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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1051 ("Holy Crap An Actual Contest" Edition)

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#101 | Ngamer64 | Posted 5/12/2013 8:41:02 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Finally got around to updating the Board 8 wiki page for the suggestion list:

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Character_Suggestion_List

Great job keeping this up to date Luster!
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thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats board8.wikia.com
For your consideration: Lee Everett - The Walking Dead
#102 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/13/2013 7:07:54 AM | message detail
Holy s***, insane trends in today's poll. I didn't bother tracking poll updates on this poll because I didn't think there would be insane trends in this poll. But apparently, this is what the poll results looked like at 2:00 AM:

I'm outside right now, voting from the great outdoors 1.3% 91
Just in the last hour or two 31.23% 2190
Earlier today, it's been a few hours 46.49% 3260
Yesterday, I haven't been out today 14.62% 1025
Sometime in the last week or two, not that long 4.22% 296
It's been more than a few weeks for me 0.66% 46
I can't even remember when I was last outdoors 1.48% 104
TOTAL VOTES 7012

Compare that to right now, and the percentages have gone through a major transformation. If this poll is re-run in the future, I will be prepared to track poll updates.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#103 | nintendogirl2 | Posted 5/13/2013 7:21:06 AM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
They are unique nominations for each character. Not necessarily 1,000 people since I'm sure lots of people haven't used all their noms.


Also, they're unique IDs, so if you delete a nom, it doesn't get removed from the count. So Luster's incessant checking is actually artificially inflating the number of noms.
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NGirl@work or on phone.
#104 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/13/2013 7:25:37 AM | message detail
Checking the current nomination total would have very little impact on inflating the number of noms considering I check the nomination total about once or twice a day.

Compiling the full list of characters in the suggestion database would have inflated the nomination totals, though. Since I'd have to delete them from my list so I have enough room to check every possible ID number for the characters in the suggestion database.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#105 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 5/13/2013 7:45:51 AM | message detail
Luster, any poll dependent on time of day will hace massive trends. People voting last night would have much more reason to say "today" than yesterday while everyone who votes in the morning probably hadn't been outside yet but did yesterday. That should account for the massive changes. And I'm sure as each time zone's late night crossed into morning similar things did/will happen.
#106 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/13/2013 7:52:43 AM | message detail
In that 2:00 AM update I posted in this topic, the "Earlier today" option had a lead of 2235 over "Yesterday". Despite that massive lead, we could see "Earlier today" blow the lead after building up a commanding 2200+ lead.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#107 | charmander6000 | Posted 5/13/2013 8:21:57 AM | message detail
Expect yesterday to collapse for the rest of the day too.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Congrats to SuperNiceDog for winning the guru contest.
#108 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/13/2013 11:59:51 AM | message detail
At 11:38 AM, "Earlier today" finally lost the lead to "Yesterday".

charmander6000 posted...
Expect yesterday to collapse for the rest of the day too.


By the looks of it, that collapse is happening right now. Looks like "Yesterday" is going to collapse with the ASV. Although "Earlier today" is still collapsing hard, so it won't be able to take advantage of Yesterday's collapse to retake the lead again.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#109 | Haste_2 | Posted 5/13/2013 12:01:45 PM | message detail
I'm still waiting for the poll question "what time is it right now?" .
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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
#110 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 5/13/2013 12:27:23 PM | message detail
I think that poll would make Luster literally implode.
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy V - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3529748
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#111 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/13/2013 12:38:58 PM | message detail
Haste_2 posted...
I'm still waiting for the poll question "what time is it right now?" .


The trends for that poll would be decided through a combination of different countries around the world (thanks to timezones), and the current time constantly changing over the course of the entire poll. While that poll would have extreme trends, the continent poll is still number one in extreme trends.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#112 | Not_Wylvane (Topic Creator) | Posted 5/13/2013 12:40:24 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Haste_2 posted...
I'm still waiting for the poll question "what time is it right now?" .


The trends for that poll would be decided through a combination of different countries around the world (thanks to timezones), and the current time constantly changing over the course of the entire poll.


I never would've guessed.
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy V - http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3529748
Previous: http://lparchive.org/author/mega64
#113 | Zylothewolf | Posted 5/13/2013 12:43:42 PM | message detail
This will be the contest where Guybrush Threepwood finally faces someone he can win over!
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. SuperNiceDog > Me
#114 | Haste_2 | Posted 5/13/2013 1:10:29 PM | message detail
Even more extreme might be "Google the time in New York. What time does it say?"
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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those! It could be fun! So... what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
#115 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/13/2013 4:12:52 PM | message detail
Huh, so it looks like "Earlier today" was able to take the lead over "Yesterday" again, by taking advantage of Yesterday's collapse with the ASV.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#116 | KamikazePotato | Posted 5/13/2013 8:19:14 PM | message detail
Who wants to play some bingo?

http://i.imgur.com/mFpg3DX.png?1
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#117 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 5/13/2013 8:30:08 PM | message detail
The picture choices are excellent

I love it
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~Zen
#118 | LordOfDabu | Posted 5/13/2013 8:31:13 PM | message detail
I'd take either the top row or the top right to bottom left diagonal as being the most likely IMO
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Watch me play games!
http://www.livestream.com/dabu
#119 | superange128 | Posted 5/13/2013 8:31:30 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Who wants to play some bingo?

http://i.imgur.com/mFpg3DX.png?1


hah did you just make that?
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http://img524.imageshack.us/img524/4343/narm2.gif
#120 | KamikazePotato | Posted 5/13/2013 8:34:44 PM | message detail
Had to bone up on my photoshop in preparation for the contest!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#121 | superange128 | Posted 5/13/2013 8:42:35 PM | message detail | (edited)
You should make it a serious thing when the bracket is released (and assuming it's still 1v1, 128 characters and stuff) And have everyone pick their rows before the first match begins then just keep the topic bumped
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http://img524.imageshack.us/img524/4343/narm2.gif
#122 | KamikazePotato | Posted 5/13/2013 8:47:03 PM | message detail
I'm not even sure what I would I would need to change from the board right now. Everything seems pretty possible! Except the Jill thing.

Maybe I could post it on the board and see what people might want to include on it.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#123 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 5/13/2013 9:23:07 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
I'm not even sure what I would I would need to change from the board right now. Everything seems pretty possible! Except the Jill thing.

Maybe I could post it on the board and see what people might want to include on it.


Top left to bottom right is too much of a gimme I think - if Link is in it's basically a free Bingo. I'd switch something out for another slot, but otherwise it looks pretty good!
#124 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 5/13/2013 10:52:02 PM | message detail
I made another banner that won't get used!

http://i.imgur.com/4JqtSuQ.png
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~Zen
#125 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 5/13/2013 11:01:54 PM | message detail
I have a problem with bingo square #21. We're never hitting 80000 votes again, are we?
#126 | superange128 | Posted 5/13/2013 11:10:11 PM | message detail
we would need some serious rallying
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http://img524.imageshack.us/img524/4343/narm2.gif
#127 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 5/13/2013 11:17:41 PM | message detail
We're gonna hit that by the finals for sure. I wouldn't worry.
#128 | MegaWentEvil | Posted 5/13/2013 11:24:15 PM | message detail
http://i.imgur.com/4JqtSuQ.png


Is that Yuna by Master Chief's side? Master Chief is doomed when Tidus finds him... :P
#129 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/14/2013 12:02:31 AM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
I have a problem with bingo square #21. We're never hitting 80000 votes again, are we?


Probably never going to happen again. We've only gotten above 50000 votes once this year because of a huge increase in traffic on April Fool's Day, judging by one of Bacon's GWAR topics. As of right now, our average vote totals this year are 38188. But if you don't count the GotY polls, that average increases to 39449.

I guess we could get above 80000 votes if there is a match that has an extreme amount of rallying (like the 2007 final match with L-Block).
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#130 | LeonhartFour | Posted 5/14/2013 2:50:17 AM | message detail | (edited)
Hey now, Seifer's got a great chance of getting in this year with how low noms are!

Also Vincent wasn't an NRT winner in 2005. That was Tifa.
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http://gifsoup.com/view/874243/big-boss-o.gif
#131 | KamikazePotato | Posted 5/14/2013 10:43:39 AM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Hey now, Seifer's got a great chance of getting in this year with how low noms are!

Also Vincent wasn't an NRT winner in 2005. That was Tifa.


I'll have to remove that panel anyway once the contests starts because it doesn't work once we've seen the bracket, but I couldn't resist poking some fun at certain characters.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#132 | abdou | Posted 5/14/2013 12:37:49 PM | message detail
Still no banner...I am sure at least few people submitted some, SBAllen should choose the best one and use it, a banner would help with the nominations and excitement for the contest
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...
#133 | LeonhartFour | Posted 5/14/2013 1:25:49 PM | message detail
From: KamikazePotato | #131
I'll have to remove that panel anyway once the contests starts because it doesn't work once we've seen the bracket, but I couldn't resist poking some fun at certain characters.


Technically, it'd be a space that would be filled once the bracket is unveiled if someone fails to make it.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"
#134 | LeonhartFour | Posted 5/14/2013 1:26:09 PM | message detail
Also, it'd be better to have Otaconface for that one.
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http://i.imgur.com/eqOQs.gif
#135 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 5/14/2013 2:24:36 PM | message detail
Bacon says he will have a banner when the contest page goes up.

He's probably making one. I don't know why I wasted time making my own. Something tells me that after nobody submitted anything but me and Ulti last year that he won't be taking user banners this year.
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~Zen
#136 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 5/14/2013 2:42:40 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VV82dkAbmmc

Pac-Man boost?

...Pac-Man boost.
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~Zen
#137 | superange128 | Posted 5/14/2013 2:48:16 PM | message detail
#138 | charmander6000 | Posted 5/14/2013 2:48:55 PM | message detail
Probably not, unless the game turns out to be amazing.

Everyone knows Pac-Man.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Congrats to SuperNiceDog for winning the guru contest.
#139 | XIII_rocks | Posted 5/14/2013 3:05:26 PM | message detail
From: ZenOfThunder | #136
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VV82dkAbmmc

Pac-Man boost?

...Pac-Man boost.


He will get my vote solely for the little jazz hands he did
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"I have a place to live because of FFXI, I lost my virginity because of FFXI, and that's why it's my #5 game of all time" - RPGLord95
#140 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 5/14/2013 3:36:59 PM | message detail
Silly question, but is Q*bert on the noms list? He's not someone that people think of at first, but I wonder if Wreck-it Ralph has made him noticeable enough to do well.
#141 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 5/14/2013 3:49:21 PM | message detail
Think the one square should be changed to "Stats topic vastly overestimates Pokemon". Or am I the only one that remembers the hilarious expectations of Pokemon Gold in this topic from the last Game Contest.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#142 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 5/14/2013 3:54:23 PM | message detail | (edited)
Pokemon Gold was expected to win a close match against MGS3 which, based on how Majora's Mask ended up doing, was correct!

People were just wrong about Majora's Mask being the strongest game of them all!
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
#143 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 5/14/2013 3:52:51 PM | message detail
From: TheOneAboveAll | #140
Silly question, but is Q*bert on the noms list? He's not someone that people think of at first, but I wonder if Wreck-it Ralph has made him noticeable enough to do well.

I'm willing to be 95% of the people who watched Wreck-It Ralph didn't know, and still don't know who Q*bert is
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#144 | KamikazePotato | Posted 5/14/2013 3:55:47 PM | message detail
I really want to see RBY in a 1 v 1 contest setting. The GotD contest made it's past performances look ridiculous. I mean,

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3462
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4195

Man.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#145 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 5/14/2013 3:56:34 PM | message detail
I go to a school where one of the majors is Game Design, and a good chunk of the Game Design Majors were like "that movie was great but what's a Q*Bert"

it is very weird knowing more about gaming history than game design majors
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~Zen
#146 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 5/14/2013 3:57:12 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
I really want to see RBY in a 1 v 1 contest setting. The GotD contest made it's past performances look ridiculous. I mean,

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3462
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4195

Man.



Today's Poll of the Day submitted by MarioAllStars, ZenOfThunder, KamikazePotato, and ZenOfThunder.

*high five*
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~Zen
#147 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 5/14/2013 3:57:53 PM | message detail
Forget GotD.

Red/Blue vs. Cloud/Seph makes R/B/Y 1v1 look absurd.

Also Q*Bert is/was/would be terrible fodder that never needs to sniff a contest again.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
#148 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/14/2013 3:59:11 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
Silly question, but is Q*bert on the noms list? He's not someone that people think of at first, but I wonder if Wreck-it Ralph has made him noticeable enough to do well.


No, Q*bert is not on the suggestion list.

Also, we are currently up to 16487 nominations.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#149 | KamikazePotato | Posted 5/14/2013 4:21:07 PM | message detail
ZenOfThunder posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
Today's Poll of the Day submitted by MarioAllStars, ZenOfThunder, KamikazePotato, and ZenOfThunder.

*high five*


*high five*
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#150 | homsar555 | Posted 5/14/2013 4:26:03 PM | message detail | (edited)
Looks like there are some new characters on the suggestion list. Cirno's on it now. So is Recette.
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Nominate Lyndis (Fire Emblem) for Character Battle IX
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