GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1036
If Link wins the contest, I'm going to end the contest on the leaderboard. Go me. --- For your BlAcK TuRtLe. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza |
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Lol @ this domination. --- - |
Don't know if anyone here can relate... but man, to get owned by one match really sucks. --- LM |
So...anyone wanting to take Kratos/Zeus over Alucard/Dracula? Huh? ...Yeah, I didn't think so. I dunno, Kratos would beat Alucard pretty handily 1v1, no? --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
The fact that 61 people are going to end up with a perfect battle bracket is a testament to how horrible this contest has been. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
But 78% is very impressive, good job. If you can hold it anyway. The night is long. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Second Quarter Stats Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue – 50.00% Ryu vs. Ken Masters – 39.96% Samus Aran vs. Ridley – 39.43% Big Boss vs. The Boss – 36.69% Chris Redfield vs. Albert Wesker – 31.85% Terra Branford vs. Kefka Palazzo – 30.92% Tidus vs. Jecht – 29.62% Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O’Donnell – 27.99% Jim Raynor vs. Sarah Kerrigan – 23.08% Luigi vs. Waluigi – 22.04% Yuna vs. Seymour Guado – 21.87% Cecil Harvey vs. Golbez – 19.71% The Kid vs. The Guy – 15.27% Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious – 14.68% Dan Hibiki vs. Sagat – 13.24% Vyse vs. Galcian – 13.19% Third quarter stats in a bit. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
Link vs. Alucard 2010 Link: 71.79% Alucard: 28.21% Up 6.5% since two years ago! Looks like THE LAW is stronger than ever. --- When you have nothing to say, quote yourself ~ Solfadore |
Solfadore posted... Nah. We should lose 3 or 4 on Link>Cloud at the very least (way more if Cloudiroth pull the upset, of course). People are smart enough to get every match so far but not pick Link to win? I doubt it! --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/2bigwigpngut.png |
From: red sox 777 | #254 No. And besides, Kratos/Zeus isn't much different than Shepard/Saren, and we saw what happened there. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Updated Top 10 Top 10 Smallest 24h Vote Gaps 1. Squall Leonhart/Seifer Almasy – 26064 vs. Sora/Riku – 25356 – Round 3 - 708 2. Sora/Riku – 24538 vs. Dante/Vergil – 23715 – Round 2 - 823 3. Frog/Magus – 25211 vs. Chell/GlaDOS – 23729 – Round 2 – 1482 4. Mega Man X/Zero – 27259 vs. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – 24462 – Round 3 – 2797 5. Alucard/Dracula – 24561 vs. Frog/Magus – 21563 – Round 3 - 2998 6. Samus Aran/Ridley – 27360 vs. Big Boss/The Boss – 23810 – Round 3 - 3550 7. Big Boss/The Boss – 25862 vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – 19833 – Round 2 – 6029 8. Alucard/Dracula – 27431 vs. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – 20976 – Round 2 – 6455 9. Samus Aran/Ridley – 30282 vs. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – 19530 – Round 2 – 10752 10. Red/Blue – 33387 vs. Samus Aran/Ridley – 21735 – Round 4 - 11652 Top 10 Most Popular 24h Polls 1. Red/Blue vs. Ryu/Ken – Round 3 – 58843 2. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth vs. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – Round 3 - 58655 3. Link/Ganondorf vs. Amaterasu/Orochi – Round 2 – 56036 4. Red/Blue vs. Samus Aran/Ridley – Round 4 - 55122 5. Red/Blue vs. Luigi/Waluigi – Round 2 – 54534 6. Mario/Bowser vs. Mega Man X/Zero – Round 4 - 53925 7. Mario/Bowser vs. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik – Round 3 - 53823 8. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth vs. Kratos/Zeus – Round 2 - 52479 9. Mega Man/Dr. Wily vs. Zidane Tribal/Kuja – Round 2 – 52043 10. Mega Man X/Zero vs. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – Round 3 – 51721 Top 10 Most Impressive 24h Losers 1. Sora/Riku – Round 3 - 25356 2. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – Round 3 – 24462 3. Big Boss/The Boss – Round 3 - 23810 4. Chell/GlaDOS – Round 2 – 23729 5. Dante/Vergil – Round 2 – 23715 6. Ryu/Ken – Round 3 – 23514 7. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – Round 3 – 22220 8. Samus Aran/Ridley – Round 4 - 21735 9. Frog/Magus – Round 3 - 21563 10. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – Round 2 - 20976 Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict 1. Alucard/Dracula vs. Frog/Magus – Round 3 – 17.25% 2. Red/Blue vs. Samus Aran/Ridley – Round 4 – 30.21% 3. Frog/Magus vs. Chell/GlaDOS – Round 2 – 33.41% 4. Alucard/Dracula vs. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – Round 2 – 34.09% 5. Squall Leonhart/Seifer Almasy vs. Sora/Riku – Round 3 – 34.52% 6. Mega Man X/Zero vs. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – Round 3 – 34.75% 7. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – Round 2 – 37.29% 8. Red/Blue vs. Ryu/Ken – Round 3 – 44.84% 9. Samus Aran/Ridley vs. Big Boss/The Boss – Round 3 – 54.17% 10. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Tidus/Jecht – Round 1 – 55.06% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 85/112 Today: Link/Ganondorf |
From: Bigwig_rah | #259 People with bad tiebreakers might gamble on the Cloudiroth upset. --- When you have nothing to say, quote yourself ~ Solfadore |
No?
Kratos put up close to the same percentage on Charizard as Bowser did.
Even if it wasn't the same Charizard, that's pretty good. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/48?input_values=58.94%0D%0A25.13 first value: LoZ (series) second value: Castlevania: Symphony of the Night THE EVIDENCE JUST KEEPS ON COMING --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
Quick poll: do you think there's a single perfect bracket out there which doesn't originate from a B8 regular/lurker? --- When you have nothing to say, quote yourself ~ Solfadore |
Third Quarter Stats Link vs. Ganondorf – 50.00% Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily – 24.74% Alucard vs. Dracula – 21.76% Frog vs. Magus – 20.35% Chell vs. GLaDOS – 19.73% Phoenix Wright vs. Miles Edgeworth – 18.86% Raiden vs. Vamp – 17.85% Zidane Tribal vs. Kuja – 16.77% Gordon Freeman vs. Dr. Breen – 16.39% Amaterasu vs. Orochi – 16.31% Ness vs. Giygas – 16.15% Commander Shepard vs. Saren Arterius – 16.00% Arthas Menethil vs. Illidian – 14.70% Meat Boy vs. Dr. Fetus – 11.87% Banjo vs. Gruntilda – 11.14% Tom Nook vs. Crazy Redd – 10.73% --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Raw
x-stats have Kratos winning with 53%. That doesn't account for a
Charizard boost but I think that is canceled out by Link/Mario SFF. IMO
Link/Mario SFF is probably bigger than whatever boost Charizard got. Edit: If you assume Mario = Samus you would have to think Charizard boosted 12% from the Kratos match to think Alucard > Kratos. I think 12% is a bit high for a bandwagon + HGSS. --- Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis |
From: red sox 777 | #263 What is that other Charizard even worth? We don't have any idea. Regardless, what Kratos does to Alucard 1-on-1 is completely irrelevant, so there's really no point in chasing after a red herring like this. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/48?input_values=58.94%0D%0A25.13 first value: LoZ (series) second value: Castlevania: Symphony of the Night THE EVIDENCE JUST KEEPS ON COMING http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4567 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2442 How about yesterday then? --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Score-Brackets-% Right 104----171--------2.34 103----18----------33.33 102----11----------36.36 101----4------------75.00 100----22----------22.73 99------70----------15.71 98------42----------33.33 97------28----------25.00 96------55----------23.64 95------52----------44.23 94------276--------9.78 93------105--------38.10 92------113--------41.59 91------116--------39.66 90------175--------47.43 89------204--------46.57 88------223--------38.57 87------292--------41.44 86------306--------41.18 85------322--------41.61 84------344--------42.15 83------406--------40.15 82------424--------42.92 81------421--------40.38 80------429--------43.12 79------509--------38.11 78------504--------37.30 77------502--------36.25 76------534--------34.27 75------507--------39.25 74------492--------28.46 73------499--------34.47 72------483--------32.51 71------502--------29.88 70------443--------31.60 69------452--------27.88 68------391--------27.11 67------382--------25.92 66------366--------24.86 65------354--------24.86 64------289--------21.80 63------297--------22.56 62------280--------25.36 61------253--------20.16 60------217--------20.28 59------216--------23.15 58------199--------14.57 57------187--------23.53 56------179--------20.67 55------144--------17.36 54------143--------19.58 53------144--------22.22 52------115--------13.91 51------129--------17.83 50------111--------15.32 49------76----------23.68 48------77----------14.29 47------80----------8.75 46------65----------18.46 45------66----------16.67 44------80----------15.00 43------50----------24.00 42------70----------10.00 41------59----------10.17 40------50----------10.00 39------34----------5.88 38------48----------6.25 37------41----------2.44 36------22----------9.09 35------26----------26.92 34------34----------11.76 33------23----------13.04 32------18----------16.67 31------19----------10.53 30------19----------26.32 29------10----------10.00 27------9------------22.22 26------8------------12.50 24------7------------14.29 23------7------------42.86 22------4------------25.00 15------5------------40.00 12------4------------25.00 8--------1------------100.00 The casual bracket makers did a bit better than the gurus this time. This match knocks off the large block of alt perfects. Excluding alts, 66% of the perfects survived the match. The top tiers generally did worse than the middle tiers. Prediction percentage rises from the mid-20s to the low-40s as you go down the tiers before fading away. 201 accounts fell off the Top 50. Former second place 0E, former third place Staraptor, former fourth place legendmusketeer, Tyranticuss + 7 alts, Evillordexdeath, fpce666, BK_Sheikah00, HyperSage, Cartyx, DeathTiki + 1 alt, isNotPerfect, NLMagic, KamikazePotato, Dragon_Master85, miaminole21, Gooper_Blooper, evilevi13, foxhead84, Scorpion2536, Tua_Mater, ShadowDino, Awesome_X, shaneh87, Dragon66116, gedgieno11, markwlin, Shemarx, Haste_2, stephyk and 164 of 165 of 0E, Staraptor and legendmusketeer's combined total alt did not have Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue winning the match. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
Pokemon is a non-linear entity and has gotten significantly stronger since the series contest LoZ and SotN are much more consistent, relatively speaking --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
red sox 777 posted... http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/48?input_values=58.94%0D%0A25.13 first value: LoZ (series) second value: Castlevania: Symphony of the Night THE EVIDENCE JUST KEEPS ON COMING http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4567 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2442 How about yesterday then? Red and Blue only represent... Red and Blue, not the whole series.R/B/Y is somehow stronger than R/B/Y + other games --- For your BlAcK TuRtLe. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza |
What is that other Charizard even worth? We don't have any idea. Whatever, you know, direct x-stats say, unless you've got a darn good reason to think otherwise. I am honestly seriously annoyed at people's willingness to write off good performances they didn't foresee as "bandwagons." People didn't believe in Charizard all contest, he won, and they just wrote it off as a bandwagon. Maybe he did get stronger, and HG/SS would be a good reason, but there's no reason to think he was radically different later in the contest from earlier in the contest. He performed like a champ against Duke too. As for the rivalry aspect, it seems oddly analogous to me. A VG character (Alucard, Kratos) and a non-VG mythology character (Dracula, Zeus). Seems like we're treading in unknown land here, and there's no way to know how this match would turn out. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
201
accounts fell off the Top 50. Former second place 0E, former third
place Staraptor, former fourth place legendmusketeer, Tyranticuss + 7
alts, Evillordexdeath, fpce666, BK_Sheikah00, HyperSage, Cartyx,
DeathTiki + 1 alt, isNotPerfect, NLMagic, KamikazePotato,
Dragon_Master85, miaminole21, Gooper_Blooper, evilevi13,
foxhead84, Scorpion2536, Tua_Mater, ShadowDino, Awesome_X, shaneh87,
Dragon66116, gedgieno11, markwlin, Shemarx, Haste_2, stephyk and 164 of
165 of 0E, Staraptor and legendmusketeer's combined total alt did not
have Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue winning the match. WHAT AUGH NOT AGAIN Back during the last "normal" Character Battle I was briefly on the leaderboard before Snake lost to Cloud. Wish I could see myself on there at least once :( --- And then the car wash cost five dollars. Pokemon White: 4427 1095 9089 |
first value: LoZ (series) second value: Castlevania: Symphony of the Night THE EVIDENCE JUST KEEPS ON COMING Games and series play a role of course but character strength matters; if it was game only the FFX rivalries would have smashed through and DK would probably have taken his division. FF6 trumps any Metroid game as well. --- "Ovelia ... SPOILERS IN THE KEYWORDS WOOPS" - Vormav |
From: red sox 777 | #273 My problem is where it puts Kratos more than where it puts Charizard. Kratos has never looked to be on the level with Bowser before, and I refuse to believe 7-11 Slurpees put him on that level. --- http://i.minus.com/iH9vIGOBoyTQ2.gif |
Not to mention, 60% on Tails is a pretty weak performance anyway. Doesn't really add up to being on THAT level. --- http://www.gifsoup.com/view/593815/frasier-and-niles-dance-o.gif |
Kratos had GoW3 hype in that contest, I wouldn't be surprised if he pulled a Master Chief and is now back down to Earth. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 85/112 Today: Link/Ganondorf |
Well,
my main is one of the three 105s not on the leaderboard, but I can't
imagine it getting on there to end the contest with how cookiecutter my
bracket is going forward. If all goes cookie, AcidEnema should end the contest on there though. Which doesn't really count. --- http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/tiroalecjpgap.jpg http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/alecjpgyt.jpg |
From: charmander6000 | #278 Maybe. But if GoW3 hype gives you 60% on Tails, I fear for how weak he is now. --- http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/Squall.jpg |
AlecTrevelyan006 posted... Well, my main is one of the three 105s not on the leaderboard, but I can't imagine it getting on there to end the contest with how cookiecutter my bracket is going forward. If all goes cookie, AcidEnema should end the contest on there though. Which doesn't really count. There are more than three accounts without Link winning. You'll end on the leaderboard for sure. --- For your BlAcK TuRtLe. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza |
*Shrugs*
Characters change in strength, don't like arguing with direct results.
In any case, Kratos doesn't need to be at Bowser's level to beat
Alucard. On another note, Link is coming down now- thinking he'll probably finish well under a tripling. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Based
on the way Link/Ganondorf is dropping we may see what Alucard had last
contest, but this time we'll get to see the full day vote. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 85/112 Today: Link/Ganondorf |
Actually,
just realized that if all goes cookie, my main would return to the
board, as about a dozen brackets have non Link-Cloud finals. That said, i'm praying for an upset. Even though there 4 brackets we have remaining probably cover any of the upsets. --- "Link has spoken for years. And music is his language" -YoBlazer |
It's
so obvious it borders on stupidity to deny that Kratos of at least last
contest beats Alucard's face in. He put up 45% on Alucard before he
boosted the next contest from GoW increased sales, God of War 2 *or* God
of War 3. I don't really care much about the Kratos/Zeus rivalry because I'm not really sold on it, but discounting him (because of, what, Tails? We've had a great read on him since when?) that much is pure denial. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
From: red sox 777 | #282 No, he doesn't. And it doesn't matter if he beats Alucard 1-on-1 or not anyway. I don't see Kratos/Zeus being able to be the new and western rivalry that actually doesn't suck in this contest. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
Based
on the way Link/Ganondorf is dropping we may see what Alucard had last
contest, but this time we'll get to see the full day vote. In years past, the full day vote power of Link against Alucard would have been scary, but with the ASV reduced to a shell of its former self this year, Link isn't going to be able to get that much percentage back. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
I never said Kratos doesn't beat Alucard. I don't think he wins by some absurd margin either though, because Alucard beats Tails pretty easily himself. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
On another note, Link is coming down now- thinking he'll probably finish well under a tripling. Link dropped off there but he's still going nuts in North America. Must have been a huge surge in South America / Asia votes? Link is not getting the same support there. --- "Ovelia ... SPOILERS IN THE KEYWORDS WOOPS" - Vormav |
IIRC, the regional results are not updated every update. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Characters change in strength, don't like arguing with direct results. Wasn't Bowser v. Charizard the match where HGSS came out on the same day? I think that match is just wonky. Charizard is probably 50-50 with Bowser, maybe even below normally. --- "Ovelia ... SPOILERS IN THE KEYWORDS WOOPS" - Vormav |
Wasn't
Bowser v. Charizard the match where HGSS came out on the same day? I
think that match is just wonky. Charizard is probably 50-50 with Bowser,
maybe even below normally. Certainly, there's a good chance Charizard was stronger for the Bowser and Mario matches. Doesn't mean he was suddenly vastly stronger, so that his previous matches are meaningless. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
"There's a good chance," huh. Well, if you want to think Kratos is worth 40% on Mario, go right ahead. --- http://img600.imageshack.us/img600/8718/leonflowchart.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/15/2011 12:31:37 AM | message detail | quote IIRC, the regional results are not updated every update. Yeah, it's every 10 minutes. And even then, all of the regions do not update at the same time. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Back
during the last "normal" Character Battle I was briefly on the
leaderboard before Snake lost to Cloud. Wish I could see myself on there
at least once :( In case you're interested, you made it onto the Top 50 in 37th place after Alucard vs. Dracula. You rose to 33rd place before falling off. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
"There's a good chance," huh. Well, if you want to think Kratos is worth 40% on Mario, go right ahead. A good chance means exactly what it says. HG/SS was a big reason why I took Charizard > Bowser on the crew. And his performance against Mario may have had some bandwagoning. But it wasn't some massive L-Block style event, and it was only possible because Charizard was already legitimately strong. As he proved against both Duke and L-Block. Now, Kratos being worth 40% on Mario? A whole lot more likely than Mario being worth 45% on Link! If you set him that high in your stats, it's going to produce problems. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/map.png?id=4568®ion=9&map=0 There's a square hole in the US map. --- http://www.megaupload.com/?d=77WDL08B |
From: red sox 777 | #296 Not really. --- http://www.miscupload.com/upload/452457071929141623517416.gif |
Xcarvenger | Posted 12/15/2011 12:42:55 AM | message detail | quote http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/map.png?id=4568®ion=9&map=0 No votes from Wyoming yet. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Yes really, because Mario has just about 0 chance at being worth 45% on Link. ZERO. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
