GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1033

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#301 | abdou | Posted 12/10/2011 9:00:45 PM | message detail
They will probably have no more than 51% at the freeze and rise to 55-56 by the end
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#302 | pjbasis | Posted 12/10/2011 9:01:11 PM | message detail
They should really get an FFVII pic one of these days.

Tired of all this AC/Dissidia/KH crap
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/pjbasis.png
#303 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:01:30 PM | message detail
Dat Snake board vote
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 73/88 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth
#304 | GaryOak151 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:01:33 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth 24% 6
Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake 76% 19
TOTAL VOTES 25
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Warning_Crazy Winner of Board 8 Big Brother!
#305 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:01:41 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth 43.75% 28
Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake 56.25% 36
TOTAL VOTES 64

Oh board vote.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#306 | JJH777 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:01:45 PM | message detail
Dat boardvote
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Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis
#307 | pjbasis | Posted 12/10/2011 9:01:47 PM | message detail
#308 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/10/2011 9:01:58 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth 50% 72
Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake 50% 72
TOTAL VOTES 144

First tie I saw.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#309 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:02:06 PM | message detail
And there's the lead!
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#310 | anondum | Posted 12/10/2011 9:02:08 PM | message detail
not surprisingly the board vote hates on FF7..
#311 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 12/10/2011 9:02:10 PM | message detail
Snake couldn't even keep the lead for over a minute? This is gonna get ugly
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http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png
http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png
#312 | sonicboom510 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:02:20 PM | message detail
#313 | MeteorExF | Posted 12/10/2011 9:02:32 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth 50% 120
Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake 50% 120
TOTAL VOTES 240
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If we hit that bullseye, the rest of the dominos will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate. - Zapp Brannigan
#314 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:02:36 PM | message detail
6 perfects remain, 4 have Link/Ganondorf
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 73/88 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth
#315 | CP724 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:02:51 PM | message detail
wow seen 50/50 like 5 different times
#316 | hylianknight3 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:02:52 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth 50% 103
Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake 50% 103
TOTAL VOTES 206
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Where Batman goes, adventure follows!
Aquaman
#317 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:02:56 PM | message detail
That was an epic duel for one minute.
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Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
#318 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:03:03 PM | message detail
Looking good for 60% so far.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#319 | pjbasis | Posted 12/10/2011 9:03:19 PM | message detail
#320 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:04:10 PM | message detail
Already past 55%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 73/88 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth
#321 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:04:13 PM | message detail
You watching this Link? This is the power of Cloud and Sephiroth in their absolute worst time!
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#322 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:06:00 PM | message detail | (edited)
JENOVA is called to fight by Sephiroth: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6GrZYE2il0
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Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
#323 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/10/2011 9:06:25 PM | message detail

From: GrapefruitKing | #298
Predix: Cloud will already be at 55% at the freeze and raise a looooot after that


so far so good...
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http://i42.tinypic.com/11jol1t.gif
Oracle Challenge ~ Rank: 16th ~Today's prediction: Aludrac - 53.77%
#324 | pjbasis | Posted 12/10/2011 9:06:26 PM | message detail
Darn, hoping it would stay above 56 at the freeze
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/pjbasis.png
#325 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:07:34 PM | message detail
55.6% at the freeze. Excellent. 60% looks pretty likely, 65% not out of the question.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#326 | SnoicFactor | Posted 12/10/2011 9:07:56 PM | message detail
Cloud and seph will break 60
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http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif
brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA
#327 | pjbasis | Posted 12/10/2011 9:09:28 PM | message detail
It's too bad we never saw Link get a good match.

But it's hard to do when he SFFs half the field and the rest aren't strong enough to be considered a good match.
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http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/pjbasis.png
#328 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/10/2011 9:11:11 PM | message detail
oh geez
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http://i42.tinypic.com/11jol1t.gif
Oracle Challenge ~ Rank: 15th ~Today's prediction: Cloud / Seph - 61.16%
#329 | JJH777 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:11:17 PM | message detail
wow
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Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis
#330 | SnoicFactor | Posted 12/10/2011 9:11:43 PM | message detail
Damn 1%+ jump just like that
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http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif
brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA
#331 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:12:36 PM | message detail
Updated Top 10

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. Sora/Riku – 50.85% vs. Dante/Vergil – 49.15% - Round 2 – 1.70%
2. Frog/Magus – 51.51% vs. Chell/GlaDOS – 48.49% - Round 2 – 3.02%
3. Mega Man X/Zero – 52.70% vs. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – 47.30% - Round 3 – 5.40%
4. Alucard/Dracula – 53.25% vs. Frog/Magus – 46.75% - Round 3 – 6.50%
5. Samus Aran/Ridley – 53.47% vs. Big Boss/The Boss – 46.53% – Round 3 – 6.94%
6. Luigi/Waluigi – 55.28% vs. Cecil Harvey/Golbez – 44.72% - Round 1 – 10.56%
7. Siegfried/Nightmare – 55.68% vs. Ramza Beoulve/Delita Hyral – 44.32% - Round 1 – 11.36%
8. Frog/Magus – 56.13% vs. Raiden/Vamp – 43.87% - Round 1 – 12.26%
9. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – 56.56% vs. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – 43.44% - Round 1 – 13.12%
10. Big Boss/The Boss – 56.60% vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – 43.40% - Round 2 – 13.20%

Top 10 Smallest 24h Vote Gaps
1. Sora/Riku – 24538 vs. Dante/Vergil – 23715 – Round 2 - 823
2. Frog/Magus – 25211 vs. Chell/GlaDOS – 23729 – Round 2 – 1482
3. Mega Man X/Zero – 27259 vs. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – 24462 – Round 3 – 2797
4. Alucard/Dracula – 24561 vs. Frog/Magus – 21563 – Round 3 - 2998
5. Samus Aran/Ridley – 27360 vs. Big Boss/The Boss – 23810 – Round 3 - 3550
6. Big Boss/The Boss – 25862 vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – 19833 – Round 2 – 6029
7. Alucard/Dracula – 27431 vs. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – 20976 – Round 2 – 6455
8. Samus Aran/Ridley – 30282 vs. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – 19530 – Round 2 – 10752
9. Red/Blue – 35329 vs. Ryu/Ken – 23514 – Round 3 - 11815
10. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik – 30963 vs. Kirby/Meta Knight – 18812 – Round 2 - 12151

Top 10 Least Popular 24h Polls
1. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake vs. Pac-Man/Blinky – Round 2 - 44557
2. Ryu/Ken vs. Fox McCloud/Wolf O’Donnell – Round 2 – 45581
3. Squall Leonhart/Seifer Almasy vs. Siegfried/Nightmare – Round 2 - 45630
4. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – Round 2 – 45695
5. Alucard/Dracula vs. Frog/Magus – Round 3 - 46125
6. Sora/Riku vs. Dante/Vergil – Round 2 - 48253
7. Alucard/Dracula vs. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – Round 2 - 48407
8. Mega Man X/Zero vs. Bartz Klauser/Gilgamesh – Round 2 – 48925
9. Frog/Magus vs. Chell/GlaDOS – Round 2 - 48940
10. Sub-Zero/Scorpion vs. Donkey Kong/King K. Rool – Round 2 - 49459

Top 10 Least Impressive 24h Winners
1. Sora/Riku – Round 2 – 24538
2. Alucard/Dracula – Round 3 - 24561
3. Frog/Magus – Round 2 - 25211
4. Big Boss/The Boss – Round 2 – 25862
5. Mega Man X/Zero – Round 3 – 27259
6. Samus Aran/Ridley – Round 3 - 27360
7. Alucard/Dracula – Round 2 - 27431
8. Ryu/Ken – Round 2 – 29617
9. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – Round 2 - 30137
10. Samus Aran/Ridley – Round 2 – 30282

Top 10 Most Impressive 24h Losers
1. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – Round 3 – 24462
2. Big Boss/The Boss – Round 3 - 23810
3. Chell/GlaDOS – Round 2 – 23729
4. Dante/Vergil – Round 2 – 23715
5. Ryu/Ken – Round 3 – 23514
6. Frog/Magus – Round 3 - 21563
7. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – Round 2 - 20976
8. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – Round 2 – 19833
9. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – Round 2 – 19530
10. Kirby/Meta Knight – Round 2 – 18812
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 73/88 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth
#332 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:12:41 PM | message detail
Sweet. We might get to see 60% before 2 AM tonight.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#333 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:12:41 PM | message detail
Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict
1. Alucard/Dracula vs. Frog/Magus – Round 3 – 17.25%
2. Frog/Magus vs. Chell/GlaDOS – Round 2 – 33.41%
3. Alucard/Dracula vs. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – Round 2 – 34.09%
4. Mega Man X/Zero vs. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – Round 3 – 34.75%
5. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – Round 2 – 37.29%
6. Red/Blue vs. Ryu/Ken – Round 3 – 44.84%
7. Samus Aran/Ridley vs. Big Boss/The Boss – Round 3 – 54.17%
8. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Tidus/Jecht – Round 1 – 55.06%
9. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth vs. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – Round 1 – 57.30%
10. Sub-Zero/Scorpion vs. Donkey Kong/King K. Rool - Round 2 – 58.33%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 73/88 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth
#334 | abdou | Posted 12/10/2011 9:13:03 PM | message detail
58% update during his worst hour, not bad. The night will get ugly for the Snakes.
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#335 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:16:20 PM | message detail
And then after the night, the day will be even worse for the Snakes. Gonna see FFVII's traditional thing of finishing the match with its highest percentage of the day today. A few years ago it could do that against everything, now it peaks against stuff with strong day votes in the morning.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#336 | pjbasis | Posted 12/10/2011 9:16:26 PM | message detail
#337 | SnoicFactor | Posted 12/10/2011 9:16:30 PM | message detail
They be stallin
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http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif
brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA
#338 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/10/2011 9:16:35 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
84------176--------97.16
83------31----------61.29
82------21----------57.14
81------16----------37.50
80------56----------37.50
79------98----------61.22
78------314--------14.33
77------125--------33.60
76------149--------28.19
75------188--------18.09
74------243--------20.58
73------273--------24.18
72------305--------18.69
71------376--------19.41
70------420--------20.24
69------464--------21.12
68------489--------19.63
67------592--------21.45
66------587--------18.23
65------593--------17.54
64------623--------16.85
63------635--------16.06
62------592--------17.91
61------616--------14.45
60------616--------12.99
59------606--------13.04
58------593--------14.84
57------591--------14.38
56------505--------14.65
55------521--------15.93
54------445--------11.24
53------431--------11.83
52------354--------12.71
51------330--------11.52
50------319--------14.73
49------262--------11.83
48------217--------12.90
47------190--------5.79
46------197--------15.74
45------155--------12.90
44------146--------13.70
43------135--------15.56
42------121--------10.74
41------97----------10.31
40------88----------12.50
39------79----------12.66
38------69----------7.25
37------64----------6.25
36------52----------19.23
35------38----------5.26
34------45----------8.89
33------40----------7.50
32------29----------17.24
31------25----------8.00
30------32----------3.13
29------19----------5.26
28------17----------5.88

25------7------------14.29

Discounting alts, 54.54% of the perfects, 50% of the -1s and 40% of the -5s(79 points) got the match right. Despite being a guru upset, it's still the top performers who do best here. Outside the top tiers, prediction percentage falls into the low 20s to mid-10s for quite a while before fading away.

22 people fell off the Top 50. -Tofa7-, GuessMyUserName, Tw0Bit, WaIker, WalrusJump, PeaceOut64, spikevegeta, TheGreatGastly, Biggoron5, SunnyX, Pirate109, Hitagi, PartOfYourWorld, MoogleKupo141, TheMissingShoe + 1 alt, lordofthemorons, blindhobo13, Biscuit__, ExThaNemesis, Agent_M and Sk0rne3000 did not have Alucard vs. Dracula winning the match.

Despite the 4 point hit, 4 users managed to stockpile enough ponits to survive despite getting the match wrong. Jman_gamerX8, jacko_vdz, ShadowDino and shaneh87 also did not have Alucard vs. Dracula winning the match.
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Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place
#339 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/10/2011 9:19:02 PM | message detail
red sox 777 | Posted 12/11/2011 12:16:20 AM | message detail | quote
And then after the night, the day will be even worse for the Snakes. Gonna see FFVII's traditional thing of finishing the match with its highest percentage of the day today. A few years ago it could do that against everything, now it peaks against stuff with strong day votes in the morning.


The last time Cloud managed to do that was the match with Snake back in 2010.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#340 | LeonhartFour | Posted 12/10/2011 9:19:32 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #325
60% looks pretty likely, 65% not out of the question.


65% is pretty much out of the question here. MGS can actually hold its own in Europe, for one thing.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
#341 | pjbasis | Posted 12/10/2011 9:22:09 PM | message detail
#342 | SnoicFactor | Posted 12/10/2011 9:22:14 PM | message detail
God damn
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http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif
brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA
#343 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:22:18 PM | message detail
Cloud and Sephiroth could be breaking 60% before the powerhour is over.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 73/88 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth
#344 | GuessMyUserName | Posted 12/10/2011 9:23:32 PM | message detail | (edited)

From: Team Rocket Elite | Posted: 12/11/2011 12:16:35 AM | #338
22 people fell off the Top 50. -Tofa7-, GuessMyUserName, Tw0Bit, WaIker, WalrusJump, PeaceOut64, spikevegeta, TheGreatGastly, Biggoron5, SunnyX, Pirate109, Hitagi, PartOfYourWorld, MoogleKupo141, TheMissingShoe + 1 alt, lordofthemorons, blindhobo13, Biscuit__, ExThaNemesis, Agent_M and Sk0rne3000 did not have Alucard vs. Dracula winning the match.


huh, TheMissingShoe is actually my alt.

or whatever, my original account that I ditched for this alt
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http://26.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lvgdyvJ7fa1qcc7n9o1_250.gif
#345 | LeonhartFour | Posted 12/10/2011 9:23:23 PM | message detail
Southwest Division

Alucard vs. Dracula – 50.00%
Frog vs. Magus – 46.75%
Chell vs. GLaDOS – 45.34%
Phoenix Wright vs. Miles Edgeworth – 43.33%
Raiden vs. Vamp – 41.02%
Gordon Freeman vs. Dr. Breen – 37.65%
Ness vs. Giygas – 37.11%
Commander Shepard vs. Saren Arterius – 36.77%

West Division

Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth – 50.00%
Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake – 42.76%
Crono vs. Lavos – 35.26%
Pac-Man vs. Blinky – 27.67%
Lloyd Irving vs. Kratos Aurion – 23.36%
Kratos vs. Zeus – 23.22%
Crash Bandicoot vs. Dr. Neo Cortex – 20.20%
Professor Layton vs. Don Paolo – 12.02%
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http://i.imgur.com/stNJf.png
#346 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:24:23 PM | message detail
MGS can hold its own with Europe, but it can't get anything back with the day and will instead fall further. Traditionally, I think 4% from the freeze to the end of the power hour and 4% from the end of the power hour to the end of the match was typical for Cloud/Sephiroth against Nintendo. Sometimes it's more than that (Cloud/Captain Falcon), sometimes it's less. It's been markedly less against Link ever since Link started getting anti-voted by this board for winning all the time though.

Though, yes, 65% is out of the question now. But it was not when I made that post.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#347 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2011 9:24:24 PM | message detail
huh, TheMissingShoe is actually my alt.

They probably had different points
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 73/88 Today: Cloud/Sephiroth
#348 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/10/2011 9:24:41 PM | message detail
huh, TheMissingShoe is actually my alt.

If they have separate names on the leaderboard, I list them separately.
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Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place
#349 | LeonhartFour | Posted 12/10/2011 9:26:52 PM | message detail
Well, Cloud/Seph rising 10% against the Snakes is a lot different than Cloud rising 10% against Captain Falcon. There are only certain kinds of opponents the FFVII guys can manage such ridiculous swings against.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png
#350 | GuessMyUserName | Posted 12/10/2011 9:27:12 PM | message detail
ah, I thought they just group them all if they make the leaderboard period
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