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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1043 [Skyrim > Zelda] [Skyrim best ever]

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#1 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/5/2012 12:03:10 AM | message detail
GAMEFAQS BELONGS TO THE NORDS !!

(yoblazer got to make a dumb topic title about Ganondorf, so the order needed to be restored)

Lastly, please vote in the Hall of Fame 2011. Only takes a few seconds, thank you: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/61486214




~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
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~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
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~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
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~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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#2 | Menji76 | Posted 1/5/2012 12:04:25 AM | message detail
Zelda's winning tomorrow.
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#3 | LeonhartFour | Posted 1/5/2012 12:05:03 AM | message detail

From: Menji76 | #002
Zelda's winning tomorrow.


Only if Skyrim's not involved.
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#4 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/5/2012 12:06:36 AM | message detail

From: Menji76 | #002
Zelda's winning tomorrow.


Man your trolling is so awful.
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#5 | pjbasis | Posted 1/5/2012 12:09:37 AM | message detail
Part of me would love to see pull off another "upset."

Even when it can't win, it wins.
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#6 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/5/2012 12:11:04 AM | message detail
Skyard Sword's issue is the console it's on. People hate the Wii enough to cancel out the Zelda love.

Plus Skyrim really *is* the best game ever made. I exaggerate a lot, I know, but no game is better.
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#7 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/5/2012 12:11:58 AM | message detail
There's no way Zelda can match this power. Best I'm hoping for is that it manages something around 42-43% in the big poll (even that might be unreachable if both Pokemon and OoT are there) and then ups that to like 46% in the final 3way. If it hits mid-40s in a 3way, I'd still probably take it over Skyrim in a contest match several months from now.
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#8 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/5/2012 12:13:10 AM | message detail

From: pjbasis | #005
Part of me would love to see pull off another "upset."

Even when it can't win, it wins.


I wonder, if Skyrim wins but Zelda keeps it somewhat close (as I said, 46%), would Zelda be the underdog in a contest match six months from now?
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#9 | pjbasis | Posted 1/5/2012 12:13:42 AM | message detail
If Zelda hits mid-40s in a 3way, I think that means it won, unless Batman gets like 2%.
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#10 | LeonhartFour | Posted 1/5/2012 12:15:17 AM | message detail
I think he means 46% on Skyrim.
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#11 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/5/2012 12:16:26 AM | message detail
Yeah, relative to Skyrim.
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#12 | pjbasis | Posted 1/5/2012 12:18:21 AM | message detail
I know I'm just messin.
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#13 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/5/2012 12:19:28 AM | message detail
YOU'LL MAKE A FINE RUG, CAT
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#14 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/5/2012 12:19:50 AM | message detail
You remind me of my cousin's cat.

Killed that, too.
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#15 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/5/2012 12:22:26 AM | message detail
My favorite drinkin' buddy, let's get some mead!
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#16 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 1/5/2012 12:37:24 AM | message detail
Can you roll a million cheese down a mountain in Skyward Sword? I don't think so.
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#17 | ZFS | Posted 1/5/2012 12:38:42 AM | message detail
ganondorf title superior


Anyway, the only game I can remember being this dominate during GOTY time was TP. That speaks highly to what Skyrim is doing here.
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#18 | pjbasis | Posted 1/5/2012 12:45:21 AM | message detail
CAN YOU PLAY AS LINK IN SKYRIM!?
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#19 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 1/5/2012 12:49:52 AM | message detail
#20 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/5/2012 5:41:14 AM | message detail
I was going to make the next Stats topic with a similar title ("Zelda Lost!?" Edition)

Also, I never knew Ulti liked to roleplay as a furry.
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#21 | The_Djoker | Posted 1/5/2012 5:49:28 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #006
Skyard Sword's issue is the console it's on. People hate the Wii enough to cancel out the Zelda love.

Plus Skyrim really *is* the best game ever made. I exaggerate a lot, I know, but no game is better.


No, SS's issue is that it's not that great of a game. I hate the wii but love games like Mario galaxy and Xenoblade.
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#22 | transcience | Posted 1/5/2012 6:07:47 AM | message detail
I'm with Smurf. GameFAQs isn't changing, it's just that Nintendo and Square are sucking and western games are winning by default. that Skyward Sword is even in contention says everything you need to know about our site.

the only western games that are surging are RPGs. Skyrim and ME2 are beasts, Fallout 3 is good and ME3 should be great if the game doesn't suck.
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#23 | __Smurf__ | Posted 1/5/2012 6:10:08 AM | message detail | (edited)

From: The_Djoker | #021
No, SS's issue is that it's not that great of a game


Yep. The very fact that its the likely #2 game of the year is downright ludicrous from gamefaqs. No other site would do this. I'm not trying to rail hard on the game here and most including myself would have it a a top 10, but it would be naive to think that a comfortable #2 on gamefaqs isn't a very drastic overperformance compared to what it'd do someplace else.
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#24 | The Mana Sword | Posted 1/5/2012 6:32:43 AM | message detail
Portal should not be doing this bad.

Screw you Batman.
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#25 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 1/5/2012 7:21:22 AM | message detail

From: __Smurf__ | #103
Yep. The very fact that its the likely #2 game of the year is downright ludicrous from gamefaqs. No other site would do this. I'm not trying to rail hard on the game here and most including myself would have it a a top 10, but it would be naive to think that a comfortable #2 on gamefaqs isn't a very drastic overperformance compared to what it'd do someplace else.


No other site would do this indeed. Which is why it won at G4! :)

I always find it funny how their reaction was just to cry about Zelda fanboys, too.

This mentality always annoys me:

http://pichars.org/store/6732_original_1324416878138.jpg

I mean, not liking something as much as everyone else, fine, but complaining about something being popular is a little absurd. Skyward Sword is a high selling, very highly rated game, and it was always going to be considered one of the best of the year.

Anyway, on a more related note, some interesting patterns here. Skyrim not doing as well as it did yesterday. The competition is a little stronger, but not massively so. It makes me think that Skyrim is one of those hyper-dedicated fandom types of games that looks amazing with multiple options but not as good as the field reduces, while Nintendo games (Zelda included) tend to be more of a mass appeal kind of thing, and tend to do better with fewer options because the fanbase is very large, but not as dedicated. A good example would be last year's GotY polls. In the second final poll, ME2 utterly dominated. But in the final poll, with only 3 entrants, it still won but SMG2 kept it a lot closer, and one on one it may have been quite close. So although Skyrim will surely win these polls, I wonder how it would do against Skyward Sword one-on-one. It would still win, I think, but I'm not sure it would look as great as it does now.

And speaking of that, jegus Portal 2, way to look increasingly worse with every poll. I take back every good thing I said about you in the last topic. The second it gets some decent competition it collapses utterly. Of course, we should have seen this coming after the second early GotY poll, where it lost a significant amount of its votes to "None of the above".
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#26 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 1/5/2012 8:03:38 AM | message detail
Anyway, on a more related note, some interesting patterns here. Skyrim not doing as well as it did yesterday.

I thought so too originally, but now it ended up still tripling Portal 2. Its doing just as well as yesterday, and still has all day to rise another 1% most likely.
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#27 | __Smurf__ | Posted 1/5/2012 8:28:43 AM | message detail | (edited)
lol I hadn't seen that G4 bracket thing. Skyward Sword was beating all of Skyrim, Batman and Uncharted 3 by between 51-53%? hmm, what really looks suspicious is the implication of legitimacy would mean all four of them are on track for nearly tripling Portal 2. On a community like G4 crucifying Portal like that? In fact FIFA could apparently give Portal a close match according to that. ^^

But yes I am just frustrated that there's people apparently enjoying a game I hate in a series I love, feels like I'm missing out. It's FFXII all over again.
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#28 | SuperAngelo128 | Posted 1/5/2012 8:18:16 AM | message detail
I think its funnier how Portal 2 is closer to Dark Souls than it is to Batman now
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#29 | LeonhartFour | Posted 1/5/2012 8:40:55 AM | message detail
Yeah...Portal 2 is just not that strong, apparently.

Shame.
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#30 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/5/2012 9:54:05 AM | message detail
I was wrong about Portal 2. I thought it would enjoy its eight months alone as the big 2011 game to beat Batman. Seems more like it was just forgotten in the holiday rush.
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#31 | transience | Posted 1/5/2012 9:55:52 AM | message detail
I don't think that's why. Portal 2 just never had a whole lot of traction when compared to the original.
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#32 | transience | Posted 1/5/2012 9:56:55 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4397

it's not like this was a dominating performance or anything.

(I think we could compare that poll's strength to Skyward Sword and get a general idea of where it's at)
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#33 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/5/2012 10:01:27 AM | message detail
Portal 2 would have looked much better there if not for that stupid last option. "None of the above" would do well in GotY voting every single year.
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#34 | LeonhartFour | Posted 1/5/2012 10:10:41 AM | message detail
Nah, I doubt it benefits significantly more than the other options if you remove "None of the above."
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#35 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 1/5/2012 10:33:58 AM | message detail
Special Bonus GotY poll: Skyrim vs "None of the above"
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#36 | The_Djoker | Posted 1/5/2012 10:46:32 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #030
I was wrong about Portal 2. I thought it would enjoy its eight months alone as the big 2011 game to beat Batman. Seems more like it was just forgotten in the holiday rush.


or that batman is better.

Portal would still beat most games. Last year there wasn't anything close to ME2(apart from smg2 and rdr but not enough to beat it) so it won easily.

It's got nothing to being forgotten and if it was then maybe its not as good as people think it is.
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#37 | XxSoulxX | Posted 1/5/2012 10:48:50 AM | message detail
Just putting this out there: Skyrim is the definitive game of this generation, and will win the next Games contest*.

*if it's another GotD contest. It won't be able to compete against nostalgia.
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#38 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/5/2012 10:49:32 AM | message detail
Djoker, is English your native language?
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#39 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 1/5/2012 10:52:32 AM | message detail
Wow, you guys are really expecting a lot out of it. Let's see how badly it beats Zelda in the final 3way first. If Zelda can hang in the mid-40s, then it's still quite a tall order for Skyrim to take out Smash Bros, TP, or FFX. Those games are a cut (or two) above the second-tier stuff like RE4 and Kingdom Hearts, which are, in turn, a cut above the strongest Western stuff before Skyrim.
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#40 | XxSoulxX | Posted 1/5/2012 10:55:45 AM | message detail
I'm basing my prediction off of how great the game is, and how popular it is. You usually don't combine the two (games that are popular aren't always well received and well received games aren't always popular). Skyrim is amazingly good, and is definitely the most popular game this year on just about every site. It caters directly to the GameFAQs crowd as well. I've been saying since the original Skyrim trailers came out that it would be one of the best games ever and I was only partially right, because it IS the best game ever.
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#41 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 1/5/2012 11:21:25 AM | message detail | (edited)

From: LeonhartFour | #154
Nah, I doubt it benefits significantly more than the other options if you remove "None of the above."


Maybe not benefit, as it is possible that people simply stopped caring after a few months, but it definitely lost more to "None of the above" than any other game in the previous poll. I mean it goes from clearly beating Pokémon to probably losing if you take out OoT. But given how badly it's done in these polls, maybe that is the case. Maybe it's just not as strong as it was when it came out.

From: PartOfYourWorld | #159
Wow, you guys are really expecting a lot out of it. Let's see how badly it beats Zelda in the final 3way first. If Zelda can hang in the mid-40s, then it's still quite a tall order for Skyrim to take out Smash Bros, TP, or FFX. Those games are a cut (or two) above the second-tier stuff like RE4 and Kingdom Hearts, which are, in turn, a cut above the strongest Western stuff before Skyrim.


Except Fallout 3 would beat all those second tier games. Skyrim would probably beat Fallout 3.

Also Skyrim is a great game, but best game ever, I don't think so. Perhaps if it had a main quest worth more than half a damn, and for that matter a decent narrative and cast. And yes, I'm aware that that's also the case for every Elder Scrolls game. Hell, every Bethesda game (though less obviously so). If you're a sandbox fan, it's probably the best sandbox ever, but it kinda lacks in the core experience.
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#42 | The_Djoker | Posted 1/5/2012 11:42:13 AM | message detail | (edited)

From: PartOfYourWorld | #038
Djoker, is English your native language?


No,But I tend to moss out words due to horrible typing skills. I was meant to say it's got nothing to do but forgot to type it.

And TP Brawl aren't that strong. None of these games would be in the top 5 on this site, probably won't even be top 10.

I still think it's early to judge Skyrim because it's GOTY poll where hype plays a big factor(See Modern Warfare 2)

Where will Skyrim be in a years time? Don't know but I think it will place much higher than Fallout 3.


I honestly don't think games like TP and Brawl would be locks to beat Skyrim. Certainly not TP when a lot of people prefer SS to TP.
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#43 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 1/5/2012 12:17:37 PM | message detail
Skyrim has yet to lose a single update in this poll so far. Arkham City has come within 11 votes of tying Skyrim on an update, but hasn't managed to do any better than that on a single update.

SKYRIM DOMINATION, MAN!

Because today's poll is just 5 games, I'll do a trend chart later on.
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#44 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 1/5/2012 12:23:13 PM | message detail
And to think, the last games to be this dominant during GotY were actually linear games with no side content and crappy stories(RE4 and TP).
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#45 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 1/5/2012 12:40:03 PM | message detail
Lightning Strikes posted...
Also Skyrim is a great game, but best game ever, I don't think so. Perhaps if it had a main quest worth more than half a damn, and for that matter a decent narrative and cast. And yes, I'm aware that that's also the case for every Elder Scrolls game. Hell, every Bethesda game (though less obviously so). If you're a sandbox fan, it's probably the best sandbox ever, but it kinda lacks in the core experience.

Bashing Skyrim for not focusing on one aspect of the game is like bashing Zelda for not being a great multiplayer game. Skyrim is amazing at what it focuses on, and thats a giant sandbox world.
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#46 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 1/5/2012 12:55:21 PM | message detail

From: Lightning Strikes | #025
No other site would do this indeed. Which is why it won at G4! :)

I always find it funny how their reaction was just to cry about Zelda fanboys, too.

This mentality always annoys me:

http://pichars.org/store/6732_original_1324416878138.jpg

I mean, not liking something as much as everyone else, fine, but complaining about something being popular is a little absurd. Skyward Sword is a high selling, very highly rated game, and it was always going to be considered one of the best of the year.

Anyway, on a more related note, some interesting patterns here. Skyrim not doing as well as it did yesterday. The competition is a little stronger, but not massively so. It makes me think that Skyrim is one of those hyper-dedicated fandom types of games that looks amazing with multiple options but not as good as the field reduces, while Nintendo games (Zelda included) tend to be more of a mass appeal kind of thing, and tend to do better with fewer options because the fanbase is very large, but not as dedicated. A good example would be last year's GotY polls. In the second final poll, ME2 utterly dominated. But in the final poll, with only 3 entrants, it still won but SMG2 kept it a lot closer, and one on one it may have been quite close. So although Skyrim will surely win these polls, I wonder how it would do against Skyward Sword one-on-one. It would still win, I think, but I'm not sure it would look as great as it does now.

And speaking of that, jegus Portal 2, way to look increasingly worse with every poll. I take back every good thing I said about you in the last topic. The second it gets some decent competition it collapses utterly. Of course, we should have seen this coming after the second early GotY poll, where it lost a significant amount of its votes to "None of the above".


A Zelda fanboy blindly defending SS, why I never.

Anyone who uses "very highly rated" to defend their argument is automatically wrong. Notice how I never bring up any of Skyrim's review scores, even though all of them are between 93 and 100? It's because the game wins on its own merit, something the Zelda series hasn't done since Majora's Mask.
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#47 | pjbasis | Posted 1/5/2012 1:13:38 PM | message detail
Ulti, you are unfathomably ridiculous.

Like I can't believe how wrong you are about Zelda.


It's something the Zelda series hasn't done since Oracle of Ages and Seasons!
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#48 | whatisurnameplz | Posted 1/5/2012 1:35:27 PM | message detail
I think Zelda will get a close second but the fanboys will whine about it for a long time. I go to ZeldaInformer, and in the comments section in an article commenting on how Skyrim won GOTY on some site, all the top-rated comments were by people who hated on Skyrim and clearly never played nor intended to play it. Plus, from what I know, ZeldaInformer is the least fanboyish of the big Zelda sites.

I loved playing Skyward Sword but the only way I can see it winning is if the entire Nintendo fanbase on this site rallied against Skyrim.

And Skyrim will never win GotD after what will happen, because when that time comes everyone will complain about how BETHESDA ALWAYS WINS!!!
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#49 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 1/5/2012 1:49:41 PM | message detail

From: FateStayAlbion | #205
Bashing Skyrim for not focusing on one aspect of the game is like bashing Zelda for not being a great multiplayer game. Skyrim is amazing at what it focuses on, and thats a giant sandbox world.


I'm not bashing Skyrim, it's still one of the best games of the year. But I found the main quest, story, and characters to be lacking. And you can say, "oh that's not the point of the game", but that doesn't stop them from being in the game, and frankly, not that good. If you're going to put something in a game, you should do it well. Skyrim still has a main quest, and it's a fairly large part of the game. And it's just not great.

From: UltimaterializerX | #206
A Zelda fanboy blindly defending SS, why I never.

Anyone who uses "very highly rated" to defend their argument is automatically wrong. Notice how I never bring up any of Skyrim's review scores, even though all of them are between 93 and 100? It's because the game wins on its own merit, something the Zelda series hasn't done since Majora's Mask.


I'm not saying SS is good because it's got good reviews. I'm saying that complaining about a game that got an excellent reception pretty much across the board being popular is silly. Of course the games that a lot of people like will have a lot of people who like them. Also, I think it's pretty insulting to say that that reception was not earned. People like things because they like them. And that's in general BTW, not just talking about critics, before you go off on a bribery conspiracy theory.

And no, I am not a fanboy of Zelda, any more than you are of Skyrim. It's not perfect, but it's an awesome game with some of the best level design I've ever seen, an awesome combat system, the best use of motion controls ever, a great story... There are niggles, but I found it to be an awesome experience because it's just a really well made game, not because of some sort of silly series loyalty.

I myself like the games that I think are good.
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#50 | JJH777 | Posted 1/5/2012 2:43:35 PM | message detail

The fact that Skyrim can be buggy to some people and not buggy to others? That's the only fact here. Saying morrowind is better isn't a fact. But keep reassuring yourself with the elitist talk.


I didn't say anything about bugs the stuff I was talking about effects everyone playing on PC. The default fov being what it is on consoles on PCs as well, the mouse by default moving significantly faster horizontally than it does up/down, the interface for the PC version being unusable with a mouse since they used the same interface across the versions, the fact that a mod has already been released that doubles performance, the 360 controller being enabled by default (even if you don't have one plugged in already) which screws with the mouse/keyboard controls.

It is worse than Morrowind in every way besides prettiness and combat. That is not debatable. I guess some people prefer those things over everything else though so the general statement is an opinion.

Lack of content relative to the other TES games is a fact as well. Morrowind has over 450 quests and doesn't have any radiant quests. Skyrim has slightly over 200 quests including radiant quests which means like ~120 actual quests.
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