GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1020

First | Previous | Page 10 of 10
#451 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2011 5:45:28 PM | message detail
Rallyless BJ/Adolf puts it at around what I expect so I don't see how this should change anyone's opinions on Dante/Sora
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 29/30 Today: Dante/Vergil & Sora/Riku
#452 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/18/2011 5:49:50 PM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #305
Achromatic posted...
From: WarThaNemesis2 | #303
It took all of the rallying power to get Hitler a 7 vote cut. He might be able to make it close %-wise, but this match is over.
can't sleep hitler will come back can't sleep hitler will come back.


First they came for Sora, and I did not speak up because I had Dante next round.

Then they came for Dante, and I did not speak up because I had Squall next round.


Great post.
---
"Link has spoken for years. And music is his language" -YoBlazer
#453 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/18/2011 5:51:17 PM | message detail | (edited)
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/18/2011 8:21:49 PM | message detail | quote
This match is now right on par with Ike's votals and will likely fall behind soon (this is after it was up by at least a couple thousand early on).


3:10 PM was when this match ahead of Ike's votals by 1551. Since then, the Ike match has finally broken even with this match at 8:22 PM and there's still about 3 1/2 hours left. This match should end up finishing about 300-500 votes behind the Ike match. Total rallied votes should be about 1500, and that's for both sides though.


With round 2 starting later tonight, we'll get to see how many votes they can get in 24 hours. The night matches from this contest had an average of 28354 votes (about 53000 votes in 24 hours). The Trainers had the highest votals, at 34363. Crash/Pac-Man had the least, at 23857. Also, it seems like votals have just gotten worse since the first week of the contest. We just finished round 1 with 7 straight night matches with under 30000 votes. Site traffic appears to be increasing this month, based on this:

http://traffic.alexa.com/graph?&w=800&h=440&o=f&c=1&y=t&b=ffffff&n=666666&r=1y&u=gamefaqs.com

We hit rock bottom at the end of September, but the spike in that graph is right around the release date of Skyrim. The increase in traffic doesn't seem to have any impact on the votals yet. I'll wait until the end of this month to see how they fare.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#454 | transience | Posted 11/18/2011 5:54:57 PM | message detail
man, I was worried about them losing for a while there and figured my oracle was screwed. now it's too low

jokes vs. Kingdom Hearts in the day, the worst combination
---
xyzzy
#455 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2011 6:27:49 PM | message detail
I'm expecting us to average about 45k-50k votes in 24 hour matches.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 29/30 Today: Dante/Vergil & Sora/Riku
#456 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/18/2011 6:30:49 PM | message detail
So, who else has the Ike over Mario upset going tomorrow?
---
Chex Warrior (Chex Quest) for CB2011
#457 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/18/2011 6:32:26 PM | message detail
That upset has a 0% chance to happen.
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
#458 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/18/2011 6:34:33 PM | message detail
It's really annoying that this will be Ike's 3rd year in a row where he gets saddled with Nintendo SFF. We still don't have a very good read on the guy.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#459 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/18/2011 6:35:38 PM | message detail
charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2011 9:27:49 PM | message detail | quote
I'm expecting us to average about 45k-50k votes in 24 hour matches.


That seems slightly below what I'm thinking. I would say it would be about 45000-60000 votes in 24 hour matches. In fact, only the Trainers match from this round would end up breaking 60000 votes in a 24 hour match.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#460 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2011 6:37:50 PM | message detail
Glad that 24-hour matches are returning tomorrow. I miss them.
---
90s games > 00s games
#461 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/18/2011 6:46:57 PM | message detail | (edited)

From: YoAriel33 | #449
Anyway, I really wanted to go 2/2 with X/Zero pics, but I can see why mine wasn't chosen. It looks too similar to their R1 match, but I still want to post it here. [/hubris]

http://oi40.tinypic.com/xc3v35.jpg

It's really easy to give these guys cool match pics.


Your pictures are SO GOOD.

Well, the sprites are. Not really feeling the models you picked for the foreground there, no offense.

(Still better than what I did, I'm really in err with the round 1 style I went with this season)

(Double edit, dude I used those same two sprites in the banner I made, GREAT MINDS THINK ALIKE SON)
---
"If a bunch of foxes invade your house you wouldn't say your house has a disease. You would just kill them all with chemicals." -WackJackman
#462 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/18/2011 6:46:21 PM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #439
Ulti, you're wrong, KP isn't the Tebow, you are.


<__________________________<

From: vcharon | #445
I suppose it's up to me to just leave the topic for now. God forbid I make a post and Ulti read it without trying to be an internet tough guy. Not sure how he's so quick to respond wherever and whenever I post, with that wife and all that school work. God bless him.


More like "I got modded, time to bail before I get embarrassed even further".

Though it's called having time management skills. Since you're literally obsessed, I'll give you the itinerary after you cool off. It's not hard to find some free time.
---
`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
"You can't win with a fun entry!" -SBAllen
#463 | Achromatic | Posted 11/18/2011 6:47:51 PM | message detail
We need to do a Mike and Mike jingle for being Literally Obsessed.
---
Ngirl is a toll bridge - Wigs
Gotta pay if you want to come inside! - Ngirl
#464 | transience | Posted 11/18/2011 6:47:55 PM | message detail
let's rank round 2 matches

16. Mario vs. Ike vs. Ike vs. something or other

another contest, another Mario SFF round 2 match. feels like it happens every year.

15. Link/Ganondorf vs. Amaterasu/something

man, this isn't even going to be fun. you can argue it should be lost solely because Link is going to go so big that it'll make the whole contest feel pointless.

14. Squall/Seifer vs. Siegfried/Nightmare

this match has some implications for round 3 vs. Dante/Sora, but damn if it's going to be actually interesting.

13. Mega Man/Wily vs. Zidane Kuja

this'll be an easy doubling if not worse, and then Mega Man gets fed to Link. oh well, at least there's another one of him in the bracket.
---
xyzzy
#465 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/18/2011 6:48:51 PM | message detail
Those models are straight from UMVC3.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#466 | transience | Posted 11/18/2011 6:51:01 PM | message detail
12. X/Zero vs. Bartz/Gilgamesh

there's some X/Zero vs. Sub/Scorp hype in my head that makes me curious to see how this goes. in reality, it's no better than MM/Zidane.

11. Snakes vs. Pac-Man/Blinky

another easy match. curious to see if Pac's 'rivalry' can do some good or if Snake can prove he's worthy of Cloud.

10. Cloud/Seph vs. Kratos/Zeus

no one votes for 15 minutes. Cloud/Seph should thrive in this match because man, this site does not want to back Kratos.

9. Samus/Ridley vs. Terra/Kefka

Samus has been piled on since before her first match. time to see if she's legit or a fake. no, The Guy isn't a barometer at all.
---
xyzzy
#467 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/18/2011 6:52:12 PM | message detail
another contest, another Mario SFF round 2 match. feels like it happens every year.

Well it didn't happen in the last character contest OH SNAP
(Round 2 was Mario vs. Big Boss)
---
~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 31st
Today's Prediction: Sora / Riku - 61.68%
#468 | KingButz | Posted 11/18/2011 6:52:32 PM | message detail
oh cool we'll get stars and turds soon.

Star Subby/Scorpion
Turd Luigi/Waluigi lol
---
My Japanese alter-ego.
Hey all this is Bartz btw.
#469 | transience | Posted 11/18/2011 6:54:08 PM | message detail
8. Bosses vs. Chris/Wesker

Boss has a showdown with Samus coming up; also, Chris and Wesker went to town in round 1. curious to see how close they can hang in round 2.

7. Sub/Scorp vs. DK/KK Rool

Sub/Scorp won't be threatened here, but DK might be more iconic than Sub/Scorp to some. plus, Nintendo. also, X/Zero waiting in the wings so if Sub can pull another huge result, this match could get some more discussion.

6. Ryu/Ken vs. Fox/Wolf

same as above. Ryu's setting up for the Red/Blue matchup and people have been really hyping them as a top 5 pairing (which seems crazy to me, but what do I know). if they can do 70% here, I'll believe in them.

5. Red/Blue vs. Luigi/Waluigi

what a goofy match. I really have no idea how this goes. Red/Blue should win, and maybe even win big, but I can't say I truly know what's going on.
---
xyzzy
#470 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2011 6:56:26 PM | message detail
That seems slightly below what I'm thinking. I would say it would be about 45000-60000 votes in 24 hour matches. In fact, only the Trainers match from this round would end up breaking 60000 votes in a 24 hour match.

Based on your average for night matches, adjusted we should get about 51k-53k votes a match, but the last few matches have been below the average which makes me feel we'll get under 50k.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 29/30 Today: Dante/Vergil & Sora/Riku
#471 | transience | Posted 11/18/2011 6:57:31 PM | message detail
4. Phoenix/Edgeworth vs. Alucard/Dracula

should be an easy win for Alucard... but I don't know, I don't feel completely comfortable here. low votals, Phoenix, blah blah blah.

3. Sonic/Robotnik vs. Kirby/Meta Knight

I'm truly scared of this match. I don't care if you guys aren't. I won't be amazed if Sonic runs away with it, but at the same time, Kirby's almost definitely going to be ahead at the beginning (after brackets) and could really spook Sonic here.

2. Chell/Glados vs. Frog/Magus

I really have zero idea what to expect here. Frog/Magus always underwhelm me but Chell is a nobody. feels super weird having a nobody like Chell beat a pairing from a top 5-7 game on this website, but here we are.

1. Dante/Vergil vs. Sora/Riku

there's a surge towards Dante here. I really am looking forward to seeing how this goes. I am pretty firmly on Sora's side, but something about it feels like it could be special, you know?
---
xyzzy
#472 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2011 6:59:11 PM | message detail
Match XXXIII: (1) Mario/Bowser vs. (5) Ike/Black Knight

Previous Round

Mario/Bowser – 85.36%
Earthworm Jim/Queen Slug-for-a-Butt – 14.64%

Conker/The Great Mighty Poo – 40.58%
Ike/Black Knight – 59.42%

Analysis

Round 2 and now we’re in for matches with 24 hours, say hello to vote trends and slightly higher vote totals. When SBAllen asked for suggestions for a new contest my suggestion and probably a few other people was to make the contest have 24 hour matches once we were down to 32 entrants. It allows voting trends to emerge and it only adds just over 2 weeks to the contest which isn’t too much.

This match was never going to have much debate, especially since Mario and Ike had a match against each other in the last contest. Overall I feel the match is going to be a larger blowout than the near tripling that we saw in the previous contest. Bowser obviously adds more strength to the pairing and trumps any rivalry strength that Black Knight would add though to a player that has played both series I wouldn’t necessarily say that Mario and Bowser will gaining a lot more from rivalry factor.

I wasn’t impressed with the performance Ike and Black Knight had last round. It could have been The Great Mighty Poo gaining joke votes, but I do feel that Smash fans abandoning Ike and Black Knight because they never played Fire Emblem and thus don’t know about the rivalry had something to do with it. Honestly I feel Mario and Bowser could ride the SFF wave to an almost 80% win. Not the best way to start 24 hour matches.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Mario/Bowser > Ike/Black Knight

charmander6000’s Prediction: Mario/Bowser wins, 79.32% - 20.68%
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 29/30 Today: Dante/Vergil & Sora/Riku
#473 | YoAriel33 | Posted 11/18/2011 6:59:42 PM | message detail

From: transience | #471
Kirby's almost definitely going to be ahead at the beginning (after brackets)


Kirby never grabbed the lead in their 1v1 last year. Sonic held at 54% pretty much the whole 12 hours.
---
Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#474 | transcience | Posted 11/18/2011 7:03:36 PM | message detail
we'll see!

(Meta Knight definitely a better partner than Robotnik, damn you Knuckles)
---
add the c and back away
iphonesience
#475 | swordz9 | Posted 11/18/2011 7:09:28 PM | message detail
Looks like Sora/Riku will clear 60% here and could maybe have enough time to go for 61%, but maybe not. It might be interesting to see how many people thought Hitler would advance when it ends too.
---
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
#476 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 11/18/2011 7:11:40 PM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Glad that 24-hour matches are returning tomorrow. I miss them.

Gross, why? All of these matches have been lame. Why would you want them to be longer?
---
For your BlAcK TuRtLe.
At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza
#477 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/18/2011 7:12:11 PM | message detail
charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2011 9:56:26 PM | message detail | quote
Based on your average for night matches, adjusted we should get about 51k-53k votes a match, but the last few matches have been below the average which makes me feel we'll get under 50k.


Overall average probably ends up being about 52000 like you pointed out, but of course this is round 2 instead of round 1. And round 2 matches should bring in slightly more votes than round 1, just because a lot of fodder has been knocked out. Between September 1st and November 2nd, non-contest polls only averaged 49925 votes, so round 2 matches will be just slightly above that.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#478 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/18/2011 7:32:19 PM | message detail | (edited)
every contest has lame matches.

There's something to be said for 24-hour affairs, though I think I prefer 12-hour ones. For one thing, I definitely think a 24-hour epic is better. A Frog/Liquid, or even a Sonic/Crono.
---
http://img.imgcake.com/nio/59xiiipngpy.png
#479 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2011 7:13:50 PM | message detail
Gross, why? All of these matches have been lame. Why would you want them to be longer?

That's probably why. These 12-hour matches have been lame, so hopefully the 24-hour ones will be better.
---
90s games > 00s games
#480 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2011 7:15:24 PM | message detail
Yeah, you just can't match the intensity of a great 24-hour match with anything in 12-hour matches.
---
90s games > 00s games
#481 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2011 7:15:41 PM | message detail
Yeah, Sonic/Kirby was 53.76% at the freeze. Kirby/Meta Knight got off to a great start against Jill/Nemesis for sure, but I really don't think this match turns out all that close. Meta Knight is better than Robotnik 1-on-1, but this isn't as simple as "Kirby + Meta Knight >= Sonic + Robotnik."
---
http://img600.imageshack.us/img600/8718/leonflowchart.png
#482 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2011 7:19:22 PM | message detail
I think you're discounting Kirby's chances considering he won in 2008. Though I have Sonic and don't feel bad about it.
---
90s games > 00s games
#483 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2011 7:21:20 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #482
I think you're discounting Kirby's chances considering he won in 2008.


Under circumstances that won't be in effect for this match.

So I'm not too worried.
---
http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/Squall.jpg
#484 | Advokaiser | Posted 11/18/2011 7:22:03 PM | message detail
Hey guys, I have a question: What is going on in this match?! I expected Sora/Riku to easily break 75% here! Why are they being so weak?
---
I think I broke the LOL
#485 | transcience | Posted 11/18/2011 7:23:09 PM | message detail
nor will the most recent match but people keep pointing to that!

I'm not saying that Kirby/Meta Knight > Sonic/Robotnik, I'm saying Meta Knight brings more to the table than Robotnik does.
---
add the c and back away
iphonesience
#486 | Pondos | Posted 11/18/2011 7:23:38 PM | message detail
How much of an impact does Sonic Generations have on this match?
---
Woop woop woop woop woop woop woop
#487 | Achromatic | Posted 11/18/2011 7:25:55 PM | message detail
I have never gotten a 1 on 1 Sonic match wrong, so let's hope this counts.
---
Behold the majesty that is Doom. Feast upon his greatness, and know you will never measure up.
http://img.imgcake.com/Punny/scenemaybecompletepngre.png
#488 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2011 7:26:40 PM | message detail

From: Pondos | #486
How much of an impact does Sonic Generations have on this match?


Probably not much.

Although Robotnik is pretty awesome in it.

From: transcience | #485
nor will the most recent match but people keep pointing to that!


Well, it's a more legit result than Kirby's win!

And I'm not so sure I agree Meta Knight brings more to the table, because I think that, while Robotnik is pretty weak on his own, paired together with Sonic, it makes for a "classic" rivalry. I can't see Kirby/Meta Knight winning this because of RIVALRY FACTOR
---
http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/Squall.jpg
#489 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2011 7:28:12 PM | message detail
I took Kirby and Meta Knight because I felt Meta Knight brings more to the table than Dr. Robotnik. Either way I feel that match will be closer than what it was last year.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 29/30 Today: Dante/Vergil & Sora/Riku
#490 | transcience | Posted 11/18/2011 7:30:43 PM | message detail
Robotnik is hardly Bowser. find me a Robotnik fan! there's a reason the dude has only made it into villain-friendly contests.
---
add the c and back away
iphonesience
#491 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/18/2011 7:31:55 PM | message detail
I'm a Robotnik fan, he's a boss
---
http://i.imgur.com/tAfEW.gif
#492 | Achromatic | Posted 11/18/2011 7:32:13 PM | message detail
I like Robotnik.
---
Ngirl is a toll bridge - Wigs
Gotta pay if you want to come inside! - Ngirl
#493 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2011 7:32:44 PM | message detail
Well, he doesn't have to be Bowser to win this one. It's not like I'm predicting a win over the Snakes! I think he does enough.
---
"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
#494 | transcience | Posted 11/18/2011 7:32:53 PM | message detail
dammit
---
add the c and back away
iphonesience
#495 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/18/2011 7:32:55 PM | message detail
There's more to rivalries than iconic status. Rivalries aren't series.
---
90s games > 00s games
#496 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2011 7:33:30 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #495
There's more to rivalries than iconic status. Rivalries aren't series.


This contest has been oddly similar to the Series Contest, so I'm not entirely sure I agree with this!
---
"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
#497 | HaRRicH | Posted 11/18/2011 7:33:44 PM | message detail
He also knows what's up with beans.
---
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
Nominate E P O N A.
#498 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/18/2011 7:34:10 PM | message detail
Let us never speak of the series contest
---
http://www.funnycorner.net/funny-pictures/4834/big-boss.jpg
#499 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2011 7:34:58 PM | message detail
Robotnik has actually been a pretty cool dude in the 3-D games, even in the really bad ones like Sonic 2006.
---
http://img710.imageshack.us/img710/8516/whatisdesiresig.gif
#500 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/18/2011 7:35:08 PM | message detail
But Squall/Seifer > Link/Ganon
---
"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."