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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1039

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#101 | XIII_rocks | Posted 12/18/2011 9:19:40 PM | message detail
Mario really looking like quite a beast here if this holds.
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#102 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/18/2011 9:19:48 PM | message detail
I love this.

Seriously I like FF7 as much as the next guy, but this is hilarious.
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#103 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/18/2011 9:20:46 PM | message detail
Yeah how the heck is the Ryu/Ken rivalry so strong even though Street Fighter games and all Street Fighter characters aside from Ryu are low midcarders at absolute best?

We'd take Ridley over Ken, right?
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#104 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/18/2011 9:21:23 PM | message detail
#105 | XIII_rocks | Posted 12/18/2011 9:21:31 PM | message detail
good christ.
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#106 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/18/2011 9:21:55 PM | message detail | (edited)
UltimaterializerX posted...
I love this.

Seriously I like FF7 as much as the next guy, but this is hilarious.


I'd find this hilarious - if this wasn't between two entrants I'm not very interested in.
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#107 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/18/2011 9:21:37 PM | message detail
Ryu/Ken is a well known video game rivalry. It's normal and was expected from them to be strong.
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#108 | TheOceIot | Posted 12/18/2011 9:21:42 PM | message detail
Totally saw this coming to be honest.
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#109 | XIII_rocks | Posted 12/18/2011 9:21:51 PM | message detail

From: LinkMarioSamus | #103
Yeah how the heck is the Ryu/Ken rivalry so strong even though Street Fighter games and all Street Fighter characters aside from Ryu are low midcarders at absolute best?

We'd take Ridley over Ken, right?


Rivalries, to some extent, matter.
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#110 | tee316 | Posted 12/18/2011 9:21:52 PM | message detail
Wow Trainers keep going up.
#111 | jacko_vdz | Posted 12/18/2011 9:22:00 PM | message detail
60% lets do this!
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#112 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/18/2011 9:22:10 PM | message detail
Trainers looking good.

I also have a hard time seeing this as a bandwagon considering that they just lost and not many people outside of this board were expecting a 3rd place match.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 117/160 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth
#113 | JJH777 | Posted 12/18/2011 9:22:11 PM | message detail
Ryu/Ken even match with Cloud/Seph lol
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#114 | ZFS | Posted 12/18/2011 9:22:36 PM | message detail
Sounds good to me!
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#115 | Janus5000 | Posted 12/18/2011 9:23:05 PM | message detail
...yeah, unless we have trends like Cloud/Captain Falcon or something, this is over.
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#116 | SabrielAbhorsen | Posted 12/18/2011 9:23:30 PM | message detail
I think we at least have to let this hour play out to get an idea of what might happen. Trainers have consistently lost big chunks of percentage after the initial few hours.
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#117 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/18/2011 9:23:38 PM | message detail
It feels so good to be right for once.

It's also quite refreshing as a huge Mario fan to see Mario finally be vindicated, even if only indirectly. Mario usually has a bad break in these contests, only really shining against Cloud in 2002 and a rather easy 2005 win where he then got smacked down by Sephiroth. Still, being #4 on the site was nothing to sneeze at, and he smacked down plenty of characters like a champ, but still, it's just so nice to see him actually be able to compete with Link in, well, anything for once.
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#118 | _Regaro_ | Posted 12/18/2011 9:23:43 PM | message detail

From: Janus5000 | #115
...yeah, unless we have trends like Cloud/Captain Falcon or something, this is over.


Still want to see what happens overnight though, so we can see what it means for Mario/Link

if anything
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#119 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/18/2011 9:24:22 PM | message detail
...yeah, unless we have trends like Cloud/Captain Falcon or something, this is over.

It's entirely possible we get trends even more extreme than that.
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Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place
#120 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/18/2011 9:24:24 PM | message detail
Clearly Link has been rSFFing Mario the whole time, who has been rSFFing Samus the whole time.
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#121 | LeonhartFour | Posted 12/18/2011 9:24:33 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #098
Leon, what does Link need to get on Mario to keep Crono at #6 in the stats?


#6? You mean, right below Mario and Trainers but everyone else in his half below them?

63.22%
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#122 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/18/2011 9:24:38 PM | message detail
This is over. Trainers should at least hold the mid-50s by the end of the Power Hour, and no collapse could cause them to lose that. No matter how much Cloud and Seph work at night, the Trainers will come during the day if it's close.

I guess we spend the next wondering if Link is as beastly as we thought, or if single-game rivalries (not named Red/Blue) are just disadvantaged.
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#123 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/18/2011 9:24:44 PM | message detail
Team Rocket Elite posted...
Ryu/Ken is a well known video game rivalry. It's normal and was expected from them to be strong.

I also just remembered that Street Fighter the series is actually pretty strong.

And as Ryu and Ken are, to my knowledge, the "original two", such a rivalry apparently encapsulates the whole SF series.

Okay, I'm sold.
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#124 | MarquessLaus | Posted 12/18/2011 9:24:53 PM | message detail
The famous Cloud/Sephiroth reverse bandwagon of 2011, that's what it'll be called.
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#125 | Emporer_Kazbar | Posted 12/18/2011 9:25:11 PM | message detail

From: _Regaro_ | #118
Still want to see what happens overnight though, so we can see what it means for Mario/Link

if anything


Exactly.

Even if it's over, it's still going to be interesting to see how the percentages play out.
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#126 | greatone10 | Posted 12/18/2011 9:25:13 PM | message detail
So, you know really looks like crap about now? The Snakes.
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#127 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/18/2011 9:26:13 PM | message detail
#128 | XIII_rocks | Posted 12/18/2011 9:26:34 PM | message detail
NONE of the perfect battle brackets went with cloud/seph or banked
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#129 | special_sauce | Posted 12/18/2011 9:26:35 PM | message detail
This is incredible
This makes this contest kinda worth it
I'm legitimately excited to see Mario / Link now!!
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#130 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/18/2011 9:26:38 PM | message detail
The trainers went up by more than a tenth of a percent.

No sign of collapse yet!
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#131 | th3l3fty | Posted 12/18/2011 9:26:39 PM | message detail
the fall begins...!
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#132 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/18/2011 9:26:39 PM | message detail
percent drop alert
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 117/160 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth
#133 | legendmusketeer | Posted 12/18/2011 9:26:50 PM | message detail
Pathetic results.
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#134 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/18/2011 9:27:13 PM | message detail
Huh I thought they went up from 59.71% to 59.83%.
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#135 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/18/2011 9:27:18 PM | message detail
So now they slow down the Trainers
Next update they stall them completely
Next update Cloud/Seph start winning updates
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Oracle Challenge ~ Rank: 8th ~Today's prediction: Cloud / Seph - 51.18%
#136 | th3l3fty | Posted 12/18/2011 9:27:36 PM | message detail

From: XIII_rocks | #128
NONE of the perfect battle brackets went with cloud/seph or banked


battle stats aren't even updated yet!
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#137 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/18/2011 9:27:39 PM | message detail
The bracket and the stats for this contest haven't updated yet. Also, it still says "(1) Link vs. Ganondorf over (1) Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth (In Progress)" on my battle bracket page.
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#138 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/18/2011 9:27:59 PM | message detail
#139 | special_sauce | Posted 12/18/2011 9:28:25 PM | message detail

From: LinkMarioSamus | #134
Huh I thought they went up from 59.71% to 59.83%.


Well the percent right now is 59.02 so...
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#140 | XIII_rocks | Posted 12/18/2011 9:29:23 PM | message detail | (edited)
I refreshed the page and everyone had a higher score (201600). weird.
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#141 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 12/18/2011 9:29:08 PM | message detail
Pokémon fell off greatly during the Mario match, as against Samus. I expect similar behavior here, but hard to tell if they'll fall enough to actually lose.
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#142 | _Regaro_ | Posted 12/18/2011 9:29:24 PM | message detail
What was the actual vote differential change there, though?
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#143 | Xuxon | Posted 12/18/2011 9:29:44 PM | message detail
sounds like the stats of poll x were dependent on poll x+1 being in progress... but instead it's poll x+2
#144 | XIII_rocks | Posted 12/18/2011 9:29:45 PM | message detail
oh there we go, it just updated. we lost 8.
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#145 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/18/2011 9:29:53 PM | message detail
Yes the trainers went down from 59.83% to 59.02% in one update.

Now the trainers are collapsing, I see!
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#146 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/18/2011 9:30:42 PM | message detail
(1) Link vs. Ganondorf over (1) Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth (Correct)

Finally, that updated. The bracket has been updated (if you view the bracket page), although making a pick for the final match isn't up yet.
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#147 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/18/2011 9:31:09 PM | message detail
Looks like this is where Link/Dorf started slowing down their games last match.

It's actually following Link/Dorf trends pretty closely.
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#148 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/18/2011 9:31:19 PM | message detail
interesting
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Oracle Challenge ~ Rank: 8th ~Today's prediction: Cloud / Seph - 51.18%
#149 | pyresword | Posted 12/18/2011 9:31:25 PM | message detail
First time on the leaderboard, on the last day of the contest. Success!

Yes I am sitting here in this topic bragging to all you people who have done this multiple times in the past . >.<
#150 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/18/2011 9:31:54 PM | message detail
Percent is dropping, but the trainers are still making decent gains.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 117/160 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth