GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1019

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#151 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/16/2011 9:07:13 AM | message detail
__Smurf__ posted...
How does one go from 65% in the 2nd minute to 52% in the 3rd minute.

getting less votes while their competitor gets more votes
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#152 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:08:29 AM | message detail
My vote was the 16th for Cronos and it gave him the lead too!Unfortunately that was.
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#153 | Karma Hunter | Posted 11/16/2011 9:09:13 AM | message detail
I'm sure the board voted their brackets and in support of the rivalry that they want to take down Cloud/Seph, especially judging from how Snake dropped off at the end there. Snake will be even at best.
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#154 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/16/2011 9:10:18 AM | message detail
aah, good recovery
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#155 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:10:34 AM | message detail
Snake going back towards 60%
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#156 | Karma Hunter | Posted 11/16/2011 9:10:36 AM | message detail
#157 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/16/2011 9:10:45 AM | message detail
Going for the solid 60-40 here, good times
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#158 | TRE Public Account | Posted 11/16/2011 9:11:12 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
26------511--------96.48
25------546--------76.37
24------1121------72.52
23------1909------69.04
22------2346------72.46
21------2338------74.38
20------2145------72.21
19------1704------71.95
18------1243------70.64
17------745--------66.44
16------422--------66.82
15------226--------62.83
14------111--------54.95
13------61----------63.93
12------26----------53.85
11------10----------30.00
10------10----------70.00
9--------8------------25.00
8--------3------------66.67
7--------4------------25.00
6--------5------------80.00
5--------6------------33.33
4--------7------------42.86
3--------5------------0.00
2--------9------------11.11
1--------15----------0.00
0--------16----------0.00

And the perfects stomp all the other tiers again. They were just under 20 percentage points better than the -1s and there are now more perfects than -1s remaining. We also had that effect where the prediction percentage actually started to go back up a bit after the -3s before fading away.

3 people fell off the Top 50. Former third place CarveyFAQs, Gryphon_Lord and blitzace65 did not have Pac-Man vs. Blinky winning the match.
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#159 | scotted4 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:11:25 AM | message detail
PartOfYourWorld posted...
FIVE perfects gone on Pac/Crash. That's five outta 136. Something's gotta give.

I dont even know how anyone with a decent bracket got Pac/Crash wrong.
Crash never does well on gamefaqs
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#160 | transcience | Posted 11/16/2011 9:11:43 AM | message detail
i wonder what happens if 50 people end up running the table on the battle bracket. I didn't even move up the leaderboard today. sheesh.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#161 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:11:45 AM | message detail
Sigh.....well, it was an unwinnable match.
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#162 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/16/2011 9:13:17 AM | message detail | (edited)
The second an upset happens, 99% of the people with perfect battle brackets will be gone. I will probably be one of them.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#163 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/16/2011 9:14:05 AM | message detail
I might just bank now and cut my losses. Not going to get on the leaderboard and I'm NOT losing to Allen, good christ.

(Not on the next match, you understand, but the next close one)
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#164 | Karma Hunter | Posted 11/16/2011 9:14:08 AM | message detail
Man, I'm really late to the party, but wouldn't Crono have been in a better position against, like, ANY other 2 seed in the bracket? Why is this match even happening?
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#165 | transcience | Posted 11/16/2011 9:14:44 AM | message detail
that's why banking is so interesting. if you bank on an upset, you could be top 5 for the rest of the contest.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#166 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/16/2011 9:14:51 AM | message detail
Assuming we don't get an upset in R2, we should still be well under 100. I also expect to see people play things much more casually during R3. There are some killers there.
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#167 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/16/2011 9:14:51 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Man, I'm really late to the party, but wouldn't Crono have been in a better position against, like, ANY other 2 seed in the bracket? Why is this match even happening?

That's not even close to banning Charles Barkley and letting in Hitler!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#168 | abdou | Posted 11/16/2011 9:15:41 AM | message detail
I just noticed I am (darkfir) third on the battle bracket leaderboard awesome
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#169 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/16/2011 9:16:30 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
Man, I'm really late to the party, but wouldn't Crono have been in a better position against, like, ANY other 2 seed in the bracket? Why is this match even happening?

Blame Crono for having a lame rival. It stuck him in the vote ins due to the nominations for his rival being spread out over too many different characters, and being in the vote in forces him to face a #2 seed.

I wished it was Crono/Lavos vs Frog/Magus though!
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#170 | transcience | Posted 11/16/2011 9:17:08 AM | message detail
this match is doing exactly as I expected: people are treating it as Snake vs. Crono and ignoring the others. this is why I could never pull the trigger on Cloud over Link... that will play out exactly the same as a regular Link/Cloud match. the rivalry doesn't matter.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#171 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:17:49 AM | message detail
Bacon must really have it out for Crono. First feeding him to Sephiroth in round 3 and now this. Granted, Missingno stopped that match from ever happening, but the point is Crono has had no hope of advancing even moderately deep in the bracket since his finals appearance in 2008.

How much of an advantage does the Solid/Liquid rivalry give over Crono/Lavos? If Crono can hold above 40% here, I'd say that augurs pretty well for him being able to break 45% on Snake 1v1. I'd be pretty satisfied with that as long as Snake is still the force we've seen in recent years.
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#172 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/16/2011 9:18:28 AM | message detail

From: transcience | #170
this match is doing exactly as I expected: people are treating it as Snake vs. Crono and ignoring the others. this is why I could never pull the trigger on Cloud over Link... that will play out exactly the same as a regular Link/Cloud match. the rivalry doesn't matter.


A very interesting point. Maybe the rivalries just matter less when the popularity of our biggest guys simply overpower them.
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#173 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/16/2011 9:18:53 AM | message detail
I do enjoy this match.

Go Snakes Go
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#174 | The Mana Sword | Posted 11/16/2011 9:19:03 AM | message detail
who let karma hunter back in here
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#175 | Karma Hunter | Posted 11/16/2011 9:19:29 AM | message detail
FateStayAlbion posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Man, I'm really late to the party, but wouldn't Crono have been in a better position against, like, ANY other 2 seed in the bracket? Why is this match even happening?

Blame Crono for having a lame rival. It stuck him in the vote ins due to the nominations for his rival being spread out over too many different characters, and being in the vote in forces him to face a #2 seed.

I wished it was Crono/Lavos vs Frog/Magus though!


But literally any other 2 seed in the bracket would be a better fit for Crono than Snake.
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#176 | LOLContests | Posted 11/16/2011 9:21:21 AM | message detail
Crono also might have underperformed in the vote-in, since people thought he didn't need their votes.
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#177 | WhiteLens | Posted 11/16/2011 9:21:22 AM | message detail
Yeah they really should've faced Tidus/Jecht, now that would be interesting.
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#178 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/16/2011 9:21:46 AM | message detail
Karma Hunter posted...
FateStayAlbion posted...
Karma Hunter posted...
Man, I'm really late to the party, but wouldn't Crono have been in a better position against, like, ANY other 2 seed in the bracket? Why is this match even happening?

Blame Crono for having a lame rival. It stuck him in the vote ins due to the nominations for his rival being spread out over too many different characters, and being in the vote in forces him to face a #2 seed.

I wished it was Crono/Lavos vs Frog/Magus though!

But literally any other 2 seed in the bracket would be a better fit for Crono than Snake.


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4482

Funny thing is that Crono would have done better just flopping in this poll and got an 8 seed. Both Gordon and Raynor got matches Crono could have easily won.
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#179 | creativename | Posted 11/16/2011 9:25:32 AM | message detail
Hey, I'm impressed by Crono here, he's keeping it respectable. This isn't that bad. Snake maybe rises to 61%ish with the ASV, while he's not that great with the ASV it is Chrono Trigger he's facing.

Think the pic might be helping a slight bit, that's about as good a pic for Lavos as you could hope for. But given the performance of Crono vs. Lavos' vote-in opponents this match could have been much worse. Apparently the vote-in luckily wasn't indicative of their strength.

KamikazePotato posted...
http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/7776/ramza1.png

After realizing that FFT art kinda sucks, I tried to minimize it as much as possible and go for sprite face nostalgia.


My god I love this pic.

LOOOOVE it. Makes me think they actually would have a chance!

charmander6000 posted...
I would think the board would favour Crono, but then again they were bashing the whole Crono/Lavos rivalry so maybe they didn't vote for him.

Bracket voting probably.
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#180 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:28:08 AM | message detail
The board doesn't really like Crono. Chrono Trigger and Frog yes, and even Magus once long long ago, but not Crono.
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90s games > 00s games
#181 | The_Djoker | Posted 11/16/2011 9:28:38 AM | message detail
This is basically Crono Vs Snake and Snake is obviously far stronger.

Seriously Crono deserves more credit..it's amazing how he is still this strong in 2011.
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#182 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:29:24 AM | message detail
This isn't just Snake vs. Crono. Clearly Crono is being hurt by Liquid > Lavos and by having the weaker rivalry.
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90s games > 00s games
#183 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/16/2011 9:35:26 AM | message detail | (edited)
I'm still disappointed we didn't get a Crono/Magus pairing up. Yeah yeah, Frog is a better rivalry for Magus, but Crono could have actually won some matches if he had a legit rival. Frog is kinda overrated too.

red sox 777 posted...
This isn't just Snake vs. Crono. Clearly Crono is being hurt by Liquid > Lavos and by having the weaker rivalry.

Nah, 58% is about what I'd expect Snake to get on him these days.
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#184 | Karma Hunter | Posted 11/16/2011 9:31:58 AM | message detail
Don't blame me, I nominated Crono/Magus

...and Snake/Big Boss, who would beat Crono/Magus by something like 70/30 on their way to the championship
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#185 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/16/2011 9:32:20 AM | message detail
This result looks poor for Snake because it shows that he would lose to the MK ninjas if you extrapolate through Leon Kennedy in the vote-in poll. Right now, Snake/Liquid only has 65.45% on Leon/Ada and the MK ninjas got over 73%. No one on the board would have taken that upset in their bracket.
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#186 | Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 11/16/2011 9:33:35 AM | message detail
transcience posted...
this match is doing exactly as I expected: people are treating it as Snake vs. Crono and ignoring the others. this is why I could never pull the trigger on Cloud over Link... that will play out exactly the same as a regular Link/Cloud match. the rivalry doesn't matter.

Even if rivalries don't matter, it'll still be closer than a Link/Cloud match. There are far more Sephiroth>Link>Cloud voters than there are Ganondorf>Cloud>Link voters.
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#187 | transcience | Posted 11/16/2011 9:34:23 AM | message detail
LUSTER STATS
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#188 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:34:26 AM | message detail
Nah, 58% is about what I'd expect Snake to get on him these days.

Well, 55-56% is what I expected, and I'd say this match supports that figure more!

Crono/Magus is what I nominated too. Pretty confident now that would have been the strongest CT rivalry by a good margin. Personally, I think it's even a better rivalry artistically than Frog/Magus- Crono and Magus are thrown into very similar circumstances if you think about it, and react very differently.
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90s games > 00s games
#189 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/16/2011 9:34:38 AM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
This result looks poor for Snake because it shows that he would lose to the MK ninjas if you extrapolate through Leon Kennedy in the vote-in poll. Right now, Snake/Liquid only has 65.45% on Leon/Ada and the MK ninjas got over 73%. No one on the board would have taken that upset in their bracket.

Not that it would ever happen, but MK Ninjas > Snakes would be a great result.
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#190 | creativename | Posted 11/16/2011 9:34:43 AM | message detail
-LusterSoldier- posted...
This result looks poor for Snake because it shows that he would lose to the MK ninjas if you extrapolate through Leon Kennedy in the vote-in poll. Right now, Snake/Liquid only has 65.45% on Leon/Ada and the MK ninjas got over 73%. No one on the board would have taken that upset in their bracket.

I think it just means the vote-in was highly inaccurate for Crono/Lavos, for whatever reason.
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#191 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/16/2011 9:35:59 AM | message detail
Just like this poll was inaccurate for MMX?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3695

Vote-ins probably just don't favor the 'obvious' pick.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#192 | pIANOmAN3141 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:37:44 AM | message detail
and there are now more perfects than -1s remaining

You people can enjoy your stinky perfect brackets.

Exclusive -1 club is where the real fun is at!
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#193 | creativename | Posted 11/16/2011 9:38:10 AM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Personally, I think it's even a better rivalry artistically than Frog/Magus- Crono and Magus are thrown into very similar circumstances if you think about it, and react very differently.

Don't think Crono/Magus is even close to Frog/Magus as a rivalry. Hell, it isn't even really a rivalry. Even Magus/Queen Zeal is a much better rivalry than Crono/Magus. For that matter Magus/Lavos is a much better rivalry than Crono/Magus. Crono doesn't really have a great rival in the game.
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#194 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/16/2011 9:38:59 AM | message detail
creativename posted...
red sox 777 posted...
Personally, I think it's even a better rivalry artistically than Frog/Magus- Crono and Magus are thrown into very similar circumstances if you think about it, and react very differently.

Don't think Crono/Magus is even close to Frog/Magus as a rivalry. Hell, it isn't even really a rivalry. Even Magus/Queen Zeal is a much better rivalry than Crono/Magus. For that matter Magus/Lavos is a much better rivalry than Crono/Magus. Crono doesn't really have a great rival in the game.


I think what this shows is that Magus is by far the most developed and best character in the game, and its a crime that he isn't stronger here.
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#195 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:40:21 AM | message detail
True, the game doesn't really set up Crono and Magus as a rivalry, it requires lots of overanalysis to build up. Magus vs. Lavos is the best rivalry in the game, definitely.
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90s games > 00s games
#196 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/16/2011 9:48:24 AM | message detail
Crono's best rival is probably Johnny, of all people.

That or the entire game of Chrono Cross.
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#197 | Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 11/16/2011 10:05:58 AM | message detail
pIANOmAN3141 posted...
and there are now more perfects than -1s remaining

You people can enjoy your stinky perfect brackets.

Exclusive -1 club is where the real fun is at!


Wonder if there's some sort of subconcious thing where noone wanted to take only 1 upset, instead opting to take 2 or more, or none at all.
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#198 | bloodhawks return (Moderator) | Posted 11/16/2011 10:07:54 AM | message detail
I expected a result similar to this, but it still hurts. ;_; We need a new Chrono game!
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#199 | turbopuns | Posted 11/16/2011 10:13:41 AM | message detail
Wii_TuRtLe posted...
pIANOmAN3141 posted...
and there are now more perfects than -1s remaining

You people can enjoy your stinky perfect brackets.

Exclusive -1 club is where the real fun is at!

Wonder if there's some sort of subconcious thing where noone wanted to take only 1 upset, instead opting to take 2 or more, or none at all.


Or people just don't always guess right. <_<
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#200 | The Mana Sword | Posted 11/16/2011 10:28:50 AM | message detail
crono gettin dat pre asv
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