GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1033
I'm going to guess we can get 59% by the end of the power hour and 60% by 2 AM. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
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But yeah, Cloud/Sephiroth should get 60% here easily, all the same. This only makes Crono's performance look worse. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
I
don't even care. Crono is excused because of Lavos, and he still did
pretty well. Not to mention, Cloud/Sephiroth are really really strong.\ This is a message to Link. Beware. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Snake wasn't this weak before, was he? Cloud and Seph will get 60% + hopefully. --- ... |
This is such a boring contest... --- Yo Where All The White Women At |
From: spooky96 | #354 This is not the same as a 1-on-1 contest. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
Wasn't too impressed with Snakes performance against Crono so it isn't a surprise that Cloud and Sephiroth are cleaning up. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 73/88 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth |
LeonhartFour posted... From: spooky96 | #354 Snake wasn't this weak before, was he? Cloud and Seph will get 60% + hopefully. This is not the same as a 1-on-1 contest. So Liquid screwed up, right? --- ... |
Its not even late night vote yet... --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA |
Well, I wouldn't say "Liquid screwed up," per se. Can't really blame him for being nowhere near as strong as three of our six strongest competitors. Plus, I think Solid/Liquid limiting Snake to just MGS appeal probably hinders him a bit since he loses a little Smash Bros. appeal in the process. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
It's only been half an hour and 58 percent is cleared. Is 65 really out of the question? --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/pjbasis.png |
Im thinking 64 is possible --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA |
Cloud
seems to be telling me that I shouldn't be so conservative about where
he's going to be at the end of the power hour. One more update like
that and he'll be at 59% with 25 minutes to spare. Expecting Snake to
stall the percentage gains for a while soon though. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
From: pjbasis | #361 Yes. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Well,
if Cloud get get to 60% at the end of the Power Hour.......he gained 4%
on Snake from 1 AM to the end in the 2008 semifinal. So it wouldn't be
completely impossible, but highly unlikely. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
65
is a bit much even if he has 60% by the end of the hour I don't see him
gaining another five percent. Snakes will hold the night vote better
compare to other opponents and in the day I don't see them increasing
that much. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 73/88 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth |
LeonhartFour posted... From: pjbasis | #361 It's only been half an hour and 58 percent is cleared. Is 65 really out of the question? Yes. :/ Something tells me your heart just isn't ready to believe. No...maybe it doesn't want to believe... --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/pjbasis.png |
Wow Now I really Think 65 is a possibility. --- ... |
Dayum
Cloud. 3.2% from the freeze to the 35 minute mark. I don't remember
Cloud or Sephiroth rising this fast except against super frontloaded
stuff like Captain Falcon for a long time. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
In case anyone's interested in the Cloud/Snake trend chart from last year, I'll go ahead and post it: Time | Cloud | Snake | Votes | Demographic EBV | 47.41% | 52.59% | 1430 | (0:00-0:05) PHV | 48.35% | 51.65% | 11277 | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 50.72% | 49.28% | 26110 | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 52.32% | 47.68% | 11458 | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 52.23% | 47.77% | 34200 | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 53.51% | 46.49% | 35413 | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 54.86% | 45.14% | 7278 | (22:00-24:00) Probably not an accurate comparison since the Snakes weren't as frontloaded as Snake was last year, but it shows the Snakes can hold their own in Europe. That'd be the main thing that would prevent me from saying they'll skyrocket up another 7% from here. With Nintendo entrants, Cloud/Sephiroth dominate Europe. That won't happen here. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
And
even right now, Cloud/Sephiroth are averaging 61%~ updates. They're not
anywhere close to what they need to be averaging right now, although it
will get a little bit better, most likely. --- http://i.imgur.com/fe05x.png http://i.imgur.com/stNJf.png |
pjbasis posted... They should really get an FFVII pic one of these days. Tired of all this AC/Dissidia/KH crap --- Do not pray for easier lives. Pray to be stronger men. - John F. Kennedy |
I don't mind Dissidia or AC stuff. But I'm not a big fan of KH artwork for any FF character. I don't think they look as good. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
And there it is, 59%, with 20 minutes to spare. Maybe they can really go for 60% in the power hour.....that would be something. Cloud/Snake last year had quite tame trends for a typical Cloud/Snake match. Remember Snake went up the 2nd update. Cloud has already gained in 35 minutes what it took him around 12 hours last time. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Yeah, because Snake doesn't have any sort of bandwagon going on here, in all likelihood. Well, that, and the Solid/Liquid rivalry isn't as strong. --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonpngpe.png http://img.imgcake.com/squalloweenpngem.png |
Someone needs to give Tidus a KH pic. (He might do better.!) --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
From: Kotetsu534 | #376 Get out. --- http://i.minus.com/iH9vIGOBoyTQ2.gif |
AC
seph is kinda bad. his KH one did a much better job at preserving his
original image. clouds AC are good and great with sunglasses. needs
more ff7 though. --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA |
It hurts to see, but this was the obvious result (and this is why I guaranteed that the Snakes had no shot, which should tell you something). But the idea that Cloud/Seph need a doubling on the Snakes to contend with Link is more than a little silly. I'm not convinced that Cloud/Seph don't get more on Link/Ganon than Cloud gets on Link. Why would Ganon add more than Seph, again? --- http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
Now from 59.12 it went 59.36 --- ... |
Why would Ganon add more than Seph, again? He doesn't need to... http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/43 >_> --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 73/88 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth |
But
the idea that Cloud/Seph need a doubling on the Snakes to contend with
Link is more than a little silly. I'm not convinced that Cloud/Seph
don't get more on Link/Ganon than Cloud gets on Link. Why would Ganon
add more than Seph, again? Thank you. If Cloud/Seph end at 63%, which is what I'd guess right now, I think they deserve to be the favorites against Link/Ganon. And at least people should not be so dismissive of their chances. I say this as someone who has never gotten Link/Cloud wrong and has been probably Link's most vocal fan here the past few years (remember I was delighted by Link's 7000 vote ASV against Snake in 2008). --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
God damn slyward sword. theyd have a good chance if not for that. --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA |
I didn't say they needed it to win. I just said it's what they'd need before I started giving them a real shot at winning. 60% on the Snakes isn't enough to make them favorites, I don't think. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
Thank
you. If Cloud/Seph end at 63%, which is what I'd guess right now, I
think they deserve to be the favorites against Link/Ganon. http://thegamingliberty.com/wp-content/uploads/linklaugh.jpg --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Well, it looks like I might get to test my "if Cloud beats Link then Mario beats Cloud" theory after all. |
Seems no 60 yet --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA |
Trainers are this contests last hope if cloud falls --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA |
SnoicFactor posted... Trainers are this contests last hope if cloud falls What? --- ... |
KP, you should let me and Yoblazer post the Link fanboy stuff. Go ahead and cheer for his defeat since that's what you want! --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
I
don't even think Cloud/Seph beat Link/Ganon (the latter will have the
mother of all rallies if it's threatened I'd bet, and I wouldn't expect
Cloud/Seph to have anything resembling a cushion). But it should be
assured of 46.5%+, what Cloud is worth on Link. A range that must fall
between 46.5-49.99 is not something I'd be dumb enough to bet a testicle
on. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
Karma Hunter posted... I don't even think Cloud/Seph beat Link/Ganon (the latter will have the mother of all rallies if it's threatened I'd bet, and I wouldn't expect Cloud/Seph to have anything resembling a cushion). But it should be assured of 46.5%+, what Cloud is worth on Link. A range that must fall between 46.5-49.99 is not something I'd be dumb enough to bet a testicle on. Youre dismissing skyward sword too easily. --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA |
Ah phooey, no 60 unless miracle shot. Ah well, I hope to see a nice increase in the morning! --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/pjbasis.png |
Thank
you. If Cloud/Seph end at 63%, which is what I'd guess right now, I
think they deserve to be the favorites against Link/Ganon. And at least
people should not be so dismissive of their chances. I say this as
someone who has never gotten Link/Cloud wrong and has been probably
Link's most vocal fan here the past few years (remember I was delighted
by Link's 7000 vote ASV against Snake in 2008). Favourite over Link/Ganondorf? I'm not sure if 70% would be enough for that. This is Link. To take favourite status away from he you would have to look like you can cleanly beat him. Link/Ganondorf has also looked impressive themselves this contest. You are right that, people could stand to be a bit less dismissive of Cloud/Sephiroth's chances of winning. Even if they don't win, it's going to be a close match. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
I'll
believe Skyward Sword is juicing Link when I see it. I remember
Twilight Princess hype very well and, Senator Skyward Sword, you're no
Twilight Princess. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
I've never said that Cloud/Sephiroth are going to get blown out. I think people who are calling for a 60/40 are insane. But I don't really expect Cloud/Sephiroth to win all the same. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png |
46.5%
was always all but guaranteed IMO. There is no conceivable way adding
Sephiroth and Ganondorf to the mix helps Link. The only way it could
happen is if Link/Cloud goes much worse this year than last year. But
the thing is, Link/Cloud has been the most stable matchup ever- it's
stayed within a 2.5% range since 2004. A 1.5% range since 2005. It
truly baffles me how every year there seem to be people saying that Link
will get 60% on Cloud this year, when it never happens. It's like how
people always are taking Mario to break 40% on Link, when the voters
have returned low to mid 60s for Link every time over a almost a decade. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
From: Karma Hunter | #395 Well Link did do 10 percent better than what last years stats would predict on Amaterasu and if anything the stats should be skewed to make Link look stronger than he really is unless you think there is more Link/Ammy sff than Link/Luigi sff. --- Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis |
From: JJH777 | #398 That's because this isn't a 1-on-1 contest. Unless you want to say Cloud is doing 10% better on Snake than he did directly last year because of Advent Children Complete being released on Blu-Ray. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
Color me impressed. Link still wins, but maybe Cloud doesn't get totally embarrassed after all. --- :> |
