GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1036

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#351 | LOLContests | Posted 12/14/2011 11:23:31 PM | message detail
It's not direct evidence, but SMB/SSB looks pretty sketchy to me as far as rSFF goes.
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#352 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2011 11:28:45 PM | message detail
And this rSFF debate is really missing the point. You said it: change happens. Why is it so hard to believe that Samus could be stronger than Mario again now? That is what the 2010 numbers suggest, there's no need to hold onto an idea that Mario must be Samus's equal or better and twist the stats to try to hold onto that.

The main issue with that seems to be that people believe Mario would beat Samus directly still. But people believe Mario > Samus directly because he beat her badly last time with SFF. So either way, it's irrelevant.
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#353 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/14/2011 11:29:03 PM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Snake was expected to get like 56% on Vincent. Samus got 50.5% on Tifa. Snake was expected to get like 57% on Ganondorf. Samus got 55% on Zelda. Snake beats Samus easily, right?

What is that supposed to prove exactly? That strange matches happen? You may as well have just cited Kirby > L-Block > Link for a much stranger result. There are many more matches that are not strange than are strange, that's why we say they are strange.


It's supposed to prove that Snake can look decisively stronger than an elite Nintendo character going in and then have his Smash strength sapped to lose 'badly'. If Samus can do it, why couldn't Mario?
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#354 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2011 11:31:09 PM | message detail
It's supposed to prove that Snake can look decisively stronger than an elite Nintendo character going in and then have his Smash strength sapped to lose 'badly'. If Samus can do it, why couldn't Mario?

Good thing I'm not talking about Mario/Snake directly! Don't have to worry about Brawl SFF if we're talking about indirect value. (and hey, Samus/Snake is another candidate for rSFF, though I don't find this one convincing at all)
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#355 | creativename | Posted 12/14/2011 11:36:06 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #1752And this rSFF debate is really missing the point. You said it: change happens. Why is it so hard to believe that Samus could be stronger than Mario again now? That is what the 2010 numbers suggest, there's no need to hold onto an idea that Mario must be Samus's equal or better and twist the stats to try to hold onto that.


Yes, change does happen and Samus>Mario indirectly in the future might happen again for all we know, as unlikely as it is given the site trends.

But what exactly makes you think the 2010 numbers suggest this? Mario got 58% on Mega Man. I see no reason to believe hyper-Charizard couldn't have matched his Mario performance on Samus. Mario looked no weaker in 2010 than in previous years, outside of being a couple points more susceptible to Link SFF. Which given how chaotic SFF has shown to be doesn't mean much.

At worst it's a nebulous area. But you can't say Samus looked indirectly stronger - you can say it looked very inconclusive, but no more.
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#356 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/14/2011 11:37:33 PM | message detail
This seems like a good time for a FOURPACK OF FEAR!

Mario
Solid Snake

Samus Aran
Something Samus Beats No Doubt
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#357 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 12/14/2011 11:44:36 PM | message detail
Charizard for that last spot IMO.
If Charizard's 46% on Mario is legit, Mario is stronger than Samus, and Pokemon has moved above Metroid on the Nintendo hierarchy, then Zard could theoretically win that!
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#358 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/14/2011 11:49:43 PM | message detail | (edited)
Last spot goes to something Samus beats no doubt.

Then you suggest something that you say could beat Samus.

Do you not understand how seeing if people take Samus > Snake > Mario, one of only two possible cases of Samus > Mario indirectly mattering works?
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#359 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/14/2011 11:51:10 PM | message detail
Throw Sephiroth in against Samus. He probably trolls everyone by winning.
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#360 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 12/14/2011 11:52:44 PM | message detail | (edited)
Oh. Yeah, missed the point of the FOURPACK OF FEAR I guess!
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#361 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/14/2011 11:53:27 PM | message detail | (edited)
Sephiroth in Snake's place is FOURPACK OF FEAR, MK. II, obviously.
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#362 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2011 11:55:20 PM | message detail
Yes, change does happen and Samus>Mario indirectly in the future might happen again for all we know, as unlikely as it is given the site trends.

But what exactly makes you think the 2010 numbers suggest this? Mario got 58% on Mega Man. I see no reason to believe hyper-Charizard couldn't have matched his Mario performance on Samus. Mario looked no weaker in 2010 than in previous years, outside of being a couple points more susceptible to Link SFF. Which given how chaotic SFF has shown to be doesn't mean much.

At worst it's a nebulous area. But you can't say Samus looked indirectly stronger - you can say it looked very inconclusive, but no more.


Let's compare:

Mario got 63% on Big Boss, 58% on Megaman, 54% on Charizard, and 35% on Link.
Samus got 67% on Sub-Zero, 64% on Zelda, and 47% on Cloud.

The worst performance here is the 54% on Charizard. We say Charizard was bandwagoned or whatever, but where's the evidence for that? It seems unlikely to me he was more than 5 points stronger than his level in the first 3 rounds, prior to HG/SS and a possible bandwagon. It's possible (unlikely IMO) that Charizard boosted more than that, but even so this match makes Mario look worse, because even his best case scenario provides no evidence that positively supports him being at Samus's level- the best case would just be lack of evidence against.

The best performance here is the 47% on Cloud. This is 2 points higher than Mario has ever obtained on Sephiroth, so 5-6 points higher than Mario has ever been worth on Cloud since 2003. FFVII has gotten a lot weaker since the last time Mario met Sephiroth of course. On the other hand, 2005-7 were banner years for Mario and Nintendo, and they've gotten weaker too.

Mario got 58% on Megaman- Samus got 61% on Megaman the last time they met. Granted, it was a 4-way. But Mario also clearly got SFF against Megaman, so this match really doesn't say much either way.

Now: Link. Mario being more susceptible to SFF from a substantially weaker Link, the weakest Link we have had since 2003, and possibly weaker than that Link, is alarming. If, as speculated, Mario has truly gone from 40% or lower on Link to 45%, he ought to improve. 10 points of SFF in Link/Mario is not believable to me when Link has never shown the ability to dish out anywhere near that much SFF against Mario before (Battle Royale excepted for obvious reasons).
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#363 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2011 11:56:58 PM | message detail
Mario
Snake

Samus
Sephiroth

Sounds good. EC and the Samus > Sephiroth people finally gets the match they've waited 7 years for.
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#364 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/15/2011 12:28:47 AM | message detail
Third-Place Battle: ??? X ???

http://www.gamefaqs.com/contribute/submit_contest_image.php

Sounds like we are most likely getting Trainers vs. Cloud/Sephiroth based off of that. I already posted a separate topic about this, but I figure it couldn't hurt to make a post in here about this. At least the match pic makers will have a good amount of time to create match pictures for this bonus match.
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#365 | The_Djoker | Posted 12/15/2011 1:18:02 AM | message detail
Thats a really crappy and pointless bonus match. What a waste. Really wanted the batman/joker v linknan


Also dissapointing from linknan. Expected them to get ovet 80. Either way getting to see alucard being stomped is good. They deserve it after their recent troll matches
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#366 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/15/2011 1:38:06 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/61350515

Based on that topic, very few people actually want to have Link/Ganondorf vs. Batman/The Joker. Leon sums up his reasons against that idea in this post:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/61350515/683079146
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#367 | JJH777 | Posted 12/15/2011 1:41:12 AM | message detail
We really need the Link vs Everyone someone suggested a few years ago. I think I remember someone even made a match pic for it?
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#368 | The_Djoker | Posted 12/15/2011 1:58:28 AM | message detail
But its not 1v1. If batman wins or get great % it means they can compete and it would make fir a better contest with these characters. They are universally known and respected. Something you CANNOT say about most of the characters in the contest. There is no way link stomps batman. Thats crazy. Batman is more popular than most vg characters even on this site. People just dont understand that

Anyway if mario stomps pokemon. Then that 3rd place match becomes a borefest. Surely allen could have done something different. Lazy match imo.
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#369 | The_Djoker | Posted 12/15/2011 2:00:30 AM | message detail
We really need the Link vs Everyone someone suggested a few years ago. I think I remember someone even made a match pic for it?

Everyone as in who? Link would lose if you had link vs cloud /snake /mario

Dont need everyone
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#370 | The_Djoker | Posted 12/15/2011 2:03:35 AM | message detail
Based on that topic, very few people actually want to have Link/Ganondorf vs. Batman/The Joker. Leon sums up his reasons against that idea in this post:

I dong care what the board says too many pokemon fanboys on this board. The match would have broke the sites votal record for this contest
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#371 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/15/2011 2:08:41 AM | message detail
I still think Link/Cloud has a chance to set the votal record for this contest.
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#372 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/15/2011 2:14:11 AM | message detail
I was mistaken about using Batman/Joker this early. Those two should be saved for an actual contest. I still wouldn't mind seeing Link/Ganondorf take on another fictional duo, though.
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#373 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 12/15/2011 2:28:03 AM | message detail
My vote goes for Winner v. Bond / Trevelyan.

Don't think voting is how this works though.
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#374 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/15/2011 3:43:39 AM | message detail
A 3rd place match sounds right,or at least the winner vs God/Satan.Now for the previous match we lost some perfects.Now for battlers the last we shall lose will be in Cloud/Link.I am sure that for Mario/Trainers all will go with Mario.
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#375 | Xcarvenger | Posted 12/15/2011 3:51:06 AM | message detail
Link/Ganondorf vs. The Legend of Zelda/Final Fantasy

or better still

Link/Ganondorf vs. GameFAQs/Gamespot
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#376 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/15/2011 4:08:42 AM | message detail | (edited)
This match is clearly proof that Dracula is weighing Alucard down (this is sarcastic, but the rest isn't). Fictional characters would be incredibly weak, and Batman would be lucky if he wasn't doubled by Link. The voters recognize Batman, and they make like Batman, but they aren't going to be passionate about Batman the way they are about Link.

Plus, a Fictional Contest would invite all sorts of joke characters. Would you really like to see 4chan do nomination rallies for characters like Launchpad? Even if 4chan's too weak to actually get these characters to win, they probably have enough strength, especially with so few nominations now, to get a lot of joke characters into the contest.

From: red sox 777 | #341
Also, comparing Snake and Mario: Snake put 53% on Sephiroth. Mario put 53% on Charizard. That really should say it all I think.


Missingno vs Charizard, who would you pick?

From: Xcarvenger | #375
Link/Ganondorf vs. The Legend of Zelda/Final Fantasy

or better still

Link/Ganondorf vs. GameFAQs/Gamespot


Gamespot would be a worse anchor than Waluigi. On the bright side, it'd be our first 90% in a long time.
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#377 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/15/2011 4:39:04 AM | message detail
Songoku and Naruto will have power I believe though.
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#378 | spooky96 | Posted 12/15/2011 4:42:03 AM | message detail
How about Goku/Vegeta rivaly as a bonus match?
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#379 | jacko_vdz | Posted 12/15/2011 4:53:27 AM | message detail
The_Djoker posted...
Thats a really crappy and pointless bonus match. What a waste. Really wanted the batman/joker v linknan

No. Link/Winner should have a bonus round the day after the contest.

Not_Wylvane posted...
Missingno vs Charizard, who would you pick?

Indirectly they probably have similar strength. Charizard would probably SFF missingno, but I don't think it'd be a blowout!
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#380 | __Smurf__ | Posted 12/15/2011 4:58:18 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #372
I was mistaken about using Batman/Joker this early. Those two should be saved for an actual contest. I still wouldn't mind seeing Link/Ganondorf take on another fictional duo, though.


I'm still trying to figure out how anyone thought a fictional all-media battle on a site dealing with one media type could possibly be a good idea. I've heard a lot of "contest saving ideas" proposed by users in this thread down through the years and I'll say that Fictional joins "All-Female" and "Tag Team" as the three worst.
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#381 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/15/2011 4:59:40 AM | message detail
Just a minute.If you have characters that have appeared in video games then we can have Batman,Spiderman,Songoku and others.That will work I believe.
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#382 | Rufus Shinra 18 | Posted 12/15/2011 5:45:40 AM | message detail
IMO we just need a 128, 12h 1vs1, no era game contest before we go desperate with gimmick like a bracket with non vg-characters. If we can have the former, i would be fine with the latter.
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#383 | The_Djoker | Posted 12/15/2011 6:05:12 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#384 | The_Djoker | Posted 12/15/2011 6:32:18 AM | message detail | (edited)
IMO we just need a 128, 12h 1vs1, no era game contest before we go desperate with gimmick like a bracket with non vg-characters


Id be ok with IF we remove oot and ffvii

The debate on the #3 game is a big one.

Id say these games are very close in strength

Red/blue
Mario64
Chronotrigger
Lttp zelda
Ffx
Smash bros brawl/melee
Majoras mask
Super mario world
Super mario bros 3

Might be more. Im not saying equal but you would have very close matches between them

Who wouldnt love to see smb3 against 64??
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#385 | Rufus Shinra 18 | Posted 12/15/2011 6:32:40 AM | message detail
I agree, a good game bracket would have a really high potential because there is a big range of high-tier games and the ssf chain is not clear yet.
Heck, even THIS contest would have had potential if it wasn't full of sff snoozefests and matches with an obvious winner. The horrible bracket (aside from the alucard division, which was nice) has ruined all the fun.
And aside from rivalries, a bracket with samus,snake, mario and sephiroth going against each other would be amazing.
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#386 | The Mana Sword | Posted 12/15/2011 6:33:51 AM | message detail
Did someone say Link vs. Everyone?

http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Bonus-1.png
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#387 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 12/15/2011 6:41:17 AM | message detail
I like it.
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#388 | The_Djoker | Posted 12/15/2011 6:47:34 AM | message detail | (edited)
I don't like how Sonic and mario stand out, if had to vote on that pic really quickly without knowing WTF was what i'd vote for link. Everyone vs Link is a good idea you need to have a good Cloud pic in there somewhere.
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#389 | The Mana Sword | Posted 12/15/2011 6:47:35 AM | message detail
i'd vote for link.

mission accomplished
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#390 | BK_Sheikah00 | Posted 12/15/2011 7:09:08 AM | message detail
#391 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2011 7:25:45 AM | message detail
Missingno vs Charizard, who would you pick?

Missingno. And if the strongest Missingno (what we saw against Seph) and the strongest Charizard (against Mario) are equal, Snake beats Mario with 53%.*

*Seph would have gone up in the remaining 12 hours more against a joke than Snake.
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#392 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2011 7:27:15 AM | message detail
Link would so beat Everyone.
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#393 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/15/2011 7:30:35 AM | message detail | (edited)
And Seph would have gone up against Snake if he got his night hours, same with Mario going up against Charizard.

Not to mention Missingno in a day match would have been much much stronger than it was against Sephiroth. The rallies going to sleep is what got it killed.
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#394 | spooky96 | Posted 12/15/2011 7:30:15 AM | message detail
Charizard vs Missingo, this match will be won by Charizard even though Missingno's performance was better.
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#395 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2011 7:30:47 AM | message detail
Key word is "more." Not much percentage in those movements either way.

53% on Mario for Snake sounds good to me, and so I'll take the Missingno/Charizard comparison. That would give Samus 52% on Mario.
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#396 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2011 7:36:23 AM | message detail
Dunno that Missingno would have done better in a day match. There are more votes in a day match so rallies matter less. And Missingno couldn't replicated the Power Hour in a day match because even though a day match gets much more votes overall, the first hour gets much less, and there isn't such a big surge for Nintendo/Pokemon/Jokes and against FFVII in it either.

Interestingly enough, Bowser/Charizard got 6000 more votes than Mario/Charizard. That suggests Charizard did not get bandwagoned between those matches, though perhaps he was already getting extra support in the Bowser match. Not conclusive either way, but Mario only being at 58% on Bowser as the Charizard matches is sort of strange as he's always been above that.
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Link 6, Cloud 2
#397 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2011 7:49:41 AM | message detail
On another note, Link held up VERY well overnight. If he ends above 77% or even 78% here, that's quite an impressive performance and the most my faith in Cloud/Seph has been shaken all contest.
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#398 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/15/2011 7:49:54 AM | message detail
XD at thinking Missingno has a chance against Charizard
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#399 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2011 7:53:07 AM | message detail
Which of the following do you take Charizard over?

Mega Man
Crono
Sonic
Vincent
Squall
Tifa
Auron

If you think Charizard is better than Missingno's performance on Sephiroth (and arguably the Crono performance too), your answer had better be all of them.
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#400 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/15/2011 7:56:12 AM | message detail
Well considering we're going by what Charizard got on Mario as canon then yes he would defeat all of them, it wouldn't be debated.
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