GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1033
*Frog's Theme* ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- I have a kid because of FFXI, a place to live because of FFXI, lost my virginity because of FFXI, and that's why it's my #5 game of all time. -RPGLord95 |
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Bump --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
screw Frog's Theme, Battle with Magus is the superior song from that rivalry. --- 2011 Rivalry Rumble Contest - i am too lazy to edit this every day http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif |
Battle with Magus will be a good song to play come 4 AM tonight, right as we enter Alucard's best time and CT's worst. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Is this the first contest where the tiebreaker is actually going to matter? --- Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis |
tiebreaker has mattered before, even in brackets without a perfect score. With that said we may not even have a perfect bracket even if things go as planned (Alucard > Frog, Red > Samus). None of the gurus have that which leaves just 5 of the current perfects that could go perfect. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 69/80 Today: Link/Ganondorf |
I should have left my tiebreaker at 42 as usual. It would be closer than my actual tiebreaker. --- http://i41.tinypic.com/xq0ro.png -XIIIiscool's Advent Calendar |
From: JJH777 | #005 Yeah, tiebreakers have definitely mattered. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/51alecpngpa.png -Nio |
From: charmander6000 | #006 I have that. --- Black: 3310-7431-2094 |
My tiebreaker is lower than what a lot of other people have said but I still think it's too high. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/2bigwigpngut.png |
I have that. You also have Red > Mario according to the site. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 69/80 Today: Link/Ganondorf |
lol >_> --- Black: 3310-7431-2094 |
At
this point, the only thing I have left is to hope the rest of the
contest goes as expected, and then in the final Mario/Bowser end up
actually beating Link/Dorf. Pipe dream, I know, but god damn, that would ruin so many Battle Entries, since I doubt there's many high-scorers left who wouldn't go Link/Dorf for the final. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy IV (FF2US) http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3445328 |
Oops, did Quote instead of Edit. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy IV (FF2US) http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3445328 |
I blame this massacre on Capcom's canceling of Mega Man Legends 3. --- http://i135.photobucket.com/albums/q155/Gamecubesupreme/sf7y9s.jpg http://i135.photobucket.com/albums/q155/Gamecubesupreme/DBZFIGHTERS.png |
tiebreaker has mattered before, even in brackets without a perfect score. With that said we may not even have a perfect bracket even if things go as planned (Alucard > Frog, Red > Samus). None of the gurus have that which leaves just 5 of the current perfects that could go perfect. However if things go as planned, we'll have a large group of perfect battle brackets that will go down to tiebreaker, --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict 1. Frog/Magus vs. Chell/GlaDOS – Round 2 – 33.41% 2. Alucard/Dracula vs. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – Round 2 – 34.09% I wonder what % the winner between those two gonna be at... 15% ? I know it was a tough division but still.... --- Link's is pretty much the video game equivalent of the Jesus story. -- Yoblaser |
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/rivals/rivals-54-1.jpg http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/rivals/rivals-54-2.jpg http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/rivals/rivals-54-3.jpg http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/rivals/rivals-54-4.jpg Pic 4, I love it. --- "I am riding the Poke-wave, using the metaphorical Surf and hopping on my Blastoise, all the way to Mario vs Bowser." - RPGLord |
The Frog/Magus part of the third pic is brilliant, but I don't understand why Alucard and Dracula are orange. --- http://i.minus.com/iH9vIGOBoyTQ2.gif |
I think todays match might be the most borinf of the contest.. --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA |
Do I bank or listen to my heart and go with Frog... urgh --- "I am riding the Poke-wave, using the metaphorical Surf and hopping on my Blastoise, all the way to Mario vs Bowser." - RPGLord |
From: LeonhartFour | #019 Vampires can't go out in the sun, they need to get a spray tan. --- http://img.imgcake.com/alecoweenpngam.png http://img.imgcake.com/alecpngym.png |
man, I keep thinking to myself, "Alucard has no real wins -- lawyers, space marines and Gordon Freeman is all we know about him. but then I think about Frog and think how he's equal to Glados and Chell and how Raiden and Vamp threatened them. this division really sucks when you think about it. --- xyzzy |
The only reason this division was even debatable was because Phoenix/Edgey were a weak 1 seed. Throw someone like Ryu/Ken or Sub-Zero/Scorpion in this division and they stomp. --- http://www.gifsoup.com/view/593815/frasier-and-niles-dance-o.gif |
The
more I think about it, the more I want to be on the side of Frog/Magus.
I mean, Magus pulled 42% on his own against Alucard... throw Frog plus
rivalry factor in there and they've got to be in the high 40s (also pic
factor!). I don't trust the vampires to hold CT off if it's close. And I don't know. Ness/Giygas should be fodder. But then again, Ness once got 35% on Auron, and there is literally no overlap at all between ChellDOS and Ness so he was always going to hold up well. Raiden/Vamp? I'm not gonna argue they're much good, but they stuck 55% on Yuna/Seymour in the vote-ins - do Freeman/Breen even beat Yuna/Seymour? Still reckon the "safe" pick should be the vampires while the "upset" pick should be CT... but I'm gonna roll CT and see what happens. Time to get some CT music ready. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
I think Frog/Magus could win if the only pic was pic 3. That pic is great for both sides, but the Frog/Magus part of it is just epic. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
All
the pics for this match look good though. Don't think pic 3 and maybe 4
alone are enough to really give Frog/Magus a pic edge though. But hopefully Chrono Trigger pulls a classic match out of its ass once again. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
I think Alucard/Dracula will win without much trouble --- ... |
I'm gambling on Frog/Magus. I am not testicle betting, however. --- Chex Warrior (Chex Quest) for CB2011 |
And
I don't know. Ness/Giygas should be fodder. But then again, Ness once
got 35% on Auron, and there is literally no overlap at all between
ChellDOS and Ness so he was always going to hold up well. Raiden/Vamp?
I'm not gonna argue they're much good, but they stuck 55% on
Yuna/Seymour in the vote-ins - do Freeman/Breen even beat Yuna/Seymour? Yuna/Seymour lost to Banjo/Gruntilda in the vote-ins. Does Freeman/Breen beat Banjo/Gruntilda? --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
I'm
seriously concerned about Samus losing to the Trainers. I still don't
know who to take in my battle, but I have Samus winning that match in my
bracket. I have 78 bracket points right now (82 after today) and I'd hate to pick against my bracket, but I just can't tell who will win this one. And lol Alucard/Dracula have next match in the bag. --- If you believe in Jesus Christ and are 100% proud, put this in your sig. http://img526.imageshack.us/img526/3788/ronpaul2012banner.jpg |
Eh,
Banjo/Gruntilda were always going to do well there (only Nintendo
option, FF/MGS LFF). I was thinking more along the lines of
"Yuna/Seymour got 40% on Fox/Wolf... how close do Phoenix/Edgeworth get
to Fox/Wolf? I'm thinking not too close." --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
From: izNotPerfect | #032 I will bet you a testicle that Trainers beat Samus/Ridley. --- http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/tiroalecjpgap.jpg http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/alecjpgyt.jpg |
izNotPerfect posted... I'm seriously concerned about Samus losing to the Trainers. I still don't know who to take in my battle, but I have Samus winning that match in my bracket. I have 78 bracket points right now (82 after today) and I'd hate to pick against my bracket, but I just can't tell who will win this one. And lol Alucard/Dracula have next match in the bag. really.. I'm more confident on Trainers > Samus then Alucard > Frog... but i'm taking those two anyway... now that I'm on the leaderboard (50th) I might as well try and finish perfect.... my tie-breaker of 80200 is gonna kill me but it's a karma entry anyway (not eligible to prize) --- Link's is pretty much the video game equivalent of the Jesus story. -- Yoblaser |
Ugh, I can't decide what to go with for this match. I have Alucard now, but no actual confidence in it. --- For your BlAcK TuRtLe. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza |
From: izNotPerfect | #152 Samus has almost no chance, she's very unlikely to even keep it respectable. Trainers will trounce. And Alucard/Dracula by no means have it in the bag. They aren't beastly strong or anything. At the highest I can see them getting 54%, but I don't think they get that high. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
This
next match could be decided by which of these is better: 56% on
Phoenix/Edgeworth or 56% on Raiden/Vamp. Surely MGS is a bigger series
than PW? Or did the PW team get more votes because they were a 1 seed? --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/2bigwigpngut.png |
I'd have a hard time pulling the trigger on Raiden/Vamp > Phoenix/Edgeworth. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png |
So who gets the day vote in this match. Or rather, who fails LESS in the day? --- http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/tiroalecjpgap.jpg http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/alecjpgyt.jpg |
Well, Vampires beat the Lawyers with the day vote last round. I reckon they do it again. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png |
Hmm, there's no ASV tomorrow. So..... 12 AM - 3 AM: CT 3 AM - 9 AM: Castlevania 9 AM - 8 PM: Neutral overall, gradually shifting from CV to CT as the day goes on and North America gets a higher percentage of incoming votes 8 PM - 12 AM: CT --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
So Cloud has gotten 76% on Squall before. I figure Squall/Seifer and Mega Man/Wily to be of comparable strength. I'd take Mega Man there but it would probably be close. Can Cloud/Sephiroth outdo Link's tripling of MM? There might be a chance Squall ends up lower than both Kratoses, which would be pretty funny yet kinda sad :) --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Outdo Link? This is madness. --- :> |
Twin Scars will outdo Twin Snakes' percentage book it --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
I'm
pretty confident with Alucard here really. He's already easily
dispatched Magus once before, and I can't really see Frog adding enough
to him to bring this within striking distance. Furthermore, Dracula
should be valuable enough to keep this at a safe distance. --- :> |
Match LIV: (4) Alucard/Dracula vs. (2) Frog/Magus Previous Round Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – 43.33% Alucard/Dracula – 56.67% Chell/GlaDOS – 48.49% Frog/Magus – 51.51% Analysis A lot of people have been hyping this match as to them they see it as a last chance for an interesting match outside of trainers shenanigans. Personally I don’t see this match being overly interesting, it was only last contest that Alucard put the hurting on Magus and to me this contest has not given me a reason to believe that Frog and Magus are capable of winning this match. The big reason why people feel that there may be an upset is the performances from last round. For some reason people feel that the performance against Phoenix and Edgeworth was bad. They would be right had this been one on one, but as we’ve seen many times in this contest rivalries do matter and a pair like Phoenix and Edgeworth are bound to get a decent boost from rivalries and only lost because their initial strength was quite low. I also feel that people are giving the win over Chell and GlaDOS a bit too much credit. GlaDOS was very weak in the previous contest and even with Portal 2 and going from a potential lost to Ness to 60/40 him does not mean the pair is something to be afraid of. Also not looking very impressive against Raiden and Vamp in the first round also helps me believe that Chell and GlaDOS aren’t as strong as some people think. I would love to see some of that Chrono Trigger magic and given the trends of these characters should the match be even it’ll be even for the rest of the day. Best chance for Frog and Magus is hope Dracula is a flop and that it was Alucard carrying the team, but I doubt that is what happened over the past two rounds. charmander6000’s Bracket: Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen > Frog/Magus charmander6000’s Prediction: Alucard/Dracula wins, 55.83% - 44.17% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 69/80 Today: Link/Ganondorf |
I
think Cloud can triple Squall and then some. He got 76% before, now
throw in the strength difference between Seifer and Seph and you have a
recipe for one hell of a beat-down. I wouldn't bat an eye if he gets
80%. And I love that third picture. The fact that it shows Frog in his human form on the side really adds to the strength of the rivalry that no other match pic has done yet this contest. Kudos to whoever did that one. --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? |
your bracket had Gordon win this division? Why? --- For your BlAcK TuRtLe. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza |
