GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1025
No gimmicks. Link only. ZeldaFAQs. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
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Melee > Brawl forever. P.S. No items, Fox only, Final Destination is actually really boring. No items is correct, but Fox only and FD only are stupid. And are not actually used by pretty much anyone. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
It's called hyperbole. --- Xbox Live: Mach Tornado PSN: HeyGuysItsGhoul |
It's over GameFAQs, Link has the high ground! --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
if only this were Ammy vs. Waka then it'd only be around 82% or so! --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
I kind of wonder how Link v. Tingle would be doing. Could Mario/Bowser beat them? I'm inclined to say yes. --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
This
match is going to have about 1500 more votes than the Trainers just a
few days ago. Looks like we really need Link to bring in the votes. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
I'm really not wanting to see how badly FFIX gets thrashed here to open the poll up. --- :> |
Vote Accepted Zidane Tribal vs. Kuja 7.69% 1 Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily 92.31% 12 TOTAL VOTES 13 Aw yeah, first Zidane/Kuja vote --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
Vote Accepted Zidane Tribal vs. Kuja 21.05% 4 Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily 78.95% 15 TOTAL VOTES 19 --- Anyone who has appeared in a video game should be allowed in the next character battle. |
Zidane Tribal vs. Kuja 0% 0 Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily 100% 11 TOTAL VOTES 11 --- http://img88.imageshack.us/img88/188/340xf.jpg http://www.yourgamercards.net/trophy/a/CaptainRockman.png |
Zidane Tribal vs. Kuja 7.14% 1 Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily 92.86% 13 TOTAL VOTES 14 XD --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 45/50 Today: Mega Man/Dr. Wily |
underwhelming Mega Man performance coming up just wait for it --- ~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 24th Today's Prediction: Link / Dorf - 79.19% |
I figure the board vote would be friendlier to Zidane. Considering the rest of GameFAQs is not. --- "Ovelia ... SPOILERS IN THE KEYWORDS WOOPS" - Vormav |
IngmarBirdman posted... I figure the board vote would be friendlier to Zidane. Considering the rest of GameFAQs is not. The board vote is the most unfriendly time for any Final Fantasy character. --- :> |
Mega Man is essentially all board vote so this isn't looking good. Can't wait to see what the European Vote/UK Vote looks like later. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 45/50 Today: Mega Man/Dr. Wily |
It's looking like underwhelming. That percentage is already heading south for MM. --- :> |
Hopefully Zidane can keep it under a doubling here. He's holding up better in the board vote than I expected. --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
Score-Brackets-% Right 48------229--------100.00 47------148--------100.00 46------346--------100.00 45------253--------100.00 44------432--------100.00 43------635--------99.84 42------844--------99.88 41------1038------99.71 40------1167------99.31 39------1321------99.02 38------1215------98.85 37------1192------98.07 36------1129------97.96 35------961--------96.15 34------826--------96.73 33------748--------95.99 32------609--------93.76 31------518--------93.24 30------432--------91.90 29------369--------86.99 28------277--------87.73 27------198--------81.82 26------149--------78.52 25------123--------71.54 24------102--------71.57 23------58----------68.97 22------49----------61.22 21------39----------64.10 20------25----------44.00 19------12----------25.00 18------12----------58.33 17------6------------16.67 16------8------------37.50 14------4------------50.00 10------2------------50.00 6--------5------------20.00 1--------14----------7.14 Omitted scores got it wrong. It's a Link match and naturally the prediction percentages heads skyward. Everyone in the top 1408 gets the match right. Only 2 in the Top 2887 get the match wrong. -18s (30 points) and better stay above 90. No one fell off the Top 50. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
Skyward. I get it. --- :> |
Lol megaman gonna drop so hard over the night. i think 35 might be a given. --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif brawl 3524 9730 2525 - LALA |
I'm
sure Zidane will be thoroughly awful during the day so I'm still going
to say MM keeps above a doubling even if he loses it over the night. --- :> |
in before black turtle damage control |
If Mega Man only doubles Zidane, that basically puts Meat Boy equal to Banjo in the stats? Did not foresee that! --- "Ovelia ... SPOILERS IN THE KEYWORDS WOOPS" - Vormav |
That was basically the reason why I thought Mega Man could put up about 70% here. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Updated Top 10 Top 10 Biggest Blowouts 1. Mario/Bowser – 85.36% vs. Earthworm Jim/Queen SFAB – 14.64% - Round 1 – 70.72% 2. Link/Ganondorf – 85.30% vs. Arthas/Illidan – 14.70% - Round 1 – 70.60% 3. Link/Ganondorf – 83.69% vs. Amaterasu/Orochi – 16.31% - Round 2 – 67.38% 4. Dante/Vergil – 82.59% vs. Sol Badguy/Ky Kiske – 17.41% - Round 1 – 65.18% 5. Ryu/Ken – 81.63% vs. Ratchet/Dr. Nefarious – 18.37% - Round 1 – 63.26% 6. Samus Aran/Ridley – 80.64% vs. The Kid/The Guy – 19.36% - Round 1 – 61.28% 7. Mario/Bowser – 80.47% vs. Ike/Black Knight – 19.53% - Round 2 – 60.94% 8. Mega Man X/Zero – 80.45% vs. Captain Falcon/Black Shadow – 19.55% - Round 1 – 60.90% 9. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – 79.22% vs. Dan Hibiki/Sagat – 20.78% - Round 1 – 58.44% 10. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – 78.66% vs. Vyse/Glacian – 21.34% - Round 1 – 57.32% Top 10 Easiest Matches to Predict 1. Mario/Bowser vs. Earthworm Jim/Queen SFAB – Round 1 – 98.96% 2. Link/Ganondorf vs. Arthas/Illidan – Round 1 – 97.51% 3. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth vs. Lloyd Irving/Kratos Aurion – Round 1 – 96.54% 4. Samus Aran/Ridley vs. The Kid/The Guy – Round 1 – 96.25% 5. Link/Ganondorf vs. Amaterasu/Orochi – Round 2 – 95.70% 6. Mario/Bowser vs. Ike/Black Knight – Round 2 – 95.68% 7. Dante/Vergil vs. Sol Badguy/Ky Kiske – Round 1 – 95.29% 8. Sonic/Dr. Robotnik vs. Katherine/Catherine – Round 1 – 94.48% 9. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo vs. Vyse/Glacian – Round 1 – 92.22% 10. Kratos/Zeus vs. Professor Layton/Don Paolo – Round 1 – 92.13% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 45/50 Today: Mega Man/Dr. Wily |
The only 70% MM will see from here on out is possibly next round when he's looking up at Link. --- :> |
From: IngmarBirdman | #026 Zidane and Kuja looked like women. --- Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis |
South Division Upper Half Link vs. Ganondorf – 50.00% Amaterasu vs. Orochi – 16.31% Arthas Menethil vs. Illidian – 14.70% Tom Nook vs. Crazy Redd – 10.73% South Division Lower Half Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily – 50.00% Zidane Tribal vs. Kuja – 31.21% Banjo vs. Gruntilda – 22.52% Meat Boy vs. Dr. Fetus – 22.09% --- http://img38.imageshack.us/img38/7760/222bj.jpg |
According to that, what could Arthas put up on Luigi...! --- :> |
Zidane and Kuja looked like women. Zidane did. Kuja looked like a red blob. |
Zidane and Kuja looked like women. Yeah I need to get better at spotting things like that so I can modify my Oracle predictions beyond small tweaks to x-stat calculations. --- "Ovelia ... SPOILERS IN THE KEYWORDS WOOPS" - Vormav |
...whoops.
I had Zidane over Mega Man in my battle entry for some reason.
>_> At least I can't make stupid changes to my bracket that I
might forget about. --- http://www.nbc.com/parks-and-recreation/exclusives/ron-dancing-animated.gif |
1--------14----------7.14 ...someone has a bracket with everything wrong except Link? --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
The results in the UK are essentially flipped right now. They never get old. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 45/50 Today: Mega Man/Dr. Wily |
Link; he's all that really matters. --- :> |
...someone has a bracket with everything wrong except Link? It's probably an incomplete bracket. They show up on the stats page as long as they choose a winner for the final match. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
Comic
books are not read by everyone, heck even though the average age is in
the low 20s comic books weren't even that popular back when they were
kids. While characters like Batman can avoid this because he's
universally known most characters are going to start off with a handicap
because they need to hope people use their media type. char, you know very well that these guys are not going to get their strength from people who read comic books. They will get their strength from general media and just overall badass character design and universal appeal. Comic books have little to do with anything, other than being the initial origin. As for "hope people use their media type" - who *hasn't* seen an X-Men or especially a Star Wars or Batman movie? Not too many people that frequent GameFAQs, that's for sure. And the exposure to specific media is overrated - people vote for characters from games they have never ever played all the time, because of character appeal. In the end character appeal is the dominant factor, and exposure is the second biggest factor. And trying to say the people of the demographic who frequent GameFAQs are not universally exposed to these characters would be crazy. Everyone knows who they are, no hyperbole needed. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
On
a less interesting note, expectedish performance from Mega Man. He
should drop overnight but gain some little back during the day. Link could break 70% on him. Should be a doubling at least. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
you seem to be vastly overestimating the exposure of the X-Men! --- thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris |
Absolutely not. Horrific idea. The entire point is fiction vs. VG characters - having split brackets would be incredibly silly. Worst possible thing you could do. Since when? Up until the last year or so, a fictional character contest was always supposed to be 100% fictional characters. Simpsons would flop if you think 10 characters are above the fodderline. Homer and Bart are the only ones that have a chance. Edit: Fodderline on a fictional character contest. I'm working off of Base Batman (whatever that is) instead of Base Link. --- "What's wrong with bootblacking? We like it very much!" This is Yesmar. |
From: LOLContests | #043 No, we never wanted that. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
Since when? Up until the last year or so, a fictional character contest was always supposed to be 100% fictional characters. It was? I've never heard anyone in support of ditching video games characters and there's always strong opposition to separating video game from non-video game characters. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
The
hell? What would be the point of a contest with no VG characters on a
VG site? The whole point of the idea was to get around the "must
originate in a VG rule". The nominees would still have to have been in a
VG of some sort. --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? |
That's
fairly dumb. Why have a contest like that, to protect Batman from
getting killed by Link or so people can fool themselves for one more
year that anyone might could take Link down? --- :> |
Yesterday's chart: Time | Linkdorf | Amachi | Votes | Demographic EBV | 79.03% | 20.97% | 558 | (0:00-0:05) PHV | 82.42% | 17.58% | 4999 | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 81.89% | 18.11% | 11722 | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 80.41% | 19.59% | 5033 | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 84.37% | 15.63% | 14634 | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 85.45% | 14.55% | 16360 | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 85.31% | 14.69% | 3288 | (22:00-24:00) Link, he come to town to dominate day votes. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
And
the SNV too. He did better with that than with the heart of the
weekend day vote. Maybe the median age has gone up enough that
geography matters more than time for trends! --- 2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud. Link 6, Cloud 2 |
The point is that there's more than 32 or so fictional characters that would be interesting to see. Almost all mock fictional character brackets I've seen over the 5+ years this was discussed were all fictional. Play revisionist history, but I remember quite a few of the former but none (or very few) of the mixed variety. The discussion was always who would win that contest, with Link never even an option, since he wouldn't be in the bracket. Go back to 2004/2005 when this topic was first brought up if you don't believe me, but this was definitely the predominant strain for years. i still have a mock bracket that Leon made saved, and it was all fictional. They all were! --- "What's wrong with bootblacking? We like it very much!" This is Yesmar. |
