GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1026

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#251 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/30/2011 8:18:12 AM | message detail
They're just switching between Magus factor and Frog factor every update.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#252 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/30/2011 8:18:20 AM | message detail
Yeah this should be Ness/Giygas vs. Frog/Magus. Damn those cheating Portals.
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http://i.imgur.com/597oi.png
#253 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/30/2011 8:21:20 AM | message detail
Everything about every contest match I've ever seen says that a 7 vote gain is bad for Frog/Magus, but with these votals, it's like gaining 20 votes. It's really weird.
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http://i.imgur.com/597oi.png
#254 | transcience | Posted 11/30/2011 8:22:57 AM | message detail
I think 800 votes is possible. if it pushes much past that, it will be a tall order.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#255 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/30/2011 9:00:48 AM | message detail | (edited)

From: The_Djoker | #232
Xbox 1? Xbox1 was never casual, it was basically a halo Box. Unless you mean the 360 which is FAR more popular this gen and in UK 360 has almost a double sales lead over PS3.


Are you implying Halo isn't one of the most mainstream, casual series in modern gaming? That's quite the point of view if thats what you're saying. Xbox1 was hugely casual, it had a very low commital rate in the games:console ratio department, shipped units mostly on the strength of advertising than reputation and a large chunk of its titles were in the console shooter mould, one of the most casual friendly genres in existence. Particularly in the US.
Being a casual console has nothing to do with sales, its the consumerbase you have. Notably consumers who buy a low number of games in established, known genres who are more swayed by advertising than they are critical reviews.
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Smurf , The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
#256 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/30/2011 9:16:30 AM | message detail
Yeah you can stick a fork in this one. Not bad though.
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c
#257 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/30/2011 9:43:02 AM | message detail
Yep - A wonderful example of a close match that's completely boring. A long stall for a few hours in the dead zone and CT duo slowly gaining at every other time.
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Wonderful.
#258 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/30/2011 9:46:02 AM | message detail
Sadly, I have Frog/Magus winning next round.

Actually, round 3 is going to be painful for me, since I'm basically a lock to lose three matches >.<
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#259 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/30/2011 9:47:04 AM | message detail
Even the close matches this contest suck lmao
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c
#260 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/30/2011 9:47:53 AM | message detail
Greyfeld posted...
Sadly, I have Frog/Magus winning next round.

Actually, round 3 is going to be painful for me, since I'm basically a lock to lose three matches >.<


2 already lost, and I'm iffy on X/Zero > Subby/Scorp
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Sucks.
#261 | special_sauce | Posted 11/30/2011 9:52:49 AM | message detail

From: XIII_rocks | #259
Even the close match this contest sucks lmao


fixed
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The return of...Me_Pie_Three
#262 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 9:54:20 AM | message detail
X will defeat the ninjas.That is sure.
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#263 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/30/2011 9:54:47 AM | message detail
By popular request, trend charts for Frog, Magus, and GlaDOS from their 2008 first round matches!


Time | Frog | Ganon | KOS-MOS | Neku | Demographic
EBV | 29.72% | 43.59% | 18.80% | 7.89% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 28.25% | 44.99% | 18.03% | 8.73% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 25.58% | 39.83% | 21.17% | 13.42% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 23.05% | 43.68% | 19.71% | 13.56% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 23.09% | 46.31% | 18.30% | 12.30% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 23.96% | 44.10% | 19.68% | 12.26% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 23.95% | 42.46% | 20.73% | 12.86% | (22:00-24:00)

Frog was actually pretty stable after the initial Chrono Trigger Power Hour, it seems. He even did a little better with the ASV than any other time during the day!


Time | Falco | GlaDOS | Vincent | Wander | Demographic
EBV | 31.05% | 24.12% | 37.11% | 7.73% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 27.96% | 23.43% | 40.77% | 7.84% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 24.45% | 21.46% | 45.92% | 8.17% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 25.08% | 19.42% | 47.52% | 7.98% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 28.95% | 19.24% | 44.66% | 7.15% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 26.79% | 19.00% | 46.98% | 7.24% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 24.94% | 19.61% | 48.13% | 7.32% | (22:00-24:00)

I know this is pre-Portal 2, but I think anyone expecting Chell/GlaDOS to rock the ASV is mistaken. Gordon Freeman/Half-Life/Portal's trends are pretty similar to this.


Time | Shepard | Magus | Sandbag | Sonic | Demographic
EBV | 10.78% | 28.24% | 27.09% | 33.89% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 12.57% | 27.54% | 26.67% | 33.22% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 13.46% | 26.93% | 22.91% | 36.70% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 13.37% | 23.49% | 23.57% | 39.56% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 13.77% | 26.10% | 22.38% | 37.74% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 13.26% | 22.20% | 27.64% | 36.91% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 13.66% | 26.83% | 25.03% | 34.49% | (22:00-24:00)

Then again, there's always Magus's epic ASV to worry about.
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#264 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 9:55:37 AM | message detail
900 votes eh? Over and done (this one was really over after the first 5 minutes). ASV will be interesting though, to see how much, if any, GlaDOS/Chell can cut.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#265 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/30/2011 9:56:07 AM | message detail
Is anybody here still planning to side with CT next round? Is anyone even entertaining the thought?
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#266 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/30/2011 9:57:06 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #265
Is anybody here still planning to side with CT next round? Is anyone even entertaining the thought?


I'm entertaining it. Nothing wrong with thinking Chell/GlaDOS could beat Wright/Edgeworth.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
#267 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 9:57:47 AM | message detail
He even did a little better with the ASV than any other time during the day!

Must have been a weekend match.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#268 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/30/2011 9:58:43 AM | message detail
They'd have to give em the old 55/45 though. I would have taken the Portal duo over both Freeman and Shepard, but I don't know if they can have that easy a time with Phoenix.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#269 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 9:59:16 AM | message detail
Is anybody here still planning to side with CT next round? Is anyone even entertaining the thought?

There 'aint no gettin' off of this train we're on! Crono > Mario or Bust.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#270 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/30/2011 9:59:44 AM | message detail
It's feasible. It's not out of the realm of possibility.

I don't mind saying Alucard is the favorite, but it's not a rock solid lock.
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#271 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/30/2011 10:02:53 AM | message detail
I agree that they still have a chance, but it seems too risky to let everything ride on a duo that have now twice disappointed relative to expectations (I'm pretty sure the Oracle average will end up higher than whatever Frog/Magus finish with). Alucard has yet to disappoint.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#272 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/30/2011 10:05:24 AM | message detail
You can say Alucard has yet to disappoint, but he certainly didn't wow me with his performance yesterday. If he'd gone 60/40 instead of 56/44, then I'd go ahead and say this thing's over.
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#273 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 10:06:48 AM | message detail
Alucard/Dracula do seem like the favorite at this point. But nothing some sprite pics and Frog magic can't handle. I'm already looking forward to Frog/Magus seriously overperforming on Link.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#274 | th3l3fty | Posted 11/30/2011 10:11:38 AM | message detail
Oracle average for today's match is 52.91% for Frog/Magus

so not that much of an underperformance, especially considering some people probably went high solely because we hadn't had a close match yet
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I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#275 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/30/2011 10:16:27 AM | message detail
Pushing toward that 1000 vote lead before the ASV hits.
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#276 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/30/2011 10:19:58 AM | message detail
After Chell/GlaDOS failed to even 60/40 Ness/Giygas, I can't see this match meaning anything but the death of Frog/Magus in the next round.
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#277 | KingButz | Posted 11/30/2011 10:25:55 AM | message detail
Almost erected the 1000 vote barrier
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My Japanese alter-ego.
Hey all this is Bartz btw.
#278 | KingButz | Posted 11/30/2011 10:30:35 AM | message detail
1000 VOTE BARRIER ERECTED
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My Japanese alter-ego.
Hey all this is Bartz btw.
#279 | transcience | Posted 11/30/2011 10:31:03 AM | message detail
it's not Glados being good or even decent with the day vote that has people speculating. it's how god damn bad Frog and Magus are. 1000 is a stretch but it's not like much has to turn for this to go the opposite way.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#280 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 10:33:31 AM | message detail
1000 now is like 2000 in past years. These votals are so low.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#281 | KingButz | Posted 11/30/2011 10:33:45 AM | message detail

From: transcience | #279
it's not Glados being good or even decent with the day vote that has people speculating. it's how god damn bad Frog and Magus are. 1000 is a stretch but it's not like much has to turn for this to go the opposite way.


That's what keeps this match contestable. A 3% ASV swing could bring the lead back to 0, and it's not like Magus hasn't done it before.
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My Japanese alter-ego.
Hey all this is Bartz btw.
#282 | Janus5000 | Posted 11/30/2011 10:36:44 AM | message detail
huh, Frog/Magus gained 82 votes in the last 15 minutes. For this contest, that's pretty impressive.
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Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~
#283 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/30/2011 10:37:26 AM | message detail
KingButz posted...
1000 VOTE BARRIER ERECTED

Butz obviously wants to talk about how erect he is.
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#284 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 10:39:54 AM | message detail
Looks like Frog/Magus have flipped California into their column, at least for now. That brings their electoral vote over 450.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#285 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 11:03:27 AM | message detail
Frog/Magus by the hour:

1:00 | 53.06%
2:00 | 53.69%
3:00 | 50.94%
4:00 | 50.74%
5:00 | 52.97%
6:00 | 45.70%
7:00 | 50.43%
8:00 | 48.33%
9:00 | 51.24%
10:00 | 52.60%
11:00 | 52.52%
12:00 | 51.13%
13:00 | 51.86%
14:00 | 52.62%

Chell/GlaDOS have won 2 hours so far.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#286 | Janus5000 | Posted 11/30/2011 11:08:34 AM | message detail
Three cuts in a row. ASV getting an early start?
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Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~
#287 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/30/2011 11:09:17 AM | message detail
3's a trend, right?
#288 | The Mana Sword | Posted 11/30/2011 11:10:37 AM | message detail
so screwed
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I wish I could wear skirts and dresses :( -GMUN
#289 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 11:11:38 AM | message detail
Denied.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#290 | Janus5000 | Posted 11/30/2011 11:13:09 AM | message detail
man if this weren't a CT match I could just go to my next two classes and not worry about a massive choke

but Magus
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Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~
#291 | The_Djoker | Posted 11/30/2011 11:16:10 AM | message detail

From: __Smurf__ | #255
Are you implying Halo isn't one of the most mainstream, casual series in modern gaming? That's quite the point of view if thats what you're saying. Xbox1 was hugely casual, it had a very low commital rate in the games:console ratio department, shipped units mostly on the strength of advertising than reputation and a large chunk of its titles were in the console shooter mould, one of the most casual friendly genres in existence. Particularly in the US.
Being a casual console has nothing to do with sales, its the consumerbase you have. Notably consumers who buy a low number of games in established, known genres who are more swayed by advertising than they are critical reviews.


I know what a casual gamer is. You're saying Xbox1 was a casual console. IT wasn't Certainly NOT in the UK. Sure some casuals had it but back then you had a specific audience that loved shooters and that grew with Halo but it was still a school/college kind of game. GTA was far more casual friendly game than Halo back then.

Shooters are far more casual now then they were 5 years ago.
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#292 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/30/2011 11:27:38 AM | message detail
Remember people, Crono actually gained from 3 PM to the end of the match in % against Snake. Not that Snake has a good ASV, but CT ASV isn't as bad as it once was.

I'd expect a stall at best here.
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#293 | The_Djoker | Posted 11/30/2011 11:30:42 AM | message detail
Why did Crono go up against Snake first round? He can't catch a break.
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#294 | swirIdude | Posted 11/30/2011 11:33:21 AM | message detail

From: abdou | #233
PS3 is more popular in Europe than 360

according to VGchartz >_<


Also according to common sense, if that makes you feel any better.
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"Tebow losing is basically the same thing as Christ suffering on the cross." ~SmartMuffin
#295 | greatone10 | Posted 11/30/2011 11:35:42 AM | message detail
The_Djoker posted...
Why did Crono go up against Snake first round? He can't catch a break.

Imagine if the seeds were switched, and Crono/Lavos faced Frog/Magus.

That would also give us Solid/Liquid vs. Raiden/Vamp.
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Future 2011 Battle Challenge Champion!
#296 | swirIdude | Posted 11/30/2011 11:37:07 AM | message detail

From: greatone10 | #295
Imagine if the seeds were switched, and Crono/Lavos faced Frog/Magus.

That would also give us Solid/Liquid vs. Raiden/Vamp.


Because the only way to make this contest worse would be to add SFF.
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"Tebow losing is basically the same thing as Christ suffering on the cross." ~SmartMuffin
#297 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 11:37:17 AM | message detail
Yeah pretty bad seeding this year.I mean look all the divisions,they all have 2 really strong pairs and this one hasn't even one!And Crono against Snake on the first round?Man!
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#298 | Guess how many teens | Posted 11/30/2011 11:41:22 AM | message detail
I wonder how many battle brackets we'll lose today.

We hiveminded pretty strong yesterday, but I feel like this one at least 10 should fall (or at least 10 should remain if the pretty much impossible happens), right?
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[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[ -Red |||||||||||||| -Green ]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]] -Blue
Play Earthbound.
#299 | Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/30/2011 11:42:07 AM | message detail
Safer Sephiroth 777 posted...
Yeah pretty bad seeding this year.I mean look all the divisions,they all have 2 really strong pairs and this one hasn't even one!And Crono against Snake on the first round?Man!

That was Alucard's plan! Who would've fought before we saw the bracket that he could finally win a whole division? (I'm still rooting for team CT tough.).
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Black Turtle > Me
#300 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 11:49:16 AM | message detail
Well yeah you are right!But still Sonic out,Megaman Out,Bosses out,Ninjas out,Snake out(probably) and Alucard in the final 8?Man!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~