GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1035
Pushing the doubling now --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
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This'll end 70/30. Trainers no chance. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
I wonder how many of our perfects will take Trainers over Mario, and how many take Cloud over Link. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
And
I must say I'm impressed by Mario/Bowser. If this finishes at 67%,
that'll be twice in a row they've "matched" Link from last year. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Northwest Division Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy – 50.00% Sora vs. Riku – 49.31% Dante vs. Vergil – 48.47% William B.J. Blazkowicz vs. Adolf Hitler – 39.24% Siegfried Schtauffen vs. Nightmare – 33.24% Ramza Beoulve vs. Delita Hyral – 29.46% Laharl vs. Mid-Boss – 26.35% Sol Badguy vs. Ky Kiske – 16.87% First Quarter stats coming up in a minute. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png |
Perfects
with bad tiebreakers will probably take upsets like Trainers over Mario
or Cloud over Link. Still think we'll finish with around 50 though. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/2bigwigpngut.png |
The
bigger Mario/Trainers looks, the worse it is for Cloud. The last thing
he needs is a huge Nintendo match to bring more Nintendo fans to the
site. --- Yoblazer: http://oi53.tinypic.com/2hd0dh1.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
No one will take Trainers>Mario, because speaking candidly, the Trainers cannot possibly win that. They still got this. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Mario > Trainers. Without doubt. --- LM |
Updated Top 10 Top 10 Closest Matches 1. Squall Leonhart/Seifer Almasy – 50.69% vs. Sora/Riku – 49.31% – Round 3 – 1.38% 2. Sora/Riku – 50.85% vs. Dante/Vergil – 49.15% - Round 2 – 1.70% 3. Frog/Magus – 51.51% vs. Chell/GlaDOS – 48.49% - Round 2 – 3.02% 4. Mega Man X/Zero – 52.70% vs. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – 47.30% - Round 3 – 5.40% 5. Alucard/Dracula – 53.25% vs. Frog/Magus – 46.75% - Round 3 – 6.50% 6. Samus Aran/Ridley – 53.47% vs. Big Boss/The Boss – 46.53% – Round 3 – 6.94% 7. Luigi/Waluigi – 55.28% vs. Cecil Harvey/Golbez – 44.72% - Round 1 – 10.56% 8. Siegfried/Nightmare – 55.68% vs. Ramza Beoulve/Delita Hyral – 44.32% - Round 1 – 11.36% 9. Frog/Magus – 56.13% vs. Raiden/Vamp – 43.87% - Round 1 – 12.26% 10. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – 56.56% vs. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – 43.44% - Round 1 – 13.12% Top 10 Smallest 24h Vote Gaps 1. Squall Leonhart/Seifer Almasy – 26064 vs. Sora/Riku – 25356 – Round 3 - 708 2. Sora/Riku – 24538 vs. Dante/Vergil – 23715 – Round 2 - 823 3. Frog/Magus – 25211 vs. Chell/GlaDOS – 23729 – Round 2 – 1482 4. Mega Man X/Zero – 27259 vs. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – 24462 – Round 3 – 2797 5. Alucard/Dracula – 24561 vs. Frog/Magus – 21563 – Round 3 - 2998 6. Samus Aran/Ridley – 27360 vs. Big Boss/The Boss – 23810 – Round 3 - 3550 7. Big Boss/The Boss – 25862 vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – 19833 – Round 2 – 6029 8. Alucard/Dracula – 27431 vs. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – 20976 – Round 2 – 6455 9. Samus Aran/Ridley – 30282 vs. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – 19530 – Round 2 – 10752 10. Red/Blue – 35329 vs. Ryu/Ken – 23514 – Round 3 - 11815 Top 10 Most Popular 24h Polls 1. Red/Blue vs. Ryu/Ken – Round 3 – 58843 2. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth vs. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – Round 3 - 58655 3. Link/Ganondorf vs. Amaterasu/Orochi – Round 2 – 56036 4. Red/Blue vs. Luigi/Waluigi – Round 2 – 54534 5. Mario/Bowser vs. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik – Round 3 - 53823 6. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth vs. Kratos/Zeus – Round 2 - 52479 7. Mega Man/Dr. Wily vs. Zidane Tribal/Kuja – Round 2 – 52043 8. Mega Man X/Zero vs. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – Round 3 – 51721 9. Link/Ganondorf vs. Mega Man/Dr. Wily – Round 3 – 51706 10. Squall Leonhart/Seifer Almasy vs. Sora/Riku – Round 3 - 51420 Top 10 Least Impressive 24h Winners 1. Sora/Riku – Round 2 – 24538 2. Alucard/Dracula – Round 3 - 24561 3. Frog/Magus – Round 2 - 25211 4. Big Boss/The Boss – Round 2 – 25862 5. Squall Leonhart/Seifer Almasy – Round 3 - 26064 6. Mega Man X/Zero – Round 3 – 27259 7. Samus Aran/Ridley – Round 3 - 27360 8. Alucard/Dracula – Round 2 - 27431 9. Ryu/Ken – Round 2 – 29617 10. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – Round 2 - 30137 Top 10 Most Impressive 24h Losers 1. Sora/Riku – Round 3 - 25356 2. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – Round 3 – 24462 3. Big Boss/The Boss – Round 3 - 23810 4. Chell/GlaDOS – Round 2 – 23729 5. Dante/Vergil – Round 2 – 23715 6. Ryu/Ken – Round 3 – 23514 7. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – Round 3 - 22220 8. Frog/Magus – Round 3 - 21563 9. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – Round 2 - 20976 10. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – Round 2 – 19833 --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 77/96 Today: Mario/Bowser |
Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict 1. Alucard/Dracula vs. Frog/Magus – Round 3 – 17.25% 2. Frog/Magus vs. Chell/GlaDOS – Round 2 – 33.41% 3. Alucard/Dracula vs. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – Round 2 – 34.09% 4. Squall Leonhart/Seifer Almasy vs. Sora/Riku – Round 3 – 34.52% 5. Mega Man X/Zero vs. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – Round 3 – 34.75% 6. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – Round 2 – 37.29% 7. Red/Blue vs. Ryu/Ken – Round 3 – 44.84% 8. Samus Aran/Ridley vs. Big Boss/The Boss – Round 3 – 54.17% 9. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Tidus/Jecht – Round 1 – 55.06% 10. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth vs. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – Round 1 – 57.30% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 77/96 Today: Mario/Bowser |
First Quarter Stats Mario vs. Bowser – 50.00% Mega Man X vs. Zero – 34.24% Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion – 32.39% Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik – 29.42% Donkey Kong vs. K. Rool – 23.01% Kirby vs. Meta Knight – 22.24% Ike vs. Black Knight – 19.53% Jill Valentine vs. Nemesis – 18.47% Ezio Auditore da Firenze vs. Rodrigo Borgia – 18.31% Leon Kennedy vs. Ada Wong – 17.35% Conker vs. The Great Mighty Poo – 15.85% Katherine vs. Catherine – 15.82% Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh – 15.61% Earthworm Jim vs. Queen Slug-for-a-Butt – 14.64% Captain Falcon vs. Black Shadow – 13.39% Guybrush Threepwood vs. LeChuck – 11.17% --- http://i.imgur.com/fe05x.png http://i.imgur.com/stNJf.png |
Mario/Trainers will go exactly as Mario/Charizard went --- http://i42.tinypic.com/11jol1t.gif Oracle Challenge ~ Rank: 11th ~Today's prediction: Mario / Bowser - 68.78% |
Score-Brackets-% Right 92------171--------100.00 91------19----------94.74 90------12----------91.67 89------6------------66.67 88------26----------84.62 87------71----------97.18 86------53----------77.36 85------50----------52.00 84------76----------68.42 83------70----------71.43 82------317--------84.23 81------144--------56.94 80------156--------57.05 79------221--------44.80 78------262--------48.09 77------293--------49.49 76------331--------48.34 75------418--------43.78 74------421--------42.99 73------441--------42.63 72------471--------40.76 71------534--------36.14 70------556--------36.87 69------558--------34.41 68------576--------34.03 67------582--------32.47 66------550--------33.09 65------568--------30.99 64------573--------32.11 63------577--------27.56 62------541--------29.02 61------541--------29.94 60------464--------25.00 59------462--------28.79 58------430--------23.95 57------416--------24.28 56------355--------25.92 55------346--------24.28 54------315--------25.71 53------273--------19.05 52------213--------23.47 51------226--------19.03 50------212--------21.23 49------182--------24.18 48------160--------23.13 47------129--------24.81 46------133--------20.30 45------102--------11.76 44------122--------22.13 43------92----------27.17 42------89----------11.24 41------82----------15.85 40------64----------23.44 39------45----------11.11 38------47----------12.77 37------48----------10.42 36------29----------17.24 35------35----------14.29 34------38----------13.16 33------34----------26.47 32------23----------4.35 31------19----------10.53 30------31----------16.13 29------11----------9.09 28------13----------7.69 27------9------------11.11 26------7------------14.29 25------4------------25.00 23------9------------11.11 22------6------------33.33 A Sora upset would have wiped out the perfects. Since Sora couldn't pull it off, the perfects went perfect instead. The top tiers overwhelmingly favoured Squall winning the match so only a handful of brackets within 5 points of perfect got the match wrong. 6 people fell off the Top 50. MegatokyoED, hylianknight3, Zicore, _Regaro_, MarvelousGerbil and INCEPTlON did not have Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy winning the match. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
From: KamikazePotato | Posted: 12/13/2011 12:09:38 AM | #358 No one? --- Khali Speak: http://www.rot13.com/ |
Conker vs. The Great Mighty Poo – 15.85% Katherine vs. Catherine – 15.82% Bartz Klauser vs. Gilgamesh – 15.61% Earthworm Jim vs. Queen Slug-for-a-Butt – 14.64% Captain Falcon vs. Black Shadow – 13.39% Guybrush Threepwood vs. LeChuck – 11.17% lol --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 77/96 Today: Mario/Bowser |
Also, I think it's sad that the most pleasure I derive from this contest now is seeing how bad SFF is wrecking these X-Stats. Ike vs. Black Knight is literally in the upper half of the first quarter stats. --- http://images.cheezburger.com/completestore/2011/8/22/2094c2de-bae8-4f5b-9f27-67eaff0aaeaf.jpg |
Squall just won a close match, cheer up! --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
From: red sox 777 | #369 Last good moment of the contest is now behind us! --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
The best is yet to come (Cloud > Link baby) --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Ike vs. Black Knight is literally in the upper half of the first quarter stats. As they should be and they got SFF too. Top tier pair. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 77/96 Today: Mario/Bowser |
Is there any reason to think that Mario SFFed Sonic more than MMX? |
From: TheOneAboveAll | #373 It would make sense. X/Zero beating Sonic/Robotnik also makes sense, so it's hard to say. --- http://www.miscupload.com/upload/452457071929141623517416.gif |
Yes,
MMX has always appeared to resist Nintendo SFF pretty well. He's had a
bunch of matches with Mario and Link, and never gotten himself
embarrassed yet. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
It could be, but MMX/Zero > Sonic/Robotnik too. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 77/96 Today: Mario/Bowser |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #350 Samus is a far more "debatable" match and she at least has the whole noble nine aura, or at least she used to. I can see at least two or three people picking Samus there. --- *is XIII_rocks* |
I
definitely think Sonic's match had more SFF, based on Link's matches
with both last year. That makes more sense to me, even if it means
Sonic/Robotnik beating X/Zero. |
Yeah despite it being close the general feeling prematch was that Squall had it. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 77/96 Today: Mario/Bowser |
Oh hey, 1 person actually picked Sora/Riku in the Oracle yesterday. Sora/Riku winning would've almost been a mini-Knux > Magus --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Huh I swore I picked Squall/Seifer with 50.00% Turns out my Analysis Crew cynicism spread into there too. Whoops! --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Link and Samus are having tea at Hyrule Castle. Link: So, Samus, what is the news from abroad? Samus: Sir, Mario is duplicating your victories from last year. Last round he defeated Sonic copying your strategy from last year, and our latest reports are that he is dismantling Megaman X using your ingenius method from last year. Link: .........indeed? How fast is he pulling off these victories? Samus: He's clocking in at just about the same speed you showed last year. Of course, sir, you were showing off and toying with your opponents, I know that. Link: .........the same speed as me........very well, Samus, I've got work to do. This tea is over. ~A deserted parking lot in the worst slums of Midgar at night~ Red: I really don't think we should be here at night. Blue: He'll show up, don't worry. Red: What if he kidnaps us, or kills us? Green: I am arrived. Blue: Do you have the secret weapon? Green: Yes, I do. Keep it inside this platinum pokeball until it is time. Do you understand? Red: Yes. Green: Good. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
bah, Mario/Bowser are just dying, now --- http://i42.tinypic.com/11jol1t.gif Oracle Challenge ~ Rank: 11th ~Today's prediction: Mario / Bowser - 68.78% |
Wow, this contest doesn't even lend itself towards Red Sox writing good fanfic. Bad contest indeed... |
Nothing to write about --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
MK > Sonic lololol, thanks Mario --- :> |
I know. Not blaming you at all for that. It was a valiant effort... |
So
if we assume X/Zero=Ryu/Ken roughly, and there is no SFF here, then
Mario/Bowser should get mid to upper 50's on the Trainers. Assuming no
Trainers bandwagon. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
From: Team Rocket Elite | #364 ...I was on the leaderboard with that bracket too? --- http://img.imgcake.com/RegaroUlquiorrapngse.png |
SFF
in this match and a bandwagon next round both seem fairly likely to me.
This will be the farthest Pokemon has ever gotten in a contest. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Yesterday's chart: Time | Squalfer | Soriku | Votes | Demographic EBV | 50.07% | 49.93% | 729 | (0:00-0:05) PHV | 49.38% | 50.62% | 4992 | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 52.98% | 47.02% | 10240 | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 53.78% | 46.22% | 5621 | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 52.28% | 47.72% | 11948 | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 47.51% | 52.49% | 15619 | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 49.47% | 50.53% | 3000 | (22:00-24:00) Finally, a chart that's actually interesting. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Also, congrats to Squall for two straight contests of winning a match despite losing in the U.S. Not an easy feat! --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Interesting,
the DSV now has higher average vote intake than the ASV (using the time
periods defined in the chart). My guess is using an ASV of 3-8 PM, it
would probably still be higher than the DSV, but not by much. And in
another year, that may be gone too. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
That would explain why the ASV seems more diluted this year. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
Damn, if Sora/Riku had pulled it off I'd be coming first in the battle challenge =/ --- "I am riding the Poke-wave, using the metaphorical Surf and hopping on my Blastoise, all the way to Mario vs Bowser." - RPGLord |
Mario/Bowser finish the hour 0.01% off from where they were at the freeze. --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonpngpe.png http://img.imgcake.com/squalloweenpngem.png |
At
the time of our last age poll, we still had about 17% of the site under
18 at the time. I'll be willing to bet that falls to below 10% within
the next 3 years. Though I wonder how much better the ASV would have been today if we still had a 3:00 AM start time. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
KamikazePotato posted... the Trainers. They still got this. --- "I am riding the Poke-wave, using the metaphorical Surf and hopping on my Blastoise, all the way to Mario vs Bowser." - RPGLord |
...I was on the leaderboard with that bracket too? Yep, you did. You entered the leader in 34th place after Alucard/Dracula beat Frog/Magus and stayed in 34th until you fell off. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
