GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1026

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#151 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:16:47 AM | message detail
Speaking of geography, Canada supports Frog/Magus, but California supports Chell/GlaDOS, sound familiar?
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#152 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:18:29 AM | message detail
Huh, Frog/Magus is doing worse in the US than worldwide right now. Guess Canada is really giving them a major boost here.
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#153 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/30/2011 12:21:38 AM | message detail
I also notice that Frog/Magus are starting to fall apart earlier than they normally would. Usually CT dies after 4 AM, but they started getting stalled on a fairly regular basis as early as 2:30 AM.
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#154 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:23:47 AM | message detail | (edited)
Also, I love the new Europe map. The matches this year have all been not close, so I haven't really looked too much at the maps. But the new European map is a big improvement, and I like what I see on it right now.

Portal Eurozone countries: Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece, Spain
CT Eurozone countries: Germany, France, Netherlands, Austria

Vote for CT for fiscal responsibility!
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#155 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:23:18 AM | message detail
I also notice that Frog/Magus are starting to fall apart earlier than they normally would. Usually CT dies after 4 AM, but they started getting stalled on a fairly regular basis as early as 2:30 AM.

Probably because Portal is also a strong night game. The collapse after 4 AM tonight is probably going to be pretty small though. Portal is only at 53% in Europe and CT has 55% in Asia.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
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#156 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/30/2011 12:25:44 AM | message detail
Good thing Chell/GlaDOS doesn't have a morning vote close to what Sonic has, so that might be one plus in Frog/Magus's favor. Chell/GlaDOS is only at 65% in the UK, while Sonic/Crono would have definitely been above 75% there.
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#157 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:27:29 AM | message detail
The UK makes up 40% of Europe's votes, right? So that means Frog/Magus are getting 55% over the rest of Europe, which is more than in North America. I wonder why the rest of Europe seems to like CT.......it wasn't released in those countries either, was it?
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#158 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/30/2011 12:28:13 AM | message detail
About 40% sounds right for the UK.
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#159 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:29:00 AM | message detail
#160 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:35:16 AM | message detail
#161 | paerarru | Posted 11/30/2011 12:36:39 AM | message detail
Well France probably thinks Frog is delicious.

I don't know why but that was hilarious. :D
#162 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:36:48 AM | message detail
For our first remotely close match of the year, the Electoral College returns. Because we all know the popular vote is rubbish and the vote that really expresses the true will of the people is that of the Electoral College.

Frog/Magus 337
Chell/GlaDOS 201
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#163 | paerarru | Posted 11/30/2011 12:44:05 AM | message detail
Yeah, this one looks like a Kennedy/Nixon.
#164 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 11/30/2011 12:47:06 AM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
The UK makes up 40% of Europe's votes, right? So that means Frog/Magus are getting 55% over the rest of Europe, which is more than in North America. I wonder why the rest of Europe seems to like CT.......it wasn't released in those countries either, was it?


How do other RPG's generally do in the UK? It's never seemed like a popular genre to me. I know all my friends think I'm weird for liking RPG's, especially non-western RPG's.
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#165 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 11/30/2011 12:48:14 AM | message detail
This is Frog/Magus's highest lead of the match so far.
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#166 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:49:23 AM | message detail
New Square tends to do very well in the UK. FFVII and FFX are beastly with the dead zone.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#167 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/30/2011 12:52:17 AM | message detail
Other RPGs are strong in the UK, especially FFVII and FFVIII. As for Western RPGs, Mass Effect does above average in the UK and Dragon Age is just average there. The Elder Scrolls is very strong in the UK.

CT being so weak in the UK is a rare exception here.
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#168 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 11/30/2011 12:55:41 AM | message detail
I think Final Fantasy may be an exception though. Are there any jRPG's that aren't Final Fantasy that are stronger in the UK than elsewhere?
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#169 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 11/30/2011 1:00:18 AM | message detail
Of course it may just be me having weird friends. I do have friends who like RPG's but I met them all via the internet and generally as a result of a videogame forum or from playing FFXI so stands to reason they would be more likely to be RPG fans.

Anyone I know from work or school doesn't like RPG's unless it's Fallout / Elder Scrolls / Mass Effect. Or if it's older then BG, Planescape, older Fallout, etc. Basically Western.
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#170 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/30/2011 1:24:35 AM | message detail
Frog/Magus are starting to do better as of the last few updates.
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#171 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/30/2011 1:26:47 AM | message detail
Well, both of my brackets are boned. I'm still perfect on my contest bracket, and I haven't gotten a pick wrong in the battle, but...

I already know I'm going to lose two matches in round 3, and I banked on Kirby/Sonic, so even if all 100+ perfects blow it, there are still four people with more banked points than me.
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#172 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/30/2011 1:28:21 AM | message detail
holy crap, I just noticed I'm 39th on the leader board >.> Well, that'll be nice for a few rounds anyway.
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#173 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 11/30/2011 1:35:45 AM | message detail
I banked on this match anyway. I kinda forgot about the battle challenge until several matches in. Figured the chances of all the perfects dropping the ball were slim so banked to ensure I beat Bacon.
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#174 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 1:42:12 AM | message detail
600 breached at last.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#175 | Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/30/2011 1:44:40 AM | message detail
I'm certain that we will see classic Chrono Trigger trends here. They will build up a nice lead, then lose it all, then perform a miracle and comeback in the final hour.
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#176 | KingBartz | Posted 11/30/2011 2:02:20 AM | message detail
These wimpy cuts are not going to be enough to get the victory for Portal, assuming they stink up the ASV.
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KingBartz: Bracket is 49/54 with today's pick being Chell/GlaDOS
#177 | Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/30/2011 2:04:02 AM | message detail
That was that comeback.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Black Turtle > Me
#178 | KingBartz | Posted 11/30/2011 2:15:38 AM | message detail | (edited)
61.68% update there for Portal here we go

Frog fell asleep it seems.
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KingBartz: Bracket is 49/54 with today's pick being Chell/GlaDOS
#179 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/30/2011 2:20:21 AM | message detail
44 votes cut in 2 updates.
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Matchtiem?
#180 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/30/2011 2:21:34 AM | message detail
Uh oh, here come the big updates from Chell/GlaDOS. I'm just hoping that was a small hiccup and Frog/Magus will rebound again. I'll be satisfied if Frog/Magus can enter the DSV time period with at least a lead of 500 or more, so they can continue to build up their lead before the ASV kicks in.
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#181 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/30/2011 2:36:01 AM | message detail
It is pretty weird that Frog/Magus are winning in the parts of Europe that aren't the UK. It's not like we got the game in mainland Europe. Maybe emulation is bigger here. Or maybe it's because of the UK's bias towards the Genesis, as opposed to the rest of Europe where the SNES was far ahead of it.
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#182 | Mannequin Depressive | Posted 11/30/2011 2:42:10 AM | message detail
i hope chell/glados pull this off :)

it'll make me happy about picking an upset that actually goes through. i also have them winning next round, which will never happen ,but at least there might be a chance to see it
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#183 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 2:55:26 AM | message detail
Finally a close match!We had to wait only the entire first round and half of the second round!Well at least we had one...
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#184 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/30/2011 2:56:08 AM | message detail
Ultimaphazon posted...
It is pretty weird that Frog/Magus are winning in the parts of Europe that aren't the UK. It's not like we got the game in mainland Europe. Maybe emulation is bigger here. Or maybe it's because of the UK's bias towards the Genesis, as opposed to the rest of Europe where the SNES was far ahead of it.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the UK's "bias" towards the Genesis due to the Master System outselling the NES by a 3 to 1 ratio there or something?

As far as Magus is concerned, I personally believe that he overperforms whenever his sprite shows up - I remember playing CT for the first time earlier this year and I was surprised by how much better he looked in sprite form. He looks horrid in concept art.

Kinda cool how Frog/Magus ends up being such a cool rivalry despite being in a game that isn't too characterization-focused. But...that's Chrono Trigger in a nutshell for ya!

That analysis on how "ensemble casts" overperform in this format was excellent and I completely agree. "Terra vs. Kefka" definitely represents FFVI better than either one of them does on their own, at least.
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#185 | pjbasis | Posted 11/30/2011 3:11:38 AM | message detail
#186 | transience | Posted 11/30/2011 3:13:44 AM | message detail
interesting stuff. if memory serves, this is CT's worst time - even the day vote is better than this. meanwhile, this is one of Portal's best times. I think Frog/Magus are the favourite even with them losing votes and the day vote looming.

anyone have one of Leon's more recent 24 hour charts for some CT stuff?
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#187 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/30/2011 3:26:25 AM | message detail
This isn't exactly what you're hoping for, but here's the graph of Samus/Crono/Vincent/Pikachu in 2008.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3301&type=1&seconds=60&max=0

So basically, unless Portal can manage a Pokemon-esque ASV, this'll be the worst time for Frog/Magus.
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#188 | The_Djoker | Posted 11/30/2011 3:55:25 AM | message detail
CT never came out in Europe during SNES era

IF it did this match wouldn't be close.
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#189 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/30/2011 4:00:20 AM | message detail
transience posted...
interesting stuff. if memory serves, this is CT's worst time - even the day vote is better than this. meanwhile, this is one of Portal's best times. I think Frog/Magus are the favourite even with them losing votes and the day vote looming.

anyone have one of Leon's more recent 24 hour charts for some CT stuff?


They're not even losing votes. GLaDOS/Chell have just been stalling for the last 2 and a half hours.
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#190 | The_Djoker | Posted 11/30/2011 4:05:27 AM | message detail
Frog will still win this. IT has a massive lead in North America. Europe alone won't be enough for Glados.

*listens to Frogs Theme*
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#191 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/30/2011 4:08:17 AM | message detail
Very impressive, Frog/Magus are actually holding on during this time period. I am feeling a bit better about the CT duo winning this match. The ASV is the only thing that I am concerned about for this match.
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#192 | The_Djoker | Posted 11/30/2011 4:11:06 AM | message detail
We finally get a close match. This contest has been abysmal up until this point. Will be better R3 though.
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#193 | Achromatic | Posted 11/30/2011 4:24:22 AM | message detail
I came very, very close to picking the Portal pair to win this.
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#194 | pjbasis | Posted 11/30/2011 4:25:27 AM | message detail
I'd love for Portal to win.

I need those brackets to burn.
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#195 | Mik_Pick | Posted 11/30/2011 4:26:35 AM | message detail
While I generally don't care about so called factors, Frog may be getting extra votes since he's recently been introduced to players who are experiencing Chrono Trigger for the first time through Giant Bombs Endurance Run which just started.
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#196 | tennisboy213 | Posted 11/30/2011 4:29:54 AM | message detail
Chelldos is really cutting here.
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#197 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 4:29:57 AM | message detail
An interesting match after so long...When I first checked the results the lead was around 800 votes.Now it is around 500 votes.Also the winner of this division will have a really low correct percentage prediction.
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#198 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/30/2011 4:30:10 AM | message detail
I don't like these last few cuts
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#199 | tennisboy213 | Posted 11/30/2011 4:32:22 AM | message detail
Safer Sephiroth 777 posted...
An interesting match after so long...When I first checked the results the lead was around 800 votes.Now it is around 500 votes.Also the winner of this division will have a really low correct percentage prediction.

The largest lead was 631.
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#200 | Achromatic | Posted 11/30/2011 4:32:35 AM | message detail
I am having severe buyers remorse right now.
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