GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1039
I
wonder if Cloud and Seph can come back. It'd be pretty cool to see a
comeback where the ability to pull it off is actually in doubt this
contest! --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
 |
I
think it's time to re-open the possibility that Mega Man gets revenge
on Sephiroth for 2002 and 2003 if they were to meet again. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
I just noticed that it says "Cloud" instead of "Cloud Strife" in this match. I guess Bacon messed that up. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
As
long as you consider Red/Blue to be upper Noble Nine level, this isn't
that bad for Cloud/Sephiroth. Cloud/Sephiroth will still finish way
ahead of the rest of the non-top 4. Red/Blue just happened to be
stronger than just about anyone could imagine. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
Yeah, I think the Trainers have this. I woulda expected Cloud to be at like at least 46% by the point if he wanted to win. --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
From: AxemRedRanger | #252 Maybe if Mega Man got into SSB4 --- "Link has spoken for years. And music is his language" -YoBlazer |
Two Cuts in a row. 847 is still a fair sized lead, though. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
Cloudzone hasn't even started. That lead will evaporate by 6 AM EST easily. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/51alecpngpa.png -Nio |
Well, it was fun while it lasted. --- "Yeah. You damn well better listen to me. I am the authority on raging about stupid things." ~SmartMuffin |
Well,
Cloud gained like 3.3% from here till the end of the match yesterday.
For this match, it would bring him to 48.3%. Are Zeldas trends much
different than Trainers to make up that difference? --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
just wait and see... this match will end up looking juuuust like this one: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/show_graph.php?matchnum=2558&type=0&seconds=60&max=0 I can't wait in a few hours when I end up being right --- http://i42.tinypic.com/11jol1t.gif Oracle Challenge ~ Rank: 8th ~Today's prediction: Cloud / Seph - 51.18% |
From: FateStayAlbion | #260 With how frontloaded the Trainers are? Yeah, they'll probably bleed percentage for just about the rest of the match, just like against Mario. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Trainers dropped 3% against Samus from right now till the end. --- Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis |
what year was that sonic/crono match? anyone else going for the 1% bet? :) --- -_-...-_- ...-_-... Bera:12x Ice/Lit Mage |
Trainers
are a lot more frontloaded than Link so yes I could see them choking
this. I'm thinking FFVII needs to take the lead overnight and build a
lead of at least a few hundred votes to not just get overtaken again
later. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
From: Mannequin Depressive | #264 This one? http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2558 2006 --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonpngpe.png http://img.imgcake.com/squalloweenpngem.png |
AxemRedRanger posted... I think it's time to re-open the possibility that Mega Man gets revenge on Sephiroth for 2002 and 2003 if they were to meet again. If Mega Man were increasing over even just maintaining the same level of popularity, maybe. But consider that 02/03 were some of Mega Man's most popular years as the series was in the middle of the very well received MMBN series and the Zero series had just begun. But Mega Man's gone down in popularity since then at a much faster rate than Sephiroth with nothing to rejuvenate him beyond Mega Man 9 and 10. Every single Mega Man series is on hiatus and/or dead right now and has been for a while. --- http://www.nbc.com/parks-and-recreation/exclusives/ron-dancing-animated.gif |
Wow
look at the California percent. No wonder Trainers are doing so well
right now. Cali should be making up a big percent of the votes right now
too. --- Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis |
Red/Blue dropped 4.25 percentage points from here against Mario/Bowser. Red/Blue aren't safe yet. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
Based
on yesterday's match, this is headed for around 59k votes. A lead of
1000, which Pokemon is approaching, is more than enough. They won't
choke this. FFVII won't be coming back with the day vote. They need to
cut all of this AND build something substantive at night. They don't
have the time or the votals, and their fanbase is heartbreakingly
demoralized. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Wow Cloud only at 55% in Europe what is wrong with Europe why isn't it favoring Cloud in it's usual amounts? Edit: Actually looking at last years matches Europe normally only favors Cloud by like 3-5% more than the overall result. Guess this is actually pretty big. --- Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis |
Is school out for winter break in the US yet? Pokemon won't have a ASV if school is no longer in session. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
Today
should have a fairly normal ASV. I would not expect the ASV to become
diluted until at least Wednesday or later. Last year, the ASV during
this week was normal on December 20th. December 21st (the first 24-hour
match) is when it started to get diluted. There was pretty much no ASV
at all on December 23rd (the final match). --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/19/2011 2:14:45 AM | message detail | quote Based on yesterday's match, this is headed for around 59k votes. A lead of 1000, which Pokemon is approaching, is more than enough. They won't choke this. FFVII won't be coming back with the day vote. They need to cut all of this AND build something substantive at night. They don't have the time or the votals, and their fanbase is heartbreakingly demoralized. When that morning vote kicks in, The Trainers will be bleeding like crazy in North America, fueling the comeback attempt even after Europe and Asia lose their dominance in this match when the morning vote arrives. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
I'm going 1% with not all my points (keeping enough to surefire beat Bacon). My final score will be 168600 if I get within 1%. Only problem is I don't know what to do with this match at all. I look at how Link SFF'd the hell out of Mario last year and how Link seems even stronger this year with Ganondorf at his side. That makes me want to pick as high as 65% this year. Then I see this tie breaker with the Trainers railroading and realize Mario would beat Cloud and Sephiroth pretty soundly this year as well. Maybe even 58% like Link. Even if the numbers say they were to get the same % on Cloud and Sephiroth as Link, one has to remember Link is the top of the SFF food chain. Which lands me picking Link with around 55%. Really considering putting 60% and calling it a day. --- http://objection.mrdictionary.net/go.php?n=5364544 |
Huge update for the Trainers there. They haven't gotten an update above 60% since 12:21 AM. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
From: junk_funk | #275 I'd wait at least until the day vote kicks in to start making assumptions on Mario > Cloudiroth. Pokemon was always incredibly frontloaded, and Mario > Trainers might have been a strong case of SFF in Mario's favour. --- When you have nothing to say, quote yourself ~ Solfadore |
Shaped like a Lego to build a comeback. --- "Yeah. You damn well better listen to me. I am the authority on raging about stupid things." ~SmartMuffin |
From: -LusterSoldier- | #273 Most public schools get two weeks off for winter break, don't they? I know break for my in-school cousins starts tomorrow, and they return to school on January 2. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Most schools are on break this week. There shouldn't be an ASV. --- "Yeah. You damn well better listen to me. I am the authority on raging about stupid things." ~SmartMuffin |
No school I know is on break yet. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
From: swirIdude | #281 All my little brothers and sisters are still in school for the first 2-3 days this week and between them all they go to 3 different schools. --- Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis |
High
schools will start getting out this week for Christmas break. Colleges
will get off for Christmas break earlier than high schools. For
colleges, they start getting off for Christmas break about 2 to 3 weeks
before Christmas even arrives. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Three is a trend! --- Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis |
eeh, if Cloud can barely make cuts at this time, it's over. He won't even make it close --- http://i42.tinypic.com/11jol1t.gif Oracle Challenge ~ Rank: 8th ~Today's prediction: Cloud / Seph - 51.18% |
Cloud/Sephiroths best time isn't until like 1-2 hours from now. It's still extremely early in Europe --- Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis |
Come on Cloud/Seph. One more solid result, just to salvage something for the FFVII fans. You can do this. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v712/ExTha/10and14.jpg "I was wrong." - SmartMuffin |
biggest cut so far --- Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis |
I don't think there's much of a chance of victory fanfare here unfortunately. Can't even blame failing on 4-ways anymore. --- :> |
In Mario/Bowser vs Red/Blue, Red/Blue lost 3.3 percentage points from here. Cloud/Sephiroth need 3.45 to close the gap. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
I don't trust FF7 much during the day. Aren't horrible but they can't make up ground very well. --- :> |
From: ExThaNemesis | #288 lol I called this. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
I don't trust FF7 much during the day. Aren't horrible but they can't make up ground very well. It was a weekend match but Red/Blue collapsed badly against Mario/Bowser during the day. Even Cloud/Sephiroth might be able to do something if Red/Blue pull something like that again. Also Cloud/Sephiroth still have a few more night hours to work with. I think Cloud/Sephiroth might get pretty close to actually pulling this off. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
I think Cloud and Seph will come really close, but a late game b8 rally will shut them down. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
They've
barely cut 50 votes off the peak lead in over 90 minutes. I really
doubt rallies will be necessary at this point. If they're cutting so
weakly now, it's not like they'll stall out the ASV. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Keep
in mind that Seph/Cloud typically increase the whole match, though.
Their ASV is actually stronger than their pre dead-hours vote. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
If Cloud and Seph close the gap by a few percent in the US then they can come back. But yeah a B8 rally would likely kill them. This sucks. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v712/ExTha/10and14.jpg "I was wrong." - SmartMuffin |
The Trainers are still over 55% in North America, but I think the morning vote and ASV will cut that down to less than 53%. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
From: ExThaNemesis | #298 I don't think anyone on B8 even cares to rally. It'll be 4chan or something. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
