Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1053

#1 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 6/6/2013 5:30:51 PM | message detail | (edited)
BRACKET - http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/cb9_entry_test

List of characters for each seed - http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/cb9_battlers

Submit descriptions for the characters - http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/feedback/index.php?type=49

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~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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#2 | TheArkOfTurus | Posted 6/6/2013 8:46:39 PM | message detail
"Although Leon might actually have a shot this year with a Donte pick."

Was this confirmed by Bacon to be a possibility? Is he considering Dante and Donte the same character? (I have no idea if they are actually connected by the plot. Haven't played the new DMC)
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#3 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/6/2013 9:01:39 PM | message detail
This page is messed up now:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/cb9_entry_test

No matter what account I am logged into, I am seeing this error message:

You must be logged in to enter the contest!


I have a screenshot of the current bracket before the page got all messed up: http://i.imgur.com/rDQVB0f.png

I edited the HTML of the bracket to create alternating background colors for each match. Night matches are highlighted in blue, and day matches are highlighted in red. This is assuming we have 12-hour matches for the first 2 rounds.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#4 | superange128 | Posted 6/6/2013 9:03:16 PM | message detail
Maybe the actual bracket entry page is being made since the test was probably to make sure the predicting and stuff was working and we were the beta testers

and the whole bracket could be up by tomorrow since it's Friday ommmggggggggg
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#5 | MegaWentEvil | Posted 6/6/2013 9:44:35 PM | message detail
No matter what account I am logged into, I am seeing this error message:

You must be logged in to enter the contest!


GameFAQs is ruined forever.
#6 | Menji76 | Posted 6/6/2013 9:46:31 PM | message detail
Sounds like it's almost time for the bracket!
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#7 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/6/2013 9:53:44 PM | message detail
I HAVE PHOTOSHOP AGAIN

ALL IS COMPLETE
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#8 | superange128 | Posted 6/6/2013 9:58:34 PM | message detail
UltimaterializerX posted...
I HAVE PHOTOSHOP AGAIN

ALL IS COMPLETE


heheh so do I

I actually can't wait to do pics again

I've also never done a freeform match now that I think about it. I want to try and make one really good one but I only feel confident in making R1/R2 match pics
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#9 | superange128 | Posted 6/6/2013 9:59:06 PM | message detail
also hopefully you guys can consider voting/nomming in this:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66377701
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#10 | swordz9 | Posted 6/6/2013 10:01:12 PM | message detail
Please no weird smiling Squall match pics.
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#11 | superange128 | Posted 6/6/2013 10:02:35 PM | message detail
swordz9 posted...
Please no weird smiling Squall match pics.


Smiling Squall THE BEST
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#12 | swirIdude | Posted 6/6/2013 10:57:56 PM | message detail | (edited)
Did anyone save the bracket before Allen took it down, so we can fill in the blanks ourselves?

Oh good, Luster has it.
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SuperNiceDog: Bracket: Good, Taste: Bad
#13 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/6/2013 10:57:23 PM | message detail
Yes, I saved the bracket. Read this post for more information:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/66375467/746765487
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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#14 | jacko_vdz | Posted 6/7/2013 1:18:42 AM | message detail
TRE posted...
Pokemon Trainer in SSBB and FRLG is Red. He looks exactly the same as the Red you face in the Pokemon BW2 Champions tournament.


Looks the same =/= is the same. Nowhere in SSBB does it mention or say that PT's name is Red, AND it goes as far to say that there are many of the generic Pokemon Trainers on an adventure. You're right, they look the same but it's a great injustice to the character to give him a picture from a spin-off game (that doesn't use his actual name) when he already has oh so many problems with recognition. Pokemon fans aren't just drones who will vote for anything with Pokemon in the title.

I share your sentiments and hope Blue makes it in (it's why I tried to rally for him!).
#15 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 6/7/2013 2:13:00 AM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
This page is messed up now:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/cb9_entry_test

No matter what account I am logged into, I am seeing this error message:

You must be logged in to enter the contest!


I have a screenshot of the current bracket before the page got all messed up: http://i.imgur.com/rDQVB0f.png

I edited the HTML of the bracket to create alternating background colors for each match. Night matches are highlighted in blue, and day matches are highlighted in red. This is assuming we have 12-hour matches for the first 2 rounds.



Maybe it's just me or my screen or something but those colours together hurt my eyes.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#16 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2013 3:05:44 AM | message detail
TheArkOfTurus posted...
"Although Leon might actually have a shot this year with a Donte pick."

Was this confirmed by Bacon to be a possibility? Is he considering Dante and Donte the same character? (I have no idea if they are actually connected by the plot. Haven't played the new DMC)


I have no idea either, but it certainly won't stop people from trying.
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#17 | Korayashi | Posted 6/7/2013 3:08:21 AM | message detail
Prediction: Rest of the bracket is released today as it was said the bracket would be released this week on Sballin.
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#18 | _SecretSquirrel | Posted 6/7/2013 3:54:39 AM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
TheArkOfTurus posted...
"Although Leon might actually have a shot this year with a Donte pick."

Was this confirmed by Bacon to be a possibility? Is he considering Dante and Donte the same character? (I have no idea if they are actually connected by the plot. Haven't played the new DMC)


I have no idea either, but it certainly won't stop people from trying.

If SB considered Donte to be a separate character, he should have put two Dantes in the nomination database.
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#19 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 6/7/2013 3:56:15 AM | message detail
Looks like the actual bracket link will be up soon.

One-hour edits are seriously the dumbest thing, what the f***.
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#20 | abdou | Posted 6/7/2013 5:01:13 AM | message detail
I seriously hope he doesn't consider them the same character ..at least he used Dante's image from DMC3 in the profile pic
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#21 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 6/7/2013 6:03:30 AM | message detail
Dante and Donte are as much the same character as WW and OoT Link.

Since we're not getting 2 links, we're not getting 2 Dantes. 0% chance.
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#22 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 6/7/2013 6:09:29 AM | message detail
Bacon did use the rebooted version of Lara Croft for her pic, so i guess he pretty much treats the classic and alternate/rebooted version as the same entity.

DmC Dante should be fine against most of the weaker entrants, just pray that Bacon do not give him that when up against characters with respectable strength.
#23 | ffmasterjose | Posted 6/7/2013 6:31:54 AM | message detail
My description for Squall was "Filed" Eeeeeeeee!!!
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| The Great GameFAQs Character Battle IX contest - COMING SOON to a GameFAQs near YOU |
YES! YES! YES!
#24 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 6:33:28 AM | message detail
I tested out that form and all submissions through that form are automatically "Filed". I later pulled the submission, though.
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#25 | ffmasterjose | Posted 6/7/2013 6:39:11 AM | message detail
Awww. Way to burst my bubble Luster :(
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| The Great GameFAQs Character Battle IX contest - COMING SOON to a GameFAQs near YOU |
YES! YES! YES!
#26 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 6/7/2013 8:49:33 AM | message detail
Iamthekuzalol posted...
Bacon did use the rebooted version of Lara Croft for her pic, so i guess he pretty much treats the classic and alternate/rebooted version as the same entity.

DmC Dante should be fine against most of the weaker entrants, just pray that Bacon do not give him that when up against characters with respectable strength.


From what I gather they're not the same idea. The rebooted version of Lara Croft is just her younger self, while DmC takes place in an alternate universe from its source material. In other words, comparable to Mega Man X vs. the original Mega Man.
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#27 | pjbasis | Posted 6/7/2013 9:31:17 AM | message detail
LMS, you are wrong.
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#28 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 6/7/2013 10:14:55 AM | message detail | (edited)
LinkMarioSamus posted...
Iamthekuzalol posted...
Bacon did use the rebooted version of Lara Croft for her pic, so i guess he pretty much treats the classic and alternate/rebooted version as the same entity.

DmC Dante should be fine against most of the weaker entrants, just pray that Bacon do not give him that when up against characters with respectable strength.


From what I gather they're not the same idea. The rebooted version of Lara Croft is just her younger self, while DmC takes place in an alternate universe from its source material. In other words, comparable to Mega Man X vs. the original Mega Man.


I don't think the new TR is a origin/prequel, it really is a reboot, just kinda like DmC/LoS. I could be wrong though.

MMX is a spinoff, it takes place in the same universe as Megaman so i could understand why Bacon would treat it as a different entity.
#29 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 6/7/2013 10:20:04 AM | message detail
No, I don't think he'd put the entire rest of the bracket out today given how slowly he's been teasing it out so far. We probably get the 5-9 seeds today, then the 10-18 seeds tomorrow and the 19-27 seeds on Sunday.
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#30 | StarStormScream | Posted 6/7/2013 10:28:58 AM | message detail | (edited)
So I just refreshed the Meet the Characters page and some of the pics of the #1 Seeds just changed ... (Edit: For Link & Sonic at least)
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#31 | Emporer_Kazbar | Posted 6/7/2013 10:28:27 AM | message detail
How long is the time period between bracket submissions opening and the contest starting, usually?
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#32 | superange128 | Posted 6/7/2013 10:29:35 AM | message detail
Ok I like Sonic Heroes and all but people have been using that friggin same Sonic model

otherwise all the 1 seed characters have pretty good pics now
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#33 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 10:31:17 AM | message detail
Emporer_Kazbar posted...
How long is the time period between bracket submissions opening and the contest starting, usually?


I think we'll end up with a 3 week bracket entry period. I don't think the contest will start until July 1st (or later than that).
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#34 | shane15 | Posted 6/7/2013 11:34:46 AM | message detail | (edited)
*smells air* i love the smell of a contest in the morning.Looks like my main man Squall has a shot at beating Mario thanks to Red.Don't even think about bottling it this time.Also, i hope Rinoa finally gets in a contest.Nominated her for years but i'd say this is her best shot of actually getting in thanks to the amount of places up for grabs.
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#35 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2013 12:11:15 PM | message detail
Yeah, all descriptions are automatically listed as "Filed." It even says it right after you submit it!
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#36 | XIII_socks | Posted 6/7/2013 12:25:57 PM | message detail
Brackets are publically shareable? Sounds perfect for the guru. Need a script that extracts the bracket from the link!
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#37 | Emporer_Kazbar | Posted 6/7/2013 12:27:13 PM | message detail
Yeah, first thing that came to mind is how convenient that is for the guru.
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#38 | XIII_socks | Posted 6/7/2013 12:28:14 PM | message detail
Uh, yes? I hate typing my bracket.
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#39 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 1:37:25 PM | message detail
Warning! Hostile 5 seeds inbound!

Tharja in Link's division
KOS-MOS in Sonic's division
Big Boss in Sephiroth's division
Ike in Snake's division
Squirtle in Cloud's division
Booker DeWitt in Crono's division
Auron in Samus's division
Amaterasu in Mario's division
Lenneth Valkyrie in Mega Man's division
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#40 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2013 1:38:04 PM | message detail
First NRT character shows up and with a high seed, to boot. That's a good sign.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#41 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 1:39:39 PM | message detail
Warning! Hostile 6 seeds inbound!

Raiden in Link's division
Lucina in Sonic's division
Morrigan Aensland in Sephiroth's division
Alucard in Snake's division
Handsome Jack in Cloud's division
Pikachu in Crono's division
Neku Sakuraba in Samus's division
Vivi in Mario's division
Kratos in Mega Man's division
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#42 | Denzokuken | Posted 6/7/2013 1:40:37 PM | message detail
Pikachu vs Crono!
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#43 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2013 1:40:53 PM | message detail
And now Morrigan shows up. Good, good.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#44 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 6/7/2013 1:41:02 PM | message detail
KOS MOS GOT A 5 SEED?

..PIKACHU VS. CRONO

PIKACHU VS. SNAKE VS. CLOUD
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#45 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 6/7/2013 1:41:24 PM | message detail
Going with Pikachu, gg Crono.
#46 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2013 1:41:43 PM | message detail
Pikachu vs. Crono is going to be a night match if we get 12-hour matches for the first 2 rounds. Good for Crono though.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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#47 | XIII_rocks | Posted 6/7/2013 1:42:38 PM | message detail
Pikachu/Cloud/Snake is rough for Snake
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#48 | Denzokuken | Posted 6/7/2013 1:42:59 PM | message detail
WarThaNemesis2 posted...
KOS MOS GOT A 5 SEED?

..PIKACHU VS. CRONO

PIKACHU VS. SNAKE VS. CLOUD


If Pikachu was to beat Crono, Cloud stands a far better chance of beating Snake. I have a feeling Snake has quite a bit of Nintendo backing.
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#49 | StarStormScream | Posted 6/7/2013 1:43:15 PM | message detail
Seeding is weird this year, lol. KOS-MOS with a #5. Already 3 Fire Emblem characters. (Need to get a 3DS soon so I can play it)

Nice to finally see my gal Morri officially back in the contest.
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#50 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 6/7/2013 1:44:21 PM | message detail
You guys still talking about Cloud? Pikachu is gonna win cos of that Sony LFF.