GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1020
Rallyless BJ/Adolf puts it at around what I expect so I don't see how this should change anyone's opinions on Dante/Sora --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 29/30 Today: Dante/Vergil & Sora/Riku |
From: WarThaNemesis2 | #305 Great post. --- "Link has spoken for years. And music is his language" -YoBlazer |
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/18/2011 8:21:49 PM | message detail | quote This match is now right on par with Ike's votals and will likely fall behind soon (this is after it was up by at least a couple thousand early on). 3:10 PM was when this match ahead of Ike's votals by 1551. Since then, the Ike match has finally broken even with this match at 8:22 PM and there's still about 3 1/2 hours left. This match should end up finishing about 300-500 votes behind the Ike match. Total rallied votes should be about 1500, and that's for both sides though. With round 2 starting later tonight, we'll get to see how many votes they can get in 24 hours. The night matches from this contest had an average of 28354 votes (about 53000 votes in 24 hours). The Trainers had the highest votals, at 34363. Crash/Pac-Man had the least, at 23857. Also, it seems like votals have just gotten worse since the first week of the contest. We just finished round 1 with 7 straight night matches with under 30000 votes. Site traffic appears to be increasing this month, based on this: http://traffic.alexa.com/graph?&w=800&h=440&o=f&c=1&y=t&b=ffffff&n=666666&r=1y&u=gamefaqs.com We hit rock bottom at the end of September, but the spike in that graph is right around the release date of Skyrim. The increase in traffic doesn't seem to have any impact on the votals yet. I'll wait until the end of this month to see how they fare. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
man, I was worried about them losing for a while there and figured my oracle was screwed. now it's too low jokes vs. Kingdom Hearts in the day, the worst combination --- xyzzy |
I'm expecting us to average about 45k-50k votes in 24 hour matches. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 29/30 Today: Dante/Vergil & Sora/Riku |
So, who else has the Ike over Mario upset going tomorrow? --- Chex Warrior (Chex Quest) for CB2011 |
That upset has a 0% chance to happen. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
It's
really annoying that this will be Ike's 3rd year in a row where he gets
saddled with Nintendo SFF. We still don't have a very good read on the
guy. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2011 9:27:49 PM | message detail | quote I'm expecting us to average about 45k-50k votes in 24 hour matches. That seems slightly below what I'm thinking. I would say it would be about 45000-60000 votes in 24 hour matches. In fact, only the Trainers match from this round would end up breaking 60000 votes in a 24 hour match. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Glad that 24-hour matches are returning tomorrow. I miss them. --- 90s games > 00s games |
From: YoAriel33 | #449 Your pictures are SO GOOD. Well, the sprites are. Not really feeling the models you picked for the foreground there, no offense. (Still better than what I did, I'm really in err with the round 1 style I went with this season) (Double edit, dude I used those same two sprites in the banner I made, GREAT MINDS THINK ALIKE SON) --- "If a bunch of foxes invade your house you wouldn't say your house has a disease. You would just kill them all with chemicals." -WackJackman |
From: WarThaNemesis2 | #439 <__________________________< From: vcharon | #445 More like "I got modded, time to bail before I get embarrassed even further". Though it's called having time management skills. Since you're literally obsessed, I'll give you the itinerary after you cool off. It's not hard to find some free time. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· "You can't win with a fun entry!" -SBAllen |
We need to do a Mike and Mike jingle for being Literally Obsessed. --- Ngirl is a toll bridge - Wigs Gotta pay if you want to come inside! - Ngirl |
let's rank round 2 matches 16. Mario vs. Ike vs. Ike vs. something or other another contest, another Mario SFF round 2 match. feels like it happens every year. 15. Link/Ganondorf vs. Amaterasu/something man, this isn't even going to be fun. you can argue it should be lost solely because Link is going to go so big that it'll make the whole contest feel pointless. 14. Squall/Seifer vs. Siegfried/Nightmare this match has some implications for round 3 vs. Dante/Sora, but damn if it's going to be actually interesting. 13. Mega Man/Wily vs. Zidane Kuja this'll be an easy doubling if not worse, and then Mega Man gets fed to Link. oh well, at least there's another one of him in the bracket. --- xyzzy |
Those models are straight from UMVC3. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
12. X/Zero vs. Bartz/Gilgamesh there's some X/Zero vs. Sub/Scorp hype in my head that makes me curious to see how this goes. in reality, it's no better than MM/Zidane. 11. Snakes vs. Pac-Man/Blinky another easy match. curious to see if Pac's 'rivalry' can do some good or if Snake can prove he's worthy of Cloud. 10. Cloud/Seph vs. Kratos/Zeus no one votes for 15 minutes. Cloud/Seph should thrive in this match because man, this site does not want to back Kratos. 9. Samus/Ridley vs. Terra/Kefka Samus has been piled on since before her first match. time to see if she's legit or a fake. no, The Guy isn't a barometer at all. --- xyzzy |
another contest, another Mario SFF round 2 match. feels like it happens every year. Well it didn't happen in the last character contest OH SNAP (Round 2 was Mario vs. Big Boss) --- ~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 31st Today's Prediction: Sora / Riku - 61.68% |
oh cool we'll get stars and turds soon. Star Subby/Scorpion Turd Luigi/Waluigi lol --- My Japanese alter-ego. Hey all this is Bartz btw. |
8. Bosses vs. Chris/Wesker Boss has a showdown with Samus coming up; also, Chris and Wesker went to town in round 1. curious to see how close they can hang in round 2. 7. Sub/Scorp vs. DK/KK Rool Sub/Scorp won't be threatened here, but DK might be more iconic than Sub/Scorp to some. plus, Nintendo. also, X/Zero waiting in the wings so if Sub can pull another huge result, this match could get some more discussion. 6. Ryu/Ken vs. Fox/Wolf same as above. Ryu's setting up for the Red/Blue matchup and people have been really hyping them as a top 5 pairing (which seems crazy to me, but what do I know). if they can do 70% here, I'll believe in them. 5. Red/Blue vs. Luigi/Waluigi what a goofy match. I really have no idea how this goes. Red/Blue should win, and maybe even win big, but I can't say I truly know what's going on. --- xyzzy |
That
seems slightly below what I'm thinking. I would say it would be about
45000-60000 votes in 24 hour matches. In fact, only the Trainers match
from this round would end up breaking 60000 votes in a 24 hour match. Based on your average for night matches, adjusted we should get about 51k-53k votes a match, but the last few matches have been below the average which makes me feel we'll get under 50k. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 29/30 Today: Dante/Vergil & Sora/Riku |
4. Phoenix/Edgeworth vs. Alucard/Dracula should be an easy win for Alucard... but I don't know, I don't feel completely comfortable here. low votals, Phoenix, blah blah blah. 3. Sonic/Robotnik vs. Kirby/Meta Knight I'm truly scared of this match. I don't care if you guys aren't. I won't be amazed if Sonic runs away with it, but at the same time, Kirby's almost definitely going to be ahead at the beginning (after brackets) and could really spook Sonic here. 2. Chell/Glados vs. Frog/Magus I really have zero idea what to expect here. Frog/Magus always underwhelm me but Chell is a nobody. feels super weird having a nobody like Chell beat a pairing from a top 5-7 game on this website, but here we are. 1. Dante/Vergil vs. Sora/Riku there's a surge towards Dante here. I really am looking forward to seeing how this goes. I am pretty firmly on Sora's side, but something about it feels like it could be special, you know? --- xyzzy |
Match XXXIII: (1) Mario/Bowser vs. (5) Ike/Black Knight Previous Round Mario/Bowser – 85.36% Earthworm Jim/Queen Slug-for-a-Butt – 14.64% Conker/The Great Mighty Poo – 40.58% Ike/Black Knight – 59.42% Analysis Round 2 and now we’re in for matches with 24 hours, say hello to vote trends and slightly higher vote totals. When SBAllen asked for suggestions for a new contest my suggestion and probably a few other people was to make the contest have 24 hour matches once we were down to 32 entrants. It allows voting trends to emerge and it only adds just over 2 weeks to the contest which isn’t too much. This match was never going to have much debate, especially since Mario and Ike had a match against each other in the last contest. Overall I feel the match is going to be a larger blowout than the near tripling that we saw in the previous contest. Bowser obviously adds more strength to the pairing and trumps any rivalry strength that Black Knight would add though to a player that has played both series I wouldn’t necessarily say that Mario and Bowser will gaining a lot more from rivalry factor. I wasn’t impressed with the performance Ike and Black Knight had last round. It could have been The Great Mighty Poo gaining joke votes, but I do feel that Smash fans abandoning Ike and Black Knight because they never played Fire Emblem and thus don’t know about the rivalry had something to do with it. Honestly I feel Mario and Bowser could ride the SFF wave to an almost 80% win. Not the best way to start 24 hour matches. charmander6000’s Bracket: Mario/Bowser > Ike/Black Knight charmander6000’s Prediction: Mario/Bowser wins, 79.32% - 20.68% --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 29/30 Today: Dante/Vergil & Sora/Riku |
From: transience | #471 Kirby never grabbed the lead in their 1v1 last year. Sonic held at 54% pretty much the whole 12 hours. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
we'll see! (Meta Knight definitely a better partner than Robotnik, damn you Knuckles) --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
Looks
like Sora/Riku will clear 60% here and could maybe have enough time to
go for 61%, but maybe not. It might be interesting to see how many
people thought Hitler would advance when it ends too. --- http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9 |
red sox 777 posted... Glad that 24-hour matches are returning tomorrow. I miss them. Gross, why? All of these matches have been lame. Why would you want them to be longer? --- For your BlAcK TuRtLe. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2011 9:56:26 PM | message detail | quote Based on your average for night matches, adjusted we should get about 51k-53k votes a match, but the last few matches have been below the average which makes me feel we'll get under 50k. Overall average probably ends up being about 52000 like you pointed out, but of course this is round 2 instead of round 1. And round 2 matches should bring in slightly more votes than round 1, just because a lot of fodder has been knocked out. Between September 1st and November 2nd, non-contest polls only averaged 49925 votes, so round 2 matches will be just slightly above that. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
every contest has lame matches. There's something to be said for 24-hour affairs, though I think I prefer 12-hour ones. For one thing, I definitely think a 24-hour epic is better. A Frog/Liquid, or even a Sonic/Crono. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/59xiiipngpy.png |
Gross, why? All of these matches have been lame. Why would you want them to be longer? That's probably why. These 12-hour matches have been lame, so hopefully the 24-hour ones will be better. --- 90s games > 00s games |
Yeah, you just can't match the intensity of a great 24-hour match with anything in 12-hour matches. --- 90s games > 00s games |
Yeah,
Sonic/Kirby was 53.76% at the freeze. Kirby/Meta Knight got off to a
great start against Jill/Nemesis for sure, but I really don't think this
match turns out all that close. Meta Knight is better than Robotnik
1-on-1, but this isn't as simple as "Kirby + Meta Knight >= Sonic +
Robotnik." --- http://img600.imageshack.us/img600/8718/leonflowchart.png |
I think you're discounting Kirby's chances considering he won in 2008. Though I have Sonic and don't feel bad about it. --- 90s games > 00s games |
From: red sox 777 | #482 Under circumstances that won't be in effect for this match. So I'm not too worried. --- http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/Squall.jpg |
Hey
guys, I have a question: What is going on in this match?! I expected
Sora/Riku to easily break 75% here! Why are they being so weak? --- I think I broke the LOL |
nor will the most recent match but people keep pointing to that! I'm not saying that Kirby/Meta Knight > Sonic/Robotnik, I'm saying Meta Knight brings more to the table than Robotnik does. --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
How much of an impact does Sonic Generations have on this match? --- Woop woop woop woop woop woop woop |
I have never gotten a 1 on 1 Sonic match wrong, so let's hope this counts. --- Behold the majesty that is Doom. Feast upon his greatness, and know you will never measure up. http://img.imgcake.com/Punny/scenemaybecompletepngre.png |
From: Pondos | #486 Probably not much. Although Robotnik is pretty awesome in it. From: transcience | #485 Well, it's a more legit result than Kirby's win! And I'm not so sure I agree Meta Knight brings more to the table, because I think that, while Robotnik is pretty weak on his own, paired together with Sonic, it makes for a "classic" rivalry. I can't see Kirby/Meta Knight winning this because of RIVALRY FACTOR --- http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/Squall.jpg |
I
took Kirby and Meta Knight because I felt Meta Knight brings more to
the table than Dr. Robotnik. Either way I feel that match will be
closer than what it was last year. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 29/30 Today: Dante/Vergil & Sora/Riku |
Robotnik is hardly Bowser. find me a Robotnik fan! there's a reason the dude has only made it into villain-friendly contests. --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
I like Robotnik. --- Ngirl is a toll bridge - Wigs Gotta pay if you want to come inside! - Ngirl |
Well, he doesn't have to be Bowser to win this one. It's not like I'm predicting a win over the Snakes! I think he does enough. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
dammit --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
There's more to rivalries than iconic status. Rivalries aren't series. --- 90s games > 00s games |
From: red sox 777 | #495 This contest has been oddly similar to the Series Contest, so I'm not entirely sure I agree with this! --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
He also knows what's up with beans. --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg Nominate E P O N A. |
Let us never speak of the series contest --- http://www.funnycorner.net/funny-pictures/4834/big-boss.jpg |
Robotnik has actually been a pretty cool dude in the 3-D games, even in the really bad ones like Sonic 2006. --- http://img710.imageshack.us/img710/8516/whatisdesiresig.gif |
But Squall/Seifer > Link/Ganon --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |