edited the HTML of the bracket page to use blue and red highlighting.

Blue = Night matches
Red = Day matches


Wait did I miss something, has it been confirmed which matches are 12 hour matches, or is this just your best guess?
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#239 | Haste_2 | Posted 6/7/2013 6:38:44 PM | message detail
Team Rocket Elite posted...
As much as I like Missingno. a lot of his support seemed to be from joke votes. It may drop off in strength like L-Block did.


MissingNo. beat Crono right off the bat. L-Block was beaten handily by Kirby in its first appearance. L-Block was worth 42% on Bowser last contest, so L-Block ended up perhaps slightly weaker than when it first appeared (after accounting for pics).

Things shouldn't look TOO down for MissingNo....

What are the chances ? Block will be stronger than L-Block?
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#240 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 6/7/2013 6:45:38 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
transience posted...
Mario couldn't SFF Charizard, why would Link


Mario has less SFFing power than Link.


Barely. That was all Charizard being on bandwagon roids. Mario squashes Nintendo normally.
#241 | GoldSlime35 | Posted 6/7/2013 6:57:24 PM | message detail
I think its still too early to make predictions.

Lets say someone like Captain Falcon or Donkey Kong winds up as the 19 seed in Magus's match. They would likely win, and then leech Pikachu so Crono would advance the next round.
#242 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 6/7/2013 7:11:36 PM | message detail
Haste_2 posted...
Team Rocket Elite posted...
As much as I like Missingno. a lot of his support seemed to be from joke votes. It may drop off in strength like L-Block did.


MissingNo. beat Crono right off the bat. L-Block was beaten handily by Kirby in its first appearance. L-Block was worth 42% on Bowser last contest, so L-Block ended up perhaps slightly weaker than when it first appeared (after accounting for pics).

Things shouldn't look TOO down for MissingNo....

What are the chances ? Block will be stronger than L-Block?


WCC beat Tidus in its opening match but looks quite a bit worse now so a joke character can fall a lot from its opening match. It shouldn't take that much to fall from Crono to below Squall.

? Block will probably be stronger than the current L Block but I don't think it'll go up too much as each round goes on.
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Pokemon VGC2013 OR Regional - 12th place
Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place
#243 | SonicRaptor | Posted 6/7/2013 7:46:19 PM | message detail
Wasn't there also a huge 4chan push for L-Block and Missingno during their respective mega-runs? How aware are they of the contest this time because I don't go there.
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In Oz; cruel is the usual punishment.
#244 | spooky96 | Posted 6/7/2013 7:53:11 PM | message detail
lmao woke up early this morning. Allen's in a playful mood, adding so many joke characters. This should be an interesting contest.
#245 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 6/7/2013 7:53:30 PM | message detail
TheArkOfTurus posted...
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
WTF is a Solaire of Astora?


The most popular character from Dark Souls.

TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Was hoping she'd at least get a marginally debatable match,


...Such as?


Good point. That hope originally came when I expected 1v1s.

Although given how weak some of these high seeds are, I'm still holding out hope for a Touhou win. If one of those weak 3-seeds draws a 16-seed that LFFs them, we could actually see a 25-seed advance. And after the reveal that the bracket would have over 200 entrants, I switched from rallying the character that was easiest to unite the fanbase on to rallying my favorite; given the number of vote trades I made, a 25-seed sounds oddly plausible for Remilia. Bonus points if the unlucky 3-seed is Lee, because then we just let the natural superiority of vampires to zombies go to work.
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#246 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 6/7/2013 7:55:26 PM | message detail
SonicRaptor posted...
Wasn't there also a huge 4chan push for L-Block and Missingno during their respective mega-runs? How aware are they of the contest this time because I don't go there.


We'll see soon enough; most of us are expecting an appearance by Katawa Shoujo.
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"Everyone has a dick although it may not be physical. You just have to learn to access it within your mind." - blindhobo13
#247 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2013 7:55:54 PM | message detail
Wait, we're getting day/night matches?

81 days really isn't a long time at all.
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"Everyone sees what you appear to be... few really know what you are." -Machiavelli
#248 | charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2013 8:22:17 PM | message detail
Missing Top Characters. It'll be interesting to see where they end up...

Aerith Gainsborough
Altair
Big Daddy
Captain Falcon
Cecil Harvey
Chris Redfield
Diablo
Donkey Kong
Frog
Jill Valentine
Liquid Snake
Meta Knight
Mudkip
Rikku
Ryu
Ryu Hayabusa
Scorpion
Shadow the Hedgehog
Sub-Zero
Vault Boy
Vincent Valentine
Weighted Companion Cube
Yuna
Zelda
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Congrats to SuperNiceDog for winning the guru contest.
#249 | swirIdude | Posted 6/7/2013 9:05:46 PM | message detail
I missed the fun of using LOL X-Stats to make bracket decisions. Contest season is the best.
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"The people who play Final Fantasy 7 actually have lives and dont NEED polls" ~MajinUltima
SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#250 | spooky96 | Posted 6/7/2013 9:14:47 PM | message detail
Luster today this has the potential to be the lowest.

http://gyazo.com/e3bda8dae56d26764ae66b325a2318ca.png