GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1021
Occupy Mushroom Kingdom, overthrow Mario's dictatorship! If that's too much to ask for......just let poor Bowser win once? ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. --- 90s games > 00s games |
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Somewhere in a parallel universe, Modern Bowser meets Classic Bowser. Classic: Do we ever win? Modern: Well, that depends on what you mean by "win!" Classic: Beating Mario. Modern: Oh...Then no. --- http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/2369/mythbattlers.jpg http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png |
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator] |
Because of joke voter factor or whatever. Also, because I said so. --- "I'll tell you Sess' placement in an hour" - l3fty "OK, Ryan f***ing Seacrest" - Sess |
You underestimated Hitler. That's all. Also, 60% breached --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png |
I had a 77.76% prediction here... by far the worst of the whole contest. --- I think I broke the LOL |
Your daily reminder that Mario/Crono > All these rivalries --- 90s games > 00s games |
Robotnik's
here for the 2d games, not anything afterwards. as you said, he's
iconic. I actually question his icon status -- I think it's more like
he's old -- but I'm not really a Sonic fan. he's on that Dr. Wily tier
of well-known villains that nobody really cares about. they're not
offensive but nobody is going to point to it as a classic gaming
rivalry. --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
I
dunno. We'll see what happens. I would rather have Sonic/Knuckles here.
This match wouldn't even be questionable if Sonic/Knuckles is here
instead, but whaddya gonna do? --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonpngpe.png http://img.imgcake.com/squalloweenpngem.png |
I'm
seriously worried Kirby could win. I wanted to pick the upset badly,
then the pictures went up and yeah. Kirby is so much more photogenic. --- "Ultimaterializer: Bigger, Better, Brilliant." -Sess |
Kirby
always has good pics. It's practically a part of his innate strength at
this point. If you don't expect Kirby to have a pic advantage, I don't
know what to tell you! --- http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/Squall.jpg |
I made the picture, dude. I'm just saying, Sonic doesn't even look bad but it's freaking Kirby with MK's mask on. --- Has anyone really been far even as decided to use even go want to do look more like? |
Well, yeah. I'm just saying you should automatically factor it into Kirby's strength to begin with at this point. When does Kirby ever have bad match pics? --- http://i.imgur.com/fe05x.png http://i.imgur.com/stNJf.png |
So will these 24 hour matches start only at night from now on? --- Official Marth of the SSBU Board Sign here http://bit.ly/qqDDST and copy this to your sig if you want Majora's Mask 3D. |
Votals are surprisingly low for a rallied match. --- Black: 3310-7431-2094 |
The ralliers probably gave up about two hours into this match. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
From: LeonhartFour | #015 That's cool. I like it better that way. This should be much more interesting from here on...Maybe... --- Official Marth of the SSBU Board Sign here http://bit.ly/qqDDST and copy this to your sig if you want Majora's Mask 3D. |
Round 2 is going to be boring >_> --- Black: 3310-7431-2094 |
It's so disappointing that everything is going to 24 hour from now on :/ --- Love was invented by guys like me, to sell nylons. |
GranzonEx posted... Round 2 is going to be boring >_> Agreed. Outside a couple matches it's gonna be a very boring two weeks. --- ------ --------- |
Can't wait to see some trends, though we'll have to wait till Monday. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 29/30 Today: Dante/Vergil & Sora/Riku |
Mario vs. Bowser 100% 5 Ike vs. Black Knight 0% 0 TOTAL VOTES 5 --- Moltar Status: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/60973141 Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Mario vs. Bowser 75% 6 Ike vs. Black Knight 25% 2 TOTAL VOTES 8 --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/384) Melee v FFX |
Vote Accepted Mario vs. Bowser 72.73% 24 Ike vs. Black Knight 27.27% 9 TOTAL VOTES 33 --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
you silly, Ike-loving board --- ~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 31st Today's Prediction: Sora / Riku - 61.68% |
My spreeeeead! --- Yes, I laugh at my own jokes Sign here http://bit.ly/qqDDST and copy this to your sig if you want Majora's Mask 3D. |
89.43% for Sora/Riku Not many biting on Hitler, looks like. --- http://www.gifsoup.com/view/593815/frasier-and-niles-dance-o.gif |
Mario/Bowser over 75% now --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 31/32 Today: Mario/Bowser |
oh nvm --- Yes, I laugh at my own jokes Sign here http://bit.ly/qqDDST and copy this to your sig if you want Majora's Mask 3D. |
Here comes 80% --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
Ohh lost it. |
Conker/Poo gonna look bad in stats. Next match plz --- http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
Over 81% now. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
This looks JUST as expected. Too boring... --- I think I broke the LOL |
only 23 hours, 55 minutes left --- ~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 31st Today's Prediction: Sora / Riku - 61.68% |
Lets if we lose any negligent perfects today (zero lost yesterday). I'm not expecting more than a small handful. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
god this contest blows --- If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE] http://img.imgcake.com/finegifdy.gif |
5 minute X-Stats for this half of the division: Mario vs. Bowser – 50.00% Ike vs. Black Knight – 18.74% Conker vs. The Great Mighty Poo – 15.21% Earthworm Jim vs. Queen Slug-for-a-Butt – 14.64% --- http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/2369/mythbattlers.jpg http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png |
28 Luis_Sera89 YES --- "Eet's game time..." |
Since
this is the end of Day/Night matches here's the full update. From now
until our 10th match this round I will only be listing top 10s in
biggest blowouts, closest matches and most/least predictable matches
then I will list top 5 24 hour matches in the other categories. Top 10 Biggest Blowouts 1. Mario/Bowser – 85.36% vs. Earthworm Jim/Queen SFAB – 14.64% - Round 1 – 70.72% 2. Link/Ganondorf – 85.30% vs. Arthas/Illidan – 14.70% - Round 1 – 70.60% 3. Dante/Vergil – 82.59% vs. Sol Badguy/Ky Kiske – 17.41% - Round 1 – 65.18% 4. Ryu/Ken – 81.63% vs. Ratchet/Dr. Nefarious – 18.37% - Round 1 – 63.26% 5. Samus Aran/Ridley – 80.64% vs. The Kid/The Guy – 19.36% - Round 1 – 61.28% 6. Mega Man X/Zero – 80.45% vs. Captain Falcon/Black Shadow – 19.55% - Round 1 – 60.90% 7. Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker – 79.22% vs. Dan Hibiki/Sagat – 20.78% - Round 1 – 58.44% 8. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – 78.66% vs. Vyse/Glacian – 21.34% - Round 1 – 57.32% 9. Mega Man/Dr. Wily – 77.48% vs. Banjo/Gruntilda – 22.52% - Round 1 – 54.96% 10. Red/Blue – 76.92% vs. Jim Raynor/Sarah Kerrigan – 23.08% - Round 1 – 53.84% Top 5 Biggest Night Vote Gaps 1. Mario/Bowser – 27148 vs. Earthworm Jim/Queen SFAB – 4657 – Round 1 – 22491 2. Link/Ganondorf – 26674 vs. Arthas/Illidan – 4598 – Round 1 - 22076 3. Red/Blue – 26432 vs. Jim Raynor/Sarah Kerrigan – 7931 – Round 1 – 18501 4. Ryu/Ken – 23262 vs. Ratchet/Dr. Nefarious – 5235 – Round 1 – 18027 5. Samus Aran/Ridley – 23136 vs. The Kid/The Guy – 5555 – Round 1 - 17581 Top 5 Biggest Day Vote Gaps 1. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – 26786 vs. Vyse/Glacian – 7265 – Round 1 – 19521 2. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – 29957 vs. Leon Kennedy/Ada Wong – 10956 – Round 1 – 19001 3. Mega Man/Dr. Wily – 25911 vs. Banjo/Gruntilda – 7530 – Round 1 - 18381 4. Sonic/Dr. Robotnik – 29020 vs. Katherine/Catherine – 10667 – Round 1 – 18353 5. Kratos/Zeus – 24533 vs. Professor Layton/Don Paolo – 8566 – Round 1 – 15967 Top 10 Closest Matches 1. Luigi/Waluigi – 55.28% vs. Cecil Harvey/Golbez – 44.72% - Round 1 – 10.56% 2. Siegfried/Nightmare – 55.68% vs. Ramza Beoulve/Delita Hyral – 44.32% - Round 1 – 11.36% 3. Frog/Magus – 56.13% vs. Raiden/Vamp – 43.87% - Round 1 – 12.26% 4. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – 56.56% vs. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – 43.44% - Round 1 – 13.12% 5. Kirby/Meta Knight – 58.47% vs. Jill Valentine/Nemesis – 41.53% - Round 1 – 16.94% 6. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – 58.77% vs. Crono/Lavos – 41.23% – Round 1 – 17.54% 7. Chell/GlaDOS – 59.07% vs. Ness/Giygas – 40.93% - Round 1 – 18.14% 8. Ike/Black Knight – 59.42% vs. Conker/Great Mighty Poo – 40.58% - Round 1 – 18.84% 9. Big Boss/The Boss – 59.64% vs. Tidus/Jecht – 40.36% - Round 1 – 19.28% 10. Donkey Kong/King K. Rool – 60.20% vs. Ezio/Rodrigo – 39.80% - Round 1 – 20.40% Top 5 Smallest Night Vote Gaps 1. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – 15111 vs. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – 11606 – Round 1 – 3505 2. Chell/GlaDOS – 16196 vs. Ness/Giygas – 11223 – Round 1 - 4973 3. Kirby/Meta Knight – 17837 vs. Jill Valentine/Nemesis – 12671 – Round 1 – 5166 4. Pac-Man/Blinky – 15151 vs. Crash Bandicoot/Dr. Neo Cortex – 8706 – Round 1 - 6445 5. Donkey Kong/King K. Rool – 19148 vs. Ezio/Rodrigo – 12660 – Round 1 – 6488 Top 5 Smallest Day Vote Gaps 1. Siegfried/Nightmare – 16797 vs. Ramza Beoulve/Delita Hyral – 13368 – Round 1 - 3429 2. Luigi/Waluigi – 21861 vs. Cecil Harvey/Golbez – 17685 – Round 1 – 4176 3. Frog/Magus – 19662 vs. Raiden/Vamp – 15368 – Round 1- 4294 4. Solid Snake/Liquid Snake – 22190 vs. Crono/Lavos – 15565 – Round 1 - 6625 5. Ike/Black Knight – 22959 vs. Conker/Great Mighty Poo – 15677 – Round 1 – 7282 --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 31/32 Today: Mario/Bowser |
Top 5 Most Popular Night Polls 1. Red/Blue vs. Jim Raynor/Sarah Kerrigan – Round 1 - 34363 2. Donkey Kong/King K. Rool vs. Ezio/Rodrigo – Round 1 – 31808 3. Mario/Bowser vs. Earthworm Jim/Queen SFAB – Round 1 – 31805 4. Link/Ganondorf vs. Arthas/Illidan – Round 1 - 31272 5. Kirby/Meta Knight vs. Jill Valentine/Nemesis – Round 1 - 30508 Top 5 Most Popular Day Polls 1. Sub-Zero/Scorpion vs. Leon Kennedy/Ada Wong – Round 1 – 40913 2. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Tidus/Jecht – Round 1 - 40009 3. Sonic/Dr. Robotnik vs. Katherine/Catherine – Round 1 – 39687 4. Fox McCloud/Wolf O’Donnell vs. Yuna/Seymour Guado – Round 1- 39658 5. Luigi/Waluigi vs. Cecil Harvey/Golbez – Round 1 - 39546 Top 5 Least Popular Night Polls 1. Pac-Man/Blinky vs. Crash Bandicoot/Dr. Neo Cortex – Round 1 – 23857 2. Dante/Vergil vs. Sol Badguy/Ky Kiske – Round 1 - 23911 3. Zidane Tribal/Kuja vs. Meat Boy/Dr. Fetus – Round 1 – 24721 4. Squall Leonhart/Seifer Almasy vs. Laharl/Mid-Boss – Round 1 - 25924 5. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth vs. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – Round 1 - 26717 Top 5 Least Popular Day Polls 1. Siegfried/Nightmare vs. Ramza Beoulve/Delita Hyral – Round 1 - 30165 2. Amaterasu/Orochi vs. Tom Nook/Crazy Redd – Round 1 - 30862 3. Bartz/Gilgamesh vs. Guybrush/LeChuck – Round 1 – 31360 4. Kratos/Zeus vs. Professor Layton/Don Paolo – Round 1 - 33099 5. Mega Man/Dr. Wily vs. Banjo/Gruntilda – Round 1 - 33441 Top 5 Highest Individual Team Night Votes 1. Mario/Bowser – Round 1 – 27148 2. Link/Ganondorf – Round 1 - 26674 3. Red/Blue – Round 1 – 26432 4. Ryu/Ken – Round 1 – 23262 5. Samus Aran/Ridley – Round 1 - 23136 Top 5 Highest Individual Team Day Votes 1. Sub-Zero/Scorpion – Round 1 - 29957 2. Sonic/Dr. Robotnik – Round 1 – 29020 3. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo – Round 1 – 26786 4. Mega Man/Dr. Wily – Round 1 – 25911 5. Alucard/Dracula – Round 1 - 24593 Top 5 Lowest Individual Team Night Votes 1. Sol Badguy/Ky Kiske – Round 1 - 4162 2. Arthas/Illidan – Round 1 - 4598 3. Earthworm Jim/Queen SFAB – Round 1 – 4657 4. Ratchet/Dr. Nefarious – Round 1 - 5235 5. Captain Falcon/Black Shadow – Round 1 – 5531 Top 5 Lowest Individual Team Day Votes 1. Vyse/Glacian – Round 1 – 7265 2. Banjo/Gruntilda – Round 1 – 7530 3. Professor Layton/Don Paolo - 8566 4. Tom Nook/Crazy Redd - 10148 5. Katherine/Catherine – Round 1 – 10667 --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 31/32 Today: Mario/Bowser |
Yesterday's chart: Time | Soriku | BJ Hitler | Votes 0:05 | 61.08% | 38.92% | 465 1:00 | 56.70% | 43.30% | 4894 2:00 | 52.32% | 47.68% | 4528 3:00 | 56.87% | 43.13% | 3958 4:00 | 60.37% | 39.63% | 3603 5:00 | 63.83% | 36.17% | 3417 6:00 | 62.44% | 37.56% | 3096 7:00 | 62.87% | 37.13% | 3049 8:00 | 62.50% | 37.50% | 2685 9:00 | 64.45% | 35.55% | 2394 10:00 | 64.69% | 35.31% | 2263 11:00 | 64.33% | 35.67% | 2114 12:00 | 61.77% | 38.23% | 1967 You can kind of see the rallying take effect and then quickly die off. Also, beware of that Kingdom Hearts NIGHT VOTE, folks! Looks like Sora and Riku have added another tool to their repertoire! --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Top 5 Least Impressive Night Winners 1. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth – Round 1 – 15111 2. Pac-Man/Blinky – Round 1 - 15151 3. Zidane Tribal/Kuja – Round 1 – 15973 4. Chell/GlaDOS – Round 1 - 16196 5. Kirby/Meta Knight – Round 1 – 17837 Top 5 Least Impressive Day Winners 1. Siegfried/Nightmare – Round 1 - 16797 2. Frog/Magus – Round 1 - 19662 3. Bartz/Gilgamesh – Round 1 – 20147 4. Amaterasu/Orochi – Round 1 - 20714 5. Luigi/Waluigi – Round 1 – 21861 Top 5 Most Impressive Night Losers 1. Jill Valentine/Nemesis – Round 1 – 12671 2. Ezio/Rodrigo – Round 1 – 12660 3. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – 11606 4. Ness/Giygas - 11223 5. Meat Boy/Dr. Fetus – Round 1 - 8748 Top 5 Most Impressive Day Losers 1. Cecil Harvey/Golbez – Round 1 – 17685 2. Tidus/Jecht – Round 1 – 16148 3. Conker/Great Mighty Poo – Round 1 – 15677 4. Crono/Lavos – Round 1 - 15565 5. Yuna/Seymour – Round 1 – 15498 Top 10 Easiest Matches to Predict 1. Mario/Bowser vs. Earthworm Jim/Queen SFAB – Round 1 – 98.96% 2. Link/Ganondorf vs. Arthas/Illidan – Round 1 – 97.51% 3. Cloud Strife/Sephiroth vs. Lloyd Irving/Kratos Aurion – Round 1 – 96.54% 4. Samus Aran/Ridley vs. The Kid/The Guy – Round 1 – 96.25% 5. Dante/Vergil vs. Sol Badguy/Ky Kiske – Round 1 – 95.29% 6. Sonic/Dr. Robotnik vs. Katherine/Catherine – Round 1 – 94.48% 7. Terra Branford/Kefka Palazzo vs. Vyse/Glacian – Round 1 – 92.22% 8. Kratos/Zeus vs. Professor Layton/Don Paolo – Round 1 – 92.13% 9. Mega Man/Dr. Wily vs. Banjo/Gruntilda – Round 1 – 91.92% 10. Ryu/Ken vs. Ratchet/Dr. Nefarious – Round 1 – 91.68% Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict 1. Big Boss/The Boss vs. Tidus/Jecht – Round 1 – 55.06% 2. Phoenix Wright/Miles Edgeworth vs. Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen – Round 1 – 57.30% 3. Luigi/Waluigi vs. Cecil Harvey/Golbez – Round 1 – 60.19% 4. Ike/Black Knight vs. Conker/Great Mighty Poo – Round 1 – 63.37% 5. Frog/Magus vs. Raiden/Vamp – Round 1 – 66.12% 6. Alucard/Dracula vs. Commander Shepard/Saren – Round 1 – 67.82% 7. Siegfried/Nightmare vs. Ramza Beoulve/Delita Hyral – Round 1 – 68.03% 8. Kirby/Meta Knight vs. Jill Valentine/Nemesis – Round 1 – 69.43% 9. Bartz/Gilgamesh vs. Guybrush/LeChuck – Round 1 – 69.70% 10. Fox McCloud/Wolf O’Donnell vs. Yuna/Seymour Guado – Round 1 – 70.40% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 31/32 Today: Mario/Bowser |
It's like you guys have never participated in a contest before. Nothing new about the first match of R2 being between an elite and fodder. Or 24 hours matches. |
Clearly SBAllen is giving you guys a free day to do something else. --- http://img.imgcake.com/whitelens/gokfriendsjpgym.jpg |
From: WhiteLens | #046 That was what the day before the finals was supposed to be! --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
42 legendmusketeer (139 alt entries) 32 Link vs. Ganondorf Whoa, whoa, since when did he start including alts on the bracket leaderboard? And what, 140 account? Is this guy even from Board 8? --- Hear me, Amaterasu |
My money's on Luster. He did that last contest because Luster did the same thing and had the entire leaderboard at one point. --- Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite? |
Luster has already said it's not him. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
