GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1019

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#101 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 11/15/2011 10:17:05 PM | message detail | (edited)
I honestly don't see that match being any different from any of the past Zelda/FF7 results in other formats of the last 5 years.

History matters.
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#102 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 11/15/2011 10:18:06 PM | message detail
Pac's going ... back up? Wha?
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#103 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/15/2011 10:21:07 PM | message detail
That won't last long, because Pac-Man is doing best in North America. Crash is doing better in every other continent, so he should get the night vote here.
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#104 | vcharon | Posted 11/15/2011 10:24:07 PM | message detail | (edited)
NA with the worst taste who'd have thunk it.
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:>
#105 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/15/2011 10:24:57 PM | message detail
charon, are you from North America?
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#106 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/15/2011 10:26:48 PM | message detail
#107 | vcharon | Posted 11/15/2011 10:28:14 PM | message detail
PartOfYourWorld posted...
charon, are you from North America?

Yes, allowing me the honor to insult my homeland.
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:>
#108 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 11/15/2011 10:41:49 PM | message detail
Lol it's Pac vs Crash...

Taste's got nothin' to do with it.
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"Ovelia ... SPOILERS IN THE KEYWORDS WOOPS"
- Vormav
#109 | UItimaterializer | Posted 11/15/2011 11:19:17 PM | message detail
Man, when I told Smurf I'd be surprised if Pac finished below 57% I didn't think I'd be off by nearly 10. Holy crap.

Star of the round award!
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#110 | ZFS | Posted 11/15/2011 11:20:24 PM | message detail
vcharon posted...
NA with the worst taste who'd have thunk it.

Always has!
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#111 | ffmasterjose | Posted 11/15/2011 11:21:24 PM | message detail
Damn, Team Crash is getting destroyed. lol none of my upsets have happened
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#112 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/15/2011 11:31:15 PM | message detail | (edited)
This is probably as good a time as any, since we're going to probably be bored until Nightmare/Ramza (if not that then uhh...Phoenix/Alucard?).

Rank the pairs:
Fox/Wolf
Terra/Kefka
Chris/Wesker
Tidus/Jecht
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#113 | vcharon | Posted 11/15/2011 11:34:57 PM | message detail
Fox/Wolf > Chris/Wesker > Tidus/Jecht > Terra/Kefka

Strength terms. Almost opposite for my preference, obviously.
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:>
#114 | pjbasis | Posted 11/15/2011 11:54:28 PM | message detail

From: ffmasterjose | #111
Damn, Team Crash is getting destroyed. lol none of my upsets have happened


More like no upsets have happened.
#115 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/16/2011 1:54:22 AM | message detail
Okay most boring contest ever.Round 1 will close with no upsets and all right predictions will be above 50%Man!In Round 2 we will have the first match and the right predictions will be under 50% but still I don't see an upset...
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#116 | greatone10 | Posted 11/16/2011 2:04:25 AM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #112
This is probably as good a time as any, since we're going to probably be bored until Nightmare/Ramza (if not that then uhh...Phoenix/Alucard?).


Sonic/Kirby could get interesting.
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#117 | creativename | Posted 11/16/2011 2:10:00 AM | message detail
You know, WBJB vs. Hitler actually did quite well in their vote-in. Even the Bosses only got 60% on them and the Bosses should be stronger than Sora/Riku I think.

Not sure if this means they will do way better than people expect, or if it just means the 12-way format overrated them highly (which is very possible). But it seems most expect Sora/Riku to double them and I wouldn't be shocked if they underperformed that by a lot, leading to a lot of ridicule being thrown the way of Sora/Riku which may not actually be warranted.

I do think that with a very recognizable Wolfenstein pic that team could have legit strength, beyond just "LOL Hitler" votes. Wolfenstein probably has a high playrate and the in-game model for the hero is pretty distinct. I don't think people know the guy's name, but they should recognize the character if the pic is decent.
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#118 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/16/2011 2:49:04 AM | message detail
creativename | Posted 11/16/2011 5:10:00 AM | message detail | quote
You know, WBJB vs. Hitler actually did quite well in their vote-in. Even the Bosses only got 60% on them and the Bosses should be stronger than Sora/Riku I think.


They were slightly overrated in their vote-in thanks to a 4chan rally, but ended up being fairly stable with their trends during the hours they weren't being rallied. Hitler still beats the Catherines even without any 4chan rallying. The rallying ended up being about 780 votes for Hitler, based off how Hitler did in the second half of the poll without any rallying at all.

Also, important message for you to read: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/61023047/679418902
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#119 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/16/2011 2:59:45 AM | message detail
And you people said a Female Villain contest would be the worst possible contest.
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#120 | transcience | Posted 11/16/2011 3:03:56 AM | message detail
man, there is way too much whining for freaking Crash vs. Pac-Man. what the hell.

bring on Ramza
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#121 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/16/2011 3:15:39 AM | message detail
Personally I would like to see for the next contest(even though almost nobody wants a next one)to be the very first contest with the same set up even!Now that would be nostalgia and we would see how much the things have changed!
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#122 | Mumei | Posted 11/16/2011 6:37:17 AM | message detail
PartOfYourWorld posted...
From: creativename | #097
So I recently switched from Firefox to Chrome, because viewing videos in Firefox kept glitching for me constantly
Funny, I switched to Chrome recently, and Chrome is freakin' terrible for YouTube. I can't even skip to parts of a video until it's already been loaded.


That's not true; I skip to parts of videos without waiting for them to load on Chrome all the time.

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#123 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/16/2011 7:00:42 AM | message detail
Match XXVIII: (2) Solid Snake/Liquid Snake vs. (7) Crono/Lavos

Previous Contest

Solid Snake – 2010
72.35% against Proto Man
67.03% against Fox McCloud
55.20% against Pikachu
59.17% against Squall Leonhart
52.96% against Sephiroth
47.91% against Cloud Strife

Liquid Snake – 2010
40.88% against Altair

Crono – 2010
49.71% against Missingno

Lavos – Villains 2005
55.79% against Mother Brain
44.38% against Liquid Snake

Analysis

Last year was probably a contest Crono and friends would like to forget. Even though it was against a joke character it was very embarrassing losing in the first round. This contest, however adds some salt to those wounds. Not only was Crono forced to go through the vote-ins he has a fellow noble nine character as his opponent. It almost makes you wish that he never made the bracket in the first place.

When discussing non-rivalries, Crono and Lavos seem to be one of the most discussed pairs. The only thing that they seem to be opposed of is the fate of the world and even then Lavos is only doing it because that’s what its species does. While the pair looked rather decent in the vote-ins their competition has since flopped horribly and none of them had decent rivalries to begin with.

Meanwhile Solid and Liquid Snake are probably among the top in terms of rivals and given that both would win against their opponent should make this match rather easy. It is a shame that the snakes didn’t get a better position in the bracket. Put them anywhere on the top half and we could have seen a lot of debate. In this division they almost have no hope in reaching the quarterfinals.

I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if the snakes pushed a doubling in this match Lavos doesn’t add much in terms of rivalry and any strength he adds on with Crono, which I doubt would be much since I don’t see people liking Lavos and not Crono would be countered by the fact that Liquid Snake would probably have no problem against Lavos should they ever have a rematch. It is a shame to see Crono be dragged down to this when three years ago he was in the finals of the contest.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Solid Snake/Liquid Snake > Crono/Lavos

charmander6000’s Prediction: Solid Snake/Liquid Snake wins, 63.27% - 36.73%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 25/26 Today: Pac-Man/Blinky & Solid Snake/Liquid Snake
#124 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/16/2011 7:38:01 AM | message detail
If Snake doubles Crono unfortunately that means that he will beat Cloud.Oh well.
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#125 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/16/2011 8:00:10 AM | message detail
http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/7776/ramza1.png

After realizing that FFT art kinda sucks, I tried to minimize it as much as possible and go for sprite face nostalgia.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#126 | Haste_2 | Posted 11/16/2011 8:08:11 AM | message detail
If this was Crash vs. Pac-Man by itself, I think the match would be closer. You can say Blinky is an awful rival all you want, but there's something great and nostalgic just seeing it together with Pac-Man.

The contest is bad not because it consists of rivalries, but that the bracket itself was set up so poorly, especially Round 1. I think we should petition to let some contest gurus have a say in the bracket for future contests, so that we can ensure plenty of good matches.

So, there's only two matches with the slightest chance of an upset: the only way Team Ramza can possibly win is there is a surprising surge in FFT popularity coupled with another Soul Calibur drop. And, if Snake doubles Crono, that would just be CRAZY.... yeah, asSafer Sephiroth said, they would be favored over Cloud/Sephiroth at that point. Just looking at the pic advantage of Crono./Lavos it feels like it will a 55/45 match. Probably won't be quite that close, though.
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#127 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/16/2011 8:13:34 AM | message detail
They were slightly overrated in their vote-in thanks to a 4chan rally,

For Hitler, you can't call that overrated... part of his innate strength is rallying. He'll obviously be getting rallied in the match itself as well.
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#128 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 11/16/2011 8:15:52 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #125
http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/7776/ramza1.png

After realizing that FFT art kinda sucks, I tried to minimize it as much as possible and go for sprite face nostalgia.


God tier pic, but uuuuuuugh, Ramza and Delita are SO screwed unless they get a surprise announcement or Siegried/Nightmare totally crash and burn. :(
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#129 | TRE Public Account | Posted 11/16/2011 8:29:13 AM | message detail
For Hitler, you can't call that overrated... part of his innate strength is rallying. He'll obviously be getting rallied in the match itself as well.

Rallying is more effective at lower vote totals and larger number of vote options.
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#130 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/16/2011 8:29:44 AM | message detail
But you also need a good base to stand on. 4chan isn't going to rally as much when Sora and Riku start off doubling or breaking 70% on them.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 25/26 Today: Pac-Man/Blinky & Solid Snake/Liquid Snake
#131 | White_Tiger | Posted 11/16/2011 8:58:32 AM | message detail
why was Crono fed to the snakes like this ;(

I hope he can avoid the doubling
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#132 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/16/2011 9:00:19 AM | message detail
Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake 55.56%

5
Crono vs. Lavos 44.44%

4
TOTAL VOTES 9

CRONOOOOOOOOOOO
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#133 | tennisboy213 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:00:25 AM | message detail
Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake 41.67% 10
Crono vs. Lavos 58.33% 14
TOTAL VOTES 24
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#134 | MarquessLaus | Posted 11/16/2011 9:00:35 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake 57.14% 8
Crono vs. Lavos 42.86% 6
TOTAL VOTES 14
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#135 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:00:51 AM | message detail
This could be brutal.
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#136 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/16/2011 9:00:53 AM | message detail
it's good to see the best rivalry in the contest doing well
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Today's Prediction: Pac-Man / Ghost - 60.16%
#137 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:01:03 AM | message detail
Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake 53.33% 8
Crono vs. Lavos 46.67% 7
TOTAL VOTES 15

We still love you Crono
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 25/26 Today: Pac-Man/Blinky & Solid Snake/Liquid Snake
#138 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/16/2011 9:01:22 AM | message detail
If Crono gets doubled given the gigantic picture advantage. >__>
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#139 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/16/2011 9:02:09 AM | message detail
FIVE perfects gone on Pac/Crash. That's five outta 136. Something's gotta give.
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#140 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:02:20 AM | message detail
Pac-Man vs. Blinky 71.96%

Usually Pac-Man has great bracket support
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 25/26 Today: Pac-Man/Blinky & Solid Snake/Liquid Snake
#141 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:04:04 AM | message detail
3rd minute went 52/48, but Snakes' gone up since then.
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#142 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/16/2011 9:04:07 AM | message detail
PartOfYourWorld
Posted 11/16/2011 12:02:09 PM
message detail
quote
FIVE perfects gone on Pac/Crash. That's five outta 136. Something's gotta give.


The only explanation I can think of is that there are a lot of casuals reading the stats topic. Either that or Luster's pulling a great joke on all of us.
#143 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/16/2011 9:04:31 AM | message detail
ugh, come on, Snakes, you gotta at least get 60%
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#144 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/16/2011 9:04:33 AM | message detail
duuuuude Crono's fighting on!

WAKE UP, CRONO.
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#145 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/16/2011 9:04:34 AM | message detail
Pretty strong board vote for snake, Crono recovering a bit. Wonder how much he dies through the day.
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#146 | abdou | Posted 11/16/2011 9:04:47 AM | message detail
Not bad Crono. This makes me feel better about Cloud>Snakes
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#147 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/16/2011 9:05:01 AM | message detail
Huh, the Snakes are going down right now.
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#148 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/16/2011 9:05:58 AM | message detail
How does one go from 65% in the 2nd minute to 52% in the 3rd minute.
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#149 | Karma Hunter | Posted 11/16/2011 9:06:23 AM | message detail
Honestly I was somewhat scared about Snake *winning* this match considering Liquid and yo's ridiculously awesome picture, so anything else on top of that is just gravy (he still isn't going to beat Cloud/Seph, he just... isn't). Expecting the doubling would be too much, I'd be surprised if he finished above 60 by the end of today.

This isn't concern trolling btw, that picture gave me the same feeling that I had when he squared off against Pikachu.
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#150 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/16/2011 9:07:06 AM | message detail
I would think the board would favour Crono, but then again they were bashing the whole Crono/Lavos rivalry so maybe they didn't vote for him.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 25/26 Today: Pac-Man/Blinky & Solid Snake/Liquid Snake