GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1023
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/rivals/rivals-71-2.jpg ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- "I have an IQ in excess of 130, so I'm smarter than anyone you know." "FFX-2 is way too hard." -SvenGorgenson |
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I put red vs blue going to the finals you never know when you might get a pop fly to right field |
Round 3 Nostalgia Battle, here we come! --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
of course crono vs lavos didn't pan out too well so maybe I'm just dumb |
Calling it: Ryu/Ken break 70 and shut people up. --- Gamefaqs' #1 Testicle Bettor: Proud owner of many testes http://img688.imageshack.us/img688/6553/alec.png |
Calling it: Ryu/Ken get under 60 and everyone hops on the trainer bandwagon. --- Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~ |
Calling it: Everyone overreacts regardless of what happens --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
From: LeonhartFour | #007 That doesn't count. That's like calling Link over Tingle. --- http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/alecjpguz.jpg |
Calling It: Fox/Wolf win. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
Calling it: Debatable no matter what the outcome is. --- LM |
Calling it: people vote. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Ryu vs. Ken 35.29% 6 Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell 64.71% 11 GO FOX! --- http://img.imgcake.com/alecoweenpngam.png http://img.imgcake.com/alecpngym.png |
Calling it: Poll doesn't change for another hour. --- Thanks for reinforcing your stupidity, jerks. Einstein > You |
This... seems a little bit underwhelming compared to what I thought they'd do. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v712/ExTha/10and14.jpg "I was wrong" - SmartMuffin |
Ryu/Ken was trending down. Once the Street Fighter Power Hour ends Fox/Wolf'll get this to within 57-43. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
calling it: whoever wins, this contest still sucks *goes back to playing Skyward Sword* --- It will launch for $350 with some Wii Sports s***. I bet my life on it. Damn, that KoolAid guy is awesome - NGamer64 |
Ryu/Ken started dropping off during that last minute. Hopefully they'll recover. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
WHAT THE HELL I've been trying to get a 500 post for many topics, and now I unintentionally make a lame normal remark for one! |
I forget, is SF any good in Europe? --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
SubDeity | Posted 11/24/2011 12:05:57 AM | message detail Is ASV even really a thing still? The vote decrease has come almost entirely from the site getting older; we don't have a bunch of high schoolers logging in these days. This site has been getting older well before we started seeing decreasing vote totals, so you can't blame the increasing age of the voters as the reason for the lower vote totals. But even with the site getting older, there's still an ASV, although it's very weak now. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Also
since Street Fighter II came out on the SNES this is actually looking
un-hot despite Ryu/Ken SFFing Fox/Wolf. Red/Blue to break 75% next round
confirmed. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
From: pjbasis | #019 It's fitting. --- ##Alec |
Ryu vs. Ken struggles with non fodder confirmed. --- "I am riding the Poke-wave, using the metaphorical Surf and hopping on my Blastoise, all the way to Mario vs Bowser." - RPGLord |
WarThaNemesis2 posted... Ryu/Ken was trending down. Once the Street Fighter Power Hour ends Fox/Wolf'll get this to within 57-43. LOL what? Since when does Street Fighter have a power hour? --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
East Division Upper Half Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue – 50.00% Jim Raynor vs. Sarah Kerrigan – 23.08% Luigi vs. Waluigi – 22.04% Cecil Harvey vs. Golbez – 19.71% East Division Lower Half Ryu vs. Ken Masters – 50.00% Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O’Donnell – 38.28% Yuna vs. Seymour Guado – 29.92% Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious – 18.37% --- http://img600.imageshack.us/img600/8718/leonflowchart.png |
Updated Top 10 Top 10 Biggest Blowouts 1. Mario/Bowser – 85.36% vs. Earthworm Jim/Queen SFAB – 14.64% - Round 1 – 70.72% 2. Link/Ganondorf – 85.30% vs. Arthas/Illidan – 14.70% - Round 1 – 70.60% 3. Dante/Vergil – 82.59% vs. Sol Badguy/Ky Kiske – 17.41% - Round 1 – 65.18% 4. Ryu/Ken – 81.63% vs. Ratchet/Dr. Nefarious – 18.37% - Round 1 – 63.26% 5. Samus Aran/Ridley – 80.64% vs. The Kid/The Guy – 19.36% - Round 1 – 61.28% 6. Mario/Bowser – 80.47% vs. Ike/Black Knight – 19.53% - Round 2 – 60.94% 7. Mega Man X/Zero – 80.45% vs. Captain Falcon/Black Shadow – 19.55% - Round 1 – 60.90% 8. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – 79.22% vs. Dan Hibiki/Sagat – 20.78% - Round 1 – 58.44% 9. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – 78.66% vs. Vyse/Glacian – 21.34% - Round 1 – 57.32% 10. Red/Blue – 77.96% vs. Luigi/Waluigi – 22.04% - Round 2 – 55.92% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 37/42 Today: Ryu/Ken |
KamikazePotato posted... I forget, is SF any good in Europe? Isn't Street Fighter's night vote historically bad, or is that the morning vote? --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
From: KamikazePotato | #020 It's pretty good. Star Fox is totally abysmal there though. SF should kill the night vote one way or the other. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
From: WarThaNemesis2 | #028 Morning vote. --- http://img600.imageshack.us/img600/8718/leonflowchart.png |
From: LeonhartFour | #029 But I thought you said Star Fox was abysmal in Europe! --- I worship Utli's wang - LtM |
Not much change there. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
well *tears up bracket* I had these guys beating the Trainers AND Samus/Ridley --- ~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 27th Today's Prediction: SHORYUKEN - 67.14% |
From: TheKoolAidShoto | #031 Oh right they have the same initials LOL me --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
Stop using the SF abbreviation, guys, it literally applies to both. --- SubDeity wants to vote for Calvin Coolidge. [Evil Republican] Play Der Langrisser. |
From: GrapefruitKing | #033 Called it. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
You
know, I'm starting to think that Samus/Ridley might actually lose.
Ridley isn't Waluigi tier by any means, but it shows that the voters are
definitely thinking. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Score-Brackets-% Right 40------447--------52.80 39------218--------89.91 38------374--------84.22 37------711--------84.81 36------1070------86.54 35------1350------81.26 34------1501------78.81 33------1542------76.20 32------1447------71.87 31------1380------73.41 30------1155------66.93 29------978--------65.54 28------819--------60.07 27------707--------61.53 26------521--------56.62 25------392--------52.04 24------279--------51.61 23------193--------50.78 22------132--------38.64 21------91----------36.26 20------53----------41.51 19------36----------41.67 18------36----------44.44 17------15----------46.67 16------13----------0.00 15------8------------25.00 14------5------------20.00 13------5------------40.00 12------4------------50.00 11------3------------66.67 10------5------------20.00 9--------3------------0.00 8--------0------------0.00 7--------5------------40.00 6--------6------------16.67 5--------4------------0.00 4--------2------------0.00 3--------6------------0.00 2--------11----------9.09 1--------14----------0.00 0--------11----------0.00 Over 200 indentical perfect brackets means a heavily correlated failure. Nearly half the perfect brackets disappeared just because 1 person got the match wrong. The -1s do nearly 40 percentage points better than the perfects. The perfects would have been closer to 97% right if it wasn't for the 200+ brackets going down. Other than that it was a fairly normal chart. While it was a debated match before the contest started, the casuals thought it was fairly eazy. 211 accounts fell off the Top 50 this time. Former third place Gaddswell, Iwazaruskopf, lancealots_son, Luis_Sera89, HeroicMathmagus, H-O-O-H and 205 alt entries did not have Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue winning the match. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
Realistically
at this moment I expect Ryu/Ken vs. Red/Blue to go like Ocelot/Red.
Red/Blue will jump out to a big lead, Ryu/Ken will fight back to take
the lead, and then the sun will rise in the US and Red/Blue will push
past, except there will be an extra 12 hours to put things away. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
Trainers to the Finals train has left the station, and I'm on it! ...sadly I also have Shepard/Saren winning their division, and Yuna/Seymour winning this match. <___< --- Thank you, Eddie Guerrero. http://img.imgcake.com/Icon/Punkjpguh.jpg |
This
isn't that terrible a result. It's not like Fox/Wolf was going to be
that weak (though if most of Fox's popularity comes from Melee, I guess
it's possible). Unless you're really hung up on Yuna/Seymour losing to
Banjo/Gruntilda. >_> --- Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~ |
Well I'm glad I'm backing Pokemon right now. But I'm not glad that I'm gonna lose everything on this spread and fall back on my oracle. |
From: AlecTrevelyan006 | #005 This will still happen, you'll all see! --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/51alecpngpa.png -Nio |
Woah, 71% there. Hope they get more updates like that --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
...that's quite an update there --- http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/2369/mythbattlers.jpg http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png |
Alec what did you just do. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
huh --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
Fox/Wolf just died on that update. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
...Oh. ...that was 10% over their last update. --- Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~ |
The
match will still be tough to call I think. I personally have the
trainers through to the semis (don't even really recall doing that, but
yeah) but I think Ryu/Ken still stand a fair chance of winning here. --- :> |
