GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1036
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save_us.ridley ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/597oi.png |
I'm 12 and what is this? --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
For
those CONTEST PURISTS who are Real Mad that the first post wasn't
actually the usual, LUEshi being allowed everywhere is the most
important contest-related thing to happen since the Rivalry Rumble
began. Deal with it. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/597oi.png |
The picture looks like a teddy bear sitting on Yoshi What is it? >_> --- ... |
It's the cover of Super Mario World, dude. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/597oi.png |
It's the cover of Super Mario World in ASCII form. --- http://img38.imageshack.us/img38/7760/222bj.jpg |
Ah yes, now that you've mentioned it...yep it looks like that cover! Wow this was awesome. --- ... |
I support this first post! --- http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/tiroalecjpgap.jpg http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/alecjpgyt.jpg |
This
contest has been so boring we may as well make it more interesting with
a debate on the LUEshi stats topic. Here's my opinion: it was stupid. *waits for Ulti to rant about how that proves I am a horrible person* --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
So how high do the Trainers have to go tonight to give them a shot at Mario? Matching Mario's performance today? --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
If
you imagine that Ryu/Ken is stronger than Samus/Ridley, then they're
already over 60%. Add in some SFF and matching Mario's performance would
be easy. Now if they shoot for 70%, I think they'll wind up the favorite. --- Xbox Live: Mach Tornado PSN: HeyGuysItsGhoul |
Trainers
will underperform. Hard. Especially based on the pics, in which Red
isn't very recognizable as "the playable character in RBY". --- Surskit .-#Elements of Water#-. |
There's
really nothing Trainers can do to affect my opinion on their shot at
Mario/Bowser. If they do poorly but still win, then they're going to
need a big rally to beat Mario/Bowser, and if they do really well, then
it's probably SFF and they'll still need a big rally. They feel very
much like Smash Bros. in the Series Contest where they probably aren't
threatened by anything outside the Big 3, but lack the strength to
threaten the Big 3 themselves. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/597oi.png |
If Red/Blue break 85% I would take them as a favorite over Mario. --- http://i41.tinypic.com/xq0ro.png -XIIIiscool's Advent Calendar |
Yoshi / Kamek to beat half the rivalries in this contest! --- "Ovelia ... SPOILERS IN THE KEYWORDS WOOPS" - Vormav |
Godly opening post --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· Currently Playing: Mass Effect 2, Ratchet and Clank series, Birth by Sleep |
If
Yoshi/Kamek made the field, I definitely would have had them winning my
favorites bracket. That right there is a seriously awesome rivalry. Also: UltimaterializerX posted... Godly opening post --- "Claire likes to say 'You can be part of the problem, or part of the solution.' But I happen to believe you can be both." - Phil Dunphy |
That right there is a Boscopinion if I've ever seen one --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png |
Well, aint this something. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Hold that doubling, Trainers! --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
I picked Luigi/Waluigi over these guys --- http://i42.tinypic.com/11jol1t.gif Oracle Challenge ~ Rank: 11th ~Today's prediction: Trainers - 61.11% |
Dammit, terrible start. I wanted over 70% at the freeze. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Wow more people had Mario winning in round 4 than anyone besides Link and Mario did in round 3 --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 85/104 Today: Samus/Ridley |
Well at the very least, the Fighters will end up looking good --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
From: GrapefruitKing | Posted: 12/14/2011 12:02:41 AM | #022 God we're dumb. --- Please don't go. The Drones need you. Einstein would turn over in his grave. Not only does God play dice, the dice are loaded. |
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_UArmJhVCA0 ALL HAIL POKEMON --- "intention doesn't matter? clearly your cashier degree did not require a law course." - ND to Joyrock on the legality of drinking a soda before paying |
Still holding strong. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Ah these pics are awesome, love the eyes! --- "I am riding the Poke-wave, using the metaphorical Surf and hopping on my Blastoise, all the way to Mario vs Bowser." - RPGLord |
Holy God Samus won the Board Vote. The trainers are rising at the end till the freeze. --- From: Regaro_Ukiera | MWC is god-tier |
Yessssss hahahhahaha gooioo --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA |
Last minute was over 70. Woah. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
This
team got 78% on Luigi back in R2. Now it's R4 and they should be riding
a bit of a band wagon (meaning they should be a bit stronger than two
rounds ago). Anything below, say, 65% here would be a disappointment. --- Yoblazer: http://oi53.tinypic.com/2hd0dh1.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
No bandwagon will get them past Mario next round. So this is the pinnacle for the Trainers. --- "Tebow losing is basically the same thing as Christ suffering on the cross." ~SmartMuffin "you are peathice" ~ertyu |
Mario/Bowser vs Trainers starting to feel very debateable. --- The Gamer In Me His dark secret is he's really Spark Brushel in disguise. If people knew, he'd be ruined. - Spiral on the black psyche locks |
I can't believe we're likely to watch Samus tear things up overnight. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/597oi.png |
PartOfYourWorld posted... This team got 78% on Luigi back in R2. Now it's R4 and they should be riding a bit of a band wagon (meaning they should be a bit stronger than two rounds ago). Anything below, say, 65% here would be a disappointment. youre forgetting WAAAAAAluigi --- fEeD mE!!1 |
Score-Brackets-% Right 96------171--------100.00 95------18----------100.00 94------11----------100.00 93------4------------100.00 92------22----------100.00 91------70----------100.00 90------42----------100.00 89------28----------100.00 88------56----------98.21 87------52----------100.00 86------279--------98.92 85------106--------99.06 84------113--------100.00 83------119--------97.48 82------176--------99.43 81------207--------98.55 80------227--------97.80 79------305--------95.74 78------317--------95.58 77------336--------95.54 76------363--------94.77 75------428--------94.16 74------445--------95.06 73------445--------93.93 72------475--------89.26 71------530--------93.58 70------533--------91.93 69------542--------89.85 68------564--------91.31 67------552--------87.32 66------525--------89.52 65------554--------85.20 64------505--------85.54 63------551--------84.94 62------487--------82.14 61------480--------82.71 60------440--------77.73 59------413--------75.54 58------408--------76.23 57------367--------74.11 56------313--------69.01 55------305--------70.16 54------279--------69.18 53------265--------64.15 52------200--------59.50 51------215--------53.49 50------194--------52.58 49------150--------61.33 48------150--------54.67 47------122--------43.44 46------116--------49.14 45------103--------47.57 44------110--------30.91 43------72----------40.28 42------85----------22.35 41------74----------24.32 40------54----------16.67 39------45----------24.44 38------46----------13.04 37------52----------23.08 36------25----------16.00 35------32----------21.88 34------38----------10.53 33------26----------11.54 32------23----------21.74 30------27----------29.63 29------11----------9.09 28------12----------8.33 27------9------------11.11 23------8------------12.50 19------2------------50.00 17------4------------25.00 16------5------------20.00 9--------4------------25.00 7--------4------------50.00 An easy match even for casual bracket markers. Mario's overall prediction percentage is still over 80. Everyone within 7 points of perfect got the match right. -23 (73 points) and better stay above 90. No one fell off the Top 50. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
Updated Top 10 Top 10 Biggest 24h Vote Gaps 1. Link/Ganondorf – 46897 vs. Amaterasu/Orochi – 9139 – Round 2 – 37758 2. Mario/Bowser – 40377 vs. Ike/Black Knight – 9801 – Round 2 – 30576 3. Red/Blue – 42513 vs. Luigi/Waluigi – 12021 – Round 2 – 30492 4. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth – 40294 vs. Kratos/Zeus – 12185 – Round 2 - 28109 5. Mega Man X/Zero – 37795 vs. Bartz Klauser/Gilgamesh – 11161 – Round 2 – 26634 6. Link/Ganondorf – 38913 vs. Mega Man/Dr. Wily – 12793 – Round 3 - 26120 7. Mario/Bowser – 37989 vs. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik – 15834 – Round 3 – 22155 8. Mario/Bowser – 35947 vs. Mega Man X/Zero – 17978 – Round 4 - 17969 9. Mega Man/Dr. Wily – 34405 vs. Zidane Tribal/Kuja – 17638 – Round 2 – 16767 10. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – 30137 vs. Pac-Man/Blinky – 14420 – Round 2 – 15717 Top 10 Most Popular 24h Polls 1. Red/Blue vs. Ryu/Ken – Round 3 – 58843 2. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth vs. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – Round 3 - 58655 3. Link/Ganondorf vs. Amaterasu/Orochi – Round 2 – 56036 4. Red/Blue vs. Luigi/Waluigi – Round 2 – 54534 5. Mario/Bowser vs. Mega Man X/Zero – Round 4 - 53925 6. Mario/Bowser vs. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik – Round 3 - 53823 7. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth vs. Kratos/Zeus – Round 2 - 52479 8. Mega Man/Dr. Wily vs. Zidane Tribal/Kuja – Round 2 – 52043 9. Mega Man X/Zero vs. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – Round 3 – 51721 10. Link/Ganondorf vs. Mega Man/Dr. Wily – Round 3 – 51706 Top 10 Highest Individual Team 24h Votes 1. Link/Ganondorf – Round 2 – 46897 2. Red/Blue – Round 2 – 42513 3. Mario/Bowser – Round 2 – 40377 4. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth – Round 2 – 40294 5. Link/Ganondorf – Round 3 - 38913 6. Mario/Bowser – Round 3 - 37989 7. Mega Man X/Zero – Round 2 – 37795 8. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth – Round 3 – 36435 9. Mario/Bowser – Round 4 - 35947 10. Red/Blue – Round 3 - 35329 --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 85/104 Today: Samus/Ridley |
From: xXkewls0358 | #038 Ridley hurts Samus enough to clearly give Trainers the SFF advantage here. Hate to bust out stats, but a 68% Trainer win here would still mean that Samus gets over 65% on Luigi, and that's assuming the Trainers have maintained the same strength since R2. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
dat board vote --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 85/104 Today: Samus/Ridley |
This
result doesn't look good enough to give the Trainers an edge over Mario
next round, because I'd pick X/Zero to beat Samus/Ridley. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
I still think Mario and Bowser deserve to be the favorites, but damn is this performance good. --- "Claire likes to say 'You can be part of the problem, or part of the solution.' But I happen to believe you can be both." - Phil Dunphy |
The Trainers were never going to beat Mario. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
yeah
Trainers with a doubling might've made them the favorite against Mario,
but it looks like they'll end up with 62-63%, here. not enough --- http://i42.tinypic.com/11jol1t.gif Oracle Challenge ~ Rank: 11th ~Today's prediction: Trainers - 61.11% |
Dammit, my Oracle. Pokemon is so good at finding ways to boink me. What a bastard franchise. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
First Quarter Stats Mario vs. Bowser – 50.00% Mega Man X vs. Zero – 33.34% Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion – 31.54% Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik – 29.42% Donkey Kong vs. K. Rool – 22.40% Kirby vs. Meta Knight – 22.24% Ike vs. Black Knight – 19.53% Jill Valentine vs. Nemesis – 18.47% Ezio Auditore da Firenze vs. Rodrigo Borgia – 17.83% Leon Kennedy vs. Ada Wong – 16.89% Conker vs. The Great Mighty Poo – 15.85% Katherine vs. Catherine – 15.82% Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh – 15.20% Earthworm Jim vs. Queen Slug-for-a-Butt – 14.64% Captain Falcon vs. Black Shadow – 13.04% Guybrush Threepwood vs. LeChuck – 10.88% Preliminary second quarter stats in a minute. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
62-63% would still enough for me to think it's possible, but I don't think I'd pick them with that. |
I wonder how many of the Top 50 brackets had the Trainers here, I know I didn't... My bracket is weeping...goodbye leaderboard --- If you believe in Jesus Christ and are 100% proud, put this in your sig. http://img526.imageshack.us/img526/3788/ronpaul2012banner.jpg |
