GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1026
Either win with 56.14 or more or lose guys. These 50.85% updates are no good. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Lopen posted... Either win with 56.14 or more or lose guys. These 50.85% updates are no good. Frog/Magus are just letting Portal fans hope they'll finish above Raiden/Vamp! --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
1 hour projections: Based on GlaDOS/Vincent and Crono/Vincent 2008, Frog/Magus win with 54.18% Based on GlaDOS/Vincent and Crono/Vincent 2007, Frog/Magus win with 51.11% Nevermind, sorry about the miscalculation. Victory is still confirmed. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
The 2007 projections forget that it's FROG, so all matches that end within 1% automatically grant him a 2% bonus. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
red sox 777 posted... Based on GlaDOS/Vincent and Crono/Vincent 2007, Chell/GlaDOS win with 50.01% Mmmmmm~ --- :/ |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4553®ion=GB Man, I know I shouldn't be surprised at this point, but how does the UK have such terrible opinions? --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? |
It's hard to like a game that doesn't get released in your region! --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
Crono Trigger literally didn't come out here. I guess CTDS might have done I think, maybe? It's not a classic, it's not a childhood memory. No-one played it in England. Why would we vote for it? --- *shrug* |
Liking Portal is not terrible. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
I
subtracted the Crono/Vincent 08 percentage change from the 07
percentage change by accident, thinking that the smallest one must by
GlaDOS/Vincent. But GlaDOS fell more from this point on than Crono did
in 08, so the real projection based on 07 still shows a 51% Frog/Magus
victory. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Only a gain of 26 in the past 30 minutes. I'm going to bed. --- http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza "This is all we have... when we die.." |
CTDS did come out in Europe, but I would guess that it didn't set the world on fire either. --- "Go get me Jared...from Subway!" -- CM Punk Future 2011 Battle Challenge Champion! |
34.09% prediction on Alucard? Wow.That's 65.91% between Phoenix, Shepard, and Gordon. Maximums: 32.18% for Shep 57.30% for Phoenix 42.70% for Gordon Proportionally that puts Phoenix at 28.5% of the predictions (speculation) but I suspect more people went for him simply because he was a 1-seed. I was expecting around 50% for Alucard. --- "Ovelia ... SPOILERS IN THE KEYWORDS WOOPS" - Vormav |
Frog/Magus doing well the last few updates. Which is good, they might need it. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
From: pjbasis | #114 Pre-contest, it was. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
I mean in the relation of guru and brackets, which I guess means yes. Good call, pj. You got one right for once. --- http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/pjbasis.png |
It's not over yet...! --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
When
I actually think about the reasons why CT is still strong enough to win
matches against relevant characters I end up a little baffled. The game
is pretty ancient now and they've basically never really had any reason
to improve their strength since the release. FF7 isn't that much
younger, but at least it has attempted to stay relevant in pop culture. I kind of expected this to still be a little closer still, really. Maybe even with Phoenix hanging on to a lead. --- :> |
Europe's split 50/50 now. Asia is going for CT handsomely, and Oceania is down to 55/45. Feeling very confident at this point. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
Lead's up to 460 after two hours. Hopefully I'll wake up to see Frog/Magus in reasonably good shape. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
Theory time: Characters from ensemble games like the Pokemon or FFVI duo overperform in this format relative to how popular their characters are in a normal bracket since: A) Ensemble casts have a much more diverse group of fans, and the less popular character probably has less overlap with the more popular one. B) In games with a main character, that character is representative of the game to an extent and carries some of that strength with them in a normal 1v1 contest in a way that Pokemon Trainer Red and Terra can't. However, once you add in more characters to the rivalry, they "represent" the game more and boost themselves accordingly. For example, the NInjas might have boosted just as much relative to individual performances as the Fighters did, despite the latter being more iconic as a rivalry. Why? Part of that iconicity is already in present in Ryu's individual popularity so adding Ken in doesn't help them "represent" the Street Fighter rivalry as much as you'd expect. Ryu already is Street Fighter by himself. He doesn't really need Ken. The Ninjas are much less representative of Mortal Kombat by themselves, so putting them together helps out a lot. --- "What's wrong with bootblacking? We like it very much!" This is Yesmar. |
nintendogirl1 posted... Crono Trigger literally didn't come out here. I guess CTDS might have done I think, maybe? It's not a classic, it's not a childhood memory. No-one played it in England. Why would we vote for it? Thank you for reminding me why... Yeah. |
I
also don't think Nintendo was as big that era in the UK as elsewhere.
May have just been my circle of friends but I only knew 1 person other
than me that had a SNES. And it was similar with the N64. Everyone
seemed to go from SEGA to the Playstation. Also, I didn't know another RPG fan until after FF7 was released. May have just been me though. --- Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time |
As
an Englishman who has actually played (some of >_>) CT, I can
safely say that voting for Chelldos is 100% the right decision here --- c |
Goddammit, what the hell was that. --- Yeesh. |
XIII_rocks posted... As an Englishman who has actually played (some of >_>) CT, I can safely say that voting for Chelldos is 100% the right decision here Really thought it was just NBro, buy now I am thinking maybe it is just your whole ruddy country. Too bad you're not currently speaking German right now... |
It's a disaster of a game and Portal is awesome! Not seeing the issue, broseph --- c |
Also did Chelldos just make a nice cut? Cool Edit: and another! Only 2 votes, but still --- c |
XIII_rocks posted... It's a disaster of a game and Portal is awesome! Not seeing the issue, broseph Portal sucks. Portal 2 is pretty good. Chrono Trigger is the one of the top 3 games ever. We need to have another Revolutionary War. |
Oh man that tedious dirge was so much fun Also omg another cut. Uhoh --- c |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #201 You know this isn't that implausible, where Frog/Magus look weak winning here but overperform next round. Because of the freeform pics. Frog and Magus are probably among the most sprite-pic-boostable characters out there. Pure sprite form Frog vs. Magus in an epic, amazing picture could make them significantly stronger than they are this round. Imagine a sprite pic of Frog on the left, Masamune drawn, directly facing Magus on the right with his drawn scythe and floating in the air. I think that would get voters' attentions. For instance I wouldn't be surprised if the Frog/Magus of this round would get 47% on the vampires, but a sprite-form Frog/Magus get 50.01% on the vampires. I could definitely envision a 2-3% x-stat boost based on pics for these two - given the perfect picture. Plus of course, Chrono Trigger is more likely to have rallying. Given the low vote totals that might matter. From: Kotetsu534 | #509 No. But voting this duo over Frog and Magus should be a crime. Seriously. It's Frog and Magus!! ...I repeat. Frog. And. Magus!! Anyone voting against them who actually played Chrono Trigger is probably a communist witch. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Fair point, actually. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
From: creativename | #132 I love CT, Chell/GLaDOS is the far better rivalry and GLaDOS is the best character among these four by a mile. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· You come at the king, you best not miss. |
Right
now, I'd honestly consider Chell/GlaDOS the heavy favorite. Frog/Magus
need to be still building, not already losing ground. Then again, FROG. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
creativename posted... a communist witch I got that covered! Haven't played CT though, but whatever. --- I can communist witch it up with the best. |
i just got home. is frog making a lead, are they staying even, or are chell/glados possibly starting a little comeback? --- -_-...-_- ...-_-... Bera:12x Ice/Lit Mage |
http://gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=4553&sort=time&type=DESC&num=2 Chell/GlaDOS are starting to pick away at the lead. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
Frog/Magus
started very strongly, got stalled/cut for a bit, before heading off
the build a 527 vote lead easily. But the last four updates have all
been won by ChellDOS, cutting about 60 votes off the lead, so perhaps
we're going to see them pull themselves back into the match through the
night vote. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
From: UltimaterializerX | #654 She who is dressed like a witch, has the nose of a witch, has a wart and is made of wood is clearly a witch and must be burned. Plus Ulti once turned red into a newt (he got better). Burn the witch, burn her. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
And wipe out the last 20 minutes of gains. --- Good times. |
Magus does have an awesome theme, I guess. ...Nah I prefer "Well done. Here come the test results: "You are a horrible person." That's what it says: a horrible person. We weren't even testing for that." In other news, cuts and cuts and cuts and cuts and cuts and...right up until then. Frogus taking it all back. --- c |
3 AM Projections: Based on GlaDOS/Vincent and Crono/Vincent 2008, Frog/Magus win with 53.34%. Based on GlaDOS/Vincent and Crono/Vincent 2007, Frog/Magus win with 50.80%. Still looking good for Frog/Magus. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
Frogus taking it all back. So what was with that mini-resurgence? --- c |
And
Crono/Vincent 2008 is probably more accurate here, because
Crono/Vincent 2007 has never ever managed to predict anything correctly.
It is one of the most anomalous results we've ever had trendwise. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
The awesome match will be next round, not this CheDOS thing. 02 - Crono/Mario 03 - Magus/Ganondorf, Crono/Mario 04 - CT/LTTP, Frog/Master Chief 05 - Magus/Knuckles 06 - Crono/Sonic 07 - Frog/Axel, Crono/Vincent 08 - Magus/Sandbag, Crono/Vincent 09 - CT/SM64 10 - Crono/Missingno 11 - Frogus/Vampires That's better. Mmhmm. |
red sox I hate to say it but I find it very hard to believe goddamn Magus will actually win the ASV. Against anything. If Magus/CATS were tied at 3 PM EST by god I would take CATS to win. Edit: I'm assuming he's going to need to win the ASV to finish above 53% because no way in hell is the dead zone going to help him. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
I'll be shocked if Chelldos make this at all close, btw. --- "You compared a topic of mine to an MWC Lebron topic. I may just stab myself so I can say I am literally wounded over that. I mean really now." -Chris |
CT
probably won't win the ASV and doesn't have to. Probably what'll
happen is they'll sink a bit with Europe, and go back up with the DSV.
Then the ASV goes pretty much even like the CT/MGS matches we've seen
this year. Then CT takes the SNV. I'd predict Frog/Magus finish at
52-53%. They do have a somewhat worse day vote than Crono; that's one
thing Team Portal has going for it tonight. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
From: red sox 777 | #703 My Oracle is 53.35% (I like palindromes and integers) so I really like this! Odd to think that Chrono Trigger will probably "win" the day vote here - in the sense that whatever percent they're at in the morning, they should finish higher, purely due to the geographic trends being horribly against them overnight. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |