GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1019
Darn, first percentage drop. Only a small one though. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/17/2011 12:29:42 AM | message detail | quote ...Assuming Leon/Ada and Crono/Lavos' relation in the vote-ins was legit, what's Sub/Scorp expected to get on the Snakes, for comedy sake? 61.46% --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
...Jesus Christ I was expecting to be able to laugh at like 49%. That's all kinds of amazing. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png http://i.imgur.com/FII1z.gif |
From: red sox 777 | #345 I don't think there was a freeze then, and I don't think Luigi was winning at 5 minutes. Could be remembering wrong. |
The
Snakes would need to get 68.22% on Crono just to be equal to Sub/Scorp.
Any higher than 68.22%, and the Snakes would be able to beat Sub/Scorp --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
From: Xuxon | #355 In 2003, there was a freeze after 5 minutes and then we had 15 minute updates afterward, if I recall correctly. --- http://i52.tinypic.com/2zfiu09.gif http://i54.tinypic.com/10729w2.gif |
IIRC, Luigi was leading against Squall at the freeze. I think it was like 60-40 at the 15 minute mark or something like that. --- Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place |
There's BGE data with constant updates. Would they have really had them in 2003 and then got rid of them? |
From: Xuxon | #359 Yes, CJayC implemented 15 minute updates after Samus/Sonic F5ing nearly crashed the site. I forget why he got rid of them after 2003, but we had instant updates again until Kefka/Vercetti, for obvious reasons. The reason why there was such a shock about Squall/Luigi was because Luigi was winning when the poll freezed, and then Squall was destroying on the next update. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Squall
is ahead of Cloud's percentage at this point in time, so if he
continues rising at the same rate that Cloud did, he should break 77%.
Although I'm not really expecting that to happen, as Laharl has a better
night vote than Lloyd/Kratos. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Hmm I guess I don't remember it that well. Was the mass of Fanta Shokatas also my imagination? |
From: Xuxon | #362 No, they started with that match. Thanks to Advance Warslord's "Luigi wins! Take that, nanasilencer!" topic. Best match in contest history. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png |
All hail Squall the best character ever --- GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC |
Yes, we had freezes and 15-minute updates from Samus/Sonic until somewhere in round 1 of the Games Contest in 2004. --- 90s games > 00s games |
Squall Leonhart 48.08% 451 Luigi 51.92% 487 TOTAL VOTES 938 Early returns from NGamer's archives. It's not the freeze total, but the score when NGamer (or whoever recorded the early returns) voted. --- 90s games > 00s games |
freeze
updates came and went during the first round. The last time we had
them was part way through Kingdom Hearts/SoulCalibur then we had the
site change. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 27/28 Today: Squall/Seifer & Siegfried/Nightmare |
Alright this wasn't too bad then. My oracle was 77 or 78, so being off by 3 or 4 percent is rather normal. |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/17/2011 12:51:52 AM | message detail | quote Yes, we had freezes and 15-minute updates from Samus/Sonic until somewhere in round 1 of the Games Contest in 2004. Sometime between the end of the 2003 contest and the start of the 2004 contest, the poll start time was changed to 3:00 AM EST. I did find these archived pages: http://web.archive.org/web/20030808024830/http://www.gamefaqs.com/ http://web.archive.org/web/20030925184103/http://www.gamefaqs.com/ In the first page, it says "Last Updated: Aug 7, 2003 5:16 PM CST", but it says "Last Updated: September 25, 2003 11:07AM PDT" on the second page. Looking at the site news section for the second page, it sounds like the poll start time was changed to 3:00 AM after the contest ended. I'm guessing the 15-minute updates were abandoned right after the contest ended and instant updates returned on non-contest polls. --- Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ |
For the record, here are extrapolations based on the first vote in. Mario vs. Bowser – 50.00% Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily – 40.13% Samus Aran vs. Ridley – 39.54% Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy – 29.05% Frog vs. Magus – 22.70% Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O’Donnell – 22.66% Raiden vs. Vamp – 19.92% Banjo vs. Gruntilda – 18.07% Yuna vs. Seymour Guado – 17.71% Laharl vs. Mid-Boss – 15.64% The Kid vs. The Guy – 15.31% Earthworm Jim vs. Queen Slug-for-a-Butt – 14.64% Fun stuff. I'll do the rest in a bit. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
-LusterSoldier- posted... Squall is ahead of Cloud's percentage at this point in time, so if he continues rising at the same rate that Cloud did, he should break 77%. Although I'm not really expecting that to happen, as Laharl has a better night vote than Lloyd/Kratos. I think 75-76 is more realistic since Squall isn't getting many 77%+ predictions. I wish he could reach 77 for the sake of my oracle! --- Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time |
We remember the time change, Luster. 2002-2003: 1 AM 2004-2005: 3 AM 2006-2011: 12 AM It's hard to believe it's been 6 years since we've had polls open at 3 AM though. --- 90s games > 00s games |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/17/2011 1:01:42 AM | message detail | quote We remember the time change, Luster. 2002-2003: 1 AM 2004-2005: 3 AM 2006-2011: 12 AM It's hard to believe it's been 6 years since we've had polls open at 3 AM though. I remember the 3 AM start time back in 2005 when it was a hassle for me to stay up late to steal the first vote during the contests. I don't anything about the poll start time prior to 2002, but it was probably 1 AM back then. I don't know if anyone remembers exactly when we switched over to a 3 AM start time, but I guess it happened on the first or second non-contest poll after the end of the 2003 contest. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Well I mean, no one really cares which day exactly it switched over because it happened on a non-contest poll. --- 90s games > 00s games |
Second vote-in stats: Link vs. Ganondorf – 50.00% Mega Man X vs. Zero – 34.04% Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth – 30.29% Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik – 29.29% Big Boss vs. The Boss – 22.57% Tidus vs. Jecht – 18.22% B.J. vs. Hitler – 17.82% Katherine vs. Catherine – 15.74% Arthas vs. Illidian – 14.70% Lloyd Irving vs. Kratos Aurion – 14.15% Captain Falcon vs. Black Shadow – 13.31% I can edit Sora/Riku into this after they have their match, but other than that... UH OH Cloud/Sephiroth --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
But
anyways, since we switched over to a 12 AM start time, the closest
thing to a poll starting at 3 AM was on 10/16/2011 when the poll started
at 2:22 AM because of a poll glitch. Vote totals were kind of terrible
in the beginning with that start time, with just 192 votes at the
freeze. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Third vote-in stats: Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion – 50.00% Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue – 45.19% Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake – 38.54% Crono vs. Lavos – 31.78% Leon Kennedy vs. Ada Wong – 26.78% Phoenix Wright vs. Miles Edgeworth – 25.86% Gordon Freeman vs. Dr. Breen – 22.86% Jim Raynor vs. Sarah Kerrigan – 20.86% --- http://img38.imageshack.us/img38/7760/222bj.jpg |
what happens if you set all the vote-ins equal to each other in total strength? |
Oh right, yesterday's chart: Time | Solquid | Crovos | Votes 0:05 | 58.49% | 41.51% | 477 1:00 | 59.51% | 40.49% | 4566 2:00 | 58.29% | 41.71% | 3848 3:00 | 58.85% | 41.15% | 3558 4:00 | 59.70% | 40.30% | 3583 5:00 | 60.12% | 39.88% | 3548 6:00 | 58.46% | 41.54% | 3438 7:00 | 60.08% | 39.92% | 3111 8:00 | 58.31% | 41.69% | 2816 9:00 | 58.88% | 41.12% | 2690 10:00 | 56.26% | 43.74% | 2355 11:00 | 57.00% | 43.00% | 2237 12:00 | 57.81% | 42.19% | 2005 A couple of 60% hours for the Twin Snakes, but Crono whittles away at the percentage a bit with the night vote. --- http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png |
From: Xuxon | #378 Silliness. Mario vs. Bowser – 50.00% Link vs. Ganondorf – 50.00% Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion – 50.00% Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Pokemon Trainer Blue – 45.19% Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily – 40.13% Samus Aran vs. Ridley – 39.54% Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake – 38.54% Mega Man X vs. Zero – 34.04% Crono vs. Lavos – 31.78% Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth – 30.29% Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik – 29.29% Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy – 29.05% Leon Kennedy vs. Ada Wong – 26.78% Phoenix Wright vs. Miles Edgeworth – 25.86% Gordon Freeman vs. Dr. Breen – 22.86% Frog vs. Magus – 22.70% Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O’Donnell – 22.66% Big Boss vs. The Boss – 22.57% Jim Raynor vs. Sarah Kerrigan – 20.86% Raiden vs. Vamp – 19.92% Tidus vs. Jecht – 18.22% Banjo vs. Gruntilda – 18.07% B.J. vs. Hitler – 17.82% Yuna vs. Seymour Guado – 17.71% Katherine vs. Catherine – 15.74% Laharl vs. Mid-Boss – 15.64% The Kid vs. The Guy – 15.31% Arthas vs. Illidian – 14.70% Earthworm Jim vs. Queen Slug-for-a-Butt – 14.64% Lloyd Irving vs. Kratos Aurion – 14.15% Captain Falcon vs. Black Shadow – 13.31% --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
Some
of the start time stuff is recorded on the Facts and Trivia page,
although the people who reported things weren't always sure - funny how
it seems like something the community as a whole would remember, but
we're mostly hazy on it: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/47 Xuxon posted... what happens if you set all the vote-ins equal to each other in total strength? Anarchy. Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together... mass hysteria. The Real Truth posted... All hail Squall the best character ever Don't you mean...the best character whatever? >_> --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
creativename | Posted 11/17/2011 1:28:57 AM | message detail | quote Some of the start time stuff is recorded on the Facts and Trivia page, although the people who reported things weren't always sure - funny how it seems like something the community as a whole would remember, but we're mostly hazy on it: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/47 Start time was definitely 3 AM for Games 2004. Fall 2008 start time was 12 AM. But other than that, all of the other start times are correct for the matches. For "CB VIII - Winter 2K10", the start time was 12 AM and 12 PM (due to day/night matches) and the contest ran from 1/16/10 to 3/21/10. And for the GOTD contest, the contest ran from 10/20/10 to 12/24/10 and the start time was 12 AM and 12 PM (again, due to day/night matches). --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Not
bad at all. Crono/Lavos probably hit 42% in a full 24-hour match. If
the rivalry and/or Liquid being stronger than Lavos is worth just 3%,
that puts Crono at 45% on Snake, which is right what Missingno and
Sephiroth say. I have a bit of a dilemma now though. Do I vote for
Cloud or Snake? Obviously I greatly prefer Cloud and want to see him
win the contest, but voting for Snake helps Crono in the x-stats. --- 90s games > 00s games |
OK Luster, I'll try to remember and update based on your info. red sox 777 posted... I have a bit of a dilemma now though. Do I vote for Cloud or Snake? Obviously I greatly prefer Cloud and want to see him win the contest, but voting for Snake helps Crono in the x-stats. Well you should wait and see if the match is close. If Cloud needs your vote or not. Though I do find the concept of voting for x-stats quite awkward :) Now if I truly and fully have no preference I might vote to shift to my Oracle, but really one vote will rarely even cause a decimal point shift so best to vote for your fave. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Though
I do find the concept of voting for x-stats quite awkward :) Now if I
truly and fully have no preference I might vote to shift to my Oracle,
but really one vote will rarely even cause a decimal point shift so best
to vote for your fave. Well, 1 vote isn't going to make your favorite win either. I think my large preference gap on this, plus the importance of the match, mean I should just vote for Cloud. --- 90s games > 00s games |
From: LeonhartFour | #380 Er, that isn't what I meant. Like having Lloyd/Kratos = Kerrigan/Raynor because they both got 10.16%. |
From: creativename | #384 I voted for my oracle in Megaman/Earthworm Jim in the last minute and got a couple people to do the same to try and get a perfect prediction (and got it). Can't remember for sure if it actually made the difference, but continuous updating definitely helped there. |
I
think the highlight of the contest for me (besides potentially winning)
will be watching Cloud and Seph beat the utter hell out of this FFVIII
duo. --- http://img339.imageshack.us/img339/984/rvpi.jpg "I was wrong" - SmartMuffin |
laharl continuing the glorious tradition of being round 1 fodder |
he wasn't round 1 fodder last year, though. |
Man, it's really hard to believe that Laharl has actually won a match, albeit because of TWEWY fodder. --- "Go get me Jared...from Subway!" -- CM Punk Future 2011 Rivalry Guru Champion! |
Xuxon posted... he wasn't round 1 fodder last year, though. Sure he was. He just got lucky enough to match off against round 1 turbofodder. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
It's
more difficult to imagine Vyse ever winning a match I think. As much as
I like SoA, I think Vyse needs to be retired. He's becoming another
Guybrush. --- :> |
too late, he just became another Guybrush this contest |
I'd take Guybrush over Vyse tbqh. --- If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE] http://img.imgcake.com/finegifdy.gif |
Actually,
if you can believe this, both Vyse and Skies of Arcadia have won
matches in these contests, and Skies's win was relatively recent. --- "Go get me Jared...from Subway!" -- CM Punk Future 2011 Rivalry Guru Champion! |
Really good for Crono.He is still strong.If only he had a better bracket placement.He must be the strongest 7th seed. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
this
result is underwhelming to me. maybe my expectations are off but it
seems like this should be in the high 70s given what we've seen from
other matches between strong and weak characters this year. not a big
deal, but I was expecting this rivalry to mean something. --- xyzzy |
Squall is always destined for the quarter finals no matter how crap he does. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Funny/siggy.jpg |
Link vs. Ganondorf – 50.00% Mega Man X vs. Zero – 34.04% Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth – 30.29% Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik – 29.29% Big Boss vs. The Boss – 22.57% Tidus vs. Jecht – 18.22% B.J. vs. Hitler – 17.82% Katherine vs. Catherine – 15.74% Arthas vs. Illidian – 14.70% Lloyd Irving vs. Kratos Aurion – 14.15% Captain Falcon vs. Black Shadow – 13.31% Didn't Link double Mario last time they fought? Hoppin on this bandwagon! --- Game of the Decade? More like Guru of the Decade mirite? |
