GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1025

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#301 | creativename | Posted 11/28/2011 9:51:46 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
I know I don't see someone hatin' on Genie up in here

Robin Williams naming his daughter after Princess Zelda Factor will provide a big boost


Hey, Genie's awesome, but he ain't gonna be worth a damn in terms of strength compared to top guys and I have no idea why red listed him there. Would be like listing Meta Knight or something among noteworthy VG guys.

Had no idea he named his daughter for Princess Zelda, that's awesome. And extremely weird, since Williams was middle aged when the NES came out o_O

Maybe he played the game while coked out once.
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#302 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/28/2011 9:52:32 PM | message detail
He also named his son after Cody from Final Fight.

I wasn't aware people didn't think Genie was the best character from one of the best Disney animated films!
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#303 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/28/2011 10:03:31 PM | message detail
I wonder how many of the perfect battle brackets will be left/unbanked after these two matches.

Whoever gets through these two matches unscathed is probably gonna win it all.
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#304 | sonicboom510 | Posted 11/28/2011 10:07:08 PM | message detail
Castlevania's Fanbase > Phoenix Wright's Fanbase

Did anyone seriously think Phoenix Wright stood a chance?
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#305 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/28/2011 10:07:46 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #303
I wonder how many of the perfect battle brackets will be left/unbanked after these two matches.

Whoever gets through these two matches unscathed is probably gonna win it all.


I'd wager very, very highly that most perfects picked Alucard and Frog.

So unless Chell/GlaDOS wins tomorrow, I very much doubt today and tomorrow decides it.
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#306 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/28/2011 10:08:17 PM | message detail
I wonder how many of the perfect battle brackets will be left/unbanked after these two matches.

Whoever gets through these two matches unscathed is probably gonna win it all.


Assuming Frog/Magus win, it might still be over 100.
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#307 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/28/2011 10:09:33 PM | message detail
If we don't see any upsets, more than one of these 100+ perfects will run the table. What the heck is the Battle tiebreaker, anyway?
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#308 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/28/2011 10:10:22 PM | message detail
Although I'll say the match that will probably go the furthest toward deciding who wins will be Trainers/Fighters. By the time we get to Trainers/Fighters vs. Samus/Bosses, the winner of the former will probably be a heavy favorite over the winner of the latter. Heck, they practically already are.

But Trainers might end up being a very big favorite by the time that match rolls around. We would need to have an honest-to-goodness upset to really mess things up.

Dante winning would probably do it.
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#309 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/28/2011 10:10:34 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #307
If we don't see any upsets, more than one of these 100+ perfects will run the table. What the heck is the Battle tiebreaker, anyway?


Who entered first >_>
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#310 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/28/2011 10:10:55 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #307
If we don't see any upsets, more than one of these 100+ perfects will run the table. What the heck is the Battle tiebreaker, anyway?


As far as I know, there isn't one. I doubt Bacon anticipated this when he invented the Battle Challenge.
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#311 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/28/2011 10:11:07 PM | message detail
We now have enough matches to have top 5 for 24 hour matches categories.

Top 10 Biggest Blowouts
1. Mario/Bowser – 85.36% vs. Earthworm Jim/Queen SFAB – 14.64% - Round 1 – 70.72%
2. Link/Ganondorf – 85.30% vs. Arthas/Illidan – 14.70% - Round 1 – 70.60%
3. Link/Ganondorf – 83.69% vs. Amaterasu/Orochi – 16.31% - Round 2 – 67.38%
4. Dante/Vergil – 82.59% vs. Sol Badguy/Ky Kiske – 17.41% - Round 1 – 65.18%
5. Ryu/Ken – 81.63% vs. Ratchet/Dr. Nefarious – 18.37% - Round 1 – 63.26%
6. Samus Aran/Ridley – 80.64% vs. The Kid/The Guy – 19.36% - Round 1 – 61.28%
7. Mario/Bowser – 80.47% vs. Ike/Black Knight – 19.53% - Round 2 – 60.94%
8. Mega Man X/Zero – 80.45% vs. Captain Falcon/Black Shadow – 19.55% - Round 1 – 60.90%
9. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – 79.22% vs. Dan Hibiki/Sagat – 20.78% - Round 1 – 58.44%
10. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – 78.66% vs. Vyse/Glacian – 21.34% - Round 1 – 57.32%

Top 5 Biggest 24h Vote Gaps
1. Link/Ganondorf – 46897 vs. Amaterasu/Orochi – 9139 – Round 2 – 37758
2. Mario/Bowser – 40377 vs. Ike/Black Knight – 9801 – Round 2 – 30576
3. Red/Blue – 42513 vs. Luigi/Waluigi – 12021 – Round 2 – 30492
4. Mega Man X/Zero – 37795 vs. Bartz Klauser/Gilgamesh – 11161 – Round 2 - 26634
5. Mega Man/Dr. Wily – 34405 vs. Zidane Tribal/Kuja – 17638 – Round 2 - 16767

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. Luigi/Waluigi – 55.28% vs. Cecil Harvey/Golbez – 44.72% - Round 1 – 10.56%
2. Siegfried/Nightmare – 55.68% vs. Ramza Beoulve/Delita Hyral – 44.32% - Round 1 – 11.36%
3. Frog/Magus – 56.13% vs. Raiden/Vamp – 43.87% - Round 1 – 12.26%
4. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – 56.56% vs. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – 43.44% - Round 1 – 13.12%
5. Big Boss/The Boss – 56.60% vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – 43.40% - Round 2 – 13.20%
6. Kirby/Meta Knight – 58.47% vs. Jill Valentine/Nemesis – 41.53% - Round 1 – 16.94%
7. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – 58.77% vs. Crono/Lavos – 41.23% – Round 1 – 17.54%
8. Chell/GlaDOS – 59.07% vs. Ness/Giygas – 40.93% - Round 1 – 18.14%
9. Ike/Black Knight – 59.42% vs. Conker/Great Mighty Poo – 40.58% - Round 1 – 18.84%
10. Big Boss/The Boss – 59.64% vs. Tidus/Jecht – 40.36% - Round 1 – 19.28%

Top 5 Smallest 24h Vote Gaps
1. Big Boss/The Boss – 25862 vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – 19833 – Round 2 – 6029
2. Samus Aran/Ridley – 30282 vs. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – 19530 – Round 2 – 10752
3. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik – 30963 vs. Kirby/Meta Knight – 18812 – Round 2 - 12151
4. Ryu/Ken – 29617 vs. Fox McCloud/Wolf O’Donnell – 15964 – Round 2 – 13653
5. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – 31891 vs. Donkey Kong/King K. Rool – 17568 – Round 2 – 14323

Top 5 Most Popular 24h Polls
1. Link/Ganondorf vs. Amaterasu/Orochi – Round 2 – 56036
2. Red/Blue vs. Luigi/Waluigi – Round 2 – 54534
3. Mega Man/Dr. Wily vs. Zidane Tribal/Kuja – Round 2 - 52043
4. Mario/Bowser vs. Ike/Black Knight – Round 2 – 50178
5. Samus Aran/Ridley vs. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – Round 2 – 49812

Top 5 Least Popular 24h Polls
1. Ryu/Ken vs. Fox McCloud/Wolf O’Donnell – Round 2 – 45581
2. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – Round 2 – 45695
3. Mega Man X/Zero vs. Bartz Klauser/Gilgamesh – Round 2 – 48925
4. Sub-Zero/Scorpion vs. Donkey Kong/King K. Rool – Round 2 - 49459
5. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik vs. Kirby/Meta Knight – Round 2 - 49775
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#312 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/28/2011 10:11:09 PM | message detail
Augh it's getting to the point that I won't even be able to catch up if the perfects bank.
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#313 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/28/2011 10:11:14 PM | message detail
Top 5 Highest Individual Team 24h Votes
1. Link/Ganondorf – Round 2 – 46897
2. Red/Blue – Round 2 – 42513
3. Mario/Bowser – Round 2 – 40377
4. Mega Man X/Zero – Round 2 – 37795
5. Mega Man/Dr. Wily – Round 2 - 34405

Top 5 Lowest Individual Team 24h Votes
1. Amaterasu/Orochi – Round 2 – 9139
2. Ike/Black Knight – Round 2 – 9801
3. Bartz/Gilgamesh – Round 2 – 11161
4. Luigi/Waluigi – Round 2 – 12021
5. Fox McCloud/Wolf O’Donnell – Round 2 – 15964

Top 5 Least Impressive 24h Winners
1. Big Boss/The Boss – Round 2 – 25862
2. Ryu/Ken – Round 2 – 29617
3. Samus Aran/Ridley – Round 2 – 30282
4. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik – Round 2 – 30963
5. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – Round 2 - 31891

Top 5 Most Impressive 24h Losers
1. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – Round 2 – 19833
2. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – Round 2 – 19530
3. Kirby/Meta Knight – Round 2 – 18812
4. Zidane Tribal/Kuja – Round 2 - 17638
5. Donkey Kong/King K. Rool – Round 2 – 17568

Top 10 Easiest Matches to Predict
1. Mario/Bowser vs. Earthworm Jim/Queen SFAB – Round 1 – 98.96%
2. Link/Ganondorf vs. Arthas/Illidan – Round 1 – 97.51%
3. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth vs. Lloyd Irving/Kratos Aurion – Round 1 – 96.54%
4. Samus Aran/Ridley vs. The Kid/The Guy – Round 1 – 96.25%
5. Link/Ganondorf vs. Amaterasu/Orochi – Round 2 – 95.70%
6. Mario/Bowser vs. Ike/Black Knight – Round 2 – 95.68%
7. Dante/Vergil vs. Sol Badguy/Ky Kiske – Round 1 – 95.29%
8. Sonic/Dr. Robotnik vs. Katherine/Catherine – Round 1 – 94.48%
9. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo vs. Vyse/Glacian – Round 1 – 92.22%
10. Kratos/Zeus vs. Professor Layton/Don Paolo – Round 1 – 92.13%

Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict
1. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – Round 2 – 37.29%
2. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Tidus/Jecht – Round 1 – 55.06%
3. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth vs. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – Round 1 – 57.30%
4. Sub-Zero/Scorpion vs. Donkey Kong/King K. Rool - Round 2 – 58.33%
5. Luigi/Waluigi vs. Cecil Harvey/Golbez – Round 1 – 60.19%
6. Ike/Black Knight vs. Conker/Great Mighty Poo – Round 1 – 63.37%
7. Frog/Magus vs. Raiden/Vamp – Round 1 – 66.12%
8. Alucard/Dracula vs. Commander Shepard/Saren – Round 1 – 67.82%
9. Ryu/Ken vs. Fox McCloud/Wolf O’Donnell – Round 2 – 67.88%
10. Siegfried/Nightmare vs. Ramza Beoulve/Delita Hyral – Round 1 – 68.03%
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Rivalry Rumble: 45/50 Today: Mega Man/Dr. Wily
#314 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/28/2011 10:11:39 PM | message detail
The Battle tiebreaker is the same as the bracket tiebreaker, where you predict the vote total in the final match.
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#315 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/28/2011 10:11:49 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #312
Augh it's getting to the point that I won't even be able to catch up if the perfects bank.


It's getting to the point that you almost can't afford to bank if you are perfect.
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#316 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/28/2011 10:13:28 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #312
Augh it's getting to the point that I won't even be able to catch up if the perfects bank.


bwahahahaha
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#317 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/28/2011 10:14:06 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #315
It's getting to the point that you almost can't afford to bank if you are perfect.


Screw that, I'm banking at Dante/Sora.

Not going to win prizes, probably not going to get on the leaderboard, so!
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#318 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/28/2011 10:15:03 PM | message detail
I thought about banking on Dante/Sora, but I'm still "reasonably confident" in Sora, so I'll probably still roll with him.

The only match at this point I'd consider banking on is Trainers/Fighters. That's it.
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#319 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/28/2011 10:15:12 PM | message detail
Hopefully Chell/GlaDOS can pull off something amazing tomorrow to screw everyone over.
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#320 | legendmusketeer | Posted 11/28/2011 10:17:06 PM | message detail
^One of the matches I'm afraid of... the Portal pair beating Frogus.
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#321 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/28/2011 10:17:20 PM | message detail
The only matches I'd think about banking on are Samus/Bosses, Alucard/Frog, or Samus/Trainers.
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#322 | greatone10 | Posted 11/28/2011 10:19:59 PM | message detail
I'm shocked there's little talk about Dante vs. Sora. It's one of the few matches this far that we have little stats on.
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#323 | legendmusketeer | Posted 11/28/2011 10:20:45 PM | message detail
tbqh, the Bosses > Samus has never crossed my mind. =/
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#324 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/28/2011 10:25:34 PM | message detail
I'm on the fence about Sora/Dante. The way Cloud/Squall look and the actual match picture will probably play a role in who I pick, because I'm not banking (still never banked in two contests wooo). If Cloud and Squall don't look great and if the picture favors Dante, I may go that way.
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#325 | Sorozone | Posted 11/28/2011 10:26:13 PM | message detail
Most people in the battle at least will screw up on Trainers/Fighters, because they will either bank or take the Trainers. The Trainers seem to be the favorite here, they have the higher seed so whatever casuals are left probably picked them.

Of course the Fighters will win, nothing has showed me otherwise, thus screwing people up.
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#326 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/28/2011 10:32:13 PM | message detail | (edited)
Sora/Dante is definitely the match I'm most torn on. Normally I'd lean towards "Squintendo > Not-Squintendo" in a match between strong characters, but both Sora and Riku choked matches against beatable opponents last time. Another little point: even if you think Sora/Riku would have gone up 2% against Hitler without the rallying - and remember, Hitler won Europe outright so they benefited big time from a day match - it'd still be worse than what the Bosses got on Hitler in the vote-ins (which is a format that surely favours the anti-vote magnet and disadvantages the easy winner). I'd take Dante/Vergil to beat Chris/Wesker pretty easily. If the match pic gives Dante/Vergil an advantage I think I'm gonna run the upset.
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#327 | greatone10 | Posted 11/28/2011 10:32:36 PM | message detail
I have Bosses > Samus in my bracket, but Team MGS3 did not impress me enough in their matches to make me believe they can take down Samley.
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#328 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/28/2011 10:32:59 PM | message detail
I'd take Bosses to beat either Sora or Dante somewhat easily, too.
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#329 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/28/2011 10:41:58 PM | message detail
I guess I can't bank until the end. Hoping for massive perfect slaughter on Link/Cloud.
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#330 | vcharon | Posted 11/28/2011 10:59:19 PM | message detail
Is Alucard still the favorite for this division?
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#331 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/28/2011 11:00:41 PM | message detail | (edited)
Depends on what Frog/Magus do tomorrow (or Chell/GlaDOS, if you prefer).

And also where Alucard actually finishes.
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#332 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/28/2011 11:02:22 PM | message detail
#333 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/28/2011 11:18:12 PM | message detail
Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/29/2011 1:32:13 AM | message detail | (edited)
Sora/Dante is definitely the match I'm most torn on. Normally I'd lean towards "Squintendo > Not-Squintendo" in a match between strong characters, but both Sora and Riku choked matches against beatable opponents last time. Another little point: even if you think Sora/Riku would have gone up 2% against Hitler without the rallying - and remember, Hitler won Europe outright so they benefited big time from a day match - it'd still be worse than what the Bosses got on Hitler in the vote-ins (which is a format that surely favours the anti-vote magnet and disadvantages the easy winner). I'd take Dante/Vergil to beat Chris/Wesker pretty easily. If the match pic gives Dante/Vergil an advantage I think I'm gonna run the upset.


Hitler won Europe outright because the rallying affects the results of Europe far more than North America, as Europe gets way less votes than North America.

For Sora/Riku, I think they would have done about 2.5% better without the rallying. I've attempted some x-stat calcuations involving Sora/Riku where I set them at 62.50% for the purpose of the calculations. 62.50% sounds ideal for Sora/Riku without the rallying, as they averaged 62.90% from 3:00 PM until the end of the match.

I couldn't really get anything useful out of doing some x-stat calculations, so it's still a toss-up for me.
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#334 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/28/2011 11:32:06 PM | message detail
Yeah, I think all that can really be said about Sora/Dante is that it's gonna be close one way or the other.
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#335 | creativename | Posted 11/28/2011 11:51:52 PM | message detail
Hmm, vampires rising more than I thought. It's stabilized for now but it looks like this might finish close to expectations after all. Nervousness for Frog/Magus rising again...

From: Kotetsu534 | #1606it'd still be worse than what the Bosses got on Hitler in the vote-ins (which is a format that surely favours the anti-vote magnet and disadvantages the easy winner).


But The Bosses would be favored over both Sora and Dante's teams and Sora basically tied The Bosses on Hitler, so that doesn't really mean anything bad for Sora, in fact it makes him look very close to the Bosses - although of course that's very unreliable given the possible wonkiness of Adolf.
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#336 | KingBartz | Posted 11/29/2011 2:11:06 AM | message detail | (edited)
This was looking to be the closest match yet, but it might not be. Still Phoenix is managing to stall this hour. Alucard's hardly gained 100 votes, and Phoenix has cut 3 times so far.
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#337 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/29/2011 2:12:11 AM | message detail
Haven't even been looking at this contest lately, looks like I missed 30 good minutes.
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#338 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/29/2011 2:45:39 AM | message detail
So this will be the first match that the winner has has under 55%?It seems the lawyers have some strength then.Also everybody knew that the lawyers would be the weakest 1st seed.
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#339 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/29/2011 2:53:31 AM | message detail
Team ALUDRAC can still push above 55%. We'll see how Phoenix holds up during the second 12 hours. If Alucard makes noticeable day gains, then we'll know that Phoenix is one of the most night-centric characters we have.
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#340 | greatone10 | Posted 11/29/2011 3:00:59 AM | message detail
I would hope the Lawyers are a little bit better than Castlevania during the day, even if they'd need whatever exposure they got from UMvC3 to do so.
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#341 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/29/2011 3:01:26 AM | message detail
Looks like Alucard is making another push to start going up again, after being stalled by Phoenix (percentage-wise) all night.
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#342 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/29/2011 4:12:13 AM | message detail
'Kay, I notice that simple "hero/villain" relationships are performing a lot better than expected in most cases - Crono, Ness, and The Kid are the notable examples I cite.

Speaking of The Kid, how well does Samus's team do against the Trainers if the IWBTG guys are set to be equal to the StarCraft guys in strength?
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#343 | pjbasis | Posted 11/29/2011 6:27:15 AM | message detail
God I hope Dante wins, for many reasons.
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#344 | Lopen | Posted 11/29/2011 6:27:31 AM | message detail
Alucard/Dracula making strong pushes after the morning sun has vanquished the horrible night

Alucard: "What?!"

Good to see this contest makes as much sense as always

Well at least this is kinda amusing.
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#345 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/29/2011 7:14:21 AM | message detail
It seems the vampires will finish above 55%.So the first real close match will be the next one.I believe CT can do it.
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#346 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/29/2011 7:31:39 AM | message detail
Vampires taking off right now. This might get close to 56% by noon.
#347 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/29/2011 9:02:05 AM | message detail
55.84% at the 12 hour mark. Spread's still on!
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#348 | futuresuperstar | Posted 11/29/2011 9:46:59 AM | message detail
This is all about rooting for the potentials, now.
I've got Dante > Sora, Bosses > Samus, and Fighter > Trainers. Let's do this.
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#349 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/29/2011 10:25:57 AM | message detail
Alucard has been averaging 59% since the morning vote ended.

Thriving in the sunlight indeed
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#350 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/29/2011 10:46:07 AM | message detail
Yup, Phoenix may have worst day vote locked down now that he's lost it to both Magus and Alucard.
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