GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1026

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#451 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/30/2011 10:11:03 PM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | ChellDOS | Frogus | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 42.76% | 57.24% | 739 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 46.94% | 53.06% | 4955 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 48.54% | 51.46% | 9512 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 49.77% | 50.23% | 5863 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 47.83% | 52.17% | 11312 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 48.98% | 51.02% | 14689 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 48.45% | 51.55% | 2609 | (22:00-24:00)

Chell/GlaDOS only comes close to winning the morning vote. Frog/Magus get 51%+ in every other timeframe.
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#452 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/1/2011 12:44:24 AM | message detail
Wow, impressed by Cloud/Seph here. This might not have surprised me much if the bar wasn't set so low by last round, but nevertheless, good job.
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#453 | th3l3fty | Posted 12/1/2011 1:48:41 AM | message detail | (edited)
aaaaaand Cloud/Sephy are now higher than they ended against Lloyd/Kratos
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#454 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/1/2011 2:19:41 AM | message detail
The idea that Cloud and Sephiroth SFF Kratos and Zeus more than they SFF Lloyd and Kratos Aurion makes no sense for two big reasons:

-Shouldn't the FFVII guys have more reason to SFF fellow JRPG characters than they do to SFF action game characters?
-We've seen Kratos hold up well against FFVII characters before (although it was in 4-ways...).

If Cloud and Sephiroth truly are the beneficiaries of SFF in this match, it only adds more evidence to the "general non-Nintendo casual fanbase" theory of mine.

I'll mention that theory again. According to this hypothesis, the following franchises all have at least somewhat noticeable overlap:

Final Fantasy
Metal Gear
Resident Evil
Grand Theft Auto
Halo
Ninja Gaiden
God of War
Devil May Cry
Assassin's Creed

I do feel kinda uneasy including Halo here, but Liquid Snake collapsing at sight of Master Chief in 2007 can't be ignored. Perhaps Master Chief was briefly part of this casual fanbase during Halo 3's hype-fest, and has otherwise never been part of this casual fanbase.

The other series have all had multiple flops and out-of-nowhere successes against FF, MG, and RE. And then, there's of course the well-known Metal Gear/Resident Evil overlap.
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#455 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/1/2011 3:14:45 AM | message detail | (edited)
I thought that they wouldn't even break 70%.But this much?I didn't expect.Nice,if they continue like this they have a shot against Link.Also I am from Greece but I voted Sephiroth!Man I feel ashamed of myself...
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#456 | creativename | Posted 12/1/2011 4:00:33 AM | message detail
Very nice by Cloud/Seph here!

Link's performance on Ammy still looks better, but you can make the case that Zeus brings a lot more to the table than Orochi. Zeus would probably kill Orochi in a poll based on name recognition alone. And of course Kratos should beat Ammy. So, while Link still looms as the heavy favorite, all hope is not lost.

Oddly enough this is probably one of the few matches where a 24 hour match hurts FF7 compared to a night match. People used to keep saying night matches benefited FF7 because of the dead zone dominance, but that was false because of the heavily over-weighted importance of the Power Hour and anti-votes being a higher proportion of the total votes. FF7 is worst in night matches. They are best suited for 24 hour matches, then 12 hour day matches, and they perform worst at 12 hour night matches.

However due to Kratos' own anti-votes their Power Hour wasn't bad, and Kratos is more day-oriented. So interestingly this is one match where they would have done better in a 12 hour night match.

LinkMarioSamus posted...The idea that Cloud and Sephiroth SFF Kratos and Zeus more than they SFF Lloyd and Kratos Aurion makes no sense for two big reasons:.

I doubt this is SFF. Kratos wasn't even on the PSX (like MGS and FF7 both were, so that theory makes some sense), and is a completely different genre. SFF here makes no sense. And FF7 isn't really "casual" anyway, especially not these days.

It would instead appear Cloud/Seph are indeed beastly, Tales is somewhat popular, and that being a night match probably also helped Tales (as usual, FF7 just kept going up in %age in that match). There's probably also something to the Nintendo related fodder overperforming on FF7 theory mentioned by others above. Kratos is not Nintendo related at all. So it's not that he's getting SFFed, more like he's...not benefiting from anti-SFF/contrasting fanbase like Tales might have.
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#457 | creativename | Posted 12/1/2011 4:08:23 AM | message detail
BTW - is there anything other than FF7 that could possibly lose the Power Hour to freakin' Kratos?

My god this FF7 hate.
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#458 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2011 4:14:41 AM | message detail
*Contest spoilers*



Cloud was still the contest #2 by a very significant margin in a year where he failed to even get 72% on Ridley and failed to break 70% on Captain Falcon.



*end spoilers*








*MORE SPOILERS*





Cloud and Sephiroth are strong.






*MORE SPOILERS END*








*SPOILERS PART 3*





Anyone who took Snakes > Cloud/Seph needs to look at the villains contest again. Sephiroth was weaker there than last contest and he tripled Liquid.






*SPOILERS PART 3 END*




tldr OH MY GOD CLOUD AND SEPHIROTH ARE STRONG? THIS IS NEW!
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#459 | greatone10 | Posted 12/1/2011 4:21:51 AM | message detail
I just love how Tales and GoW looks to be a toss-up based on direct numbers on the FFVII duo. Maybe we do need a rubber match of sorts.
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#460 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/1/2011 4:22:30 AM | message detail
Snake > Cloud was a bad pick from the start. Just because Snake beats Sephiroth three times (twice in 4-way battles) and beats Cloud in a 4-way does not mean that Snake's rivalry will beat Cloud's - new contest theme, new rules.
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#461 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2011 4:26:56 AM | message detail
Snake > Cloud was bad because without Brawl Snake is probably just above if not competing with Sonic and Crono for ass-end of the Noble Nine, and Liquid Snake is not in Brawl. Then you realize that for the sake of that match Liquid Snake will be a massive massive SFFed to hell anchor.
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#462 | pjbasis | Posted 12/1/2011 4:29:06 AM | message detail
I can't believe Zeus would be worse than Saren or Breen.

It's freakin' ZEUS man.
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#463 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2011 4:31:07 AM | message detail | (edited)
Don't worry, once Link/Ganon gets done with whoever sneaks out of that division Kratos/Zeus will be well above those duos.
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#464 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/1/2011 4:43:44 AM | message detail | (edited)
WarThaNemesis2 posted...
Snake > Cloud was bad because without Brawl Snake is probably just above if not competing with Sonic and Crono for ass-end of the Noble Nine, and Liquid Snake is not in Brawl. Then you realize that for the sake of that match Liquid Snake will be a massive massive SFFed to hell anchor.

I refuse to believe that Brawl contributes that much to his contest strength. With someone like Samus it's much more easily understandable. Snake already had monster mainstream appeal before Brawl.

Unless you mean that he just wasn't someone who the general GameFAQs audience was all that interested in before Brawl.
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#465 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2011 4:45:23 AM | message detail | (edited)
All the evidence is there.

In 2006, Snake went from being the weakest Noble Niner to crushing Sonic and Mega Man, then suddenly collapsing against a more popular Smash-credited character in Samus, who prior to that match had two rounds of being a disaster that made Villains Contest Sephiroth laugh. So much so that Peach either finished equal to or above Luigi in the X-stats, I'm too lazy to check.

And then in GotD MGS4 finished pretty much even with MGS2.

Edit: Obviously I mean on GameFAQs. GameSpot loves them some Gordon Freeman and hates them some Cloud, but I'm not taking Freeman over Cloud any time soon here.
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#466 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/1/2011 4:48:30 AM | message detail | (edited)
But then...why such a boost from simply being an unlockable character in one game?

Oh...because Brawl is vastly stronger than any MGS game, I suppose.

Oh yeah, speaking of Gamespot...remember who emerged victorious when Kratos and Cloud met? Yeah.
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#467 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2011 4:53:31 AM | message detail | (edited)
Name all the games Snake is in relevant to the Nintendo fanbase prior to Brawl.

The guy was pretty much introduced as the star attraction to a brand new fanbase, which just happens to be the largest fanbase on this site.
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#468 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/1/2011 4:53:51 AM | message detail
If the f***ing King of the Greek Gods is getting tripled by Cloud and Sephiroth, what hope does Batman have against Link?
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#469 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2011 4:55:18 AM | message detail | (edited)
This poll and Sora/Hitler just prove that in the eyes of GameFAQs rape is far far worse than murder.
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#470 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/1/2011 7:37:44 AM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #469
This poll and Sora/Hitler just prove that in the eyes of GameFAQs rape is far far worse than murder.


I don't know, I think Rape could hold off a doubling against Murder.
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#471 | __Smurf__ | Posted 12/1/2011 9:33:26 AM | message detail | (edited)
This comes as no surprise to me, always figured GoW shared the fanbase with FFVII more than ToS did. People overestimate Rpg SFF and underestimate Playstation SFF. I mean how many times has there been weirdness involving metal gear and new square?
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#472 | abdou | Posted 12/1/2011 9:39:47 AM | message detail
How can there be SFF between a PS1 RPG and a PS2/3 action game? different genres and different systems.

This is simply Kratos/Zeus sucking. I am not surprised either, I would take the ToS duo over Kratos/Zeus easily as its a much better and known rivalry.
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#473 | redrocket | Posted 12/1/2011 9:41:17 AM | message detail
How can there be SFF between a PS1 RPG and a PS2/3 action game? different genres and different systems.

So you think there wouldn't be SFF between a N64 game and GC/Wii games?
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#474 | __Smurf__ | Posted 12/1/2011 9:42:57 AM | message detail

From: abdou | #472
How can there be SFF between a PS1 RPG and a PS2/3 action game? different genres and different systems.

This is simply Kratos/Zeus sucking. I am not surprised either, I would take the ToS duo over Kratos/Zeus easily as its a much better and known rivalry.


It may shock you to realise that the bulk of PS2 owners actually previously owned a PS1. A real bombshell I know.
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#475 | abdou | Posted 12/1/2011 9:44:11 AM | message detail
If the N64 game is an RPG and the GC/Wii game is an action game..no. How can there be SFF between an RPG and an action game? does not make sense to me at all.
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#476 | __Smurf__ | Posted 12/1/2011 9:48:20 AM | message detail
That's like asking how there can be SFF between Mario and Samus. Main characters in entirely different series in different genres. The answer is they share the same console and appeal to a similar fanbase. As do Metal Gear, God of War, Playstation era Final Fantasy, Littlebigplanet, you name it.
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#477 | abdou | Posted 12/1/2011 9:57:07 AM | message detail | (edited)
Samus and Mario are made by Nintendo and share the same Nintendo fanbase.

FFVII is Square RPG and GoW is a Sony Action game. They don't share the same fanbase or even genre. They are not even on the same console. No SFF.
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#478 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 12/1/2011 12:14:37 PM | message detail
Oh ferf***ssake Cloud. Kratos / Lloyd = Kratos / Zeus, you have got to be kidding me. Can't catch an Oracle break.

Tales of Symphonia was what, GC / PS2? Can't believe that's sufficient to avoid the SFF that this beating clearly is, thus making the two look equal.
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#479 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/1/2011 12:22:34 PM | message detail | (edited)
I don't think Kratos would have that easy a time with Lloyd/Kratos Aurion. Like Ezio, he's an appeal character with a garbage rival (although yeah, Zeus has to be better than Rodrigo). I don't think he'd lose to the ToS duo, but I think they'd keep it a lot more respectable than the 62/38 or worse pounding either would get against Kratos 1v1.

Also, Kratos could have simply gotten weaker. In 2010, he was extrapolated through a beastly Charizard and got matches when GoW3 hype was in full swing. I doubt he's that strong now.
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#480 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/1/2011 12:25:27 PM | message detail
By the way, this match is making me feel a bit better about Sora/Riku getting the job done. Here we see two Square RPG guys laying waste to a primarily design and appeal-powered character. It's a pretty similar scenario to what we'll get in three days.
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#481 | KamikazePotato | Posted 12/1/2011 12:48:44 PM | message detail
Man, this match just reminds me of how poorly designed this bracket was. Lloyd/Kratos doing better than expected and Kratos/Zeus doing worse than expected could have caused some crazy results if they were placed elsewhere.
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#482 | junk_funk | Posted 12/1/2011 12:52:43 PM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Man, this match just reminds me of how poorly designed this bracket was. Lloyd/Kratos doing better than expected and Kratos/Zeus doing worse than expected could have caused some crazy results if they were placed elsewhere.

This bracket is terrible. And unfortunately the "tag team" style bracket will suffer in the future because of it.
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#483 | th3l3fty | Posted 12/1/2011 12:53:49 PM | message detail

From: junk_funk | #482
This bracket is terrible. And unfortunately the "tag team" style bracket will suffer in the future because of it.


that would probably be the best thing this bracket does if so!
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#484 | charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2011 1:39:56 PM | message detail
The bracket could had been interesting. Here's a bracket that I made that kept the seedings the same. The bracket was made before the contest began so some matches that I thought may be interesting are no longer interesting. Surprisingly the southwest and northwest divisions only had 1 change each.

North

1) Mario/Bowser
8) Earthworm Jim/Queen Slug-for-a-Butt

4) Guybrush Threepwood/LeChuck
5) Professor Layton/Don Paolo

3) Crash Bandicoot/Dr. Neo Cortex
6) Pac-Man/Blinky

2) Solid Snake/Liquid Snake
7) Yuna/Seymour

Northeast

1) Mega Man X/Zero
8) Captain Falcon/Black Shadow

4) Conker/The Great Mighty Poo
5) Bartz/Gilgamesh

3) Zidane Tribal/Kuja
6) Ness/Giygas

2) Mega Man/Dr. Wily
7) Banjo/Gruntilda

East

1) Red/Blue
8) Sarah Kerrigan/Jim Raynor

4) Luigi/Waluigi
5) Cecil/Golbez

3) Ryu/Ken
6) Ratchet/Dr. Nefarious

2) Sub-Zero/Scorpion
7) Big Boss/The Boss

Southeast

1) Samus Aran/Ridley
8) The Kid/The Guy

4) Terra Branford/Kefka
5) Vyse/Glacian

3) Kirby/Meta Knight
6) Meat Boy/Dr. Fetus

2) Sonic/Dr. Robotnik
7) Katherine/Catherine

South

1) Cloud Strife/Sephiroth
8) Lloyd Irving/Kratos Aurion

4) Amaterasu/Orochi
5) Ike/Black Knight

3) Donkey Kong/King K. Rool
6) Ezio/Rodrigo

2) Fox McCloud/Wolf O’Donnell
7) Leon Kennedy/Ada Wong

Southwest

1) Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth
8) Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen

4) Alucard/Dracula
5) Commander Shepard/Saren

3) Chell/GlaDOS
6) Jill Valentine/Nemesis

2) Frog/Magus
7) Raiden/Vamp

West

1) Link/Ganondorf
8) Arthas/Illidan

4) Kratos/Zeus
5) Tom Nook/Crazy Redd

3) Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker
6) Dan Hibiki/Sagat

2) Tidus/Jecht
7) William/Adolf

Northwest

1) Squall/Seifer
8) Laharl/Mid-Boss

4) Siegfried/Nightmare
5) Ramza/Delita

3) Dante/Vergil
6) Sol Badguy/Ky Kiske

2) Sora/Riku
7) Crono/Lavos
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#485 | pjbasis | Posted 12/1/2011 1:43:50 PM | message detail
I wish that bracket was real.

Chris/Wesker were supposed to get to Round 3!
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#486 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/1/2011 2:06:41 PM | message detail
I would pick X-Zero > MM-Wily
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#487 | The_Djoker | Posted 12/1/2011 2:50:15 PM | message detail
#488 | The_Djoker | Posted 12/1/2011 2:52:44 PM | message detail

From: abdou | #477
Samus and Mario are made by Nintendo and share the same Nintendo fanbase.

FFVII is Square RPG and GoW is a Sony Action game. They don't share the same fanbase or even genre. They are not even on the same console. No SFF.


There is SFF, but not as big as people claim. There is SFF in just about everything, especially Sony Exclusive games.
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#489 | red sox 777 | Posted 12/1/2011 3:17:33 PM | message detail
Cloud/Seph > Link Confirmed.

I been saying this from the Start.


Yup, the Link is invincible people are way too confident.
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#490 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/1/2011 3:32:53 PM | message detail
"Overestimating RPG SFF".

Then explain what the heck happened to the Skies of Arcadia guys.
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#491 | th3l3fty | Posted 12/1/2011 3:36:53 PM | message detail
4) Guybrush Threepwood/LeChuck
5) Professor Layton/Don Paolo


the Ulti Special!
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#492 | Merc25 | Posted 12/1/2011 3:55:39 PM | message detail
Has Gamefaqs demographics change over the years? Like say a previous character who had strong niche support weakened over the years due to either their respective fan base leaving the site or the fan base just not voting in the contest anymore.
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#493 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/1/2011 3:57:32 PM | message detail
Plenty of characters have fluctuated in strength, but it's hard to say if it's because of changing site demographics or the characters themselves becoming less relevant.
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#494 | Zylo the wolf | Posted 12/1/2011 3:58:15 PM | message detail
LinkMarioSamus posted...
"Overestimating RPG SFF".

Then explain what the heck happened to the Skies of Arcadia guys.


Terra/Kefka did really good against a team that can still reach the semifinals, and Vyse has always been weak, and Galcian might be the most obscure character in this contest so it's possible that he made him even weaker.

Why did people nominate characters like Galcian and Golbez get in when both Vyse and Cecil could've team up with characters that some actually cares about?
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#495 | The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/1/2011 3:59:23 PM | message detail
Golbez getting the ticket over Kain is one of the most puzzling happenings for me in this contest, yeah
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#496 | Azp2k32 | Posted 12/1/2011 3:59:53 PM | message detail
People claiming Kratos/Zeus aren't getting massively SFF'd on the basis of non-same series and different consoles are looking at the SFF far too one dimensionally. Beyond something obvious like Samus, which is a character that is made by the same company as Mario, look to Nintendo v. Mega Man matches. Mega Man characters of all sorts get absolutely destroyed in matches with Link and Mario due to sharing the same systems for so many years.

Also, on that note, we really need to see Mega Man X in a scenario where he doesn't get fed to Link. It's especially a shame in the context of this contest, which we'll never see another version of (thankfully), when he X/Zero easily could've come in 4th given a better bracket placement. I really would've loved to see matches featuring X/Zero against Samus/Ridley, Trainers, Ryu/Ken, and Sonic/Robotnik.
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#497 | Zylo the wolf | Posted 12/1/2011 4:01:08 PM | message detail
X/Zero will beat Mario/Bowser, so don't worry about that.
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#498 | pjbasis | Posted 12/1/2011 4:04:26 PM | message detail
How much does Snake need to look like a threat?
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#499 | Azp2k32 | Posted 12/1/2011 4:04:51 PM | message detail
Zylo the wolf posted...
X/Zero will beat Mario/Bowser, so don't worry about that.

Ha, I wish. Would great to see at least some Mega Man representation retaining/gaining popularity despite Capcom's every efforts. Plus if they were to take down Mario/Bowser, I could see a finals appearance easily unless Trainers just explode in their next 2 matches.
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#500 | XxSoulxX | Posted 12/1/2011 4:07:06 PM | message detail
what?
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