GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1037
Squall Championship Performance Edition ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- http://images.cheezburger.com/completestore/2011/8/22/2094c2de-bae8-4f5b-9f27-67eaff0aaeaf.jpg |
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Squall
is going to show us the record for biggest round 4 blowout ever. And
it will be a championship performance that answers Link's championship
performance today. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Cloud can't put up a championship winning performance here. He can put up a championship losing performance here though. --- http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/Squall.jpg |
I would say if there's no tripling I'm switching to Link/Ganon in the oracle. Otherwise I might be too stubborn. |
Championship performance that Link will shut down tbqh --- "When I was a young man, I had liberty, but I did not see it. I had time, but I did not know it." |
I
want 80% from Cloud here. At the minimum, he has to break the record
Link just set today. And yeah, if he can't get 75%, it's time to throw
in the towel. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
From: LeonhartFour | #003 Yeah, pretty much. No matter how high he gets you can write it off to massive SFF. But if he can't match Link's performance on Mega Man then FF7 is in trouble. Link/Mega Man was likely SFF as well, but there should be at least as much SFF in FF7 vs. FF8, and Squall/Seifer and Mega Man/Wily are probably comparable strength-wise. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
From: red sox 777 | #007 You mean all FOUR of them, right? Bow down to the 8 time Champion. It's the LAW --- From: Regaro_Ukiera | MWC is god-tier |
You mean all FOUR of them, right? All four of them? I'm missing what they are, sorry. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
From: red sox 777 | #010 Highest percentage in: Round 4 match Elite 8 match Non Region/Division match Third to last round --- From: Regaro_Ukiera | MWC is god-tier |
Those are all the same thing <_< |
Highest percentage in: Round 4 match Elite 8 match Non Region/Division match Third to last round But but but......those are all the same thing. In 64-entrant brackets anyway. Well, Cloud's gotta break all those records tonight if he wants to win next round. Today's match I am very impressed with. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
technically they aren't, thanks to 32/128 entrant contests --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
From: EmDubyaSee | #011 Elite 8 match These two are the same definition, at least The other two can apply to matches that aren't the quarterfinals too, though --- http://img.imgcake.com/RegaroUlquiorrapngse.png |
From: Xuxon | #012 In this tournament they obviously are. But no, they are not. For instance we've had 32 person tournament before, as well as 128, so round 4 is not always the same. We've had 4 regions, and 8 regions, so again, not the same all the time. The Elite 8 in 4 ways was the Semi Finals, where as in standard it is the Quarterfinals. In other words, no. --- From: Regaro_Ukiera | MWC is god-tier |
Let's mosey. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
Vote Accepted Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth 52.63% 10 Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy 47.37% 9 TOTAL VOTES 19 --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth 67.74% 21 Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy 32.26% 10 TOTAL VOTES 31 --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Third
to last round and Elite Eight are literally exactly the same thing, if
you want to be really technical you can make it 3 records. |
They're really going to get that 80%. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
82.11% for Link/Ganondorf --- http://images.cheezburger.com/completestore/2011/8/22/2094c2de-bae8-4f5b-9f27-67eaff0aaeaf.jpg |
Darn it, Cloud/Seph won the super early board vote? --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
WE LOST A PERFECT BATTLER. OH LAUGH OUT LOUD --- Yoblazer: http://oi53.tinypic.com/2hd0dh1.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #026 My guess is that he forgot to make his pick in time, especially with how little time you have between matches to make your pick now. --- http://www.gifsoup.com/view/593815/frasier-and-niles-dance-o.gif |
Weird trends. I guess that's what happens when anti-votes collide. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Come on, Squall! Push for that 30%! ...Trends here should be pretty interesting. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
sub-70 gg Cloud --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
From: Xuxon | #021 lrnto4way --- From: Regaro_Ukiera | MWC is god-tier |
If
it turns out that he actually picked Alucard/Dracula instead of just
missing the deadline.........wow. It's like losing our last 3 perfects
on Cloud/Sephiroth 2004, except far far worse. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth 69.95% 298 Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy 30.05% 128 TOTAL VOTES 426 Whoo. --- http://img38.imageshack.us/img38/7760/222bj.jpg |
From: LeonhartFour | #027 Yeah, I did that too. Of course my streak only started after Frog lost so it was of little consequence. |
rSFF --- Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis |
Squall Championship Performance Edition post. --- KB |
This is completely unacceptable, Cloud. Did you just see Link put 77% on Alucard? Get yourself up to 80%, pronto! --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
From: red sox 777 | #152It's like losing our last 3 perfects on Cloud/Sephiroth 2004, except far far worse. This actually happened? --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
If my memory doesn't fail me, then yes.... --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Keep in mind that people used the same ridiculous ideas they have about Samus > Mario back in 04 for Sephiroth. Good thing there aren't delusional people still roaming about today. --- :> |
Well,
knowing that it's FFVII, I supposed they've still got a shot at beating
Link's percentage from yesterday. I guess if they don't match that but
beat Link's performance on Megaman, I can still take them next round on
the theory that Squall/Seifer > Alucard/Dracula and there's only so
much SFF can do in the face of anti-voting. But if they can't even
outdo the performance on Megaman, it's time to give up. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Score-Brackets-% Right 112----4------------100.00 111----6------------100.00 110----4------------100.00 109----3------------100.00 108----5------------100.00 107----11----------100.00 106----14----------100.00 105----7------------100.00 104----180--------100.00 103----35----------100.00 102----34----------100.00 101----41----------100.00 100----64----------96.88 99------105--------100.00 98------111--------100.00 97------116--------99.14 96------128--------99.22 95------150--------98.67 94------375--------99.73 93------199--------96.98 92------211--------96.68 91------233--------98.71 90------274--------96.72 89------279--------94.98 88------322--------96.27 87------365--------95.34 86------368--------92.66 85------370--------97.03 84------382--------93.46 83------442--------94.12 82------382--------94.50 81------423--------91.73 80------401--------92.77 79------465--------91.61 78------456--------91.01 77------446--------89.46 76------457--------89.93 75------407--------88.21 74------443--------89.16 73------415--------87.23 72------389--------85.86 71------419--------86.87 70------374--------86.10 69------377--------87.80 68------329--------77.51 67------333--------76.28 66------304--------82.89 65------310--------73.23 64------263--------80.61 63------255--------75.69 62------237--------67.93 61------234--------69.23 60------189--------66.14 59------189--------68.78 58------187--------61.50 57------161--------59.01 56------153--------58.17 55------126--------53.17 54------127--------54.33 53------123--------52.03 52------111--------54.95 51------118--------40.68 50------101--------44.55 49------64----------43.75 48------71----------33.80 47------75----------37.33 46------56----------32.14 45------56----------32.14 44------70----------32.86 43------45----------20.00 42------67----------23.88 41------56----------17.86 40------48----------29.17 39------34----------23.53 38------50----------12.00 37------41----------14.63 36------20----------15.00 35------21----------23.81 34------31----------16.13 33------20----------15.00 32------16----------12.50 30------15----------6.67 29------9------------11.11 28------11----------18.18 24------6------------16.67 22------3------------33.33 7--------2------------50.00 Can't really expect less than this from Link. Everyone within 11 points of perfect got the match right. -34 (78 points) and better stay above 90. More brackets had Link and Mario making it to Round 5 than had Cloud making it to Round 4 so Cloud can't match this. No one fell off the Top 50. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
From: vcharon | #160 Well Sephiroth very likely would have comfortably beaten Cloud in 2K2, so favoring him the next year isn't surprising whatsoever. Would be weird if they all favored Cloud, that wouldn't make sense. It's just that we actually had 3 perfects left and this ended them that makes it ironic. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Sephiroth lost directly to Cloud in 2003, in a pretty close match. Nothing like Samus > Mario logic in the slightest. |
Third Quarter Stats Link vs. Ganondorf – 50.00% Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily – 24.74% Alucard vs. Dracula – 22.40% Frog vs. Magus – 20.94% Chell vs. GLaDOS – 20.31% Phoenix Wright vs. Miles Edgeworth – 19.41% Raiden vs. Vamp – 18.38% Gordon Freeman vs. Dr. Breen – 16.87% Zidane Tribal vs. Kuja – 16.77% Ness vs. Giygas – 16.63% Commander Shepard vs. Saren Arterius – 16.47% Amaterasu vs. Orochi – 16.31% Arthas Menethil vs. Illidian – 14.70% Meat Boy vs. Dr. Fetus – 11.87% Banjo vs. Gruntilda – 11.14% Tom Nook vs. Crazy Redd – 10.73% Preliminary 4th quarter stats in a bit. --- http://img600.imageshack.us/img600/8718/leonflowchart.png |
Updated Top 10 Top 10 Biggest 24h Vote Gaps 1. Link/Ganondorf – 46897 vs. Amaterasu/Orochi – 9139 – Round 2 – 37758 2. Mario/Bowser – 40377 vs. Ike/Black Knight – 9801 – Round 2 – 30576 3. Red/Blue – 42513 vs. Luigi/Waluigi – 12021 – Round 2 – 30492 4. Link/Ganondorf – 41923 vs. Alucard/Dracula – 12115 – Round 4 - 29808 5. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth – 40294 vs. Kratos/Zeus – 12185 – Round 2 - 28109 6. Mega Man X/Zero – 37795 vs. Bartz Klauser/Gilgamesh – 11161 – Round 2 – 26634 7. Link/Ganondorf – 38913 vs. Mega Man/Dr. Wily – 12793 – Round 3 - 26120 8. Mario/Bowser – 37989 vs. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik – 15834 – Round 3 – 22155 9. Mario/Bowser – 35947 vs. Mega Man X/Zero – 17978 – Round 4 - 17969 10. Mega Man/Dr. Wily – 34405 vs. Zidane Tribal/Kuja – 17638 – Round 2 – 16767 Top 10 Most Popular 24h Polls 1. Red/Blue vs. Ryu/Ken – Round 3 – 58843 2. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth vs. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – Round 3 - 58655 3. Link/Ganondorf vs. Amaterasu/Orochi – Round 2 – 56036 4. Red/Blue vs. Samus Aran/Ridley – Round 4 - 55122 5. Red/Blue vs. Luigi/Waluigi – Round 2 – 54534 6. Link/Ganondorf vs. Alucard/Dracula – Round 4 - 54038 7. Mario/Bowser vs. Mega Man X/Zero – Round 4 - 53925 8. Mario/Bowser vs. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik – Round 3 - 53823 9. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth vs. Kratos/Zeus – Round 2 - 52479 10. Mega Man/Dr. Wily vs. Zidane Tribal/Kuja – Round 2 – 52043 Top 10 Highest Individual Team 24h Votes 1. Link/Ganondorf – Round 2 – 46897 2. Red/Blue – Round 2 – 42513 3. Link/Ganondorf – Round 4 - 41923 4. Mario/Bowser – Round 2 – 40377 5. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth – Round 2 – 40294 6. Link/Ganondorf – Round 3 - 38913 7. Mario/Bowser – Round 3 - 37989 8. Mega Man X/Zero – Round 2 – 37795 9. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth – Round 3 – 36435 10. Mario/Bowser – Round 4 - 35947 Top 10 Lowest Individual Team 24h Votes 1. Amaterasu/Orochi – Round 2 – 9139 2. Ike/Black Knight – Round 2 – 9801 3. Bartz/Gilgamesh – Round 2 – 11161 4. Luigi/Waluigi – Round 2 – 12021 5. Alucard/Dracula – Round 4 - 12115 6. Kratos/Zeus – Round 2 – 12185 7. Mega Man/Dr. Wily – Round 3 - 12793 8. Pac-Man/Blinky – Round 2 – 14420 9. Siegfried/Nightmare – Round 2 – 15166 10. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik – Round 3 - 15834 --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 93/120 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth |
From: Xuxon | #204 Ohhhhh. In 2K4! Totally missed that part, thought it was 2K3. Yeah...that's just....inexplicable. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
So I guess when you have two heavy anti-voted entities, you get that after the freeze. --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonpngpe.png http://img.imgcake.com/squalloweenpngem.png |
Whelp, there you have it I guess. Cloud/Seph will have a hard time matching what Cloud did last time he faced Link. This is pretty bad. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Fourth Quarter Stats Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth – 50.00% Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake – 37.88% Crono vs. Lavos – 31.24% Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy – 28.27% Sora vs. Riku – 27.88% Dante vs. Vergil – 27.40% Pac-Man vs. Blinky – 24.52% Lloyd Irving vs. Kratos Aurion – 23.36% Kratos vs. Zeus – 23.22% William B.J. Blazkowicz vs. Adolf Hitler – 22.19% Siegfried Schtauffen vs. Nightmare – 18.79% Crash Bandicoot vs. Dr. Neo Cortex – 17.89% Ramza Beoulve vs. Delita Hyral – 16.66% Laharl vs. Mid-Boss – 14.90% Professor Layton vs. Don Paolo – 12.02% Sol Badguy vs. Ky Kiske – 9.54% Finally, a sub-10% entrant. --- http://img600.imageshack.us/img600/8718/leonflowchart.png |
