GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1025

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#451 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/29/2011 9:11:17 PM | message detail
well
that's not good
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~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 24th
Today's Prediction: Frog / Magus - 54.25%
#452 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/29/2011 9:11:19 PM | message detail
Whoa, a stall.
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#453 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/29/2011 9:11:19 PM | message detail
#454 | ZFS | Posted 11/29/2011 9:11:22 PM | message detail
Called it!
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"When I was a young man, I had liberty, but I did not see it. I had time, but I did not know it."
#455 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/29/2011 9:11:28 PM | message detail
#456 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/29/2011 9:11:36 PM | message detail
bahahahahahahahaha
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#457 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/29/2011 9:11:42 PM | message detail
That was a cut as well.
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#458 | Gooper Blooper | Posted 11/29/2011 9:11:46 PM | message detail
Oh god
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#459 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/29/2011 9:12:09 PM | message detail
augh.. I have to get up in 6 hours, can't this match be over soon
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~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 24th
Today's Prediction: Frog / Magus - 54.25%
#460 | legendmusketeer | Posted 11/29/2011 9:12:12 PM | message detail
*gasp*
A potentially close match?...
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LM
#461 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/29/2011 9:12:12 PM | message detail
Frog's saving the Clutch for last. Don't worry.
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#462 | JJH777 | Posted 11/29/2011 9:12:16 PM | message detail
Frog/Magus dead
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#463 | paulg235 | Posted 11/29/2011 9:12:22 PM | message detail
*Blasts "Still Alive"*
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#464 | Lopen | Posted 11/29/2011 9:12:22 PM | message detail
Nope. This match is still gonna be 60-40. No hope of upset.
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#465 | DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/29/2011 9:12:25 PM | message detail
Just an anomaly. Frog will be up 150 next time.
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#466 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/29/2011 9:12:28 PM | message detail
4 vote cut and over 3% gone. Dayum.

Well I'm not backing down from my 5-minute calling of the match. 54% at 10 minutes is still too far gone for this matchup.
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#467 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/29/2011 9:12:29 PM | message detail
Ooh.
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#468 | creativename | Posted 11/29/2011 9:12:48 PM | message detail
Chrono Trigger magic. It never fails.
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#469 | transience | Posted 11/29/2011 9:13:01 PM | message detail
need some Crono/Vincent comparisons, obviously
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xyzzy
#470 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/29/2011 9:13:02 PM | message detail
Screw my bracket. GO GLADOS
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#471 | ZFS | Posted 11/29/2011 9:13:14 PM | message detail
Lopen posted...
Nope. This match is still gonna be 60-40. No hope of upset.

Glados > Raiden can you feel it
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"When I was a young man, I had liberty, but I did not see it. I had time, but I did not know it."
#472 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/29/2011 9:13:16 PM | message detail
That's a death knell. The Portal duo will win easily, and everyone who played a cautious game with their battle brackets gets the last laugh at us.






lol
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#473 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/29/2011 9:13:29 PM | message detail
Chrono Trigger delivers

gogogo close match
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#474 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/29/2011 9:13:48 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3bE-8mLduS4
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You know who's sexy? Black Turtle, the 2010 Games Contest Guru Winner, that's who!
#475 | greatone10 | Posted 11/29/2011 9:13:49 PM | message detail
"Chrono Trigger usually disappoints by having interesting matches."

Well, if they make it out of here, I'm sure they'll have fun ranking underneath the Lawyers.
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#476 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/29/2011 9:14:01 PM | message detail
The match will stay in the 100 vote lead range the entire 24 hours.

Book it.
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#477 | Lopen | Posted 11/29/2011 9:14:20 PM | message detail
Raiden got this match.

That's the only match here.

Desperately clinging to an upset. HOW FOOLISH.
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No problem!
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#478 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/29/2011 9:14:22 PM | message detail
Updated Top 5/10

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. Luigi/Waluigi – 55.28% vs. Cecil Harvey/Golbez – 44.72% - Round 1 – 10.56%
2. Siegfried/Nightmare – 55.68% vs. Ramza Beoulve/Delita Hyral – 44.32% - Round 1 – 11.36%
3. Frog/Magus – 56.13% vs. Raiden/Vamp – 43.87% - Round 1 – 12.26%
4. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – 56.56% vs. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – 43.44% - Round 1 – 13.12%
5. Big Boss/The Boss – 56.60% vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – 43.40% - Round 2 – 13.20%
6. Alucard/Dracula – 56.67% vs. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – 43.33% - Round 2 – 13.34%
7. Kirby/Meta Knight – 58.47% vs. Jill Valentine/Nemesis – 41.53% - Round 1 – 16.94%
8. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – 58.77% vs. Crono/Lavos – 41.23% – Round 1 – 17.54%
9. Chell/GlaDOS – 59.07% vs. Ness/Giygas – 40.93% - Round 1 – 18.14%
10. Ike/Black Knight – 59.42% vs. Conker/Great Mighty Poo – 40.58% - Round 1 – 18.84%

Top 5 Smallest 24h Vote Gaps
1. Big Boss/The Boss – 25862 vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – 19833 – Round 2 – 6029
2. Alucard/Dracula – 27431 vs. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – 20976 – Round 2 – 6455
3. Samus Aran/Ridley – 30282 vs. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – 19530 – Round 2 – 10752
4. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik – 30963 vs. Kirby/Meta Knight – 18812 – Round 2 - 12151
5. Ryu/Ken – 29617 vs. Fox McCloud/Wolf O’Donnell – 15964 – Round 2 – 13653

Top 5 Least Popular 24h Polls
1. Ryu/Ken vs. Fox McCloud/Wolf O’Donnell – Round 2 – 45581
2. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – Round 2 – 45695
3. Alucard/Dracula vs. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – Round 2 - 48407
4. Mega Man X/Zero vs. Bartz Klauser/Gilgamesh – Round 2 – 48925
5. Sub-Zero/Scorpion vs. Donkey Kong/King K. Rool – Round 2 - 49459

Top 5 Least Impressive 24h Winners
1. Big Boss/The Boss – Round 2 – 25862
2. Alucard/Dracula – Round 2 - 27431
3. Ryu/Ken – Round 2 – 29617
4. Samus Aran/Ridley – Round 2 – 30282
5. Sonic the Hedgehog/Dr. Robotnik – Round 2 – 30963

Top 5 Most Impressive 24h Losers
1. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – Round 2 - 20976
2. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – Round 2 – 19833
3. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – Round 2 – 19530
4. Kirby/Meta Knight – Round 2 – 18812
5. Zidane Tribal/Kuja – Round 2 - 17638

Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict
1. Alucard/Dracula vs. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – Round 2 – 34.09%
2. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – Round 2 – 37.29%
3. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Tidus/Jecht – Round 1 – 55.06%
4. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth vs. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – Round 1 – 57.30%
5. Sub-Zero/Scorpion vs. Donkey Kong/King K. Rool - Round 2 – 58.33%
6. Luigi/Waluigi vs. Cecil Harvey/Golbez – Round 1 – 60.19%
7. Ike/Black Knight vs. Conker/Great Mighty Poo – Round 1 – 63.37%
8. Frog/Magus vs. Raiden/Vamp – Round 1 – 66.12%
9. Alucard/Dracula vs. Commander Shepard/Saren – Round 1 – 67.82%
10. Ryu/Ken vs. Fox McCloud/Wolf O’Donnell – Round 2 – 67.88%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 47/54 Today: Frog/Magus
#479 | ZFS | Posted 11/29/2011 9:14:27 PM | message detail
Time for some more bold predix: Glados with 48%+ next update.
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"When I was a young man, I had liberty, but I did not see it. I had time, but I did not know it."
#480 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/29/2011 9:14:37 PM | message detail
GlaDOS faced Vincent too, so we can actually get some relevant Crono/Vincent comparisons tonight. I feel so lazy about this though, I think it must be because there hasn't been a match all contest where one would even bother making trend projections.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2
#481 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/29/2011 9:14:45 PM | message detail
best thing about this is I am worry free

Frog doesn't lose close matches, so I can enjoy this in the knowledge Frog will win, saving my battle bracket. And hell, even if him and Magus lose...I don't like Chrono Trigger and love Portal! It's win/win!
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#482 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/29/2011 9:15:24 PM | message detail
#483 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/29/2011 9:15:38 PM | message detail
Bold predix: Frog/Magus rise to 54.36% next update
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~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 24th
Today's Prediction: Frog / Magus - 54.25%
#484 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/29/2011 9:15:49 PM | message detail
Frog and Magus just collapsed as much in ONE UPDATE as they did in the entire Raiden/Vamp match. You can't even call them the favorites here. They'd be lucky as hell to somehow manage a win outta this.
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#485 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/29/2011 9:15:49 PM | message detail
glados to cut lead under 100 imo
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#486 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/29/2011 9:15:54 PM | message detail
We will pay the price for our hubris. No man can stay perfect. No man can touch god.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#487 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/29/2011 9:16:13 PM | message detail
So when you combine Frog and Magus, I dunno if they'll be clutch and end up winning or flop
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#488 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/29/2011 9:16:17 PM | message detail
oh. "lol"
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#489 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/29/2011 9:16:20 PM | message detail
Well, that's not so bad.
#490 | xp1337 | Posted 11/29/2011 9:16:22 PM | message detail
There we go!
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#491 | legendmusketeer | Posted 11/29/2011 9:16:27 PM | message detail
Whew.
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LM
#492 | ZFS | Posted 11/29/2011 9:16:28 PM | message detail
curses
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"When I was a young man, I had liberty, but I did not see it. I had time, but I did not know it."
#493 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/29/2011 9:16:36 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpaJulksCik&feature=related
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You know who's sexy? Black Turtle, the 2010 Games Contest Guru Winner, that's who!
#494 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/29/2011 9:16:39 PM | message detail
Frog/Magus looking fine for now.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 47/54 Today: Frog/Magus
#495 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/29/2011 9:17:12 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
52------229--------96.07
51------146--------82.19
50------342--------85.96
49------248--------53.23
48------415--------48.67
47------608--------42.76
46------797--------36.76
45------978--------35.58
44------1111------34.02
43------1227------31.54
42------1150------33.39
41------1151------31.10
40------1073------29.92
39------941--------29.33
38------846--------27.07
37------733--------27.56
36------594--------26.94
35------557--------25.67
34------464--------27.16
33------382--------25.65
32------313--------27.80
31------262--------25.57
30------199--------26.63
29------160--------23.75
28------129--------22.48
27------101--------27.72
26------80----------27.50
25------59----------20.34
24------48----------22.92
23------39----------17.95
22------34----------23.53
21------12----------16.67
20------15----------20.00
19------12----------8.33

17------5------------20.00

9--------6------------33.33


The large groups of alt accounts unfortunately messes around with the stats. Even without them, around 84% of the perfects, 70% of the -1s and 67% of the -2s would have gotten the match right. At -3, the prediction percentage falls into the 50s and fades fast from there.

7 people fell off the Top 50. This hit the very top hard. Former first place MoogleKupo141, former second place KK_the_Slider, former third place AdisEvil, BertTheOne, PSU_Jer, Dark_Scythe and one of AnnoyedShadow's alts did not have Alucard vs. Dracula winning the match.
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#496 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/29/2011 9:17:27 PM | message detail
A lead increase is good, but not enough to make me feel safe here.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#497 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/29/2011 9:17:29 PM | message detail
#498 | creativename | Posted 11/29/2011 9:18:06 PM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #2456
A lead increase is good, but not enough to make me feel safe here.


Agreed.
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#499 | transience | Posted 11/29/2011 9:18:08 PM | message detail
FROG

DON'T SUCK
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xyzzy
#500 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/29/2011 9:18:16 PM | message detail
Chrono Trigger still sucks
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