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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1045

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#301 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 6/1/2012 4:29:48 PM | message detail
I'd find Spy vs. Warcraft things to be debatable, so I can't imagine things from a Warcraft mod coming close, unless there's something about DotA I don't know.
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#302 | Azp2k32 | Posted 6/1/2012 4:31:49 PM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Over/Under for the next character battle:

Nature's Prophet (or another Dota hero) compared to the TF2 gang


Prophet would be a poor choice imo, at least name-wise. I'm under the impression most people called him Furion prior to DOTA2.
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#303 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 6/1/2012 8:24:25 PM | message detail
http://konami.com/e3/battle/

Round 3 voting is up about 20 hours earlier than they said it would be. >_>

They also took down the June 1st "Beta Key" thing so whatever it was it looks like it's over.
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We'll show her the power of a dream.
#304 | Boudii | Posted 6/1/2012 9:06:41 PM | message detail
poll glitching
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#305 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/1/2012 9:12:32 PM | message detail
http://i.imgur.com/yfFox.png

I haven't seen that in a long time. No poll on the front page. Actually, the last time that happened was during the GotD contest.

Yesterday's poll ran for about an extra 6 minutes before the poll was taken down.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#306 | pjbasis | Posted 6/1/2012 9:13:28 PM | message detail
Forget no more contest.

No more polls.
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#307 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/1/2012 9:18:53 PM | message detail
I need my polls. Without them, there would be no more trend charts.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#308 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 6/1/2012 10:14:25 PM | message detail | (edited)
Two random questions:

Would SOTC repeat its strong performance from GOTD in another Games Contest? I'd at least expect it to be way closer to that than its decent midcarder status from BGE2009.

Is the MGS series on the downfall? I honestly would say yes, and I actually kinda feel that everything Metal Gear-related has to face anti-votes now (look, in our last character contest, Snake sucked until he ran into Final Fantasy characters, and in our last games contest, the MGS series disappointed without question).
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#309 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/1/2012 10:17:02 PM | message detail
Interesting poll today, but it won't have noticeable trends at all.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#310 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/1/2012 10:57:18 PM | message detail
LL just had this poll a few days ago. Results from the LL poll:

John Lennon 33.75% 350
Paul McCartney 26.81% 278
George Harrison 20.35% 211
Ringo Star 19.09% 198
TOTAL VOTES 1037

If you removed the last poll option from today's poll, you would end up with the following results:

Paul McCartney 27.94% 392
John Lennon 36.64% 514
George Harrison 16.39% 230
Ringo Starr 19.03% 267
TOTAL VOTES 1403

Very similar to the LL poll.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#311 | pjbasis | Posted 6/1/2012 11:43:06 PM | message detail
I imagine Paul McCartney would get the ASV
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#312 | HaRRicH | Posted 6/2/2012 7:12:20 AM | message detail
I always understood Ringo was easily the least favored of the Beatles...being named after George Harrison, this poll stinks!
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Nominate SuperNiceDog's Guru-choice, then Epona.
#313 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 6/2/2012 8:37:17 AM | message detail
From: Azp2k32 | #302
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Over/Under for the next character battle:

Nature's Prophet (or another Dota hero) compared to the TF2 gang


Prophet would be a poor choice imo, at least name-wise. I'm under the impression most people called him Furion prior to DOTA2.

Anti-Mage then? Although Anti-Mage would probably garner anti-votes (heh)

Also, what a weird poll. I would have figured Paul > John > George > Ringo based solely on what they contributed to the band, and what they did after the split. Also surprising in the number of people that don't like the beatles.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#314 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/2/2012 8:54:57 AM | message detail
I'm sure a lot of people who don't have a preference in today's poll are forced to go with "I don't like any of the Beatles", even if they like the Beatles. The last poll option should have been replaced with "I don't have a preference". It also means you can vote for " don't have a preference" if you don't know anything about the band members or you don't like the Beatles.

It doesn't make sense for over 40% of the site to dislike the Beatles.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#315 | Lopen | Posted 6/2/2012 12:00:02 PM | message detail
There should be 6 options with these 5 + no preference. I bet if you had 6 options "I dislike the Beatles" would be the one to drop off the least.

Like were I a Beatles fan I wouldn't pick "I don't like any of them" I'd just pick a random one.

Or Ringo because he's Ringo.
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#316 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 6/2/2012 12:09:27 PM | message detail
People who like The Beatles and don't have a favorite could, you know, simply not vote. At least, that's what I did.
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#317 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 6/3/2012 8:15:48 PM | message detail
Round 3 of the Konami contest sure is taking a while. I think it's been up for over 48 hours now.
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We'll show her the power of a dream.
#318 | pjbasis | Posted 6/3/2012 11:04:37 PM | message detail
It's kind of hilarious.
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#319 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 6/4/2012 4:54:52 PM | message detail
Round 4 is up: http://konami.com/e3/battle/

The entire top 8 are Metal Gear characters. I got a perfect Round 3 which brings me into 3rd place. Unfortunately they never put up the percentages for Round 3. Hopefully they do that eventually.

The match I'm worried about right now is Metal Gear Rex vs Sniper Wolf. If Sniper Wolf wins, I think I've got a good chance at first place. The Boss should be a safe pick over Vamp, right?
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We'll show her the power of a dream.
#320 | pjbasis | Posted 6/4/2012 4:57:44 PM | message detail
Oh yeah forgot about this.

From: Team Rocket Elite | #319
The Boss should be a safe pick over Vamp, right?


Easily.
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#321 | HaRRicH | Posted 6/4/2012 5:38:56 PM | message detail
Team Rocket Elite posted...
The entire top 8 are Metal Gear characters.


Ha!


The Boss should take Vamp pretty easily, too. GameFAQs suggests so, anyway:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4480
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4481
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3691

If Bosses trump Raiden/Vamp and The Boss easily beats Raiden, it's hard to imagine Vamp overturns that. No villain from MGS2 has a spot in gamers' hearts like she does.
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Nominate SuperNiceDog's Guru-choice, then Epona.
#322 | WhiteLens | Posted 6/4/2012 5:41:35 PM | message detail
#323 | Lopen | Posted 6/4/2012 5:59:03 PM | message detail
I would talk about how dumb it is that the final 8 is all MGS characters, but then I realized how bad the bracket was aside from them. What were they thinking with the CV reps-- why are they all from the most recent game yet MGS is exempt from this. Shame Bomberman didn't do better though.
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#324 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 6/4/2012 6:06:19 PM | message detail
Yeah, even the lower tier MGS characters are completely demolishing their opponents. The bracket really could have used Alucard, Dracula and Simon Belmont.
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We'll show her the power of a dream.
#325 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 6/5/2012 12:58:43 PM | message detail
Mass Effect 3 for Wii U, who's ready for Shepard for near-elite?
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#326 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/5/2012 1:00:12 PM | message detail
#327 | HaRRicH | Posted 6/5/2012 2:11:04 PM | message detail
I wonder how well ME3 will do on the Wii U after its controversy and assuming ME1/2 aren't going to be ported.
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Nominate SuperNiceDog's Guru-choice, then Epona.
#328 | XIII_rocks | Posted 6/5/2012 2:13:31 PM | message detail | (edited)
I love the idea of The Boss fighting Vamp on a PES football field

needs Jon Champion on commentary getting gradually more obnoxious
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#329 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 6/5/2012 2:17:35 PM | message detail
From: LeonhartFour | #326
Aw yeah Shepard > Sonic let's do this

Avenge this defeat:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3272

I don't know. I think Sandbag's going to get a nice boost once they announce the next Smash Bros.
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#330 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 6/5/2012 2:24:16 PM | message detail
Doesn't look like the Wii U will be launching with any game capable of challenging for the GameFAQs' 2012 GOTY. Looks to be down to Mass Effect 3, Assassin's Creed III and Resident Evil 6, unless GTAV comes out this year.
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#331 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 6/5/2012 3:05:08 PM | message detail
Weak competition for GotY this year. Guess it depends on how AC3 and RE6 fare.
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Current Let's Play: Legend of Mana
http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3474994
#332 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 6/5/2012 8:03:29 PM | message detail
Okay, felt like asking who you guys would pick in these two hypothetical matches?

Sonic Adventure vs. Ico

Super Metroid vs. Shadow of the Colossus

I'd pick Sonic and SOTC.
#333 | Azp2k32 | Posted 6/6/2012 12:10:23 AM | message detail
well I watched a mega64 video of ico and an LP of super metroid most recently so I'm going to have to contradict you and go for ico and SM
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#334 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 6/6/2012 3:22:07 PM | message detail
From: Not_Wylvane | #331
Weak competition for GotY this year. Guess it depends on how AC3 and RE6 fare.

AC3 looks amazing, and this is coming from someone who hasn't played either of the first 2 AC games and was never even remotely interested in the franchise until now.

There's something so original about having it set in colonial America.
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
However, the Guru of the next decade so far is SuperNiceDog
#335 | Boudii | Posted 6/6/2012 9:42:20 PM | message detail
PS3 has become really popular on this site.
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#336 | pjbasis | Posted 6/6/2012 9:55:36 PM | message detail
I would have voted Multiplatform if I could.

So I picked 3DS.
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#337 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 6/6/2012 10:56:55 PM | message detail
well I watched a mega64 video of ico and an LP of super metroid most recently so I'm going to have to contradict you and go for ico and SM

Best stats topic post in a long while.
#338 | TRE Public Account | Posted 6/7/2012 2:36:34 PM | message detail | (edited)
Round 5 is up in the Konami contest:
http://www.konami.com/e3/battle/

I end up getting totally hammered in Round 4. I missed 3 of the 4 matches since Rex beat Sniper Wolf, Raiden beat Ocelot and Naked Snake beat Solid Snake. I thought Solid Snake was far and away the most popular MGS character? How did he end up losing? I expected Naked Snake to be second and quite far down from Solid but I guess I only really know GameFAQs's MGS fanbase.

Edit: And now that I look at the Round 5 matches, they aren't even the right matches. It's suppsed to be The Boss vs Metal Gear Rex and Big Boss vs Raiden. Right now it's The Boss vs Big Boss and Metal Gear Rex vs Raiden. The Boss vs Big Boss is supposed to be the R6 match.
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#339 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2012 8:27:25 PM | message detail
So it's been exactly 2 years since the last known poll got over 100000 votes:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3934

That was on 6/7/2010. Since that poll, there have been 731 polls (including today's poll) that have all failed to get over 100000 votes. Pretty sure at this rate, no poll will be able to get over 100000 votes unless it's a contest match with the same level of extreme rallying in the 2007 final match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#340 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 6/7/2012 11:05:25 PM | message detail
Konami noticed their mistake and fixed the matches. They didn't clear your vote if you already voted but fortunately you can vote for both characters in the same match anyways.
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#341 | pjbasis | Posted 6/7/2012 11:33:18 PM | message detail
From: TRE Public Account | #338
Naked Snake beat Solid Snake


The F****
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SuperNiceDog - 1, pjbasis - 0
#342 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/8/2012 3:17:45 AM | message detail
IGN had a Solid Snake vs. Naked Snake poll a few years back that Solid Snake barely won, so this isn't a surprising result. Big Boss is very well loved by the MGS fanbase, which is why he keeps getting his own games.
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#343 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/8/2012 6:47:15 AM | message detail
I think the percentages might have been different if Naked Snake was listed as "Big Boss" instead. Because I know Solid Snake would have SFFed Big Boss badly on this site. Now if Big Boss started being listed as "Naked Snake" in our contests, he probably won't be SFFed quite as badly if he was Big Boss.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#344 | LeonhartFour | Posted 6/8/2012 11:59:56 AM | message detail
You're overthinking it, Luster (Not that this is unusual).

This is the MGS fanbase here. They know the difference between the two. This isn't GameFAQs. I would assume nearly everyone who voted in that match is an MGS fan already.

Stop trying to reconcile results from another site with what would happen on GameFAQs. They're not the same.
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#345 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/8/2012 12:01:49 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
Stop trying to reconcile results from another site with what would happen on GameFAQs. They're not the same.


I am well aware that the results from another site aren't going to match what would happen on GameFAQs. I'm just surprised that the match on Konami's site played out like there was no SFF at all. On GameFAQs, SFF is almost certainly going to happen.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#346 | The Mana Sword | Posted 6/8/2012 12:10:47 PM | message detail
ya go my Raiden
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#347 | TRE Public Account | Posted 6/8/2012 12:18:38 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
Stop trying to reconcile results from another site with what would happen on GameFAQs. They're not the same.


I am well aware that the results from another site aren't going to match what would happen on GameFAQs. I'm just surprised that the match on Konami's site played out like there was no SFF at all. On GameFAQs, SFF is almost certainly going to happen.


We don't have the percentages for Round 3 and onward. We have no idea if there was any SFF in Solid Snake vs Naked Snake.
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Congrats to SuperNiceDog for winning the Rivalry Rumble Guru Contest!
#348 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/8/2012 12:20:47 PM | message detail
Well then, I'm probably guessing the percentages were fairly close, but we'll have to wait until we get percentages.

SFF isn't a concept that exists only on GameFAQs. It has happened on GameSpot before and I wouldn't rule out any possibility of SFF happening in Konami's contest, especially when the voters are going to be familiar with most of the characters in Konami's contest.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as SuperNiceDog, Guru Champ!
#349 | The Mana Sword | Posted 6/8/2012 12:21:12 PM | message detail
If we have no results how do we know this whole thing isn't being rigged?

Rigged to a Big Boss vs. The Boss showdown announcing the release of MGS5 !!
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#350 | TRE Public Account | Posted 6/8/2012 12:35:58 PM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
Well then, I'm probably guessing the percentages were fairly close, but we'll have to wait until we get percentages.

SFF isn't a concept that exists only on GameFAQs. It has happened on GameSpot before and I wouldn't rule out any possibility of SFF happening in Konami's contest, especially when the voters are going to be familiar with most of the characters in Konami's contest.


If the percentages are close, it would mean Solid and Naked were close together in strength. If two character who are close in strength are up against each other, usually there isn't much SFF (exceptions like Mario vs Samus exist, though).

I don't really understand what you are trying to get at with the second point. No one has said SFF is a GameFAQs only phenomenon.
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Congrats to SuperNiceDog for winning the Rivalry Rumble Guru Contest!