GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1022

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#101 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/21/2011 9:26:35 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #098
We've also seen a couple kinda weird results between Sonic/Mega Man and other Nintendo entities that hint toward that as well. Remember Mega Man's 68% against Yoshi in 2005?


Yeah, I remember Mega Man giving Yoshi a massive HADOUKEN to the face

STREET FIGHTER FACTOR SON
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#102 | jacko_vdz | Posted 11/21/2011 9:26:37 PM | message detail
SMELL YA LATER RYU
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#103 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/21/2011 9:26:45 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
From: WarThaNemesis2 | #096
Then they'll get murdered by the Queen of SFF!
...The Boss?

Well, I guess with MGS3 coming out on 3DS...


Big Boss will be looking too young in his match pic to use OLD FACTOR. If only The Boss had some MGS4 art!
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#104 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/21/2011 9:27:27 PM | message detail
Along these lines, you can argue that the only non-Nintendo members of the Noble Nine are Cloud and Sephiroth (Sonic and Snake appear in Brawl, Chrono Trigger was a SNES game, etc.). Suddenly everything makes sense.
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#105 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/21/2011 9:27:51 PM | message detail

From: Kotetsu534 | #104
Along these lines, you can argue that the only non-Nintendo members of the Noble Nine are Cloud and Sephiroth (Sonic and Snake appear in Brawl, Chrono Trigger was a SNES game, etc.). Suddenly everything makes sense.


Cloud was in a GBA game.

Sephiroth is Sting.

We've been over this before.
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#106 | ZFS | Posted 11/21/2011 9:28:28 PM | message detail
Everyone is a Nintendo character.
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#107 | AppreciateTrees | Posted 11/21/2011 9:28:31 PM | message detail
Is this performance by Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion impressive or not?
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#108 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/21/2011 9:29:29 PM | message detail
Not gonna let them touch X/Zero, that's for sure.
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#109 | redrocket | Posted 11/21/2011 9:29:47 PM | message detail
ZFS posted...
Everyone is a Nintendo character.

Every video game console is a "Nintendo"

We all knew this by now, right?
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#110 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/21/2011 9:41:22 PM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | X/Zero | Bartmesh | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 77.56% | 22.44% | 704 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 79.08% | 20.92% | 4900 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 75.91% | 24.09% | 9664 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 75.52% | 24.48% | 5559 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 76.70% | 23.30% | 11698 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 78.33% | 21.67% | 14441 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 78.03% | 21.97% | 2694 | (22:00-24:00)

X/Zero struggle a bit during the Euro vote as expected, but a strong Power Hour and day vote help them out.
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#111 | pjbasis | Posted 11/21/2011 9:43:48 PM | message detail
Chris/Wesker is new school AND old school appeal.

Maybe they got a shot at this whole thing.
#112 | creativename | Posted 11/21/2011 9:54:22 PM | message detail
So Ezio/Rodrigo is stronger than or about as strong as Leon/Ada?

That I did not expect. DK will probably drop off a lot since he's front-loaded (I think?), but anything under 64% wouldn't be a good performance for the ninjas.

I do think they could get it over 65% as MK i think will keep rising and rising and wouldn't be surprised by DK dropping 3 points from here, but still that's odd, since the ninjas would have to get 66.36% for team RE to equal team AC. You can say RE was underrated by the day match but then AC should have been underrated by the night match. And both Ada and Rodrigo should mean little, if anything Ada should add more. So Ezio>=Leon in this format is odd.

But, perhaps all these endless AC sequels have that franchise on an upswing? Just today I saw some commercial that actually had Ezio's full name spelled out in the commercial.

Question: How many games has Ezio the main (or co-main) character in, and how many of those have been released since his last apperance?

Overall though, since Sub-Zero should 60/40 DK and Scorpion is just as strong as DK while K. Rool should be fodder, I'm underwhelmed by the ninjas here. I expected over 68%. But perhaps I'm nitpicking.

ZFS posted...
what in the world is nintendo appeal

It's like the legal definition pornography, you know it when you see it! Sonic and Mega Man have that Nintendo Appeal fo' sho'.
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#113 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/21/2011 9:56:01 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #112
Question: How many games has Ezio the main (or co-main) character in, and how many of those have been released since his last apperance?


3
2
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#114 | ZFS | Posted 11/21/2011 9:57:32 PM | message detail
AC II, AC Brotherhood, and the released last week AC Revelations are the games Ezio has starred in. I forget when the last contest ended, but I don't think Brotherhood had come out yet.
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#115 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/21/2011 9:58:12 PM | message detail
The last Character Battle was early 2010, so Ezio was pretty much just fresh off of AC2 at that time.
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#116 | ZFS | Posted 11/21/2011 10:00:09 PM | message detail
Whoa, has it been that long? Brotherhood and Revelations should make him pretty popular the next time we see him.
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#117 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/21/2011 10:00:43 PM | message detail
Yep, it's been nearly two years.
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#118 | vcharon | Posted 11/21/2011 10:01:32 PM | message detail
Guest appearance in SC5 also. That's where Link gets all his strength from, you know.
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:>
#119 | ZFS | Posted 11/21/2011 10:02:16 PM | message detail
Haha, the best.
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#120 | creativename | Posted 11/21/2011 10:15:38 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
From: creativename | #112
Question: How many games has Ezio the main (or co-main) character in, and how many of those have been released since his last apperance?
3
2


So two of Ezio's three games have been released since last contest? Makes sense then that's he's significantly stronger.

I'm assuming that the hype for the latest AC game since it was just released would have helped him, whereas it looks like his last 1v1 match vs. Zelda was many months before AC:Brotherhood came out, so probably not allowing the hype to help him much there? So yeah Ezio being stronger now makes sense.

Still, looks like Ada is quite the drag on her team. From the linear x-stat estimator:

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/53

If you input strenghts of 29 for Sub-Zero and Leon and 24 for Scorpion, and zero for Ada, you still only "tag team" the ninjas to 63% :) At first I attributed that to the ninjas having super rivalry factor, but this match is making it look like it was just as much Ada being kryptonite.

Here with the ninjas and DK, if you input 29 for Sub-Zero and 24 for Scorpion and DK, then K. Rool with 10% gives you the ninjas with 65%. But that's straightforward, with no rivalry boost for the ninjas greater than for team DK. If you think K. rool is at 15%, then that gives the ninjas at 61.8%, which implies only a slight rivalry boost for the ninjas.
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#121 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/21/2011 10:17:31 PM | message detail
Sub-Zero/Scorpion over 62% now

Pure Nintendo power on display here
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#122 | vcharon | Posted 11/21/2011 11:42:39 PM | message detail
And about 90 minutes later they're roaring over 63%.
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#123 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/21/2011 11:43:19 PM | message detail
MK Ninjas fly past 63%

They've been averaging nearly 65% since the Power Hour ended.
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#124 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/22/2011 12:53:44 AM | message detail
My spread has hope yet...
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#125 | pjbasis | Posted 11/22/2011 1:25:49 AM | message detail
Well damn!

Hopefully the day will be kinder to DK.
#126 | FFDragon | Posted 11/22/2011 1:38:01 AM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
Hopefully the day will be kinder to DK.

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#127 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/22/2011 1:53:03 AM | message detail
Rooting for the cookie bracket to go perfect at this point.

Only f***ing entertainment left to glean from this contest.
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#128 | transience | Posted 11/22/2011 2:51:41 AM | message detail
Ezio's third game wasn't out yet when his match with DK happened.

ninjas should get to 65-66%. still not a great performance.
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#129 | jacko_vdz | Posted 11/22/2011 3:51:14 AM | message detail
So in my oracle picks the other day, I had Ryu/Ken at 66ish percent on the logic that they would struggle to blow out semi decent nintendo teams. But I didn't use that same logic in this match, and picked the Ninjas to get over a tripling. This is why I shouldn't do these things on my phone in a rush...
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#130 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/22/2011 5:11:57 AM | message detail
I don't really get what people were expecting from today. As I said already the Ninjas being some sort of Noble thrashing powerhouse when set in a rivalry would be completely illogical and bizarre given their individual and series strength. That Leon/Ada match is going to wind up as one of those strange inexplicable matches where nobody will be able to put their finger on what exactly happened there. The whole "rivalry matters" hyperbole that resulted from it was always going to be blown out of proportion by people refusing to accept that fact.

Or just wishful thinking that something actually interesting might happen in this contest. =/
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#131 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/22/2011 8:05:20 AM | message detail
Luster, how do these average match votes (like 49k now) compare to average PotDs recently?
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#132 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/22/2011 8:23:54 AM | message detail
As I've pointed out a few times already, average vote totals for PotDs was 49925 for polls between September 1st and November 2nd. We only have 3 full days of 24 hour matches so far, but the average vote totals are currently at 49636.

From what it seems like, the contest is bringing in vote totals that are about the same as non-contest PotDs. We are normally used to seeing contest matches bringing in much higher vote totals than non-contest PotDs, but it's not happening as this contest doesn't appear to be boosting site traffic at all.
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#133 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/22/2011 8:26:52 AM | message detail
Well, I remember debating pre-contest that I felt that the contest matches wouldn't be much more popular than the polls of the day, if they even did better at all. Seems I was right!

Its just tough for people to get interested in a crappy contest like this.
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#134 | GranzonEx | Posted 11/22/2011 8:28:22 AM | message detail
Even with Skyrim and SS, the traffic hasn't increased :(
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#135 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/22/2011 8:32:52 AM | message detail
http://traffic.alexa.com/graph?&w=800&h=440&o=f&c=1&y=t&b=ffffff&n=666666&r=1y&u=gamefaqs.com

You can actually see the line go above the 600 mark at the very end. The low point on the graph is near the end of September. I do think it might take a little bit longer for the traffic increase to have a noticeable impact on vote totals. It does seem like vote totals are even worse right now than they were during the first week of the contest.
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#136 | paerarru | Posted 11/22/2011 9:59:04 AM | message detail | (edited)
64ish%... that's not enough to challenge X's crazy performance yesterday. :\

Or just wishful thinking that something actually interesting might happen in this contest. =/

:(
#137 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/22/2011 10:07:52 AM | message detail
I don't think it's been brought up yet, but this result obviously makes Leon/Ada look terrible, which makes Kerrigan/Raynor look bad, which brings us all the way to the Poke-duo's performance being less impressive.

Get that WaLuigi>Trainers hype train rolling.


Or we could not take any conclusions from obviously weid matches, but where would be the fun in that?
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#138 | -Tofa7- | Posted 11/22/2011 10:57:56 AM | message detail
Well the good news about the low vote totals is that I have a low tiebreaker. Now I don't mind the fact that I share the same bracket with other gurus. >_>
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#139 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/22/2011 11:11:38 AM | message detail

From: Ultimaphazon | #137
I don't think it's been brought up yet, but this result obviously makes Leon/Ada look terrible, which makes Kerrigan/Raynor look bad, which brings us all the way to the Poke-duo's performance being less impressive.

Get that WaLuigi>Trainers hype train rolling.


Or we could not take any conclusions from obviously weid matches, but where would be the fun in that?


I want the trainers to win more than anything.

But at this point, I'd almost root for Waluigi > Trainers
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#140 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/22/2011 11:15:06 AM | message detail
While the trainers will defeat Luigi/Waluigi I feel people are expecting a lot from them. Sure Luigi looked bad last round, but Cecil would have a close match against Red and while the Red/Blue rivalry would likely be stronger about 5% of it will be used to just get even with Luigi/Waluigi.
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#141 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/22/2011 12:08:44 PM | message detail
You know who else this makes look terrible?

Crono/Lavos. Pac-Man/Blinky > Snakes due to THAT OLD FACTOR.
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#142 | Kijitow | Posted 11/22/2011 12:11:16 PM | message detail
Why are these matches 24 hours long?
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#143 | abdou | Posted 11/22/2011 12:34:06 PM | message detail
Because this contest needs to suck even more.
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#144 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/22/2011 12:37:18 PM | message detail
Looks like Sub-Zero/Scorpion will finish in the 63-64% range here. Sonic/Robotnik got 62-63% on Kirby/Meta Knight.

So Kirby/Meta Knight vs. DK/K. Rool: Who you got?
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#145 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/22/2011 12:42:56 PM | message detail
I would easily take Kirby/Meta, but maybe I'm underestimating DK/K. Roo.
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#146 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/22/2011 12:48:13 PM | message detail
Kirby would crush DK, Meta-Knight would easily beat K. Rool, and though the latter rivalry is more well-known, the former is probably seen as the better one just due to how Meta-Knight acts in the games.
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#147 | Lopen | Posted 11/22/2011 12:51:02 PM | message detail
DK vs K Rool wins because it was a prominent rivalry a couple of years before Kirby vs MK
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#148 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/22/2011 12:59:00 PM | message detail
Message From GameFAQs on 11/22/2011

Was wondering who would notice first...

The nightly poll rollover had to be moved back one minute as it was randomly failing when run right at 9:00 (you probably noticed it not start for 2-5 minutes after 9 for the previous 2 nights, and randomly in the weeks before). Something was conflicting at 9 that seems to be fine at 9:01.


Well, it sounds like the poll starting time will remain at 12:01 AM EST for the rest of this contest, and probably on non-contest polls as well. And as Bacon pointed out, there were some problems last month with polls not closing at 12:00 AM EST.
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#149 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/22/2011 3:17:08 PM | message detail
So instead of fixing the issue, he just moved the poll? Lazy admin is laaaaaaaazy
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#150 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/22/2011 3:21:38 PM | message detail
I assume he moved the poll start time because he doesn't know how to fix the problem right now without changing the poll start time. I think it might be intended as a temporary solution to this problem while he tries to come up with a way to fix the problem while keeping the poll start time at 12:00 AM.


Also, Donkey Kong is going even the MK ninjas with the ASV here.
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