GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1021
Also, alts have always been allowed on the leaderboard. --- http://img600.imageshack.us/img600/8718/leonflowchart.png |
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I've seen legendmusketeer before --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 31/32 Today: Mario/Bowser |
That legendmusketeer guy has posted in the stats topics before. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4542®ion=PH 96% for Mario/Bowser --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 31/32 Today: Mario/Bowser |
Huh, they dropped under 80%. Kinda figured they'd stay up there now. --- http://img710.imageshack.us/img710/8516/whatisdesiresig.gif |
This
is an interesting match just to see how the addition of Bowser and
Black Knight affect it, since we had Mario/Ike last time. Maybe it'll
finally silence the "only the stronger character matters" people. --- Black Turtle and Zelda always win! |
So not counting other possible alts on the leader board, there's really only ~285 perfect brackets? --- http://objection.mrdictionary.net/go.php?n=5364544 |
Geolocation stats so far for round 1: https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdEtvbUkwMzh4X2NJX3YzQUt1anhBUkE It's final - Night Matches average vote totals of 28354, while Day Matches had an average of 36317. For comparison, average vote totals for round 1 of both 2010 contests: Character Battle 2010 Night Matches - 52410 Day Matches - 70986 Game of the Decade Night Matches - 37795 Day Matches - 50824 In Game of the Decade, night match vote totals dropped by 27.89% while day match vote totals dropped by 28.40% compared to Character Battle 2010's average vote totals for round 1. But in this contest, night match vote totals dropped by 24.98% and day match vote totals dropped by 28.54% compared to GOTD's average vote totals for round 1. So in this contest, day matches suffered a bigger drop in vote totals than night matches. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
wow impressive how we lost so many voters in 2 years --- Link's is pretty much the video game equivalent of the Jesus story. -- Yoblaser |
Why are people allowed to have so many entries? --- You feel better but not much. |
You
can have as many Fun Entries as you want, but you are only allowed to
have one Prize or Karma Entry. There's no rule against having multiple
entries, as long as have just one Prize or Karma Entry. Although you
can't have both a Prize and Karma Entry. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Kijitow posted... Why are people allowed to have so many entries? and I'm sure that people who have 30+ brackets had more than one identical bracket. I understand making different bracket with different upset but why making 100+ brackets if they are all the same??? It's not for the prize (only one is eligible) and it cannot be about free karma (what's the point of having more than a dozen account we lots of karma point?) --- Link's is pretty much the video game equivalent of the Jesus story. -- Yoblaser |
Score-Brackets-% Right 31------458--------100.00 30------319--------96.24 29------625--------95.36 28------1267------95.26 27------1868------94.22 26------2196------92.53 25------2131------91.22 24------2015------89.53 23------1600------86.00 22------1198------83.14 21------731--------83.04 20------464--------79.74 19------284--------82.39 18------139--------72.66 17------83----------56.63 16------41----------68.29 15------27----------70.37 14------19----------36.84 13------5------------60.00 12------4------------50.00 11------2------------0.00 10------8------------37.50 9--------4------------25.00 8--------3------------33.33 7--------4------------0.00 6--------7------------14.29 5--------2------------0.00 4--------4------------25.00 3--------5------------0.00 2--------11----------9.09 1--------16----------6.25 0--------12----------8.33 Not really a particularly special chart here. Not a single perfect bracket took that bait so they all got the match right. Next few tiers stay in the 90s as expected. 12 0 brackets in the end. I'm not sure how many are real. Technically everyone on the Top 50 got the match right. However, due to combining alts, a bunch of brackets are no longer shown on the Top 50. The following 34 accounts got combined with someone. Ethereal_Burst, Roger_Rossetti, majormusketeer, Sapphirine92086, Timewhirl, ShadowTwist, Soul_Warper, SoulWarper, Sacratog, MariasPanties, CrimsonClown, DeathClown, DeathTiki, Urborg, WelchsPanties, IzaksPanties, LegendPtsygnh, SilverSwine, MageEmporer, SkizzikReborn, ZephyrusRevived, WelchsMelons, AuraSoul, SonicFayt, BrittneySpears, AirDynamo, Aeroblaze, Brian920, jkbsd, Rasetz, TheLastPerson, SteelKnight, SolarSpirit and StuffedAnimal sided with Sora vs. Riku but are no longer shown on the Top 50. A large mass of alts does partially explain why the perfects sometimes did way, way better than everyone else. It also mans they will crash hard if legendmusketeer messes up. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
I'm liking Kirbys match pic for the next round.It won't be enough to beat Sonic though. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Funny/siggy.jpg |
Not
a single battle bracket went down yesterday. Pretty sick, really
curious wether a lot will go down today (people who filled in R1 and
forgot about the contest after). --- [[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[ -Red |||||||||||||| -Green ]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]] -Blue Play Earthbound. |
The one I don't understand is why people make alternate accounts if their main one isn't banned. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Even more then why he does it, I'm curious why the site knowingly puts up with an accommodates for musketeer having 137 alts. --- When you've got a pretty-boy monkey on your back constantly calling you a puppet, you hardly want to seem like you're happy to be used. - DSakaCharanJ |
Wow, there wasn't even an upset for the casuals, as every match had over 50% prediction percentage. This f***ing contest. --- Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy IV (FF2US) http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3445328 |
Wow, there were that many alts on the damn leaderboard? You know it's bad when you go from not on the leaderboard to #23! --- "Go get me Jared...from Subway!" -- CM Punk Future 2011 Rivalry Guru Champion! |
From: Lieutenant Kettch | #056 A year later, halved votals, further away from Brawl (Ike's main source of strength. I don't disagree with your theory but I don't think this match proves anything, it's well within the realms of possibility that a Mario/Ike 1v1 would wind up 80/20 this year, I certainly would expect Ike to be sliding in that direction at least. --- http://mypsn.eu.playstation.com/psn/profile/smurfsdabomb.png |
That
reason for sliding over 6% against Mario when Ike's biggest game was
still in the GotD-championship last year feels unlikely. It's simpler
to say Bowser crushes Black Knight and Mario/Bowser's rivalry means a
lot more than Ike/BK's. Ike/BK's rivalry is potentially weaker in this
contest than Ike alone anyway, so this isn't shocking -- I thought it
would have been an even bigger blow-out. EDIT: It's hard to know what such a loss to our vote-totals means yet, too, though I don't discredit that idea. --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg Nominate E P O N A. |
So,
taking into account that the half-way point for weekend matches is
~11:45 there should be 54,000 votes in this match. Hoo boy. It might
actually be less, as some people don't know about the 24 hour change and
voted early. Here's hoping that Kirby/Sonic and Ninjas/DK can break
70,000 at least. I think they should be able to. I'm still confident that Link/Ganon vs. Cloud/Sephiroth can break 100,000. Cloud/Seph vs. Mario/Bowser can probably break it too, if that's the final. --- "What's wrong with bootblacking? We like it very much!" This is Yesmar. |
Mario would pretty much 80-20 Ike this year. For reals. Black Knight/Bowser really add nothing here. --- If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE] http://img.imgcake.com/finegifdy.gif |
12 more hours of this ugh. This round should have been 12 hour matches too --- Not changing this sig until the Bengals, Bills, Browns and Lions win the Super Bowl (10/10/10) The most American Canadian on Board 8 - #9 Bro on Board 8 |
12 hour matches should be our standard. --- "Tebow losing is basically the same thing as Christ suffering on the cross." ~SmartMuffin |
I'm
sure Luster has more reliable numbers, but based on last year's
Brawl/Fallout 3 match (probably the only "normal" 24-hour match we had),
we're on pace for about 51-52k votes here. If that is indeed the
standard of votals we can look forward to, this will be the least
popular contest in site history, behind even 2002. --- Yoblazer: http://oi52.tinypic.com/ad21i1.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
It's
hard to go from almost a tripling to over a quadrupling in two years
without a reason, and SMG2 alone isn't enough. It's hard to ignore how
much stronger Bowser is than Black Knight, and we've seen that rivalries
matter this contest too. Ike/BK suffers from what Captain Falcon/Black
Shadow and Ness/Giygas had to struggle with: their rivalry comes from
their original series, not the series they're most enjoyed in. It
shouldn't be a surprise this is a bigger blow-out than Mario/Ike alone. Mario might beat Ike worse now than before, but at this time there's not much to support Mario suddenly beating Ike like this one-on-one. --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg Nominate E P O N A. |
The
site is dying......and I kind of doubt we'll get a 2002-esque final
week to save this contest. Though, that contest had a horribly boring
first round too. Just give me my Mario/Crono rematch now that votals are this low, Bacon! --- 90s games > 00s games |
How
is it hard? It's a swing of just 5%. With the way Brawl has dropped
off, FE has disappeared, and Mario has remained relevant I'd be
absolutely floored if he didn't do this to Ike solo now. --- If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE] http://img.imgcake.com/finegifdy.gif |
are you guys thinking this is an impressive performance or something? --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
From: FFDragon | #079 You realize the jump from 75% to 80% is equal to the jump from 66% to 75%, right? The higher the percentage, the harder it is to increase. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
From: transcience | #080 Nah, this is pretty expected. --- http://i.minus.com/iH9vIGOBoyTQ2.gif |
I still say this lame format is the reason votals are so much lower than GotD. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
The updater froze like an hour ago. Not sure if anyone's been tracking those updates. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
I've
been tracking them. I was prepared just incase that happened. I'll
start manually triggering updates until this gets fixed. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Nice work, Luster. And great job chugging last night, champ. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Yep, which is why we're still on Mario vs. Ike. --- http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/2369/mythbattlers.jpg http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png |
makes sense i guess, this contest is quite small. Also Kirby/sOnic? who to go for? My bracket i have Sonic but Might go for Kirby in battle. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/nl7420.gif |
You realize the jump from 75% to 80% is equal to the jump from 66% to 75%, right? The higher the percentage, the harder it is to increase. Indeed. However, I was thinking going from 75% to 80% was equal to going from 68.75% to 75%, using basic x-stat calculations. Maybe I'm wrong there. But to really show a difference blowouts can make with percentage shifts, moving from 75% to 80% is equal to going from 90% to 92%, assuming my calculations are even remotely correct. Of course, we should keep in mind that the bigger the blowout, the bigger the disparity between day voters and night voters, too, from what I can tell. Not that it's worth trying to actually calculate the vote swing (I've tried it before), since it seems WAY more inconsistent than predicting final match percentages via x-stats. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
The
updater is only working because I'm manually triggering the updates.
It won't be fixed until creativename adjusts the updater for these 24
hour matches. I also emailed creativename with the missing updates, so
those can be added once he checks my email. PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/19/2011 12:28:57 PM | message detail | quote I'm sure Luster has more reliable numbers, but based on last year's Brawl/Fallout 3 match (probably the only "normal" 24-hour match we had), we're on pace for about 51-52k votes here. If that is indeed the standard of votals we can look forward to, this will be the least popular contest in site history, behind even 2002. Yes, this contest will finish behind 2002 for votals. Even round 1 of the 2002 contest had an average of 60272 votes, and we probably looking at an average of 53000 votes for the rest of the contest. Very disappointing, because a 53000 average is just slightly above the average of 49925 votes for every non-contest poll from September 1st to November 2nd. These contests aren't bringing in the votes anymore, and have been reduced to pulling in votals similar to non-contest polls. red sox 777 | Posted 11/19/2011 12:44:58 PM | message detail | quote The site is dying......and I kind of doubt we'll get a 2002-esque final week to save this contest. Though, that contest had a horribly boring first round too. The 2002 contest was somewhat unique in that votals spiked considerably in the later rounds of the contest. The contest was still a fairly niche thing in the beginning that was closely followed by only a small, hardcore group of people. You could blame the later rounds getting much higher votes on the remaining characters being better at drawing in votes, but that alone wouldn't cause the votals to spike like crazy in round 3 and beyond. More frequent rallying in the later rounds probably boosted site traffic quite a bit, plus you could even say that more people became interested in the contest by round 3 and beyond. As I pointed out earlier, round 1 of the 2002 had an average of 60272 votes. Round 2 was only slightly better, at 64292. In round 3 and beyond, the average was 89922. This contest won't be pulling off that sort of spike at all. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Because this contest is pretty lame and site traffic being much lower than it was couple of years ago , these all-time low votals are to be expected I do wonder how much better the votals would be if this was character battle IX . --- .... |
But this is kinda.You think people vote for rivalries instead of characters? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
People
care about games (and series, and probably consoles) more than
characters. And they probably care about characters more than rivalries. --- Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ. (Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!) |
From: Kotetsu534 | #096 I've heard people argue this, but Character Battles have almost always had the highest vote totals. I don't think that's just a coincidence. --- http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/2369/mythbattlers.jpg http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png |
Kotetsu534 posted... People care about games (and series, and probably consoles) more than characters. And they probably care about characters more than rivalries. I can't speak for others, but I prefer character contests. Game contests are something you see quite a bit on other sites, but characters is what made Gamefaqs unique until Gamespot did a rip off in recent years. --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
If Games Contest had aired in the peak GameFAQs years, they'd have gotten just as many. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
With
these terrible votals, and if site traffic keeps on declining at the
rate its been for the last two years, this may very well be our last
contest. --- "anyone who's citing Elder Scrolls as a decent game is obviously very casual." MarioFanaticXV |
