GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1027
Time for our first projection of the night! Based on Dante/Riku 2008, Sora/Riku are projected to win with 50.47%. It looks like the close match is on. Let's do this. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
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I'm not a DMC fan - what's this about Capcom disowning it's own game? Have they decided not to promote it much or something? --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
I had hope up til that last update. There goes my bracket. ^^; --- You feel better but not much. |
Because not releasing a game very far in development is a good way to lose a lot of money. Either way, Capcom already said that it's a non-canon alternate universe or something, so it doesn't matter either way. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
I felt whoever was winning after the first hour would win this, so its not looking good for Dante now. --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
creativename posted... I'm not a DMC fan - what's this about Capcom disowning it's own game? Have they decided not to promote it much or something? It was supposed to be a reboot of the series. Now it's just a non-cannon sideshow borrowing DMC in name only. |
yeah, ok, Dante is gonna one hell of a night vote to stand a chance now --- http://i42.tinypic.com/11jol1t.gif Oracle Challenge ~ Rank: 19th ~Today's prediction: Sora/Riku - 50.73% |
Welp, ballgame. Freaking Kingdom Hearts. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v712/ExTha/10and14.jpg "I was wrong." - SmartMuffin |
KH music: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2VJ3Jc6H3Jg&feature=related --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
Damn you kingdom hearts --- "Link has spoken for years. And music is his language" -YoBlazer |
Dante is officially a part of the DK Crew now. --- From his looks Magus is Macho Man Randy Savage as an anime zombie. The black wind howls, and one of you will snap into a Slim Jim ooh yeeeah! -sonicblastpunch |
I
was extremely nervous over this match but there was absolutely no
indication that Dante should win this. I mean if he makes a comeback and
wins good for him but to act like he should have ever been the favorite
is silly. Sora scared because he did poorly last round but it was under dubious circumstances and in the last ten hours he smoked. No surprises so far. --- "intention doesn't matter? clearly your cashier degree did not require a law course." - ND to Joyrock on the legality of drinking a soda before paying |
It was probably because people wanted an upset. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 55/62 Today: Sora/Riku |
Game. Hopefully the Trainers/Fighters match is better. --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
I didn't think it would happen. I wanted it to though! Damn we need SOME sort of upset! --- Chex Warrior (Chex Quest) for CB2011 |
Would be a very big surprise if Dante would win now. He might be able to stall overnight since KH is not strong at that time, maybe even cut, but once daylight comes it should be over. Sora is impressing me here. Nice performance by him. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
No
game. Not close to game yet. The update 2 updates ago made Sora/Riku a
substantial favorite, but this match 'aint over yet. The probability
that Dante takes a lead at some point tonight is still extremely high,
and his chances of winning are not terrible yet. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
I
think Dante will still take the lead overnight. Kingdom Hearts is god
awful overnight and he can turn around 300-400 votes or whatever it'll
be. But he'll die once the sun rises --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
The Dante will likely make cuts over the night, he's winning everywhere except US and Oceania --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 55/62 Today: Sora/Riku |
Oh hey, thats what Dante needed --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
cuts like that one --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 55/62 Today: Sora/Riku |
Finally a cut, go Dante. Let's hope Dante can build a decent lead during the late night. |
Don't worry, Dante will get the kiddies when they wake up. How can kids not like a badass like dante? --- http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/alecjpguz.jpg |
Projection based on Dante/Riku at the 40-minute mark: Sora/Riku win with 50.52%. Yup, not close to over. This should be a fun night. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
lol I hope you guys know that Sora's going to win this match. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
In
all these close matches he loses, does Dante struggle with the NA vote
each time? Would make sense because he's continually against crowd
favorites here like Yoshi, Ryu, Sora. Maybe he'd pull through clutch if
he was against someone else who was more Euro. I'm not sure who that would be. Off the top of my head, it's folks like Sora, Kirby, Zelda, Ryu, Luigi, Bowser that would be about his strength. He seems a step back from Squall and Auron, and ahead of Leon Kennedy or Kratos. --- "Ovelia ... SPOILERS IN THE KEYWORDS WOOPS" - Vormav |
Dante is going to take the lead at some point, how much do you guys think he'll need? With the low vote totals something like 700-800 may make the match interesting. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 55/62 Today: Sora/Riku |
IngmarBirdman | Posted 12/4/2011 12:46:28 AM | message detail In all these close matches he loses, does Dante struggle with the NA vote each time? http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3817®ion=NAM Only about 1% worse for Dante in the NA vote. Dante got the Europe and Asia vote, while Ryu won SA and Oceania (besides NA). --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
From: Greyfeld | #428 At this point, I don't care who wins as long as it's hopefully an interesting match. At least by this contest's standards. If Dante builds up a 10 vote lead overnight and then gets pounded, that would be better than the rest of what we've seen. --- "nah, it's not my team if I drop pitchers for merely being horrible" -War13104 |
charmander6000 posted... Dante is going to take the lead at some point, how much do you guys think he'll need? With the low vote totals something like 700-800 may make the match interesting. 700-800 gives him a small chance, 1000 gives him a good chance and 1200+ makes him a lock. With 100k votes like we used to have, Sora would struggle to do more than a 2000 vote comeback with the day vote. --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
i'm
torn on this match. I had Dante in my bracket, but changed my battle
pick to Sora. I guess my perfect battle streak can continue. --- XD at Admiral Nobody. This man knows his sluts.- Rufus1186 http://www.speedtest.net/result/1084886081.png |
AlecTrevelyan006 posted... From: Greyfeld | #428 lol I hope you guys know that Sora's going to win this match. At this point, I don't care who wins as long as it's hopefully an interesting match. At least by this contest's standards. If Dante builds up a 10 vote lead overnight and then gets pounded, that would be better than the rest of what we've seen. In my opinion, whether a match is close or not has nothing to do with the actual vote totals, or even percentages. Since we've seen the strength of these two in the first hour, Sora is already a lock for the match. No amount of cutting or close numbers is going to change the ultimately boring fact that we already know who the winner is going to be. Exciting matches happen when the winner is contested. The moment you know who's going to win, they're no longer exciting. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
I said relatively exciting. Still better than the rest of this contest! --- http://img.imgcake.com/alec1pngus.png |
Greyfeld posted... AlecTrevelyan006 posted... From: Greyfeld | #428 lol I hope you guys know that Sora's going to win this match. At this point, I don't care who wins as long as it's hopefully an interesting match. At least by this contest's standards. If Dante builds up a 10 vote lead overnight and then gets pounded, that would be better than the rest of what we've seen. In my opinion, whether a match is close or not has nothing to do with the actual vote totals, or even percentages. Since we've seen the strength of these two in the first hour, Sora is already a lock for the match. No amount of cutting or close numbers is going to change the ultimately boring fact that we already know who the winner is going to be. Exciting matches happen when the winner is contested. The moment you know who's going to win, they're no longer exciting. This is the main reasons these contests are getting more and more boring. We know all the trends and character strengths, so there is little surprise anymore in matches. I'm normally against the idea of fictional characters since this is a video game site, but that is one benefit they would bring. --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
FateStayAlbion posted... Greyfeld posted... AlecTrevelyan006 posted... From: Greyfeld | #428 lol I hope you guys know that Sora's going to win this match. At this point, I don't care who wins as long as it's hopefully an interesting match. At least by this contest's standards. If Dante builds up a 10 vote lead overnight and then gets pounded, that would be better than the rest of what we've seen. In my opinion, whether a match is close or not has nothing to do with the actual vote totals, or even percentages. Since we've seen the strength of these two in the first hour, Sora is already a lock for the match. No amount of cutting or close numbers is going to change the ultimately boring fact that we already know who the winner is going to be. Exciting matches happen when the winner is contested. The moment you know who's going to win, they're no longer exciting. This is the main reasons these contests are getting more and more boring. We know all the trends and character strengths, so there is little surprise anymore in matches. I'm normally against the idea of fictional characters since this is a video game site, but that is one benefit they would bring. All we need are games contests with no stupid gimmicks. --- GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC |
All we need is to bring back 4-ways!! --- I wish I could wear skirts and dresses :( -GMUN |
Yeah, we really need a games contest like the 2010 Winter Contest. No era restrictions, 128 entrants. That would be a blast. --- SubDeity wants to vote for Calvin Coolidge. [Evil Republican] Play Der Langrisser. |
With the low vote totals something like 700-800 may make the match interesting. Looking at Dante/Riku, with votals as low as they are it seems as little as 500 votes could be enough. That doesn't feel right to me though, intuitively. Maybe it's just because I'm not used to dealing with votals as low as they are nowadays. But being conservative, 700 seems like a good target for Dante to hit. 1000 should be safe. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
I think Dante will get like 250 vote lead then probably lose by 600+ --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v712/ExTha/10and14.jpg "I was wrong." - SmartMuffin |
Also,
the average strength in a 128 entrant all era Games Contest would be
crazy. Substantially higher than that from GOTD, and it wasn't bad
itself. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
The Real Truth posted... All we need are games contests with no stupid gimmicks. Yes, all we need is another contest where a Zelda game can win. That'll be totally exciting. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
Dante's vote intake needs to stop dropping off a cliff every other update. --- I wish I could wear skirts and dresses :( -GMUN |
Zelda's reign is endless, but there is more to a kingdom than its king. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
1-hour projection: Based on Dante/Riku, Sora/Riku win with 51.11%. That was a pretty horrible 20 minutes for Dante projectionwise. In the Dante/Riku match, Riku started to really die off in that period, but it hasn't happened tonight yet. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
I'm starting to wonder if Dante even gets a lead at this point. --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
Kotetsu534 posted... Zelda's reign is endless, but there is more to a kingdom than its king. I agree that you can have interesting matches, even with the final match never being in contention. But I think we'd see a rise in votals if we held a contest where the winner was actually debatable. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
