Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1053

#151 | Dr_Football | Posted 6/7/2013 4:37:38 PM | message detail
Layton vs Barret

: (
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Dr voltchball - best in the world.
#152 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 4:38:09 PM | message detail
Warning! Hostile 10, 11, and 12 seeds inbound!

Solaire of Astora, Rinoa Heartilly, and Welkin Gunther in Link's division
Barret Wallace, Mewtwo, and Archer in Sonic's division
Clementine, Ness, and Crash Bandicoot in Sephiroth's division
N, Mordin Solus, and Zack Fair in Snake's division
Francis York Morgan, Zidane Tribal, and Hades in Cloud's division
Hal "Otacon" Emmerich, Lu Bu, and Pokemon Trainer Blue in Crono's division
Seifer Almasy, Teemo, and Cirno in Samus's division
Guybrush Threepwood, Tidus, Urdnot Wrex in Mario's division
Mike Haggar, Lyndis, and Riku in Mega Man's division
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#153 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 6/7/2013 4:38:14 PM | message detail
#154 | Dr_Football | Posted 6/7/2013 4:39:29 PM | message detail
KEFKA VS ZACH FAIR
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Dr voltchball - best in the world.
#155 | GloriousSweater | Posted 6/7/2013 4:40:30 PM | message detail
Zidane has never looked better.
#156 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 4:40:39 PM | message detail
CATS might have had a chance at winning a match if some weak uber-fodder character was in Ness's spot. And Kefka gets wasted against Zack Fair.
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#157 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 6/7/2013 4:41:36 PM | message detail
Good to see Blue in. Hopefully he does well. I can't believe Cirno and Archer actually made it.
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Pokemon VGC2013 OR Regional - 12th place
Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place
#158 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 6/7/2013 4:41:41 PM | message detail
Yay, Mewtwo gets to ruin any chance Bowser had at looking good on Sonic.
This bracket has a lot of really bad rematches.
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#159 | StarStormScream | Posted 6/7/2013 4:42:24 PM | message detail
So I was in the middle of comparing the entrants with the final Tally Topic when the latest seeds popped up

*As of now, the only characters with at least 16 noms in the topic yet to be announced: Repede (Tales of Vesperia), Juliet Starling (Lollipop Chainsaw), and Science the Bear

*All characters receiving at least 24 noms are all seeded no lower than #10
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#160 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 6/7/2013 4:43:07 PM | message detail
Captain Hazama needs to make it ; ;

He may have even got support/rallying just for his troll status
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#161 | Emporer_Kazbar | Posted 6/7/2013 4:43:20 PM | message detail
CATS can't beat Ness on his own, but you put another Nintendo character in there and he might actually have a shot.
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#162 | GoldSlime35 | Posted 6/7/2013 4:43:40 PM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
To look bad? I always assumed he was doing things like sending him up against Snake right away and placing him near Sephiroth in CB8 to allow him to save face!

So Mario and Ganondorf will be meeting up in round 2. Is Ganondorf strong enough that LFF could actually be a problem for Mario? The third member of that threepack is Vivi, who isn't exactly weak. And the other two threepacks in that region (assuming all nine top seeds advance) are Squall vs Amaterasu vs Missingno and Creeper vs Red vs Pit. See any potential disasters here?

...yeah. Red and Pit SFF and allow Creeper through. Ganondorf LFFs Mario and allows Vivi through. Vivi LFFs Squall and allows Creeper through again.


Ganondorf will affect Mario a little, but Vivi isn't strong enough to take advantage of it. Megaman/Zero/Charizard will be interesting. If VIncent wound up in division 2, Sonic/Vincent/Bowser would be interesting if if happened.

This bracket will be very difficult to predict. There will be a lot of close matchups in later rounds which will basically be decided by who gets leeched more by character 3. So being wrong on your prediction for character 3 could kill you for the next round.
#163 | pjbasis | Posted 6/7/2013 4:45:51 PM | message detail
Wow this contest is starting to look like a b8 contest
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#164 | General_Zimbad | Posted 6/7/2013 4:46:07 PM | message detail
Teemo made it in!?!? haha love it.
#165 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 4:46:25 PM | message detail
Mario won't lose to Vivi, even with Ganondorf there. Mario would have gotten at least 60% on Vivi in a night match. That alone is enough to beat Vivi with the threat of LFF from Ganondorf in the match.
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#166 | TheArkOfTurus | Posted 6/7/2013 4:46:28 PM | message detail
Magus/Otacon, huh?

That seems like the exact type of match that Magus loses after we all pick him.
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#167 | jacko_vdz | Posted 6/7/2013 4:46:31 PM | message detail
YES Blue made it!!
#168 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 6/7/2013 4:46:45 PM | message detail
Knuckles vs. Seifer

Magus vs. Otacon
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#169 | XIII_rocks | Posted 6/7/2013 4:47:06 PM | message detail
Get on the Mordin > Epona train
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#170 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 6/7/2013 4:48:51 PM | message detail
So here are the early matchups confirmed.

(9) Yoshi
(10) Solaire of Astora

(8) Hero
(11) Rinoa Heartilly

(7) Mega Man X
(12) Welkin Gunther

(9) Professor Layton
(10) Barret Wallace

(8) Chester
(11) Mewtwo

(7) Bowser
(12) Archer

(9) Spyro the Dragon
(10) Clementine

(7) Wheatley
(12) Crash Bandicoot

(9) Bayonetta
(10) N

(8) Epona
(11) Mordin Solus

(7) Kefka
(12) Zack Fair

(9) Sly Cooper
(10) Francis York Morgan

(8) Spring Breeze Dancin'
(11) Zidane Tribal

(7) Gordon Freeman
(12) Hades

(9) Magus
(10) Hal "Otacon" Emmerich

(8) Groose
(11) Lu Bu

(7) Fox McCloud
(12) Pokemon Trainer Blue

(9) Knuckles the Echidna
(10) Seifer Almasy

(8) L-Block
(11) Teemo

(7) Tifa Lockheart
(12) Cirno

(9) Ganondorf
(10) Guybrush Threepwood

(8) Missingno
(11) Tidus

(7) Pit
(12) Urdnot Wrex

(9) Red Bird
(10) Mike Haggar

(8) ? Block
(11) Lyndis

(7) Charizard
(12) Riku
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#171 | TheArkOfTurus | Posted 6/7/2013 4:48:57 PM | message detail
XIII_rocks posted...
Get on the Mordin > Epona train


Get on? I'm already driving!
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#172 | Jakyl25 | Posted 6/7/2013 4:50:40 PM | message detail
FateStayAlbion posted...

(9) Red Bird
(10) Mike Haggar



This has awesome match pic potential
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#173 | swordz9 | Posted 6/7/2013 4:50:41 PM | message detail
Tifa getting it way too easy along and poor Kefka.
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#174 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 6/7/2013 4:52:18 PM | message detail
(7) Fox McCloud
(12) Pokemon Trainer Blue

(9) Knuckles the Echidna
(10) Seifer Almasy


I'm too rusty. I can't decide if these have upset potential.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#175 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 6/7/2013 4:52:39 PM | message detail
Top characters not in yet?

Ryu, Vincent, Zelda, who else?
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#176 | pjbasis | Posted 6/7/2013 4:53:11 PM | message detail
Would Seifer beat Cecil?
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#177 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 6/7/2013 4:53:23 PM | message detail
Yeah, I'm going with Otacon.

WTF is a Solaire of Astora?

:( at Cirno's draw. Was hoping she'd at least get a marginally debatable match, but Tifa in R1 is going to be a huge mismatch. Barring an unfavorable LFF from the third character, I think Tifa's got a shot at ending up in the 70-75% range in R1, maybe even higher if the third character is especially weak and non-Square.
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#178 | TheArkOfTurus | Posted 6/7/2013 4:54:30 PM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
WTF is a Solaire of Astora?


The most popular character from Dark Souls.

TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Was hoping she'd at least get a marginally debatable match,


...Such as?
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#179 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 6/7/2013 4:56:14 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
Would Seifer beat Cecil?


I think I'd take Seifer over Cecil just about but I'm not sure if this is personal bias since I liked Seifer.

Not that I disliked Cecil.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#180 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 6/7/2013 4:56:37 PM | message detail
TheArkOfTurus posted...
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Was hoping she'd at least get a marginally debatable match,


...Such as?


Jay Solano and Tanner might work. >_>
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Pokemon VGC2013 OR Regional - 12th place
Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place
#181 | Jakyl25 | Posted 6/7/2013 4:57:11 PM | message detail
Dilated Chemist posted...
Top characters not in yet?

Ryu, Vincent, Zelda, who else?



DK isn't exactly a "top character" but he's the next notable name I thought of
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#182 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 6/7/2013 4:57:12 PM | message detail

TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Was hoping she'd at least get a marginally debatable match,


...Such as?


An even more obscure lolicon thing, obviously
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#183 | transience | Posted 6/7/2013 4:59:33 PM | message detail
these are possible matches

Crono/Pikachu/Magus
Pikachu/Blue/Sora
Samus/Auron/Tifa
Mario/Squall/Red
Mega Man/Zero/Charizard
Sonic/KOS-MOS/Bowser
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xyzzy
#184 | jacko_vdz | Posted 6/7/2013 5:00:16 PM | message detail
ShatteredElysium posted...
(7) Fox McCloud
(12) Pokemon Trainer Blue


No way does Fox come even close to blue.
#185 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 6/7/2013 5:01:21 PM | message detail
Pikachu/Blue/Sora
Mario/Squall/Red

That sucks for Red and Blue.

Crono/Pikachu/Magus
Mega Man/Zero/Charizard

But I guess it's not like Pokemon isn't abusing LFF in other places.
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Pokemon VGC2013 OR Regional - 12th place
Pokemon VGC2013 BC Regional - 16th place
#186 | TheArkOfTurus | Posted 6/7/2013 5:01:37 PM | message detail
Dilated Chemist posted...
Top characters not in yet?

Ryu, Vincent, Zelda, who else?


You have the only characters that could be considered "top," but some mainstays with strength that haven't shown up yet: Jill, Ryu Hayabusa, Aeris, Captain Falcon, Altair, Frog.
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#187 | Dilated Chemist | Posted 6/7/2013 5:01:39 PM | message detail
Missingno > Squall & Tidus
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#188 | transience | Posted 6/7/2013 5:02:04 PM | message detail
and if you take the collateral damage one step further, Cloud/Sora/Snake

that Crono/Magus/Pikachu match changes absolutely everything
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xyzzy
#189 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 6/7/2013 5:02:14 PM | message detail
Here are my picks for the confirmed matchups.

(9) Yoshi
(11) Rinoa Heartilly
(7) Mega Man X
(10) Barret Wallace
(11) Mewtwo
(7) Bowser
The 19-seed, sight unseen
(7) Wheatley
(10) N
(11) Mordin Solus
(12) Zack Fair or the 21-seed (lol SFF)
The 19-seed, sight unseen
(11) Zidane Tribal
(7) Gordon Freeman
(10) Hal "Otacon" Emmerich
(8) Groose, or maybe the 20-seed if it's good enough
(12) Pokemon Trainer Blue
(10) Seifer Almasy
(8) L-Block
(7) Tifa Lockheart
(9) Ganondorf
(8) Missingno (lol Tidus loses early yet again)
(12) Urdnot Wrex
(10) Mike Haggar, unless the 19 turns out to be some tertiary FF character or something
(11) Lyndis
(7) Charizard
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#190 | pjbasis | Posted 6/7/2013 5:02:53 PM | message detail
You guys really forgot how Red vs. Ocelot went down huh
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#191 | Acerac | Posted 6/7/2013 5:03:07 PM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Yeah, I'm going with Otacon.

WTF is a Solaire of Astora?


Having played the game he is from I couldn't even begin to tell you.
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#192 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 6/7/2013 5:03:13 PM | message detail
We're still missing Sub-Zero too!
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#193 | TheArkOfTurus | Posted 6/7/2013 5:04:35 PM | message detail
Whoops, how did I miss Subby?
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#194 | pjbasis | Posted 6/7/2013 5:04:51 PM | message detail
I kind of can't imagine Seifer losing to Cecil.

Unless Squall is really that popular because of Kingdom Hearts
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#195 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 6/7/2013 5:05:45 PM | message detail
jacko_vdz posted...
ShatteredElysium posted...
(7) Fox McCloud
(12) Pokemon Trainer Blue


No way does Fox come even close to blue.


Fox was 30.67% on base link. Red was 27.59%.

I don't think it's as cut and dry as Blue stomping him.
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#196 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 6/7/2013 5:05:57 PM | message detail
TheArkOfTurus posted...
Dilated Chemist posted...
Top characters not in yet?

Ryu, Vincent, Zelda, who else?


You have the only characters that could be considered "top," but some mainstays with strength that haven't shown up yet: Jill, Ryu Hayabusa, Aeris, Captain Falcon, Altair, Frog.


Yeah, Altair was a 2-seed last time out. And you forgot Yuna.
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#197 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 5:07:49 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/cb9_entry_test

NOTE: All test entries will be cleared on Monday, June 7th. If you want to save your completed (all 121 battles picked) bracket before then, visit http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/cb9_mybracket and copy or bookmark the "Share this Bracket" link for future reference.

I think this is a sign that all of the characters in this contest will be revealed before the end of Monday.
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#198 | GloriousSweater | Posted 6/7/2013 5:08:00 PM | message detail
Crono/Magus/Pikachu is the only one that's caught my eye, and it's very likely to happen. I know people in this topic have poo-pooed Magus already, but he'd never lose to Otacon, and in a 243-character bracket (with most of the strong ones already used up elsewhere), the odds he'd draw a third entrant strong enough to beat him aren't that great.

And no way - no way and no how - am I actually taking Chrono Trigger to beat Pokemon in this situation. I'm guessing Pikachu ends up an 80/20 Board 8 favorite or better.
#199 | TheArkOfTurus | Posted 6/7/2013 5:09:00 PM | message detail
TsunamiXXVIII posted...
And you forgot Yuna.


I considered Yuna. Also considered Ocelot, Pac-Man, Rikku, and Big Daddy. Had to cut the list somewhere!
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#200 | pjbasis | Posted 6/7/2013 5:09:13 PM | message detail
Monday, June 7th????
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