GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1026

First | Previous | Page 3 of 11 | Next | Last
#101 | Lopen | Posted 11/29/2011 10:04:05 PM | message detail
Either win with 56.14 or more or lose guys. These 50.85% updates are no good.
---
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
#102 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/29/2011 10:06:31 PM | message detail
Lopen posted...
Either win with 56.14 or more or lose guys. These 50.85% updates are no good.

Frog/Magus are just letting Portal fans hope they'll finish above Raiden/Vamp!
---
http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif
#103 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/29/2011 10:08:59 PM | message detail | (edited)
1 hour projections:

Based on GlaDOS/Vincent and Crono/Vincent 2008, Frog/Magus win with 54.18%
Based on GlaDOS/Vincent and Crono/Vincent 2007, Frog/Magus win with 51.11%

Nevermind, sorry about the miscalculation. Victory is still confirmed.
---
2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#104 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/29/2011 10:08:01 PM | message detail
The 2007 projections forget that it's FROG, so all matches that end within 1% automatically grant him a 2% bonus.
---
http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif
#105 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/29/2011 10:08:14 PM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Based on GlaDOS/Vincent and Crono/Vincent 2007, Chell/GlaDOS win with 50.01%

Mmmmmm~
---
:/
#106 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/29/2011 10:08:50 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4553&region=GB

Man, I know I shouldn't be surprised at this point, but how does the UK have such terrible opinions?
---
Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
#107 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/29/2011 10:09:52 PM | message detail
It's hard to like a game that doesn't get released in your region!
---
http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif
#108 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/29/2011 10:10:52 PM | message detail
Crono Trigger literally didn't come out here. I guess CTDS might have done I think, maybe?

It's not a classic, it's not a childhood memory. No-one played it in England. Why would we vote for it?
---
*shrug*
#109 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/29/2011 10:11:00 PM | message detail
Liking Portal is not terrible.
---
Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
#110 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/29/2011 10:12:19 PM | message detail
I subtracted the Crono/Vincent 08 percentage change from the 07 percentage change by accident, thinking that the smallest one must by GlaDOS/Vincent. But GlaDOS fell more from this point on than Crono did in 08, so the real projection based on 07 still shows a 51% Frog/Magus victory.
---
2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#111 | DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/29/2011 10:23:05 PM | message detail
Only a gain of 26 in the past 30 minutes.

I'm going to bed.
---
http://www.last.fm/user/VinnyMendoza
"This is all we have... when we die.."
#112 | greatone10 | Posted 11/29/2011 10:24:46 PM | message detail
CTDS did come out in Europe, but I would guess that it didn't set the world on fire either.
---
"Go get me Jared...from Subway!" -- CM Punk
Future 2011 Battle Challenge Champion!
#113 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 11/29/2011 10:37:02 PM | message detail
34.09% prediction on Alucard? Wow.That's 65.91% between Phoenix, Shepard, and Gordon. Maximums:

32.18% for Shep
57.30% for Phoenix
42.70% for Gordon

Proportionally that puts Phoenix at 28.5% of the predictions (speculation) but I suspect more people went for him simply because he was a 1-seed.

I was expecting around 50% for Alucard.
---
"Ovelia ... SPOILERS IN THE KEYWORDS WOOPS"
- Vormav
#114 | pjbasis | Posted 11/29/2011 10:38:58 PM | message detail
#115 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 11/29/2011 10:44:52 PM | message detail
Frog/Magus doing well the last few updates. Which is good, they might need it.
---
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#116 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/29/2011 10:49:54 PM | message detail

From: pjbasis | #114
Alucard > Frog is an upset?


Pre-contest, it was.
---
"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
#117 | pjbasis | Posted 11/29/2011 10:55:12 PM | message detail
I mean in the relation of guru and brackets, which I guess means yes.

Good call, pj.
You got one right for once.
---
http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/pjbasis.png
#118 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/29/2011 10:57:56 PM | message detail
It's not over yet...!
---
"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
#119 | vcharon | Posted 11/29/2011 10:58:37 PM | message detail
When I actually think about the reasons why CT is still strong enough to win matches against relevant characters I end up a little baffled. The game is pretty ancient now and they've basically never really had any reason to improve their strength since the release. FF7 isn't that much younger, but at least it has attempted to stay relevant in pop culture.

I kind of expected this to still be a little closer still, really. Maybe even with Phoenix hanging on to a lead.
---
:>
#120 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/29/2011 10:58:39 PM | message detail
Europe's split 50/50 now. Asia is going for CT handsomely, and Oceania is down to 55/45. Feeling very confident at this point.
---
Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
#121 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/29/2011 11:03:10 PM | message detail
Lead's up to 460 after two hours.

Hopefully I'll wake up to see Frog/Magus in reasonably good shape.
---
"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
#122 | LOLContests | Posted 11/29/2011 11:07:45 PM | message detail
Theory time:

Characters from ensemble games like the Pokemon or FFVI duo overperform in this format relative to how popular their characters are in a normal bracket since:

A) Ensemble casts have a much more diverse group of fans, and the less popular character probably has less overlap with the more popular one.
B) In games with a main character, that character is representative of the game to an extent and carries some of that strength with them in a normal 1v1 contest in a way that Pokemon Trainer Red and Terra can't. However, once you add in more characters to the rivalry, they "represent" the game more and boost themselves accordingly.

For example, the NInjas might have boosted just as much relative to individual performances as the Fighters did, despite the latter being more iconic as a rivalry. Why? Part of that iconicity is already in present in Ryu's individual popularity so adding Ken in doesn't help them "represent" the Street Fighter rivalry as much as you'd expect. Ryu already is Street Fighter by himself. He doesn't really need Ken. The Ninjas are much less representative of Mortal Kombat by themselves, so putting them together helps out a lot.
---
"What's wrong with bootblacking? We like it very much!"
This is Yesmar.
#123 | EmDubyaSee | Posted 11/29/2011 11:18:51 PM | message detail
nintendogirl1 posted...
Crono Trigger literally didn't come out here. I guess CTDS might have done I think, maybe?

It's not a classic, it's not a childhood memory. No-one played it in England. Why would we vote for it?


Thank you for reminding me why...

Yeah.
#124 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 11/29/2011 11:26:50 PM | message detail
I also don't think Nintendo was as big that era in the UK as elsewhere. May have just been my circle of friends but I only knew 1 person other than me that had a SNES. And it was similar with the N64. Everyone seemed to go from SEGA to the Playstation.

Also, I didn't know another RPG fan until after FF7 was released.

May have just been me though.
---
Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#125 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/29/2011 11:29:22 PM | message detail
As an Englishman who has actually played (some of >_>) CT, I can safely say that voting for Chelldos is 100% the right decision here
---
c
#126 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/29/2011 11:32:40 PM | message detail
Goddammit, what the hell was that.
---
Yeesh.
#127 | EmDubyaSee | Posted 11/29/2011 11:35:28 PM | message detail
XIII_rocks posted...
As an Englishman who has actually played (some of >_>) CT, I can safely say that voting for Chelldos is 100% the right decision here

Really thought it was just NBro, buy now I am thinking maybe it is just your whole ruddy country.

Too bad you're not currently speaking German right now...
#128 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/29/2011 11:36:24 PM | message detail
It's a disaster of a game and Portal is awesome! Not seeing the issue, broseph
---
c
#129 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/29/2011 11:38:54 PM | message detail | (edited)
Also did Chelldos just make a nice cut? Cool

Edit: and another! Only 2 votes, but still
---
c
#130 | EmDubyaSee | Posted 11/29/2011 11:40:41 PM | message detail
XIII_rocks posted...
It's a disaster of a game and Portal is awesome! Not seeing the issue, broseph

Portal sucks. Portal 2 is pretty good.

Chrono Trigger is the one of the top 3 games ever. We need to have another Revolutionary War.
#131 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/29/2011 11:42:36 PM | message detail
Oh man that tedious dirge was so much fun

Also omg another cut. Uhoh
---
c
#132 | creativename | Posted 11/29/2011 11:45:44 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #201
The most hilarious scenario would be Frog/Magus winning by something pathetic like 200 votes so that they keep the Battle Perfects going strong but force everyone to side with Alucard.

And then they beat Alucard.


You know this isn't that implausible, where Frog/Magus look weak winning here but overperform next round. Because of the freeform pics.

Frog and Magus are probably among the most sprite-pic-boostable characters out there. Pure sprite form Frog vs. Magus in an epic, amazing picture could make them significantly stronger than they are this round.

Imagine a sprite pic of Frog on the left, Masamune drawn, directly facing Magus on the right with his drawn scythe and floating in the air. I think that would get voters' attentions.

For instance I wouldn't be surprised if the Frog/Magus of this round would get 47% on the vampires, but a sprite-form Frog/Magus get 50.01% on the vampires. I could definitely envision a 2-3% x-stat boost based on pics for these two - given the perfect picture.

Plus of course, Chrono Trigger is more likely to have rallying. Given the low vote totals that might matter.

From: Kotetsu534 | #509
Liking Portal is not terrible.


No. But voting this duo over Frog and Magus should be a crime.

Seriously. It's Frog and Magus!!

...I repeat. Frog. And. Magus!!

Anyone voting against them who actually played Chrono Trigger is probably a communist witch.
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
#133 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/29/2011 11:46:46 PM | message detail
Fair point, actually.
---
Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
#134 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/29/2011 11:48:25 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #132
Anyone voting against them who actually played Chrono Trigger is probably a communist witch.


I love CT, Chell/GLaDOS is the far better rivalry and GLaDOS is the best character among these four by a mile.
---
`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
You come at the king, you best not miss.
#135 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/29/2011 11:48:51 PM | message detail
Right now, I'd honestly consider Chell/GlaDOS the heavy favorite. Frog/Magus need to be still building, not already losing ground.

Then again, FROG.
---
http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif
#136 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/29/2011 11:49:54 PM | message detail
creativename posted...
a communist witch

I got that covered! Haven't played CT though, but whatever.
---
I can communist witch it up with the best.
#137 | Mannequin Depressive | Posted 11/29/2011 11:50:08 PM | message detail
i just got home. is frog making a lead, are they staying even, or are chell/glados possibly starting a little comeback?
---
-_-...-_-
...-_-... Bera:12x Ice/Lit Mage
#138 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/29/2011 11:51:00 PM | message detail
#139 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/29/2011 11:52:15 PM | message detail
Frog/Magus started very strongly, got stalled/cut for a bit, before heading off the build a 527 vote lead easily. But the last four updates have all been won by ChellDOS, cutting about 60 votes off the lead, so perhaps we're going to see them pull themselves back into the match through the night vote.
---
Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
#140 | creativename | Posted 11/29/2011 11:52:32 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #654
I love CT, Chell/GLaDOS is the far better rivalry and GLaDOS is the best character among these four by a mile.


She who is dressed like a witch, has the nose of a witch, has a wart and is made of wood is clearly a witch and must be burned. Plus Ulti once turned red into a newt (he got better).

Burn the witch, burn her.
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
#141 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/29/2011 11:53:25 PM | message detail
And wipe out the last 20 minutes of gains.
---
Good times.
#142 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/29/2011 11:53:28 PM | message detail
Magus does have an awesome theme, I guess.

...Nah I prefer "Well done. Here come the test results: "You are a horrible person." That's what it says: a horrible person. We weren't even testing for that."

In other news, cuts and cuts and cuts and cuts and cuts and...right up until then. Frogus taking it all back.
---
c
#143 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:06:38 AM | message detail
3 AM Projections:

Based on GlaDOS/Vincent and Crono/Vincent 2008, Frog/Magus win with 53.34%.
Based on GlaDOS/Vincent and Crono/Vincent 2007, Frog/Magus win with 50.80%.

Still looking good for Frog/Magus.
---
2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#144 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/30/2011 12:08:08 AM | message detail
Frogus taking it all back. So what was with that mini-resurgence?
---
c
#145 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:08:32 AM | message detail
And Crono/Vincent 2008 is probably more accurate here, because Crono/Vincent 2007 has never ever managed to predict anything correctly. It is one of the most anomalous results we've ever had trendwise.
---
2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#146 | paerarru | Posted 11/30/2011 12:10:21 AM | message detail
The awesome match will be next round, not this CheDOS thing.

02 - Crono/Mario
03 - Magus/Ganondorf, Crono/Mario
04 - CT/LTTP, Frog/Master Chief
05 - Magus/Knuckles
06 - Crono/Sonic
07 - Frog/Axel, Crono/Vincent
08 - Magus/Sandbag, Crono/Vincent
09 - CT/SM64
10 - Crono/Missingno
11 - Frogus/Vampires

That's better.


Mmhmm.
#147 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:11:50 AM | message detail | (edited)
red sox I hate to say it but I find it very hard to believe goddamn Magus will actually win the ASV. Against anything.

If Magus/CATS were tied at 3 PM EST by god I would take CATS to win.

Edit: I'm assuming he's going to need to win the ASV to finish above 53% because no way in hell is the dead zone going to help him.
---
http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif
#148 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/30/2011 12:11:34 AM | message detail
I'll be shocked if Chelldos make this at all close, btw.
---
"You compared a topic of mine to an MWC Lebron topic. I may just stab myself so I can say I am literally wounded over that. I mean really now." -Chris
#149 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/30/2011 12:13:50 AM | message detail
CT probably won't win the ASV and doesn't have to. Probably what'll happen is they'll sink a bit with Europe, and go back up with the DSV. Then the ASV goes pretty much even like the CT/MGS matches we've seen this year. Then CT takes the SNV. I'd predict Frog/Magus finish at 52-53%. They do have a somewhat worse day vote than Crono; that's one thing Team Portal has going for it tonight.
---
2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#150 | creativename | Posted 11/30/2011 12:15:19 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #703
3 AM Projections:

Based on GlaDOS/Vincent and Crono/Vincent 2008, Frog/Magus win with 53.34%.


My Oracle is 53.35% (I like palindromes and integers) so I really like this!

Odd to think that Chrono Trigger will probably "win" the day vote here - in the sense that whatever percent they're at in the morning, they should finish higher, purely due to the geographic trends being horribly against them overnight.
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery